Smoke Management Weather Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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000
FNUS75 KGJT 181916
SMFGJT

SMOKE MANAGEMENT FORECAST FOR WESTERN COLORADO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
116 PM MDT TUE JUN 18 2013

.DISCUSSION...WITH DRYING CONTINUING FROM WEST TO EAST TODAY
MIXING REMAINS DEEP AND IS PRODUCING EXCELLENT SMOKE DISPERSAL.
SURFACE-BASED INVERSIONS WILL BE WEAK TONIGHT AND WILL BREAK AT
TIMES ESPECIALLY IN NORTHWEST COLORADO. DEEP MIXING RETURNS
AGAIN WEDNESDAY LATE MORNING WITH MIXING HEIGHTS RANGING FROM
20000 TO 28000 FEET MSL. SOUTHWEST GRADIENT WINDS OF 30 TO 40
MPH WILL MIX DOWN IN THE AFTERNOON PRODUCING EXCELLENT MIXING.

...THE SMOKE DATA IS CALCULATED FROM AN AVERAGE AT 6000 FEET MSL...

COZ200-191200-
ZONE 200...LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA-
INCLUDING ...LITTLE SNAKE RIVER BASIN AND NORTHWEST PLATEAU
112 PM MDT TUE JUN 18 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......17000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN EXCELLENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 13500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 23 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 38 MPH.

=
$$

COZ201-191200-
ZONE 201...ROUTT FORECAST AREA-
INCLUDING ...UPPER YAMPA RIVER BASIN...
WEST SLOPES PARK AND NORTHERN GORE RANGES...NORTHERN FLAT TOPS
112 PM MDT TUE JUN 18 2013

.TONIGHT...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......14500 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN EXCELLENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 12000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 29 MPH.

=
$$

COZ202-191200-
ZONE 202...WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA-
INCLUDING ...LOWER AND CENTRAL YAMPA RIVER BASIN...
EAST TAVAPUTS PLATEAU
112 PM MDT TUE JUN 18 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......16500 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 23 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN EXCELLENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 15500 FT AGL AFTER
                    1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 22 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN 35 MPH.

=
$$

COZ203-191200-
ZONE 203...GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA-
INCLUDING ...SOUTHERN ROAN AND TAVAPUTS PLATEAUS...GRAND VALLEY...
DEBEQUE/RIFLE/GLENWOOD SPRINGS AND VICINITY...
CENTRAL COLORADO RIVER BASIN...
BATTLEMENT MESA AND NORTHERN GRAND MESA...
NORTHERN ELK MOUNTAINS...WEST SLOPES SOUTHERN GORE RANGE...
SOUTHERN FLAT TOPS AND WHITE RIVER PLATEAU...
NORTHERN UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU
112 PM MDT TUE JUN 18 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......16000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN EXCELLENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 17500 FT AGL AFTER
                    1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 32 MPH.

=
$$

COZ290-191200-
ZONE 290...PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST AREA-
INCLUDING ...PARADOX VALLEY
112 PM MDT TUE JUN 18 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......16500 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN EXCELLENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 18500 FT AGL AFTER
                    1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 22 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 33 MPH.

=
$$

COZ291-191200-
ZONE 291...NORTHERN SAN JUAN FORECAST AREA-
INCLUDING ...NORTHWESTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS
112 PM MDT TUE JUN 18 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......16000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 22 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN EXCELLENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 18000 FT AGL AFTER
                    1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 28 MPH.

=
$$

COZ292-191200-
ZONE 292...NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA-
INCLUDING ...CENTRAL GUNNISON AND UNCOMPAHGRE RIVER BASINS...
SOUTHERN GRAND MESA...SOUTHERN UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU
112 PM MDT TUE JUN 18 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......17500 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN EXCELLENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 20000 FT AGL AFTER
                    1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 19 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 31 MPH.

=
$$

COZ293-191200-
ZONE 293...GUNNISON BASIN FORECAST AREA-
INCLUDING ...WEST SLOPES SAWATCH RANGE...
SOUTHERN ELK AND WEST ELK MOUNTAINS...UPPER GUNNISON RIVER VALLEY
112 PM MDT TUE JUN 18 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO 10 PM MDT
THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......16000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900. EXCELLENT AFTER 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 18500 FT AGL AFTER
                    1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 28 MPH.

=
$$

COZ207-191200-
ZONE 207...DURANGO FORECAST AREA-
INCLUDING ...SOUTHWESTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS...FOUR CORNERS...
ANIMAS RIVER BASIN...SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN
112 PM MDT TUE JUN 18 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO 10 PM MDT
THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......14000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900. EXCELLENT AFTER 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 15500 FT AGL AFTER
                    1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 25 MPH.

=
$$








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