Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA
000
FGUS73 KDMX 291738
ESFDMX
IAC001-003-007-009-013-015-017-023-025-027-029-033-039-047-049-051-
053-063-069-073-075-077-079-081-083-091-099-109-117-121-123-125-127-
135-147-151-153-157-159-161-169-171-173-175-179-181-185-187-189-195-
197-050000-
PROBABILISTIC HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1135 AM CST FRI JAN 29 2010
...SPRING FLOOD AND WATER RESOURCES OUTLOOK...
** IMPORTANT...HIGH RISK OF SIGNIFICANT FLOODING **
SPRING FLOOD AND WATER RESOURCES OUTLOOK NUMBER 1
THIS FLOOD OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NWS DES MOINES SERVICE AREA. IT COVERS THE
TIME PERIOD FROM FEBRUARY THROUGH THE END OF APRIL 2010. IT INCLUDES THE
FOLLOWING RIVERS AND THEIR TRIBUTARIES IN NORTH CENTRAL...CENTRAL AND
SOUTH CENTRAL IOWA...
IOWA...CEDAR...SKUNK...DES MOINES...RACCOON...NISHNABOTNA...
102...THOMPSON AND CHARITON RIVERS
...FLOOD OUTLOOK HIGHLIGHTS...
* THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SIGNIFICANT FLOODING. THE RISK OF FLOODING IS
ABOVE NORMAL AT MOST LOCATIONS. THE RISK IS HIGHEST...AND MUCH ABOVE
NORMAL...IN THE DES MOINES...RACCOON...IOWA AND CEDAR RIVER BASINS...
AND ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTHWEST HALF OF THE DES MOINES SERVICE
AREA.
* THERE IS AN ABOVE NORMAL RISK OF FLOODING FROM ICE JAMS. ANY ICE JAMS
WHICH DO OCCUR MAY RESULT IN LOCALLY HIGHER RIVER STAGES...AND RAPID
RIVER RISES. THIS OUTLOOK DOES NOT TAKE INTO ACCOUNT POTENTIAL
FLOODING FROM ICE JAMS. ANY FLOODING FROM ICE JAMS WOULD BE ABOVE AND
BEYOND THE FLOODING POTENTIAL INDICATED IN THIS OUTLOOK.
* HIGH SOIL MOISTURE VALUES SUGGEST A HIGHER THAN NORMAL RISK OF
FLOODING ALSO IN AREAS THAT HAVE LITTLE TO NO SNOW COVER. THUS...THE
ENHANCED RISK OF FLOODING IS NOT CONFINED JUST TO AREAS WITH AN ABOVE
NORMAL SNOW PACK.
* THE FLOODING POTENTIAL WILL BE MORE SENSITIVE THAN NORMAL TO THE
OCCURRENCE AND TIMING OF WEATHER EVENTS SUCH AS RAPID WARM UPS AND
HEAVY PRECIPITATION. THUS...IT IS MORE IMPORTANT THAN NORMAL TO
CLOSELY MONITOR THE POTENTIAL FOR THESE AND RELATED WEATHER EVENTS.
THEY MAY FURTHER INCREASE THE RISK OF FLOODING...BEYOND WHAT THIS
OUTLOOK INDICATES.
TABLE 1 BELOW LISTS THE PROBABILITIES OF REACHING FLOOD STAGE /MINOR
FLOODING/...AS WELL AS MODERATE AND MAJOR FLOOD LEVELS FOR EACH FORECAST
POINT.
...TABLE 1...PROBABILITIES FOR MINOR...MODERATE AND MAJOR FLOODING...
VALID FEB. 1 2010 - MAY 2 2010
DEP FROM
---------FLOOD STAGES--------- NORMAL
MINOR MODERATE MAJOR OF REACHING
LOCATION STG PCT STG PCT STG PCT FLOOD STAGE
IOWA RIVER
MARSHALLTOWN 18 54% 19 23% 21 6% 45% GREATER
CEDAR RIVER
WAVERLY 11.5 9% 15 3% 17 <2% 6% GREATER
JANESVILLE 11 16% 13 6% 15 4% 6% GREATER
CEDAR FALLS 88 90% 90 67% 93 21% 42% GREATER
WATERLOO 12 82% 15 44% 19 14% 48% GREATER
W FK CEDAR RIVER
FINCHFORD 12 91% 14 36% 16 13% 56% GREATER
WINNEBAGO RIVER
MASON CITY 7 93% 10 19% 14 4% 54% GREATER
SHELL ROCK RIVER
SHELL ROCK 12 80% 13 47% 15 13% 43% GREATER
BEAVER CREEK
NEW HARTFORD 10 42% 12 11% 14 <2% 18% GREATER
S SKUNK RIVER
AMES 3N 14 <2% 15 <2% 16 <2% NEAR NORMAL
AMES HWY 30 20 67% 23 6% 24 4% 48% GREATER
COLFAX 17 45% 19 9% 21 4% 37% GREATER
OSKALOOSA 20 50% 21 27% 24 4% 38% GREATER
SQUAW CREEK
AMES 9 21% 12 6% 15 3% 16% GREATER
DES MOINES RIVER
ESTHERVILLE 7 >98% 10 86% 14 9% 50% GREATER
EMMETSBURG 10 88% 11 78% 13 11% 56% GREATER
HUMBOLDT 8 >98% 9 95% 12 42% 57% GREATER
FORT DODGE 10.5 88% 13 39% 14 27% 68% GREATER
STRATFORD 14 >98% 18 85% 22 45% 50% GREATER
DSM-2ND AVE 23 19% 25 18% 27 11% 18% GREATER
DSM-SE 6TH 24 86% 26 47% 30 13% 61% GREATER
EDDYVILLE 61 91% 66 1% 69 1% 56% GREATER
OTTUMWA 10 75% 12 9% 15 1% 46% GREATER
E FK DES MOINES RIVER
ALGONA 14 >98% 17 >98% 22 11% 40% GREATER
DAKOTA CITY 20 32% 22 9% 24 3% 29% GREATER
BOONE RIVER
WEBSTER CITY 12 32% 15 1% 17 1% 29% GREATER
BEAVER CREEK
GRIMES 12 31% 14 1% 16 <2% 22% GREATER
N RACCOON RIVER
JEFFERSON 19 18% 20 9% 21 3% 14% GREATER
PERRY 15 96% 17 78% 20 39% 61% GREATER
S RACCOON RIVER
REDFIELD 20 <2% 24 <2% 27 <2% NEAR NORMAL
RACCOON RIVER
VAN METER 16 78% 19 39% 21 9% 61% GREATER
DSM-HWY 28 32 96% 36 34% 39.5 4% 64% GREATER
DSM-FLEUR DR 12 96% 14 77% 20 6% 64% GREATER
NORTH RIVER
NORWALK 18 83% 23 <2% 25 <2% 39% GREATER
MIDDLE RIVER
INDIANOLA 19 11% 24 1% 25 <2% NEAR NORMAL
SOUTH RIVER
ACKWORTH 26 <2% 29 <2% 31 <2% NEAR NORMAL
CEDAR CREEK
BUSSEY 18 11% 26 1% 28 <2% NEAR NORMAL
E NISHNABOTNA RIVER
ATLANTIC 17 15% 21 4% 22 3% 9% GREATER
E FK 102 RIVER
BEDFORD 21 14% 22 6% 23 5% 6% GREATER
THOMPSON RIVER
DAVIS CITY 9 75% 12 17% 19 <2% 41% GREATER
CHARITON RIVER
CHARITON 18 16% 21 <2% 23 <2% NEAR NORMAL
MOULTON 35 7% 36 <2% 37 <2% NEAR NORMAL
S FK CHARITON RIVER
PROMISE CITY 18 51% 24 <2% 27 <2% NEAR NORMAL
KEY FOR THE ABOVE TABLE:
STG = STAGE (FEET)
PCT = PERCENT
DEP = DEPARTURE FROM NORMAL
THE BELOW TABLES SHOW THE PERCENTAGE CHANCES OF AREA RIVERS RISING ABOVE
AND FALLING BELOW VARIOUS STAGES OVER THE NEXT 90 DAYS. THESE
PROBABILITIES ARE CALLED EXCEEDANCE AND NON EXCEEDANCE PROBABILITIES
RESPECTIVELY.
IN TABLE 1 BELOW...THE 90 THROUGH 10 PERCENT COLUMNS INDICATE EXCEEDANCE
PROBABILITIES /THE CHANCES OF THE RIVER RISING ABOVE THE LISTED STAGE
LEVELS/ FOR THE NEXT 90 DAYS.
IN TABLE 2 BELOW...THE 90 THROUGH 10 PERCENT COLUMNS INDICATE NON
EXCEEDANCE PROBABILITIES /THE CHANCES OF THE RIVER FALLING BELOW THE
LISTED STAGE LEVELS/ FOR THE NEXT 90 DAYS.
HERE ARE SOME EXAMPLES USING THE TABLES BELOW...
THE DES MOINES RIVER AT FORT DODGE HAS A FLOOD STAGE OF 10.5 FEET.
TABLE 2 SHOWS THAT IN THE NEXT 90 DAYS...THERE IS A 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF
THE STAGE REACHING 15.6 FEET.
ALSO...THE CEDAR RIVER AT CEDAR FALLS HAS A FLOOD STAGE OF 88 FEET.
TABLE 3 SHOWS THAT IN THE NEXT 90 DAYS...THERE IS A 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF
THE STAGE FALLING TO 77.5 FEET.
...TABLE 2...EXCEEDANCE PROBABILITIES...
CHANCE OF EXCEEDING STAGES AT SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
VALID FEB. 1 2010 - MAY 2 2010
LOCATION FS(FT) 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10%
IOWA RIVER
MARSHALLTOWN 18 16.8 17.3 17.6 17.9 18.3 18.6 18.9 19.3 20.1
CEDAR RIVER
WAVERLY 11.5 7.0 7.6 8.0 8.4 8.6 8.9 9.7 10.5 11.6
JANESVILLE 11 6.0 7.0 7.5 8.1 8.4 8.8 10.1 10.9 12.6
CEDAR FALLS 88 88.1 89.5 89.9 90.2 90.7 91.2 92.1 93.2 95.0
WATERLOO 12 10.6 12.7 13.4 13.9 14.5 15.4 16.3 17.5 20.1
W FK CEDAR RIVER
FINCHFORD 12 12.2 12.5 12.8 13.0 13.2 13.8 14.3 15.0 16.5
WINNEBAGO RIVER
MASON CITY 7 7.3 7.9 8.2 8.6 9.0 9.2 9.5 10.0 11.6
SHELL ROCK RIVER
SHELL ROCK 12 11.5 12.1 12.5 12.7 12.9 13.2 13.5 14.0 15.6
BEAVER CREEK
NEW HARTFORD 10 7.6 8.0 8.9 9.3 9.7 10.1 10.6 11.2 12.4
S SKUNK RIVER
AMES 3N 14 7.6 8.1 8.6 8.9 9.3 9.5 9.9 10.1 11.1
AMES HWY 30 20 18.0 18.7 19.7 20.4 20.9 21.4 21.8 22.0 22.6
COLFAX 17 14.7 15.2 16.2 16.4 16.7 17.3 17.8 18.2 19.0
OSKALOOSA 20 18.3 19.0 19.1 19.7 20.1 20.5 21.0 21.9 23.0
SQUAW CREEK
AMES 9 5.3 5.9 6.3 6.9 7.3 7.9 8.6 9.4 11.6
DES MOINES RIVER
ESTHERVILLE 7 9.7 11.0 11.4 11.8 12.0 12.3 12.6 13.4 14.0
EMMETSBURG 10 10.0 11.0 11.4 11.7 12.0 12.2 12.4 12.8 13.2
HUMBOLDT 8 9.7 10.2 10.9 11.4 11.6 12.2 13.0 13.9 14.4
FORT DODGE 10.5 10.5 10.9 11.5 12.0 12.4 13.1 13.8 14.7 15.6
STRATFORD 14 17.4 18.9 20.0 20.8 21.2 22.4 23.6 24.8 26.0
DSM-2ND AVE 23 19.7 19.9 20.0 20.4 20.8 21.2 21.5 23.2 27.2
DSM-SE 6TH 24 23.9 24.3 24.4 25.0 25.8 26.3 27.2 28.5 30.4
EDDYVILLE 61 61.1 61.2 61.3 61.6 61.7 62.0 62.2 62.5 63.4
OTTUMWA 11 9.7 9.9 10.1 10.4 10.7 10.8 11.0 11.5 12.3
E FK DES MOINES RIVER
ALGONA 14 18.4 18.8 19.2 19.9 20.4 20.7 21.1 21.7 22.2
DAKOTA CITY 20 16.5 16.9 17.4 18.4 19.1 19.6 20.3 20.7 22.2
BOONE RIVER
WEBSTER CITY 12 8.7 9.1 9.8 10.4 11.0 11.5 12.2 12.6 13.8
BEAVER CREEK
GRIMES 12 10.6 11.2 11.3 11.4 11.6 11.9 12.2 12.4 13.1
N RACCOON RIVER
JEFFERSON 19 13.3 14.3 15.4 15.7 16.0 17.0 17.8 18.9 20.1
PERRY 15 16.3 16.8 18.1 18.5 18.9 19.9 21.0 22.3 24.6
S RACCOON RIVER
REDFIELD 20 9.4 10.0 10.1 10.6 10.8 11.1 12.0 12.7 13.9
RACCOON RIVER
VAN METER 16 15.4 16.0 16.9 17.3 17.9 18.9 19.6 20.3 21.0
DSM-HWY 28 32 33.4 33.8 34.1 34.4 34.6 35.5 36.4 37.2 38.1
DSM-FLEUR DR 12 13.4 13.9 14.4 14.7 15.0 16.3 17.5 18.4 19.7
NORTH RIVER
NORWALK 18 17.0 18.5 19.8 20.7 21.2 21.3 21.6 21.8 22.1
MIDDLE RIVER
INDIANOLA 19 13.2 14.5 15.4 15.6 16.1 16.4 16.9 18.1 20.0
SOUTH RIVER
ACKWORTH 26 11.8 12.7 13.1 13.4 13.7 14.2 14.6 15.8 18.3
CEDAR CREEK
BUSSEY 18 11.7 12.9 13.3 14.0 14.7 15.5 16.0 16.6 18.3
E NISHNABOTNA RIVER
ATLANTIC 17 9.0 11.6 12.7 13.9 14.6 15.1 15.6 16.7 17.7
E FK 102 RIVER
BEDFORD 21 17.2 17.8 18.4 18.7 19.0 19.5 19.9 20.5 21.2
THOMPSON RIVER
DAVIS CITY 9 7.2 8.6 9.2 9.8 10.3 10.5 11.1 11.7 14.2
CHARITON RIVER
CHARITON 18 15.4 16.0 16.3 16.5 16.8 17.0 17.4 17.6 18.3
MOULTON 35 25.8 26.6 27.4 28.3 29.4 31.0 32.6 34.2 34.7
S FK CHARITON RIVER
PROMISE CITY 18 11.0 14.6 15.4 17.6 18.0 19.1 19.6 19.8 21.7
...TABLE 3...NON EXCEEDANCE PROBABILITIES...
CHANCE OF FALLING BELOW STAGES AT SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
VALID FEB. 1 2010 - MAY 2 2010
LOCATION FS(FT) 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10%
IOWA RIVER
MARSHALLTOWN 18 10.2 10.2 10.1 10.0 9.9 9.9 9.8 9.8 9.7
CEDAR RIVER
WAVERLY 11.5 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7
JANESVILLE 11 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.3
CEDAR FALLS 88 78.0 77.9 77.9 77.8 77.7 77.7 77.6 77.6 77.5
WATERLOO 12 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.2
W FK CEDAR RIVER
FINCHFORD 12 6.5 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.2 6.2
WINNEBAGO RIVER
MASON CITY 7 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3
SHELL ROCK RIVER
SHELL ROCK 12 7.9 7.9 7.9 7.9 7.9 7.8 7.8 7.8 7.8
BEAVER CREEK
NEW HARTFORD 10 4.3 4.1 4.0 3.9 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.6
S SKUNK RIVER
AMES 3N 14 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.7
AMES HWY 30 20 9.4 9.4 9.4 9.3 9.3 9.3 9.2 9.2 9.1
COLFAX 17 7.8 7.8 7.7 7.7 7.6 7.6 7.5 7.5 7.5
OSKALOOSA 20 9.8 9.6 9.5 9.3 9.1 8.9 8.8 8.7 8.5
SQUAW CREEK
AMES 9 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4
DES MOINES RIVER
ESTHERVILLE 7 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.2
EMMETSBURG 10 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8
HUMBOLDT 8 3.1 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.6
FORT DODGE 10.5 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.9 3.9
STRATFORD 14 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.0 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.5
DSM-2ND AVE 23 13.7 13.6 13.5 13.5 13.4 13.3 13.3 13.2 13.2
DSM-SE 6TH 24 11.0 10.9 10.8 10.6 10.4 10.2 10.1 10.1 10.0
EDDYVILLE 61 51.0 50.9 50.5 50.4 50.1 49.7 49.5 49.3 49.1
OTTUMWA 11 3.5 3.4 3.1 3.0 2.8 2.4 2.2 1.9 1.8
E FK DES MOINES RIVER
ALGONA 14 7.2 7.2 7.1 7.1 7.1 7.1 7.0 7.0 7.0
DAKOTA CITY 20 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.1 8.1 8.1 8.0 8.0 8.0
BOONE RIVER
WEBSTER CITY 12 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2
BEAVER CREEK
GRIMES 12 3.7 3.7 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.3
N RACCOON RIVER
JEFFERSON 19 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.2
PERRY 15 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.6 4.5 4.5 4.4 4.4
S RACCOON RIVER
REDFIELD 20 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1
RACCOON RIVER
VAN METER 16 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.0
DSM-HWY 28 32 23.1 23.1 23.0 22.9 22.9 22.8 22.7 22.7 22.6
DSM-FLEUR DR 12 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5
NORTH RIVER
NORWALK 18 7.7 7.2 6.9 6.6 6.5 6.3 6.1 6.0 5.8
MIDDLE RIVER
INDIANOLA 19 7.3 7.2 7.1 7.0 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.7 6.5
SOUTH RIVER
ACKWORTH 26 7.0 6.8 6.7 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.3 6.2 6.2
CEDAR CREEK
BUSSEY 18 6.0 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.6
THESE NUMBERS ARE CALCULATED USING MULTIPLE SPRING SEASON SCENARIOS FROM
30 OR MORE YEARS OF CLIMATOLOGICAL DATA. THESE NUMBERS ALSO TAKE INTO
ACCOUNT CURRENT CONDITIONS OF THE RIVER...SNOW COVER AND SOIL
MOISTURE...AS WELL AS 30 TO 90 DAY OUTLOOKS OF TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION. BY PROVIDING THE COMPLETE RANGE OF PROBABILISTIC
NUMBERS...THE LEVEL OF RISK ASSOCIATED WITH LONG-RANGE PLANNING
DECISIONS CAN BE DETERMINED.
...CURRENT CONDITIONS AS OF JANUARY 28 2010...
.SNOW DEPTH...SNOW DEPTH IS ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS ALL BUT THE EXTREME
SOUTHEAST PART OF THE DES MOINES SERVICE AREA. THE SNOW DEPTH DEPARTURES
FROM NORMAL INCREASE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST. THEY ARE MUCH ABOVE NORMAL
ALONG AND NORTH OF U.S. HWY 20...ESPECIALLY IN THE DES
MOINES...RACCOON...CEDAR AND IOWA RIVER BASINS. DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL
RANGE FROM AS MUCH AS 15 TO 20 INCHES ABOVE NORMAL IN THE NORTHWEST...TO
NEAR NORMAL IN THE EXTREME SOUTHEAST. ACTUAL SNOW DEPTHS RANGE FROM
AROUND 30 INCHES IN THE NORTHWEST...TO LESS THAN AN INCH IN THE EXTREME
SOUTHEAST.
.SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT...VALUES RANGE FROM LITTLE IF ANY IN THE EXTREME
SOUTHEAST...TO VERY HIGH VALUES OF BETWEEN 4 AND 5 INCHES IN THE
NORTHWEST. THE HIGH VALUES HAVE BEEN CONFIRMED BY BOTH COOPERATIVE
WEATHER OBSERVERS...AND ALSO BY GAMMA RADIATION REMOTE SENSING FROM
AIRBORNE SNOW SURVEYS.
.STREAM LEVELS...VALUES ARE MUCH ABOVE NORMAL AT MOST LOCATIONS...WITH
MANY LOCATIONS REPORTING RECORD HIGH VALUES FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
STREAM LEVELS HAVE BEEN ABOVE NORMAL ALL WINTER AT MOST LOCATIONS.
.SOIL MOISTURE...VALUES ARE MUCH ABOVE NORMAL AT MOST LOCATIONS. THE
GREATEST DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL EXTEND FROM THE NORTHWEST THROUGH NORTH
CENTRAL...NORTHEAST...EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST PARTS OF THE DES MOINES
SERVICE AREA. THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE CHANGE IN THE SOIL MOISTURE SINCE
LATE DECEMBER.
.DROUGHT CONDITIONS...DROUGHT CONDITIONS WERE NOT INDICATED.
.FROST DEPTH...THERE IS LITTLE IF ANY FROST IN THE GROUND. THE DEEPEST
VALUES ARE AROUND 4 INCHES...MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTHWEST.
.WINTER PRECIPITATION...VALUES HAVE BEEN ABOVE TO MUCH ABOVE NORMAL.
THEY RANGE FROM 150 PERCENT OF NORMAL ACROSS THE EXTREME SOUTHEAST...TO
200 PERCENT OR MORE OF NORMAL ACROSS MUCH OF THE NORTHWEST TWO THIRDS.
.WINTER TEMPERATURES...VALUES HAVE BEEN BELOW NORMAL. THEY RANGE FROM
AROUND 2.5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL IN THE NORTHEAST...TO AROUND 5.5 DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST.
...WEATHER FORECAST AND OUTLOOK...
.ONE MONTH OUTLOOK /FOR THE MONTH OF FEBRUARY/...EQUAL CHANCES FOR
ABOVE...BELOW...AND NEAR NORMAL...FOR BOTH TEMPERATURES AND
PRECIPITATION. EQUAL CHANCES MEANS THAT THERE ARE NO STRONG INDICATORS
OF ABOVE...BELOW OR NEAR NORMAL CONDITIONS. LOCAL TOOLS HAVE NO STRONG
INDICATION OF TEMPERATURE OR PRECIPITATION TENDENCY.
.THREE MONTH OUTLOOK /FOR FEBRUARY THROUGH APRIL/...ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES...AND EQUAL CHANCES FOR ABOVE...BELOW...AND NEAR NORMAL
PRECIPITATION. LOCAL TOOLS SUGGEST NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
WITH NO STRONG INDICATION OF PRECIPITATION TENDENCY.
...ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...
THE NEXT OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED ON FRIDAY...FEBRUARY 19 2010.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT OUR WEB SITE...
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DESMOINES .
$$
ZOGG