Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Cleveland, OH
FGUS71 KCLE 231543
Winter/Spring Flood Potential Outlook
National Weather Service CLEVELAND OH
1043 AM EST Mon Jan 23 2017
THE FLOOD POTENTIAL IS NEAR NORMAL IN THE NORTHERN OHIO RIVER AND
LAKE ERIE DRAINAGE BASINS
The winter and spring flood outlooks, issued every two weeks intoto
assess the potential for flooding. The outlook is used to
highlight periods of heightened flood risk due to excessive
snowpack, elevated streamflows, and/or a wetter than normal
forecast for the next two weeks. Flooding could occur with water
levels having minor impacts even with a normal outlook. This is
the second flood potential outlook of the 2017 season.
...CURRENT CONDITIONS SUMMARY...
At the time of this issuance flooding was not occurring. The
forecast favors a recession in streamflows over the next week. The
weather pattern has been warmer and wetter than normal over the
last three weeks resulting in elevated streamflows across northern
Ohio and northwestern Pennsylvania. The warmer weather has
eliminated any snowpack and thawed the top soils. The projected
weather pattern is for colder and drier conditions, with an
extended lake effect snow period. The ground cover will once again
freeze and a snowpack will redevelop in the snowbelt.
...SNOW AND ICE COVERAGE...
No snow cover exists in the region at the time of this issuance.
Expansion of snow in the snowbelt and Lake Erie ice coverage is
expected by early February.
...TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK...
Temperatures will remain mild for the first part of the outlook
with cold air return late January. Precipitation amounts will be
non-descript through the week. Lake effect snow will develop which
could bring an inch or two of snow water equivalent to the
snowbelt by early February.
...FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK...
Flood risk during the next two weeks is near normal. The impacts
from any projected flooding at this time is expected to be minimal
due to limited snowpack contributions.
Real time river information and probabilistic forecast for
specific locations along rivers across the region can be found on
the internet at www.weather.gov/cle. Since conditions can change,
please refer to the latest flood watches, warnings, and
statements for additional information.