Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook) Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
000
FNUS53 KGRR 191859
FWFGRR
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
259 PM EDT SUN MAY 19 2013
...THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
.DISCUSSION...
WARMER AND MORE HUMID WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID WEEK.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS MAY CONTAIN HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY
ERRATIC WINDS WILL BE FOUND IN AND NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER
WEATHER RETURNS LATE IN THE WEEK AND IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST
THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEKEND.
MIZ037>039-043>045-200815-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
259 PM EDT SUN MAY 19 2013
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...0-300 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...5200-5700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-600
FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...800 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.12 IN.
.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1100...THEN SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-1800 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
3600-4100 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900-1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.18-0.33 IN.
.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-500 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 1900-2400
FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-400 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.19-0.29 IN.
.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-1900 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
3900-4400 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO EAST
AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.30-0.40 IN.
$$
MIZ040-046-200815-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
259 PM EDT SUN MAY 19 2013
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL
OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1400...THEN SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500-6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100-1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.15-0.25 IN.
.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 2100...THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-900 FT AGL
OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-400 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.21-0.28 IN.
.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-1100 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.32-0.40 IN.
$$
MIZ050-056-064-071-200815-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
259 PM EDT SUN MAY 19 2013
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...1800-2300 FT AGL
DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...5000-5500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-500
FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...800 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2000 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
5600-6100 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1300-1400 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.
.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 0400...THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...1100-1600 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...3800-4300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-900
FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.15-0.30 IN.
.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1500 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
3900-4400 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST
AROUND 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.37-0.44 IN.
$$
MIZ051-052-057>059-200815-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
259 PM EDT SUN MAY 19 2013
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000-5500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-500 FT AGL
OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600-7100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1400 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.23 IN.
.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 0400...THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-1100 FT AGL
OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.17-0.25 IN.
.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST
AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-900 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.34-0.42 IN.
$$
MIZ065>067-072>074-200815-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
259 PM EDT SUN MAY 19 2013
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-4900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL
OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-91.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900-6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1400-1600 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.14 IN.
.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 0500...THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700-6200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-800 FT AGL
OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.10-0.19 IN.
.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400-5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH
AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-800 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.29-0.44 IN.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. NORTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S.
$$