Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 291938
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
338 PM EDT THU SEP 29 2016

...RAIN CHANCES CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND...

.DISCUSSION...
THE PESKY SYSTEM THAT HAS BROUGHT BOUTS OF RAIN SHOWERS TO THE AREA
OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS WILL CONTINUE TO BRING MORE PERIODIC
RAIN CHANCES THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN
COULD FALL AGAIN TONIGHT, WHICH COULD POTENTIALLY BE OVER SOME AREAS
THAT SAW SOME HEAVIER AMOUNTS LAST NIGHT. SOME THUNDER WILL BECOME
POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY AS THE SYSTEM MOVES ALMOST OVERHEAD.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN COOLER THAN AVERAGE THROUGH THE WEEKEND
WITH PLENTY OF CLOUDS AND OCCASIONAL RAIN CHANCES.

DRIER AND WARMER WEATHER SHOULD RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE SYSTEM
OVERHEAD IS FINALLY PUSHED OUT OF THE AREA.



MIZ037>039-043>045-300815-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
338 PM EDT THU SEP 29 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0500...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.12 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-500 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.18-0.39 IN.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 0200...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-400 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.16-0.24 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-400 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.12 IN.


$$

MIZ040-046-300815-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
338 PM EDT THU SEP 29 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 0300...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.16 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-500 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.20-0.49 IN.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 0200...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-1700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-400 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.18-0.31 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.17 IN.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-300815-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...GRAND HAVEN...JENISON...
HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
338 PM EDT THU SEP 29 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 0100...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-500 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.22 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-500 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.17-0.36 IN.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 0200...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-400 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.07-0.22 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000-5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.12 IN.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-300815-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
338 PM EDT THU SEP 29 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 2400...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-500 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.27 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-500 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.32-0.55 IN.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 0200...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-500 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.14-0.27 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.12 IN.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-300815-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
338 PM EDT THU SEP 29 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 2300...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 TO 100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-400 (FAIR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.12-0.30 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.20-0.47 IN.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 0200...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-300 (FAIR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.10-0.23 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.12 IN.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
9 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP
TO 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S.



$$



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