Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 230733
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
333 AM EDT Thu Mar 23 2017

...Wet weather on the way...

.DISCUSSION...

After a dry day with low humidity today, low pressure will bring
a period of wet weather from tonight through Sunday.

MIZ037>039-043>045-232015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
333 AM EDT Thu Mar 23 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....40-45.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........33-38 percent near Lake Michigan AND 25-30
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier near Lake Michigan AND 9
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......South winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2600-3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600-700 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain and freezing rain
                    likely.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Min temperature.....33-38.
   24 hr trend......21 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.08-0.25 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........69-74 percent.
   24 hr trend......48 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......500-1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.18 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-232015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
333 AM EDT Thu Mar 23 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 42.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........26-31 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2700-3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain and freezing rain
                    likely.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 34.
   24 hr trend......21 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.12-0.21 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......17 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........72-77 percent.
   24 hr trend......44 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.13 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-232015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
333 AM EDT Thu Mar 23 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max temperature.....42-47.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........28-33 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-800 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 2300, then a chance of rain
                    until 0400. chance of rain after 0500.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Min temperature.....37-42.
   24 hr trend......21 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.13 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......19 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........65-70 percent near Lake Michigan AND 57-62
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......
   24 hr trend......31 percent wetter.
   24 hr trend......
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan AND 1700-2200
                    ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600-700 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-232015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
333 AM EDT Thu Mar 23 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 44.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........27-32 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2700-3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-700 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 2300, then a chance of rain.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 37.
   24 hr trend......22 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.13 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent).
Max temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......21 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........63-68 percent.
   24 hr trend......38 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-700 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-232015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
333 AM EDT Thu Mar 23 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) until 1500, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Max temperature.....42-47.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........27-32 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2800-3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-800 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 2300, then a chance of rain
                    until 0400. chance of rain after 0500.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Min temperature.....36-41.
   24 hr trend......22 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.08 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 66.
   24 hr trend......21 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........59-64 percent.
   24 hr trend......35 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 16 to 21 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600-800 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of rain in the evening, then rain
overnight. Lows in the mid 40s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy with rain. Highs around 50. East winds 7 to
12 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers. Lows in the lower 40s. East
winds 6 to 11 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid 50s. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers in the evening.
Lows in the lower 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 50s. West winds 5 to
9 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows around
40.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s.



$$



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