Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 251925
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
325 PM EDT Sun Jun 25 2017

...Headline...

.DISCUSSION...
More cool and showery weather will be likely through Monday evening
as an expansive area of low pressure sits over the region and brings
weak waves to the area. Much of the period at any one location will
not be raining. The chance will remain at all times through Monday
evening, especially in the afternoon and early evening hours.

Temperatures will warm back up a bit then Tuesday and Wednesday as
the system moves out of the area. The warmer temperatures will be
accompanied by occasional threats for more widespread showers and
storms from late Wednesday into next weekend.

MIZ037>039-043>045-260815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
325 PM EDT Sun Jun 25 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2100. chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....48-53.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3800-4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.12 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. slight chance of thunderstorms after
                    1400.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....58-63.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........54-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5300-5800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5900-6400 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1600 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.15 in.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 2300, then
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 51 near Lake Michigan and 43-48 inland.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged near Lake Michigan and 5 degrees cooler
                    Inland.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 9 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3400-3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800 (excellent) decreasing to 200 (fair) overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........47-52 percent near Lake Michigan and 37-42
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 17
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6200-6700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    7200-7700 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1300-1500 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-260815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
325 PM EDT Sun Jun 25 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2100. chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....48-53.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3300-3800 ft AGL decreasing to 1300-1800 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-700 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.09 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. slight chance of thunderstorms after
                    1400.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 63.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6000-6500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1500 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.10 in.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 0200, then
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 0200.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....44-49.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3600-4100 ft AGL decreasing to 1500-2000 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800 (excellent) decreasing to 300 (good)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 73.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7400-7900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1200-1500 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-260815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
325 PM EDT Sun Jun 25 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 0400, then
                    partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2100. chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4600-5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....900-1000 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. slight chance of thunderstorms after
                    1400.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 16 to 21 mph with gusts to around 28
                    mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6500-7000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    6700-7200 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....West around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1900-2000 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2100, then
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min temperature.....47-52.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 4300-4800 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 4200-4700 ft AGL decreasing to
                    1600-2100 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph decreasing to around 10
                    mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....1100 (excellent) decreasing to 500 (good)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....69-74.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6300-6800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    7100-7600 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1200-1300 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-260815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
325 PM EDT Sun Jun 25 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2100. chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....50-55.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4200-4700 ft AGL decreasing to 2200-2700 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1000 (excellent) decreasing to 500 (good)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. slight chance of thunderstorms after
                    1400.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....62-67.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts to around 27
                    mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6300-6800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1800-1900 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.07 in.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 0300, then
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 48.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3700-4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....900 (excellent) decreasing to 400 (good)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 73.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7400-7900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1200-1400 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-260815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
325 PM EDT Sun Jun 25 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2100. slight chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4300-4800 ft AGL decreasing to 2200-2700 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1000 (excellent) decreasing to 500 (good)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. slight chance of thunderstorms after
                    1400.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 16 to 21 mph with gusts to around 29
                    mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7000-7500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....2100-2200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 49.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4300-4800 ft AGL decreasing to 1600-2100 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1200 (excellent) decreasing to 300 (good)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 72.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7400-7900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1100-1300 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Southwest
winds 5 to 9 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the afternoon. Highs in the upper 70s. South winds 8 to 13 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Warmer. Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest winds 9 to 14 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s.

$$



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