554
FNUS53 KGRR 080800
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
400 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

...Drying Out Wednesday Then Rain on Thursday...

.DISCUSSION...
Mostly sunny skies, drier air, and a west or northwest
breeze can be expected today. Mixing and ventilation is
expected to be good to excellent, though poorer right
near Lake Michigan where it will be cooler with higher
RH. Periodic rain is likely on Thursday.


MIZ037>039-043>045-082015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
400 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........57-62 percent near Lake Michigan and 43-48
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......17 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 14
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1400-1900 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4300-4800 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....890-1150 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 5 AM, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Min temperature.....42-47.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......500-1000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    2300-2800 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....230-240 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.05-0.31 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....57-62.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2500-3000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4300-4800 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....East 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....760 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.05-0.42 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-082015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
400 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....67-72.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5600-6100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1090-1360 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 5 AM, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 44.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....180-230 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.13 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4300-4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....790-820 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.05-0.24 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-082015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
400 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....69-74.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........48-53 percent near Lake Michigan and 37-42
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 4
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1300-1800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4500-5000 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....570-610 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2 AM, then
                    mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 3 AM. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after 5 AM.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........81-86 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-1200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    1200-1700 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph increasing to east
                    around 20 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....140-220 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.09-0.33 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain likely
                    until 2 PM, then a chance of rain.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....58-63.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 14 to 19 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3100-3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....550-700 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.28-0.49 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-082015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
400 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 71.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........33-38 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL increasing to 5900-6400 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1050-1520 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2 AM, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms
                    after 5 AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent toward daybreak.
Min temperature.....Around 48.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....190-250 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.08-0.24 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain likely
                    until 2 PM, then a chance of rain.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 13 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3200-3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600-740 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.16-0.47 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-082015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
400 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 74.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........33-38 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6200-6700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1360-1550 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2 AM, then
                    mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 3 AM. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after 5 AM.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........81-86 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....140-240 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.19 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain likely.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
   24 hr trend......17 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......27 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 13 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2400-2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....440-670 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.23-0.45 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers in the
evening. Lows in the lower 40s. North winds 6 to 11 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Northwest winds 6 to
11 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers in the evening,
then showers likely overnight. Lows in the mid 40s. Southwest winds
8 to 13 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 50s. Northwest winds 12 to 17 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. West winds
7 to 12 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Chance of showers. Highs around 70.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs
in the mid 70s.

$$