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000
FLUS44 KTSA 251004
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
504 AM CDT SAT MAY 25 2013

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-261000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
504 AM CDT SAT MAY 25 2013

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...MAINLY SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTERNOON.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...MID MORNING.

DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE OVER NORTH TEXAS THIS MORNING WILL LIFT
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE RED RIVER AND EVENTUALLY INTO SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA LATER TODAY. WITH AN UNSTABLE AIRMASS IN PLACE OVER MOST
OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY
DEVELOP ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40. ORGANIZED SEVERE
WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED...THOUGH A FEW CELLS MAY PRODUCE LARGE
HAIL. GUSTY SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AS WELL.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE SUNDAY...WITH DRY AND
WINDY CONDITIONS MONDAY AND TUESDAY. BY LATER NEXT WEEK...A DEEPER
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN
UNITED STATES WITH THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURNING BY WEDNESDAY.
THIS PATTERN WILL FAVOR AN ENHANCED THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
FORECASTS REGARDING SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL FOR THE MID TO LATE
PART OF THIS WEEK SHOULD BE CLOSELY MONITORED IN THE COMING DAYS.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$