Watches, Warnings & Advisories



One product issued by NWS for: Wann OK

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
105 PM CDT Fri May 24 2024

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-251030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
105 PM CDT Fri May 24 2024

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
TORNADO.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Southeast Oklahoma into western Arkansas.
ONSET...Late afternoon.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Much of eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas,
    mainly south and east of I-44.
ONSET...Late afternoon.

DISCUSSION...

Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected to develop late this afternoon
and continue into this evening in advance of a cold front moving through
the region. A highly unstable airmass and strong shear would support
supercells capable of all hazards, especially large to significant hail in
excess of two inches in diameter. Storms will move east during the evening
into southeast Oklahoma and west central Arkansas, with a continued severe threat.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
SATURDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
MONDAY...No Hazards.
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Strong storm system will bring storm chances back to the area on
Saturday as storms could develop along a dryline in central
Oklahoma and spread eastward into the eastern Oklahoma during the
evening hours. All severe hazards will be possible, including
large to very large hail and tornadoes. Storms will likely be
isolated to widely scattered as a capping inversion limits
convection along the boundary during the afternoon before the
arrival of stronger forcing. A couple of quiet days are expected
for the remainder of the holiday weekend. Nightly thunderstorm
chances will return by mid week as northwest flow aloft sets up
and chances increase for storm complexes moving into the region
overnight.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$