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Winter Weather Advisory

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
122 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015

...WINTER STORM CONTINUES THIS AFTERNOON...

.AN ARCTIC FRONT WILL BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF FROZEN PRECIPITATION
TO CENTRAL ALABAMA THIS AFTERNOON. AREAS OF RAIN CONTINUE TO
CHANGE OVER TO FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW THIS AFTERNOON.
THIS CHANGEOVER ZONE WILL SLIDE SOUTHEASTWARD AND THE
PRECIPITATION WILL LAST INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS.  TEMPERATURES
ACROSS FAR NORTHWEST ALABAMA ARE NOT EXPECTED TO CLIMB ABOVE
FREEZING UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

ALZ018>021-025>028-030>036-039-060000-
/O.NEW.KBMX.WW.Y.0005.150305T1922Z-150306T0000Z/
ETOWAH-CALHOUN-CHEROKEE-CLEBURNE-SHELBY-ST. CLAIR-TALLADEGA-CLAY-
SUMTER-GREENE-HALE-PERRY-BIBB-CHILTON-COOSA-MARENGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GADSDEN...ANNISTON...CENTRE...HEFLIN...
PELHAM...ALABASTER...PELL CITY...MOODY...TALLADEGA...SYLACAUGA...
ASHLAND...LIVINGSTON...EUTAW...GREENSBORO...MARION...
CENTREVILLE...CLANTON...ROCKFORD...DEMOPOLIS...LINDEN
122 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SLEET...SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING.

* TIMING...THROUGH 6 PM.

* LOCATION...ALONG AND NORTH OF CLANTON TO HEFLIN.

* ACCUMULATIONS...OF SLEET UP TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH...WITH MINOR
  FREEZING RAIN ACCUMULATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$










Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1243 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015

ALZ011>015-017>050-062145-
MARION-LAMAR-FAYETTE-WINSTON-WALKER-BLOUNT-ETOWAH-CALHOUN-CHEROKEE-
CLEBURNE-PICKENS-TUSCALOOSA-JEFFERSON-SHELBY-ST. CLAIR-TALLADEGA-
CLAY-RANDOLPH-SUMTER-GREENE-HALE-PERRY-BIBB-CHILTON-COOSA-TALLAPOOSA-
CHAMBERS-MARENGO-DALLAS-AUTAUGA-LOWNDES-ELMORE-MONTGOMERY-MACON-
BULLOCK-LEE-RUSSELL-PIKE-BARBOUR-
1243 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

A FAIRLY NARROW BAND...ABOUT 40 MILES...OF PRECIPITATION WILL
CONTINUE ALONG AND NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 59 CORRIDOR...FROM
GEIGER TO BIRMINGHAM...TO GADSDEN. ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE HALF INCH
OF SLEET AND A QUARTER OF AN ICE IS POSSIBLE.

SOUTH OF THAT LINE...A WINTRY MIX WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR AREAS
ALONG AND NORTH OF A CUBA...TO ALABASTER...TO PELL CITY...TO
ANNISTON LINE. ICE AND SLEET ACCUMULATION OF LESS THAN ONE TENTH
OF AN INCH IS POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT MAY BE NEEDED
THIS AFTERNOON.

$$









Hydrologic Outlook

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
ALC001-005>011-015>021-027-029-037-047-051-055-057-063-
065-073-075-081-085-087-091-093-101-105>127-133-101200-


HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
745 AM CST THU MAR 5 2015

...NEAR NORMAL SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL FOR CENTRAL ALABAMA...


HISTORICALLY FOR CENTRAL ALABAMA...THE RIVER FLOOD SEASON BEGINS
IN EARLY TO MID JANUARY...WITH THE NUMBER OF RIVER FLOOD EVENTS
INCREASING THROUGH LATE WINTER WITH A PEAK IN EARLY TO MID
MARCH...ENDING IN LATE APRIL.

FOR CENTRAL ALABAMA...CURRENT STREAMFLOWS ARE RUNNING SLIGHTLY BELOW
TO NEAR NORMAL ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. MEDIUM AND LONG RANGE
PRECIPITATION GUIDANCE HINTS AT CONTINUED WET WEATHER THROUGH APRIL.
THEREFORE THE EXPECTATION IS FOR THE NUMBER OF RIVER FLOODS AND THE
MAGNITUDE OF THOSE RIVER FLOODS TO BE CLOSE TO TYPICAL THROUGH
APRIL.  THIS IS SUPPORTED BY LONG TERM ENSEMBLE STREAMFLOW
FORECASTS.  THESE ENSEMBLE STREAMFLOW FORECASTS CAN BE FOUND ON THE
WATER.WEATHER.GOV WEB SITE UNDER THE EXPERIMENTAL LONG RANGE RIVER
FLOOD RISK TAB.

CURRENT STREAMFLOWS...THE 14-DAY AVERAGE STREAMFLOWS PROVIDED BY THE
USGS AS OF MARCH 3RD ARE RUNNING NEAR NORMAL ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA.

PAST PRECIPITATION...PRECIPITATION OVER THE LAST 30 DAYS...BASED ON
SERFC MULTISENSOR PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES...HAS BEEN NEAR NORMAL
ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. RAINFALL SO FAR THIS YEAR IS AVERAGING
BETWEEN SEVEN AND TWELVE INCHES ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA...WITH
LOCALLY GREATER AMOUNTS.

RESERVOIRS...MOST RESERVOIRS REMAIN NEAR THEIR TARGET POOLS FOR THIS
TIME OF YEAR.

FUTURE PRECIPITATION...THE LATEST MEDIUM RANGE METEOROLOGICAL MODELS
INDICATE A CONTINUED WET WEATHER PATTERN.  THE LATEST CLIMATE
PREDICTION CENTER (CPC) 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK IS INDICATING ABOVE
NORMAL PRECIPITATION THROUGH MID MARCH.

AS FAR AS LONGER TERM PRECIPITATION OUTLOOKS...BASED ON THE CPC LONG
LEAD OUTLOOK...ENSO IS EXPECTED TO HAVE LITTLE IMPACT. THE LATEST
CPC 3-MONTH OUTLOOK INDICATES ABOVE NORMAL CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION
ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA...PRIMARILY BASED ON CLIMATE MODELS RATHER
THAN ENSO.  SEE THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER WEB SITE FOR MORE
DETAILS.

WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

THE SOUTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER (SERFC) ISSUES A VARIETY OF
PRODUCTS THROUGHOUT THE YEAR TO UPDATE THE OUTLOOK FOR WATER
RESOURCES.  THE SERFC WATER RESOURCES OUTLOOK IS UPDATED EVERY TWO
TO THREE WEEKS.

FOR THE LATEST MULTIMEDIA VERSION OF THE WATER RESOURCES
OUTLOOK...GO TO...

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SERFC

AND CLICK ON WATER RESOURCE MENU.


&&

FOR THE LATEST MULTIMEDIA VERSION OF THE SERFC WATER RESOURCES
OUTLOOK...GO TO...

    WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SERFC
       (ALL LOWERCASE)

AND CLICK ON WATER RESOURCE MENU.

YOU CAN ALSO FIND ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION AND FORECASTS ON
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL WEB PAGE AT:

    WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/BMX
      (ALL LOWERCASE)

FOR QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS OUTLOOK YOU CAN CONTACT
ROGER MCNEIL...SERVICE HYDROLOGIST...AT 205-664-3010 OR BY
E-MAIL AT ROGER.MCNEIL@NOAA.GOV .

FOR DETAILED WEB INFORMATION CONCERNING RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS
FOR CENTRAL ALABAMA...GO TO:

         HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=BMX
                  (ALL LOWERCASE)

FOR PRECIPITATION ANALYSIS...GO TO:

         WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SERFC/QPFVSMAP.SHTML
                   (ALL LOWERCASE)

FOR FORECAST PRECIPITATION...GO TO:

         WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SERFC/?N=QPFPAGE
                   (ALL LOWERCASE)

FOR THE USGS WATER WATCH SITE...GO TO:
         HTTP://AL.WATER.USGS.GOV
              (ALL LOWERCASE)

$$


















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Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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