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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
532 AM CST FRI MAR 6 2015

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-071200-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
532 AM CST FRI MAR 6 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

OVERNIGHT LOWS LOOK TO ONCE AGAIN DIP DOWN TO BELOW FREEZING...FALLING
TO A RANGE OF 23 TO 28 OVER MOST INTERIOR LOCATIONS EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER FORECAST DURING THE OUTLOOK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS IS NOT
EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY.

$$



Freeze Warning

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
605 AM CST FRI MAR 6 2015

...A LIGHT TO MODERATE FREEZE TO CONTINUE TO IMPACT MUCH OF THE AREA
THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING...

.A LIGHT TO MODERATE FREEZE IS EXPECTED TO LINGER UNTIL MID MORNING
OVER MUCH OF THE AREA. BRISK NORTHERLY WINDS WILL MAKE IT FEEL
COLDER...WITH WIND CHILL READINGS IN THE TEENS.

ALZ052>064-FLZ001>003-MSZ075-076-078-079-061500-
/O.CON.KMOB.FZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-150306T1500Z/
WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-ESCAMBIA-
COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-
INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-PERRY-GREENE-
STONE-GEORGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHATOM...MILLRY...JACKSON...
THOMASVILLE...GROVE HILL...CAMDEN...PINE HILL...HOMEWOOD...
MONROEVILLE...EVERGREEN...GREENVILLE...LUVERNE...BRANTLEY...
ATMORE...BREWTON...EAST BREWTON...ANDALUSIA...OPP...MOBILE...
PRICHARD...SARALAND...BAY MINETTE...TILLMANS CORNER...THEODORE...
DAPHNE...FAIRHOPE...FOLEY...SPANISH FORT...CENTURY...FLOMATON...
MOLINO...PENSACOLA...FERRY PASS...BRENT...WEST PENSACOLA...
BELLVIEW...ENSLEY...MYRTLE GROVE...JAY...RICHTON...BEAUMONT...
NEW AUGUSTA...LEAKESVILLE...MCLAIN...WIGGINS...LUCEDALE
605 AM CST FRI MAR 6 2015

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING...

* TEMPERATURE...MID TO UPPER 20S WITH WIND CHILLS IN THE UPPER TEENS
  FOR THE MORNING WORK AND SCHOOL COMMUTE.

* IMPACTS...IF LEFT UNPROTECTED...THESE TEMPERATURES CAN HARM
  SENSITIVE VEGETATION AND ANY NEW GROWTH GIVEN THE RECENT MILD
  TEMPERATURES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL DAMAGE OR KILL CROPS...NEW
GROWTH...AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION IF LEFT UNPROTECTED.

&&

$$




Hydrologic Outlook

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-062015-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
202 AM CST FRI MAR 6 2015

...NEAR NORMAL SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL EXPECTED FOR SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...

HISTORICALLY...THE RIVER FLOOD SEASON BEGINS IN EARLY TO MID
JANUARY...WITH THE NUMBER OF RIVER FLOOD EVENTS INCREASING THROUGH
LATE WINTER WITH A PEAK IN EARLY TO MID MARCH...ENDING IN LATE APRIL.

RAINFALL ACROSS THE REGION OVER THE PAST 30 DAYS HAS GENERALLY BEEN BELOW
NORMAL. STREAMFLOWS ARE RUNNING BELOW NORMAL OVER THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND BELOW TO NEAR NORMAL ACROSS SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. MEDIUM AND LONG RANGE
PRECIPITATION GUIDANCE SUGGEST A WETTER THAN NORMAL WEATHER PATTERN
THROUGH MARCH. THEREFORE...THE EXPECTATION IS FOR THE NUMBER OF RIVER
FLOODS AND THE MAGNITUDE OF THOSE RIVER FLOODS TO BE CLOSE TO NORMAL
THROUGH APRIL. THIS IS SUPPORTED BY LONG TERM ENSEMBLE STREAMFLOW
FORECASTS. THESE ENSEMBLE STREAMFLOW FORECASTS CAN BE FOUND ON THE
WATER.WEATHER.GOV WEB SITE UNDER THE EXPERIMENTAL LONG RANGE RIVER
FLOOD RISK TAB.

PAST PRECIPITATION...PRECIPITATION OVER THE LAST 30 DAYS...HAS
GENERALLY BEEN BELOW AVERAGE ACROSS THE AREA.

CURRENT STREAMFLOWS...THE 14-DAY AVERAGE STREAMFLOWS PROVIDED BY THE
USGS ARE RUNNING BELOW TO NEAR NORMAL ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND BELOW NORMAL OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE.

FUTURE PRECIPITATION...THE LATEST 8 TO 14 DAY AND ONE MONTH OUTLOOKS
ISSUED BY THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER INDICATE ABOVE NORMAL
PRECIPITATION OVER THE REGION THROUGH MARCH. SEE THE CLIMATE PREDICTION
CENTER WEB SITE FOR MORE DETAILS:

WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

YOU CAN ALSO FIND ADDITIONAL AND CURRENT WEATHER INFORMATION AND
FORECASTS ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL WEB PAGE AT:

 WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MOB(ALL LOWERCASE)

FOR DETAILED WEB INFORMATION CONCERNING RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS...GO
TO:

 HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=MOB (ALL LOWERCASE)

 FOR PRECIPITATION ANALYSIS...GO TO:

         WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SERFC/QPFVSMAP.SHTML
                   (ALL LOWERCASE)

$$




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Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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