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2 products issued by NWS for: 2 Miles ESE Efay AR
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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
445 AM CDT MON APR 27 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-280945-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
445 AM CDT MON APR 27 2015


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NEAR RED RIVER IN FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...MID MORNING.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...MID MORNING.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
ONGOING SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS ALONG WITH ISOLATED EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTH AND
NORTHEAST OVER NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS
MORNING. A SECOND ROUND OF ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
DURING THE DAY TODAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE
REGION. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE
ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION...WHICH COULD CREATE POTENTIAL FLASH
FLOODING CONDITIONS OVER PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA. AN ISOLATED
STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON OVER FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...MAINLY NEAR
THE RED RIVER.

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL REMAIN OVER EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS EVENING BEFORE BECOMING MAINLY RAIN
CHANCES OVERNIGHT. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG WITH A FLASH
FLOODING POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED BUT IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
ONGOING RAIN SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON
BEFORE THE UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE EXITS THE REGION. IN THE WAKE
OF THE EXITING LOW PRESSURE...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST
TO SET UP OVER THE PLAINS ALLOWING FOR DRY CONDITIONS AND WARMING
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
LOOK TO RETURN DURING THE WEEKEND AS ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
APPROACHES THE PLAINS.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$






Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
456 AM CDT MON APR 27 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-271100-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
456 AM CDT MON APR 27 2015

.NOW...

AT 4:50 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADARS DETECTED SCATTERED
SHOWERS ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS. THESE SHOWERS WERE MAINLY NORTH OF A LINE FROM DRUMRIGHT
TO MUSKOGEE TO POTEAU IN EASTERN OKLAHOMA. IN NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS...THE SHOWERS WERE MAINLY ALONG A LINE FROM GRAVETTE TO
KINGSTON AND EXTENDED SOUTH INTO SEBASTIAN COUNTY. THIS ACTIVITY
WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST AT AROUND 15 MILES PER
HOUR.

THROUGH 6:00 AM...SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST AND FAR
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AS WELL AS NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. HOURLY RAINFALL
AMOUNTS FROM A TRACE TO AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH WILL BE
POSSIBLE...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WITHIN ANY THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY.

$$








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