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2 products issued by NWS for: 2 Miles ESE Efay AR
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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
440 PM CDT MON AUG 31 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-011015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
440 PM CDT MON AUG 31 2015

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OF A FAYETTEVILLE TO MCALESTER LINE.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE FOR THE REMAINDER OF
THIS AFTERNOON...MAINLY ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. GUSTY WINDS AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN
WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGER STORMS.  THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED
TO DISSIPATE EARLY THIS EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF SURFACE HEATING.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE IN THE HIGHER
TERRAIN AREAS OF NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA ON
TUESDAY. OTHERWISE HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL RESULT IN VERY WARM
TEMPERATURES AND LITTLE CHANCE OF ANY RAINFALL INTO THIS WEEKEND.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$




Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
603 PM CDT MON AUG 31 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-010100-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...
SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
603 PM CDT MON AUG 31 2015

.NOW...

AT 6:03 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS CONTINUED TO
DETECT A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS...MAINLY
WITHIN CARROLL...MADISON...LE FLORE...AND SEBASTIAN COUNTIES. ALL
THIS ACTIVITY WAS MAINLY STATIONARY...WITH A SLIGHT MOVEMENT
TOWARD THE NORTH.

THROUGH 8:00 PM...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE...MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED FROM MOST OF THE
ACTIVITY...WITH LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH PER HOUR. ANY
STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL...ALONG
WITH SMALL HAIL...GUSTY WINDS...AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
ANY STRONGER STORMS THAT REMAIN OVER ANY LOCATION FOR AN EXTENDED
PERIOD OF TIME COULD ALSO CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING.

$$

16



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