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3 products issued by NWS for: 2 Miles ESE Efay AR
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Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
503 AM CDT Thu Aug 17 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-181015-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
503 AM CDT Thu Aug 17 2017


This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Southeast Oklahoma and west central Arkansas
        ...Parts of northeast Oklahoma overnight.
ONSET...Ongoing.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Southeast Oklahoma and west central Arkansas.
ONSET...Afternoon.


DISCUSSION...
Isolated thunderstorms may linger across southeast Oklahoma
and west central Arkansas after sunrise...however storm chances
will continue to move southeast away from the area through the
morning. Additional thunderstorms may approach the area late
tonight. However...these storms are expected to be in a weakened
state at the time they enter northeast Oklahoma...thus limiting
overall coverage and intensity.

Additionally...High relative humidity values in place will
combine with warm afternoon temperatures...resulting in heat index
values between 98 and 103 degrees this afternoon across southeast
Oklahoma and west central Arkansas.


SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Dangerous Heat Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Dangerous Heat Potential.
SUNDAY through TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Better chances for organized convection will come Friday evening
and overnight as a storm complex moves south into the region.
Additional moderate to heavy rainfall may raise flood concerns
over locations that have seen several rounds of heavy rainfall
this week. The wet pattern breaks by the weekend as some upper
level ridging takes place in the wake of the departing storm
complex. Heading into early next week...thunderstorm chances
overall will remain low...with any isolated storms remaining
confined to the late afternoon or early evening hours. Storm
coverage may increase towards the middle of next week as a frontal
boundary approaches the region.


weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$



Short Term Forecast

Short Term Forecast
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
442 AM CDT Thu Aug 17 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-171200-
Benton-Carroll-Washington AR-Madison-Crawford-Franklin-Sebastian-
Pushmataha-Choctaw-Osage-Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Ottawa-Pawnee-
Tulsa-Rogers-Mayes-Delaware-Creek-Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-
Cherokee-Adair-Muskogee-McIntosh-Sequoyah-Pittsburg-Haskell-
Latimer-Le Flore-
Including the cities of Rogers, Bentonville, Berryville,
Eureka Springs, Fayetteville, Springdale, Huntsville, Van Buren,
Ozark, Charleston, Fort Smith, Antlers, Clayton, Hugo, Pawhuska,
Bartlesville, Nowata, Vinita, Miami, Pawnee, Tulsa, Claremore,
Pryor, Grove, Jay, Sapulpa, Okemah, Okmulgee, Wagoner, Tahlequah,
Stilwell, Muskogee, Checotah, Sallisaw, McAlester, Stigler,
Wilburton, and Poteau
442 AM CDT Thu Aug 17 2017

.NOW...
At 4:42 AM ... National Weather Service doppler radars continued
to detect an area of showers and thunderstorms pushing
southeast..with the back edge roughly along a Bentonville to
Sallisaw to Scipio line. Movement was southeast around 30 miles an
hour.

Through 7:00 AM ...Showers and thunderstorms will continue to
decrease in coverage from northwest to southeast. with the bulk of
activity remaining across southeast Oklahoma and west central
Arkansas. Moderate to brief heavy rainfall can be expected...with
additional between one quarter and one half inch possible in the
stronger storms. Occasional lightning can be expected as well.


$$




Flood Advisory

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
216 AM CDT THU AUG 17 2017

ARC033-047-087-131-143-OKC001-021-135-171215-
/O.NEW.KTSA.FA.Y.0095.170817T0716Z-170817T1215Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Madison AR-Franklin AR-Crawford AR-Sebastian AR-Washington AR-
Sequoyah OK-Adair OK-Cherokee OK-
216 AM CDT THU AUG 17 2017

The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a

* Flood Advisory for...
  Southern Madison County in northwestern Arkansas...
  Franklin County in west central Arkansas...
  Crawford County in northwestern Arkansas...
  Northern Sebastian County in west central Arkansas...
  Southern Washington County in northwestern Arkansas...
  Sequoyah County in east central Oklahoma...
  Adair County in northeastern Oklahoma...
  Southeastern Cherokee County in east central Oklahoma...

* Until 715 AM CDT

* At 213 AM CDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain due to
  thunderstorms. This will cause minor flooding in the advisory area.
  Widespread 1 to 2 inch rains are expected, with some locally
  heavier amounts possible. Portions of the area that are fairly
  saturated from recent rains will be monitored for a possible
  upgrade to a flash flood warning.

* Some locations that may experience flooding include...
  Fort Smith...                     Van Buren...
  Tahlequah...                      Sallisaw...
  Stilwell...                       Ozark...
  Charleston...                     Cedarville...
  Mountainburg...                   Natural Dam...
  Alma...                           Barling...
  Prairie Grove...                  Muldrow...
  Roland...                         West Fork...
  Lavaca...                         Lincoln...
  Arkoma...                         Mulberry...

This includes the following highways,
 Interstate 40 in Arkansas between mile markers 0 and 42.
 Interstate 40 in Oklahoma between mile markers 290 and 328.
 Interstate 540 between mile markers 1 and 14.
 Interstate 49 between mile markers 22 and 56.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3588 9352 3576 9352 3577 9370 3538 9371
      3537 9375 3542 9380 3531 9381 3532 9392
      3523 9392 3523 9402 3521 9403 3529 9444
      3538 9443 3537 9449 3530 9449 3538 9489
      3546 9503 3546 9508 3602 9507 3596 9347

$$

Lacy




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