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3 products issued by NWS for: 2 Miles ESE Efay AR
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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
100 PM CDT FRI MAY 22 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-231015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
100 PM CDT FRI MAY 22 2015


...FLASH FLOOD THREAT INCREASING INTO THE WEEKEND WITH THE POTENTIAL
   FOR MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL...


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTERNOON.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA... SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
ONSET...AFTERNOON.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.


DISCUSSION...
AREAS OF RAIN WITH A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE MAINLY ACROSS
PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS TO THE
EAST OF HIGHWAY 69.LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
COULD LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING IN A FEW AREAS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SEVERAL ROUNDS OF WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
LIKELY SATURDAY...SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. HEAVY RAIN...FLASH FLOODING
...AND MAIN STEM RIVER FLOODING WILL AGAIN IMPACT MUCH OF EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN
EFFECT FOR ALL OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT...INCLUDING NORTHWEST ARKANSAS SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT.
ALTHOUGH A LIMITED SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL WILL EXIST...THIS
THREAT WILL LIKELY BE SECONDARY TO THE FLASH FLOODING THREAT.


EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
THIS HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO COINCIDE WITH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.
THE FLASH FLOODING POTENTIAL WILL POSE A HEIGHTENED THREAT TO
THOSE THAT PLAN OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES. UPDATED FORECASTS SHOULD BE
CLOSELY FOLLOWED AND PERSONS SHOULD BE READY TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD
FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA. THIS IS ESPECIALLY TRUE
FOR THOSE PLANNING TO SPEND TIME NEAR AREA RIVERS AND LAKES AND
OTHER FLOOD PRONE AREAS WHERE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODING
COULD DEVELOP.

THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK
AS A MOIST AIR-MASS REMAINS IN PLACE. MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF RAIN WILL BE
POSSIBLE AS SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES TRAVERSE THE AREA.
ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LIKELY LEAD TO ADDITIONAL FLASH
FLOODING.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$







Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
154 PM CDT FRI MAY 22 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-222000-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
154 PM CDT FRI MAY 22 2015

.NOW...
AT 1:50 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADARS CONTINUED TO DETECT
RAIN OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND FAR WESTERN NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS. THIS ACTIVITY WAS LOCATED ALONG AND NEAR A LINE FROM GRAVETTE
...TO STILWELL...TO HUGO. MOVEMENT WAS TO THE EAST AT 35 MILES AN HOUR.

THROUGH 3 PM...LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINS WILL AFFECT THE AREA FROM
BENTONVILLE...TO FORT SMITH...TO HUGO. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL
OCCUR SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40 WHERE ONE QUARTER TO ALMOST A HALF
INCH IS POSSIBLE...MAINLY ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN PITTSBURG...PUSHMATAHA...
AND CHOCTAW COUNTIES. TO THE NORTH...MOST LOCATIONS WILL SEE LESS
THAN ONE TENTH OF AN INCH.

$$








Flash Flood Watch

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
503 AM CDT FRI MAY 22 2015

...FLOODING PROBLEMS LIKELY TO REDEVELOP FRIDAY THROUGH THE
HOLIDAY WEEKEND...

.SEVERAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT EASTERN
OKLAHOMA BEGINNING TODAY AND IMPACTING NORTHWEST ARKANSAS LATER
THIS MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND.

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-222215-
/O.CON.KTSA.FF.A.0006.150524T1800Z-150525T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH
503 AM CDT FRI MAY 22 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS...
  INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...
  BENTON...CARROLL...CRAWFORD...MADISON AND WASHINGTON. IN WEST
  CENTRAL ARKANSAS...FRANKLIN AND SEBASTIAN.

* FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING

* SEVERAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
  DURING THE WATCH PERIOD...BEGINNING AS EARLY AS TODAY
  AND CONTINUING THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY NIGHT.

* RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WILL BE COMMON THROUGH
  MONDAY MORNING...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. MOST RAINFALL
  ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS IS EXPECTED SUNDAY
  AND SUNDAY NIGHT...WHICH WILL LIKELY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING
  GIVEN THE SATURATED SOILS. ANYONE WHO HAS OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES
  OR TRAVEL PLANNED OVER THE COMING WEEKEND SHOULD CLOSELY
  MONITOR CONDITIONS FOR POSSIBLE CLOSURES OF ROADS AND
  RECREATIONAL AREAS...AND PLAN ACCORDINGLY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS RAPIDLY RISING WATER OR FLOODING IS
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...KEEP INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR
QUICK ACTION IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A WARNING IS
ISSUED.

IF YOU LIVE NEAR...OR TRAVEL ACROSS A STREAM...CREEK OR RIVER
SUBJECT TO FLOODING...NOW IS THE TIME TO PREPARE FOR DANGEROUS
FLOODING.
&&

$$








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