Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
130 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

ARZ010-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>057-059>076-232000-
WASHINGTON AR-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-
OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-PAWNEE-TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-
DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-
MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-LATIMER-LE FLORE-
130 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

.NOW...
AT 1:30 PM...DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ONGOING ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
RECENT TRENDS INDICATE A WEAKENING OF THE PRECIPITATION OVER
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. THIS ACTIVITY CONTINUES TO MOVE OFF TO THE
SOUTHEAST AT AROUND 40 MPH.

THROUGH 3 PM...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
REMAIN POSSIBLE FOR AREAS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA...PRIMARILY ALONG
AND WEST OF A COPAN TO POTEAU LINE. THE GREATEST COVERAGE OF THE
PRECIPITATION WILL BE OVER AREAS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...SOUTH AND
WEST OF A GRAINOLA TO CLAREMORE TO EUFAULA LINE. LIGHT TO
OCCASIONAL MODERATE SHOWERS WILL BE COMMON...RESULTING IN AVERAGE
HOURLY RAINFALL OF AROUND ONE TENTH OF AN INCH. LOCALLY HEAVY
DOWNPOURS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER SHOWERS AND ANY
THUNDERSTORMS THAT OCCUR.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1252 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-241000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1252 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
A BAND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT EXTENDS FROM SOUTH-CENTRAL
KANSAS INTO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY PUSH TO THE
EAST INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. THERE IS THE
POTENTIAL THAT A STORM OR TWO COULD BECOME STRONG TO MARGINALLY
SEVERE WITH HAIL THE MAIN CONCERN.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SEVERAL WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA
THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL RESULT IN ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT EACH DAY THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT
TUESDAY.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$