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Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service New York NY
1209 PM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

CTZ009-010-NYZ071-177-201615-
Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven-Southern Westchester-
Northern Nassau-
1209 PM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 PM
EDT WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut and
southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
 conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches...warnings and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

$$



Coastal Flood Advisory

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
507 PM EDT TUE SEP 19 2017

...DANGEROUS SURF AT ATLANTIC OCEAN BEACHES THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
...MINOR TO MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING...

CTZ009-010-NYZ071-177-201800-
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.Y.0020.170919T2200Z-170920T1800Z/
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
NORTHERN NASSAU-
507 PM EDT TUE SEP 19 2017

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...VULNERABLE COASTAL AREAS ALONG WESTERN LONG ISLAND
  SOUND.

* TIDAL DEPARTURE...1 TO 2 FT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDES DURING
  THE EVENING AND WEDNESDAY MORNING HIGH TIDES.

* COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS...SHALLOW FLOODING IS EXPECTED IN THE MOST
  VULNERABLE LOCATIONS NEAR THE WATERFRONT AND SHORELINE. EXPECT
  AROUND 1 TO POSSIBLY 2 FEET OF INUNDATION ABOVE GROUND LEVEL IN
  LOW LYING, VULNERABLE AREAS. SOME ROADS AND LOW LYING PROPERTY
  INCLUDING PARKING LOTS, PARKS, LAWNS AND HOMES/BUSINESSES WITH
  BASEMENTS NEAR THE WATERFRONT WILL EXPERIENCE SHALLOW FLOODING.

* SHORELINE IMPACTS...WAVES OF 1 TO 3 FT ON TOP OF ELEVATED WATER
  LEVELS ALONG THE NORTH SHORE OF LONG ISLAND WILL CAUSE MINOR
  BEACH EROSION AND ENHANCE COASTAL FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

KINGS POINT NY
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 10.0 FT, MODERATE 10.5 FT, MAJOR 13.0 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 2.2 FT, MODERATE 2.7 FT, MAJOR 5.2 FT

              TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE
  DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD
             FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT
  --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
  20/12 AM   9.7/10.2    1.9/2.4   1.4/ 1.9    2-3     MINOR
  20/12 PM   9.5/10.0    1.7/2.2   1.4/ 1.9    2-3     MINOR
  21/01 AM   9.4/9.9     1.6/2.1   1.5/ 2.0    1-2     MINOR

:

BRIDGEPORT CT
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 8.9 FT, MODERATE 10.4 FT, MAJOR 11.4 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.6 FT, MODERATE 3.1 FT, MAJOR 4.1 FT

              TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE
  DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD
             FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT
  --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
  20/12 AM   9.0/ 9.5   1.7/ 2.2   1.2/ 1.7    1-2      MINOR
  20/12 PM   8.7/ 9.2   1.4/ 1.9   0.8/ 1.3     1       MINOR
  21/12 AM   8.6/ 9.1   1.3/ 1.8   0.9/ 1.4     1       MINOR

:

NEW HAVEN CT
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 8.6 FT, MODERATE 9.2 FT, MAJOR 10.5 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.9 FT, MODERATE 2.5 FT, MAJOR 3.8 FT

              TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE
  DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD
             FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT
  --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
  20/12 AM   8.4/ 8.9   1.7/ 2.2   1.3/ 1.8     2      MINOR
  20/12 PM   8.0/ 8.5   1.3/ 1.8   0.8/ 1.3     2       NONE
  21/12 AM   8.0/ 8.5   1.3/ 1.8   1.0/ 1.5     1       NONE

:

STAMFORD CT
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 9.4 FT, MODERATE 11.0 FT, MAJOR 12.4 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.5 FT, MODERATE 3.1 FT, MAJOR 4.5 FT

              TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE
  DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD
             FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT
  --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
  20/12 AM   9.7/10.2   1.9/ 2.3   1.2/ 1.7     2      MINOR
  20/12 PM   9.3/ 9.8   1.5/ 2.0   0.7/ 1.1     2      MINOR
  21/12 AM   9.2/ 9.7   1.4/ 1.9   0.9/ 1.4     1      MINOR

:

OLD FIELD NY
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 9.2 FT, MODERATE 10.2 FT, MAJOR 12.2 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.9 FT, MODERATE 2.9 FT, MAJOR 4.9 FT

              TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE
  DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD
             FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT
  --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
  20/12 AM   9.0/ 9.5   1.7/ 2.2   1.3/ 1.8    3-5     MINOR
  20/12 PM   8.7/ 9.2   1.4/ 1.9   0.9/ 1.4    3-5     MINOR
  21/12 AM   8.6/ 9.1   1.3/ 1.8   1.0/ 1.5    2-3      NONE

:

GLEN COVE NY
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 10.1 FT, MODERATE 11.1 FT, MAJOR 13.1 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 2.2 FT, MODERATE 3.2 FT, MAJOR 5.2 FT

              TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE
  DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD
             FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT
  --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
  20/12 AM   9.6/10.1   1.7/ 2.2   0.9/ 1.4    2-4     MINOR
  20/12 PM   9.5/10.0   1.6/ 2.0   0.7/ 1.1    2-4     MINOR
  21/01 AM   9.3/ 9.8   1.4/ 1.9   0.8/ 1.3    1-2      NONE

:

&&

TIME OF HIGH TOTAL TIDES ARE APPROXIMATE TO THE NEAREST HOUR.

$$



Hurricane Local Statement

Hurricane Jose Local Statement Advisory Number 57...CORRECTED
CTZ007-008-010>012-NYZ078>081-192345-

Hurricane Jose Local Statement Advisory Number 57...CORRECTED
National Weather Service New York NY  AL122017
1208 PM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

This product covers Southeast New York, Northeast New Jersey, and Southern Connecticut

**Tropical Storm Watch Remains in Effect for Suffolk County, Long Island**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - Tropical Storm Watches have been discontinued for Southern New Haven,
      Middlesex and New London counties.

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch remains in effect for all of Suffolk County.

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 320 miles south-southeast of New York City NY or about
      320 miles south of Montauk Point NY
    - 36.5N 71.7W
    - Storm Intensity 75 mph
    - Movement North or 355 degrees at 7 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Hurricane Jose will continue to track slowly north and then
northeast later today, passing to the southeast of the area late
tonight into Wednesday as a tropical storm. The system will be close
enough for potential impacts.

The main hazard will be coastal flooding with 1 to 2 feet of
inundation expected during the times of high tide tonight into
Wednesday. Localized inundation of up to around 2 1/2 feet is possible
in the typically more vulnerable locations across Peconic and
Gardiners Bays.

Dangerous surf will build to 10 to 15 feet through Wednesday. This
will result in widespread dune erosion and washovers.

Tropical Storm Force winds are possible tonight into Wednesday with
sustained winds of 30 to 40 mph and gusts up to 50 mph.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SHORELINE HAZARDS:
Prepare for dangerous surf of 10 to 15 ft causing widespread dune
erosion, and localized dune overwashes along the Atlantic beachfront.

* SURGE:
Prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible impacts across
Suffolk county. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
      immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots.
    - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
      with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
      surge water covers the road.
    - Widespread beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
      in usually vulnerable locations. Strong and frequent rip
      currents.

* WIND:
Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts. Potential
impacts include:
    - Possible tree limbs broken off. Some fences and roadway signs
      blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris. Hazardous driving conditions
      on bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts. Potential impacts include:
    - Small streams, creeks and canals may become swollen and could
      overflow in spots.
    - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually
      vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water
      occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some brief road and bridge closures.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

If you live in a place that is particularly vulnerable to high wind,
such as a mobile home, a boat, plan to move to safe shelter. Take
enough supplies for you and your family for several days.

If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as
near the ocean, in a low lying or poor drainage area, or near an
already swollen river, plan to move to safe shelter on higher ground

Closely monitor NOAA Weather Radio or other local news outlets for
official storm information. Listen for possible changes to the
forecast.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in New York NY around 6 PM, or sooner if conditions warrant.

$$



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NOAA National Weather Service
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Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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