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4 products issued by NWS for: Pensacola FL

Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
550 AM CST WED FEB 10 2010

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078-
079-111200-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
550 AM CST WED FEB 10 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND THE ADJACENT GULF COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA
AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SOME AREA RIVERS REMAIN IN ACTION OR FLOOD STAGE THROUGH FRIDAY.
PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST RIVER FORECASTS FOR MORE SPECIFIC
INFORMATION ON RIVERS IN YOUR AREA.

OVER THE MARINE AREA...A STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW THIS MORNING WILL
BECOME MODERATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES THIS MORNING WILL LIKELY BE FOLLOWED BY EXERCISE CAUTION
HEADLINES. SEAS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE. SEE THE LATEST MARINE
WEATHER MESSAGES FOR MORE SPECIFIC INFORMATION ON WINDS AND SEAS.

FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR AGAIN TONIGHT...WITH MINIMUM
TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM THE MID 20S INLAND TO THE LOWER 30S ON THE
BEACHES. THESE TEMPERATURES ARE DETRIMENTAL TO OUTDOOR TENDER
VEGETATION. THE LOW TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH THE FORECAST WINDS
WILL MAKE IT FEEL EVEN COLDER...WITH WIND CHILLS DIPPING DOWN INTO
THE MID TEENS THIS MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED ACROSS OUR REGION BY WEEK`S END AS
A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPS AND MOVES EASTWARD ACROSS THE
NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. PRECIPITATION
WILL LIKELY BEGIN AS A MIX OF LIGHT RAIN AND SLEET OVER THE INTERIOR
COUNTIES THURSDAY NIGHT...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY
84...AND WILL THEN CHANGE TO AND REMAIN AS SNOW THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON BEFORE ENDING FROM THE WEST. CLOSER TO THE COAST...RAIN
WILL BEGIN FALLING THURSDAY NIGHT AND A CHANGEOVER TO SLEET AND SNOW
MIX COULD OCCUR AS EARLY AS MID MORNING FRIDAY BEFORE CHANGING TO ALL
SNOW BEFORE ENDING.

IT IS CURRENTLY BEYOND THE STATE OF THE SCIENCE TO PIN-POINT EXACT
SNOWFALL TOTALS BECAUSE IT IS TOO FAR OUT IN TIME PRIOR TO THE EVENT
MANY UNCERTAINTIES REMAIN. HOWEVER...CURRENT TRENDS INDICATE SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW COULD FALL OVER INTERIOR SOUTHWESTERN AND SOUTH
CENTRAL ALABAMA THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MIDDAY FRIDAY WITH LIGHTER
AMOUNTS CLOSER TO THE COAST.

IF THIS TREND CONTINUES...A WINTER STORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED
THIS AFTERNOON FOLLOWED BY EITHER AN ADVISORY OR A POSSIBLE WINTER
STORM WARNING BY SUNRISE THURSDAY. EVERYONE IS URGED TO STAY UP TO
DATE ON THE LATEST FORECAST AND OUTLOOKS CONCERNING THIS POTENTIAL
SNOW EVENT. ALTHOUGH PRECIPITATION WILL BE ENDING LATER IN THE DAY
FRIDAY...SUBFREEZING LOW TEMPERATURES FRIDAY NIGHT SUGGESTS THAT
LINGERING MOISTURE ON ROADS AND OVERPASSES WILL REFREEZE...CREATING
SLICK SPOTS AND HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS FOR
SEVERE WEATHER WILL NOT BE REQUIRED THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

$$





Special Weather Statement

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
704 AM CST WED FEB 10 2010

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-102300-
UPPER
MOBILE-ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-WASHINGTON-CONECUH-MONROE-BUTLER-CLARKE-
CRENSHAW-WILCOX-CHOCTAW-INLAND OKALOOSA-INLAND ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA
ROSA-GEORGE-STONE-PERRY-GREENE-WAYNE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER
BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-COASTAL OKALOOSA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-COASTAL SANTA
ROSA-
704 AM CST WED FEB 10 2010

...POTENTIAL INCREASING OF WINTER STORM IMPACTING THE CENTRAL GULF
COAST REGION THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...

SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED ACROSS OUR REGION BY WEEKS END AS
A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPS AND MOVES EASTWARD ACROSS THE
NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. PRECIPITATION
WILL LIKELY BEGIN AS A MIX OF LIGHT RAIN AND SLEET OVER THE INTERIOR
COUNTIES THURSDAY NIGHT...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY
84...AND WILL THEN CHANGE TO AND REMAIN AS SNOW THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON BEFORE ENDING FROM THE WEST.  CLOSER TO THE COAST...RAIN
WILL BEGIN FALLING THURSDAY NIGHT AND A CHANGEOVER TO SLEET AND SNOW
MIX COULD OCCUR AS EARLY AS MID MORNING FRIDAY BEFORE CHANGING TO
ALL SNOW BEFORE ENDING.

IT IS CURRENTLY BEYOND THE STATE OF THE SCIENCE TO PIN POINT EXACT
SNOWFALL TOTALS BECAUSE IT IS STILL TOO FAR OUT IN TIME PRIOR TO THE
EVENT AND MANY UNCERTAINTIES REMAIN. HOWEVER...CURRENT TRENDS
INDICATE SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW COULD FALL OVER INTERIOR SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWESTERN AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA FROM THURSDAY
NIGHT THROUGH MIDDAY FRIDAY WITH LIGHTER AMOUNTS CLOSER TO THE
COAST.  THE CONFIDENCE FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW IN OUR AREA CONTINUES
TO INCREASE...PARTICULARLY INLAND.

IF THIS TREND CONTINUES...A WINTER STORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED
LATER TODAY...FOLLOWED BY EITHER A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY OR A
POSSIBLE WINTER STORM WARNING BY SUNRISE THURSDAY.

NOTE...IF THE TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW VERIFIES A LITTLE MORE SOUTH
THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST...COLDER AIR AND CRITICAL COLD SEASON
THICKNESSES WILL LIKELY BE PULLED MORE SOUTHWARD...WHICH WILL LIKELY
RESULT IN A SOUTHEASTWARD ADJUSTMENT TO ACCUMULATING SLEET AND SNOW.

HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST THURSDAY NIGHT AS SLICK
SPOTS BEGIN TO FORM...ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. ALTHOUGH
PRECIPITATION WILL BE ENDING LATER IN THE DAY FRIDAY...SUBFREEZING
LOW TEMPERATURES FRIDAY NIGHT SUGGESTS THAT LINGERING MOISTURE ON
ROADS AND OVERPASSES WILL REFREEZE...MAINTAINING SLICK SPOTS AND
MAKING FOR HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS.

EVERYONE IS URGED TO STAY UP TO DATE ON THE LATEST FORECASTS
CONCERNING THIS STORM.

$$

/10












Red Flag Warning

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
554 AM CST WED FEB 10 2010

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM CST
TODAY FOR A SUSTAINED PERIOD OF CRITICALLY LOW DAYTIME HUMIDITY OVER
THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...

.HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE DEEP SOUTH BRINGS MUCH DRIER
CONDITIONS TO THE GULF COAST TODAY AND AN INCREASED RISK OF FIRE
DANGER.

FLZ001>006-110000-
/O.CON.KMOB.FW.W.0014.100210T1700Z-100211T0000Z/
INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-
554 AM CST WED FEB 10 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
6 PM CST THIS EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
6 PM CST THIS EVENING.

LOWEST DAYTIME HUMIDITY TODAY IS FORECAST TO DIP TO AROUND 25
PERCENT OVER THE INLAND WESTERN FLORIDA COASTAL COUNTIES FOR SEVERAL
HOURS. OVER THE COASTAL ZONES...SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 10...LOWEST
HUMIDITY FROM 25 TO 30 PERCENT IS EXPECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY GRASSES WILL CREATE RAPID FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

&&

$$








Flood Warning

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
814 PM CST TUE FEB 09 2010


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...FLORIDA...
MISSISSIPPI...

  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON
  COUNTIES.
  ALABAMA RIVER NEAR MILLERS FERRY DAM AFFECTING DALLAS...MONROE AND WILCOX
  COUNTIES.
  ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY AFFECTING ESCAMBIA COUNTY.
  LEAF NEAR MCLAIN AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND PERRY COUNTIES.
  PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND JACKSON COUNTIES.
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON
  COUNTIES.
  ALABAMA RIVER NEAR CLAIBORNE DAM AFFECTING CLARKE...MONROE AND WILCOX
  COUNTIES.
  CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC053-FLC033-110213-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-100214T0600Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.100121T2030Z.100130T0400Z.100214T0000Z.NO/
814 PM CST TUE FEB 09 2010

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR
  THE ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY
* UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT
* AT 7PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.1 FEET
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY EVENING.
$$



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Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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