weather.gov     
National Weather Service

Watches, Warnings & Advisories
NWS Homepage

2 products issued by NWS for: 4 Miles NNW Bushnell FL
Share |


Hydrologic Outlook

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
FLZ043-050-052-056-057-061-139-142-148-149-151-155-160-162-165-
239-242-248-249-251-255-260-262-265-061700-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
258 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

...SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK 2015 FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA...

SPRING IS THE TAIL END OF THE DRY SEASON ACROSS WEST CENTRAL
AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA WITH APRIL CLIMATOLOGICALLY ONE OF THE
DRIEST MONTHS OF THE YEAR.  STREAMFLOWS ARE GENERALLY
RUNNING ABOVE TO MUCH ABOVE NORMAL DUE TO HEAVY RAIN THAT OCCURRED
DURING THE LAST WEEK OF FEBRUARY. HOWEVER ALL RIVERS REMAIN WELL
BELOW FLOOD STAGE.

WEAK EL NINO CONDITIONS PERSIST AND THIS TENDS TO PRODUCE A GREATER
RISK OF SPRING FLOODING DUE TO AN ACTIVE SOUTHERN STORM TRACK. AS A
RESULT OF THIS...THE THREE MONTH PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK FROM THE
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER FOR THE PERIOD MARCH THROUGH MAY
INDICATES A GOOD CHANCE OF ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL FOR WEST CENTRAL AND
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA.

THE MOST LIKELY MONTH FOR FLOODING TO OCCUR WOULD BE MARCH
AS APRIL IS TYPICALLY MUCH DRIER AS THE STORM TRACK BEGINS TO LIFT
WELL NORTH OF THE REGION. THE OVERALL RISK FOR SPRINGTIME FLOODING IS
A BIT ABOVE NORMAL...HOWEVER THIS IS THE END OF THE DRY SEASON
AND FLOODING DOES NOT TYPICALLY OCCUR THIS TIME OF YEAR. IT WOULD
LIKELY REQUIRE A STORM TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD RAINFALL OF 3 TO 5
INCHES IN LESS THAN 24 HOURS FOR RIVER FLOODING TO DEVELOP.

SHOULD ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL OCCUR DURING THE NEXT THREE MONTHS...
THE MAIN IMPACT WOULD BE TO SET THE STAGE FOR A MUCH GREATER RISK OF
SUMMERTIME FLOODING AS THE RAINY SEASON KICKS IN ACROSS THE REGION.

$$

OGLESBY





Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
509 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

FLZ043-050-052-056-057-061-139-142-148-149-151-155-160-162-165-
239-242-248-249-251-255-260-262-265-GMZ830-836-850-853-856-870-
873-876-061015-
SUMTER-PINELLAS-POLK-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-DESOTO-COASTAL LEVY-
COASTAL CITRUS-COASTAL HERNANDO-COASTAL PASCO-
COASTAL HILLSBOROUGH-COASTAL MANATEE-COASTAL SARASOTA-
COASTAL CHARLOTTE-COASTAL LEE-INLAND LEVY-INLAND CITRUS-
INLAND HERNANDO-INLAND PASCO-INLAND HILLSBOROUGH-INLAND MANATEE-
INLAND SARASOTA-INLAND CHARLOTTE-INLAND LEE-TAMPA BAY WATERS-
CHARLOTTE HARBOR AND PINE ISLAND SOUND-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
509 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...DENSE FOG/SEA FOG IMPACT...
PATCHY FOG IS EXPECTED WITH SOME LOCALLY DENSE AREAS POSSIBLE THIS
MORNING. SEA FOG IS ALSO POSSIBLE THROUGH TODAY...MAINLY FOR AREAS
NORTH OF TAMPA BAY. IF DRIVING IN FOG THIS MORNING...SLOW
DOWN...USE YOUR LOW BEAM HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF
DISTANCE BETWEEN YOU AND THE VEHICLE IN FRONT OF YOU.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

$$

CARLISLE







U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: May 16, 2007
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE