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Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
610 AM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-301259-
COASTAL VOLUSIA-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE OUT TO 20 NM-INDIAN RIVER-INLAND VOLUSIA-MARTIN-
NORTHERN BREVARD-NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT TO 20 NM-SEMINOLE-
SOUTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE-ST. LUCIE-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET OUT TO 20 NM-
610 AM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015

.NOW...

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COUNTIES
TODAY INTO MONDAY. THE LOCAL ATMOSPHERE IS EXTREMELY MOIST AND POISED
TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN ONCE AGAIN. EVENT TOTALS MAY REACH
UP TO 5 TO 6 INCHES IN SPOTS WITHIN AREAS OF EXCESSIVE RAIN. IN
FACT...GENEROUS RAINS YESTERDAY OVER THE SHINGLE CREEK BASIN IN
SOUTHWEST ORANGE AND NORTHWEST OSCEOLA COUNTIES HAVE SWELLED WATER
LEVELS TOWARD ACTION STAGE THERE. THE BASIN WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED
CLOSELY TODAY FOR ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN TO MOVE ACROSS IT. IF SO...
RESIDENTS NEED TO BE READY TO ACT QUICKLY IF FLOOD WARNINGS ARE
ISSUED. THIS IS TRUE FOR MANY OTHER PLACES TOO...ESPECIALLY SINCE
SOME AREAS HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED RECENT RAINS THAT HAVE SATURATED
THE GROUND CONDITIONS. NEVER DRIVE THROUGH PLACES WHERE WATER OF
UNKNOWN DEPTH COVERS THE ROAD.

THIS MORNING...THE BEST CHANCES FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG
WIND GUSTS WILL BE ALONG THE SPACE AND TREASURE COASTS AS MARITIME
SHOWERS AND STORMS MOVE ONSHORE AT 25 MPH. ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE TODAY ALONG WITH STOUT WIND GUSTS.

&&

ADDITIONAL DETAILS...INCLUDING GRAPHICS ARE AVAILABLE ONLINE AT:
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB/BLOG.PHP

$$

DWS




Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
549 AM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-302200-
FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 0-20 NM-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 0-20 NM-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20-60 NM-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20-60 NM-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20-60 NM-INLAND VOLUSIA COUNTY-
NORTHERN LAKE COUNTY-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-
COASTAL VOLUSIA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LAKE COUNTY-
NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY-
549 AM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
A DEEP TROPICAL AIRMASS WILL LEAD TO HIGH COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND
STORMS ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. BEST CHANCE FOR STORMS WILL BE
ALONG THE COAST THIS MORNING AND THEN TRANSITION INLAND THIS
AFTERNOON. STORMS WILL MOVE TOWARD THE NORTH TO NORTHWEST UP TO 20
TO 25 MPH AND WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE STRONG WIND GUSTS
UP TO 40 TO 50 MPH AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

.FLOOD IMPACT...
A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA
THROUGH MONDAY. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND SCATTERED STORMS WILL
OVERSPREAD THE AREA TODAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AMOUNTS WILL BE
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE TREASURE AND SPACE COASTS THIS
MORNING AND THEN ACROSS THE INTERIOR THIS AFTERNOON.

.RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
WIND AND OCEAN SWELL COMBINED WITH FAVORABLE ASTRONOMICAL TIDES
WILL PRODUCE A MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK AT EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA
BEACHES. ALWAYS SWIM NEAR A LIFEGUARD.

.MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
SCATTERED STORMS WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE NORTH TO NORTHWEST AROUND
20 TO 25 MPH INITIALLY OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AND ALONG THE
COAST THIS MORNING AND THEN ACROSS THE INTERIOR THIS AFTERNOON.
WIND GUSTS UP TO 34 KNOTS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONGER
STORMS.

.WATERSPOUT IMPACT...
ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
THAT DEVELOP OVER THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC WATERS.

.WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE TREASURE
COAST WATERS AND OFFSHORE OF BREVARD COUNTY WHERE SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 20 KNOTS WILL COMBINE WITH AN EASTERLY SWELL TO PRODUCE
SEAS UP TO 7 FEET TODAY. ELSEWHERE SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE
CAUTION FOR SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS AND SEAS UP TO 6 FEET.

.RIVER FLOOD IMPACT...
SHINGLE CREEK AT CAMPBELL IS JUST BELOW ACTION STAGE AND ANY
ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS ACROSS THE SHINGLE CREEK BASIN
MAY LEAD TO WATERS RISING TO ACTION...POSSIBLY MINOR FLOOD STAGE
THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION INTO EARLY
THIS WEEK AS A TROPICAL WAVE...ONCE TROPICAL STORM ERIKA...MOVES
NORTHWARD OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. THIS WILL CONTINUE
HIGHER RAIN CHANCES WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS
THE REGION...ESPECIALLY THROUGH MONDAY. RAIN AMOUNTS OF TWO TO
THREE INCHES WITH PEAK AMOUNTS UP TO FIVE INCHES FOR THE EVENT
ARE POSSIBLE BY MONDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO MONITOR THE WEATHER AND SELF ACTIVATE
IF NEEDED. RAINFALL OBSERVERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT RAIN
AMOUNTS OF THREE INCHES OR GREATER TO NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
MELBOURNE.

$$

WEITLICH




Flood Watch

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
455 AM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015

...WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH MONDAY...

FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-302000-
/O.CON.KMLB.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-150901T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
INLAND VOLUSIA COUNTY-NORTHERN LAKE COUNTY-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-
SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY-OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-
MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LAKE COUNTY-
NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DEBARY...DELAND...DELTONA...EUSTIS...
MOUNT DORA...LEESBURG...TAVARES...APOPKA...MAITLAND...ORLANDO...
WINTER PARK...UNION PARK...ALTAMONTE SPRINGS...CASSELBERRY...
OVIEDO...SANFORD...WINTER SPRINGS....MELBOURNE...PALM BAY...
ROCKLEDGE...CELEBRATION...KISSIMMEE...SAINT CLOUD...SEBASTIAN...
VERO BEACH...BASINGER...FORT DRUM...OKEECHOBEE...
PORT SAINT LUCIE...FORT PIERCE...HOBE SOUND...JENSEN BEACH...
PORT SALERNO...STUART...DAYTONA BEACH...NEW SMYRNA BEACH...
ORMOND BEACH...CLERMONT...MASCOTTE...GROVELAND...COCOA...
TITUSVILLE
455 AM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING...
  BREVARD...INDIAN RIVER...LAKE...MARTIN...OKEECHOBEE...
  ORANGE...OSCEOLA...SEMINOLE...ST. LUCIE...AND VOLUSIA COUNTY.

* THROUGH MONDAY EVENING

* DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE OVER THE REGION COMBINED WITH ADDITIONAL
  TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM THE REMNANTS OF ERIKA MOVING OVER THE
  FLORIDA STRAITS AND THE WEST HALF OF CUBA WILL CREATE A THREAT
  FOR VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THROUGH
  MONDAY. RAINFALL BETWEEN 2 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE COMMON WITH
  LOCAL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 3 AND 5 INCHES POSSIBLE.

* HEAVY RAIN MAY CREATE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING OF STREETS...URBAN
  AREAS...AND LOW LYING FLOOD PRONE AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

BRAGAW



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Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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