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Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
650 AM EDT SAT OCT 1 2016

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-011330-
COASTAL VOLUSIA-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE OUT TO 20 NM-INDIAN RIVER-INLAND VOLUSIA-MARTIN-
NORTHERN BREVARD-NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT TO 20 NM-SEMINOLE-
SOUTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE-ST. LUCIE-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET OUT TO 20 NM-
650 AM EDT SAT OCT 1 2016

.NOW...
SKIES ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY ALONG AND
NORTH OF THE I-4 CORRIDOR AND PARTLY SUNNY ALONG THE SPACE AND
TREASURE COASTS. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE AS A STATIONARY
FRONT ALONG THE I-4 CORRIDOR MAINTAINS A WEAK PRESSURE FIELD.
MORNING LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW TO MID 70S WILL WARM INTO THE
UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S.

ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE GULF STREAM WILL DRIFT
NORTH AROUND 5 MPH AND WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE.


&&

Additional details...including graphics are available online at:
http://www.weather.gov/mlb/?n=blog

$$






Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
600 AM EDT SAT OCT 1 2016

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-012200-
FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 0-20 NM-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 0-20 NM-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20-60 NM-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20-60 NM-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20-60 NM-INLAND VOLUSIA COUNTY-
NORTHERN LAKE COUNTY-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-
COASTAL VOLUSIA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LAKE COUNTY-
NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY-
600 AM EDT SAT OCT 1 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE WILL DEVELOP AND PUSH INLAND SPARKING
SCATTERED LIGHTNING STORMS THIS AFTERNOON MAINLY OVER THE INTERIOR
COUNTIES. SOME DRIER AIR HAS FILTERED INTO LAKE AND VOLUSIA
COUNTIES WHERE A STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY LIES. MOISTURE IS
HIGHER TO THE SOUTH AND THE BEST CHANCE FOR STORMS WILL EXIST OVER
SOUTHERN INTERIOR SECTIONS, INCLUDING OSCEOLA AND OKEECHOBEE
COUNTIES. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR STORMS TO BECOME STRONG
ONCE AGAIN CONTAINING FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES AND GUSTY
DOWNBURST WINDS. AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS
NEAR 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.WATERSPOUT IMPACT...
SCATTERED LIGHTNING STORMS OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS THIS MORNING
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WATERSPOUTS. STORM MOTION WILL BE
TOWARD THE NORTH AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS.

.RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
AN EAST SWELL WILL CONTRIBUTE TO A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS
AT EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA BEACHES TODAY. CHECK WITH LIFEGUARDS ABOUT
LOCAL CONDITIONS BEFORE ENTERING THE SURF AND DO NOT SWIM ALONE.

.MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
ISOLATED LIGHTNING STORMS OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC THIS MORNING
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS OF 35 TO 40 KNOTS. THESE STORMS
SHOULD DIMINISH LATER THIS MORNING AND THE FOCUS FOR STORM
DEVELOPMENT WILL SHIFT TO THE PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON, ESPECIALLY
INTERIOR SECTIONS. IT IS LESS LIKELY STORMS WILL PUSH BACK TO THE
EAST COAST LATE IN THE DAY SO THE BEST CHANCE FOR FREQUENT
LIGHTNING AND STRONG DOWNBURST WINDS WILL BE OVER THE INLAND
LAKES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
MAJOR HURRICANE MATTHEW IS CURRENTLY LOCATED IN THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY WESTWARD TODAY THEN TURN
NORTHWARD TOWARD EASTERN CUBA TONIGHT. MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGEST THE
HURRICANE WILL LIFT NORTH ACROSS THE BAHAMAS SOMETIME NEXT WEEK.
AT A MINIMUM, THIS WOULD RESULT IN BREEZY CONDITIONS ESPECIALLY AT
THE COAST WITH BUILDING SEAS, SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AT
THE BEACHES. SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION WILL BE POSSIBLE AS WELL.
BEYOND THAT, IT IS TOO EARLY TO SPECULATE ON SPECIFIC IMPACTS TO
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA OR THEIR TIMING. CLIMATOLOGICALLY, WE REMAIN
IN THE HEART OF THE ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON.

RESIDENTS AND VISITORS TO EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA ARE ENCOURAGED
TO MONITOR THE LATEST TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECASTS ON HURRICANE
MATTHEW FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO MONITOR THE WEATHER AND SELF ACTIVATE
IF NEEDED.

$$

KELLY




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