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3 products issued by NWS for: 7 Miles NW Mission Bay FL
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Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
444 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2015

AMZ650-FLZ067-068-168-061300-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT
20 NM-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL PALM BEACH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAHOKEE...SOUTH BAY...BELLE GLADE...
WELLINGTON...LION COUNTRY SAFARI...SOUTH COUNTY REGIONAL PARK...
PALM SPRINGS...FLORIDA GARDENS...ABERDEEN...BOCA WEST...JUPITER...
WEST PALM BEACH...BOCA RATON
444 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2015

.NOW...
A LINE OF LIGHT TO MODERATE SHOWERS SITTING OVER PALM BEACH WILL
CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE PALM BEACH AREA THROUGH THE MID MORNING
HOURS. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE ESTIMATED BY DOPPLER RADAR TO BE A
TRACE UP TO A THIRD OF AN INCH OF RAIN AS OF 4:30 AM EST. WITH LITTLE
MOVEMENT WITH THIS LINE, ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF AROUND ONE
HALF TO ONE INCH THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS ARE POSSIBLE, WITH
LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS. THE LINE SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE AND
POSSIBLY WEAKEN LATER THIS MORNING AS A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES INTO
THE AREA AND STALLS. THIS COLD FRONT WILL BRING ADDITIONAL SHOWERS
FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

$$



Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
332 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2015

AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676-
062045-
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-GLADES-HENDRY-
INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER-
INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-
MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-
COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
332 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

VISIBILITY: PATCHY DENSE FOG POSSIBLE THROUGH DAYBREAK TODAY ACROSS
PORTIONS OF COLLIER, HENDRY AND GLADES COUNTIES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

HAZARDOUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST WILL
REMAIN POSSIBLE BEGINNING SATURDAY. ADVISORY LEVEL SEAS POSSIBLE
OVER THE GULF STREAM WATERS FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY, MAINLY
OVER THE GULF STREAM WATERS EAST OF PALM BEACH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.

$$



Hydrologic Outlook

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
FLZ067-070000-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
209 PM EST THU MAR 5 2015

...SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA...

PAST AND EXISTING CONDITIONS...

RAINFALL...RAINFALL HAS BEEN BELOW NORMAL SOUTH OF THE ALLIGATOR
ALLEY SINCE NOVEMBER 1, 2014 (SHORTLY AFTER THE BEGINNING OF THE DRY
SEASON). MOST OF THIS AREA HAS ONLY RECORDED BETWEEN 50 TO 75
PERCENT OF NORMAL RAINFALL WITH ISOLATED AREAS RECORDING ONLY 25 TO
50 PERCENT.

RAINFALL NORTH OF THE ALLIGATOR ALLEY HAS BEEN NEAR NORMAL SINCE
NOVEMBER 1, 2014 WITH MOST AREAS RECORDING BETWEEN 90 TO 110 PERCENT
OF NORMAL RAINFALL, EXCEPT FOR METRO PALM BEACH COUNTY WHERE 75 TO
90 PERCENT OF NORMAL RAINFALL WAS RECORDED.

SOIL MOISTURE... THE KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDEX (KBDI), WHICH IS AN
INDICATOR OR SOIL DRYNESS, SHOWS MODERATE DRYNESS OVER MOST OF SOUTH
FLORIDA WITH AREAS OF SEVERE DRYNESS OVER MIAMI-DADE COUNTY AND NEAR
NORMAL CONDITIONS OVER PALM BEACH COUNTY.

GROUND WATER CONDITIONS...GROUNDWATER LEVELS ARE NEAR NORMAL OVER
SOUTH FLORIDA, EXCEPT A LITTLE BIT BELOW NORMAL OVER SOUTHERN
INTERIOR AREAS OF SOUTH FLORIDA. THE LEVEL OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE WAS
AROUND 14.7 FEET WHICH IS AROUND 0.2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL OF 14.5 FEET.

RIVER FLOWS...THE CURRENT LEVEL OF FISHEATING CREEK IS AROUND 3.5
FEET, WHICH IS NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

OUTLOOKS...

METEOROLOGICAL OUTLOOK...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
OVER SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS
WET WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 8 TO 14 DAYS, WITH THE
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC) OUTLOOK CALLING FOR AN INCREASED
LIKELIHOOD OF ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION. THE LATEST CPC OUTLOOK
THROUGH THE END OF MARCH CALLS FOR EQUAL CHANCES OF NEAR, ABOVE OR
BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL.

LONG TERM OUTLOOK...
THE LATEST CPC THREE MONTH OUTLOOK FOR THE PERIOD MARCH THROUGH MAY
CALLS FOR AN INCREASED LIKELIHOOD OF ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL ACROSS
SOUTH FLORIDA.

SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK...
BASED ON THE CURRENT HYDROLOGICAL CONDITIONS FORM THE WINTER
SEASON...HISTORICAL RIVER FLOOD CLIMATOLOGY AND THE OUTLOOK
INDICATING THE LIKELIHOOD OF ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL, THE POTENTIAL
FOR RIVER FLOODING THIS SPRING IN SOUTH FLORIDA WILL BE NEAR NORMAL.

&&

INFORMATION USED TO COMPLETE THIS FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK WAS
PROVIDED COURTESY OF THIS SOUTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...THE
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...THE UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL
SURVEY...SOUTH FLORIDA WATER MANAGEMENT DISTRICT AND THE US ARMY
CORPS OF ENGINEERS.

FOR MORE SPECIFIC HYDROMETEORLOGICAL DATA...PLEASE VISIT THE
FOLLOWING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITES:

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SERFC

$$

BAXTER/MOLLEDA




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