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4 products issued by NWS for: New Smyrna Beach FL
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Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
419 AM EDT Sun Oct 22 2017

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-222300-
Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Flagler Beach to Volusia-
Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Inland Volusia County-
Northern Lake County-Orange-Seminole-Southern Brevard County-
Osceola-Indian River-Okeechobee-St. Lucie-Martin-
Coastal Volusia County-Southern Lake County-
Northern Brevard County-
419 AM EDT Sun Oct 22 2017

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
Increasing moisture will lead to a slight chance for lightning
storms this afternoon, mainly from Brevard and Osceola counties
northward. Cloud-to-ground lightning strikes and brief gusty winds
are the main storm hazards.

.RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
Breezy east to southeast winds will create rough and choppy surf
along with a moderate risk of rip currents. Rough surf can be more
dangerous than it appears while standing on the beach. If you
choose to enter the water, only swim within sight of a lifeguard
and never swim alone.

.WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
Poor to hazardous boating conditions are expected to continue into
tonight with choppy seas up to 7 feet this morning and up to 6
feet this afternoon and tonight. A Small Craft Advisory remains in
effect this morning for all but the nearshore waters of Volusia
County where boaters should continue to exercise caution.

.MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
Isolated lightning storms will be capable of producing wind gusts
around 30 knots this afternoon, mainly from Brevard and Osceola
counties northward, including over the adjacent Atlantic waters.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
Increasing moisture out ahead of a strong cold front will bring a
chance for thunderstorms Monday afternoon. A higher coverage of
lightning storms is expected to accompany the front overnight
Monday into Tuesday, with cloud-to-ground lightning strikes and
brief gusty winds the primary storm hazards.

A surge of northwest winds behind the front will lead to a period
of poor to hazardous boating conditions on Wednesday, which will
gradually subside through late week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not anticipated today.

$$

Ulrich



Short Term Forecast

Short Term Forecast
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
115 AM EDT SUN OCT 22 2017

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-221000-
Coastal Volusia-Flagler Beach to Volusia-
Brevard County Line 20 NM to 60 NM Offshore-Flagler Beach to Volusia-
Brevard County Line Out to 20 NM-Indian River-Inland Volusia-Martin-
Northern Brevard-Northern Lake-Okeechobee-Orange-Osceola-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20 NM to 60 NM Offshore-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet Out To 20 NM-Seminole-
Southern Brevard-Southern Lake-St. Lucie-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20 NM to 60 NM Offshore-
Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet Out to 20 NM-
115 AM EDT SUN OCT 22 2017

.NOW...

...Showers increasing over the south...

At 100 AM...doppler radar showed scattered showers increasing in
coverage across Okeechobee...Saint Lucie and Martin Counties. The
activity was moving west-northwest at 25 MPH and will spread father
north into Indian River and southern Osceola Counties. Activity may
develop even farther north toward greater Kissimmee-Saint Cloud...
Orlando and Melbourne-Palm Bay through sunrise.

Brief moderate to heavy downpours and wind gusts up to 30 MPH will
accompany some of this activity.


&&

Additional details...including graphics are available online at:
http://www.weather.gov/mlb/blog

$$





Flood Warning

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne, FL
946 AM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

A River Flood Warning remains in effect for...The Saint Johns River
near Cocoa, above Lake Harney near Geneva, near Sanford, near Deland,
and at Astor.

...Major Flooding is ongoing above Lake Harney near Geneva...

...Moderate Flooding persists near Cocoa, near Deland, and at Astor...

...Minor Flooding to continue near Sanford...

River levels are expected to remain nearly steady or only slightly
decrease this weekend into early next week, even with some additional
rainfall in the forecast. Regardless of additional rainfall over the
basin, river levels will remain above flood stage for several weeks,
with a very slow rate of decline.

FLC069-127-231346-
/O.CON.KMLB.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ASTF1.2.ER.170910T2026Z.171006T2030Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
946 AM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

The Flood Warning Continues For
  The St Johns River Near Astor.
* Moderate Flooding is Occurring and Moderate Flooding is Forecast.

*At 3.5 feet, Moderate flooding occurs with many yards and streets
along the river and with canals flooded, water enters the first floor
of low lying homes. Flooding to docks and yards at condominiums on
Juno Trail and docks at Astor Bridge Marina. Roads flooded in South
Moon Fish Camp and starting to move over the sea wall at Blair`s
Jungle Den.

&&


             Fld   Observed         Forecast 7 am EST/8 am EDT
Location     Stg   Stg  Day  Time   Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

St. Johns River
 Astor       2.8   4.0  Sat 08 AM   3.9    3.9    3.8    3.7    3.7


&&

LAT...LON 2910 8142 2935 8157 2932 8169 2908 8150




$$





Flood Warning

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne, FL
946 AM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

A River Flood Warning remains in effect for...The Saint Johns River
near Cocoa, above Lake Harney near Geneva, near Sanford, near Deland,
and at Astor.

...Major Flooding is ongoing above Lake Harney near Geneva...

...Moderate Flooding persists near Cocoa, near Deland, and at Astor...

...Minor Flooding to continue near Sanford...

River levels are expected to remain nearly steady or only slightly
decrease this weekend into early next week, even with some additional
rainfall in the forecast. Regardless of additional rainfall over the
basin, river levels will remain above flood stage for several weeks,
with a very slow rate of decline.

FLC069-127-231346-
/O.CON.KMLB.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DLAF1.3.ER.170912T0745Z.171007T1230Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
946 AM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

The Flood Warning Continues For
  The St Johns River Near Deland.
* Moderate Flooding is Occurring and Moderate Flooding is Forecast.

*At 5.0 feet, Water starts to enter buildings around Hontoon Island.
Many secondary roads and homes in low lying areas are flooded.

&&


             Fld   Observed         Forecast 7 am EST/8 am EDT
Location     Stg   Stg  Day  Time   Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

St. Johns River
 Deland      4.2   5.2  Sat 08 AM   5.2    5.1    5.1    5.1    5.1


&&

LAT...LON 2893 8131 2910 8142 2908 8150 2890 8139




$$



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NOAA National Weather Service
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Silver Spring, MD 20910
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