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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
745 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2015

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-071245-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-
CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-
FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-
GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-
MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-
MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-
PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-
SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
745 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

LIGHT SNOW AND PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE IS POSSIBLE THROUGH MID
MORNING ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
GEORGIA... GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM LAGRANGE TO
WARRENTON TO MONROE. ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIMITED TO A
DUSTING OR VERY LIGHT GLAZE. SEE THE SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
/SPSFFC/ FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.

PATCHY BLACK ICE IS ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTH AND PARTS OF
CENTRAL GEORGIA THIS MORNING. TEMPERATURES SHOULD RISE ABOVE
FREEZING ACROSS CENTRAL GEORGIA BY 10AM AND ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA
BY NOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO SUBMIT REPORTS OF WINTER WEATHER ONLINE
AT WEATHER.GOV/ATLANTA.

$$



Special Weather Statement

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
703 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2015

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>068-070>073-
061500-
DADE-WALKER-CATOOSA-WHITFIELD-MURRAY-FANNIN-GILMER-UNION-TOWNS-
CHATTOOGA-GORDON-PICKENS-DAWSON-LUMPKIN-WHITE-FLOYD-BARTOW-
CHEROKEE-FORSYTH-HALL-BANKS-JACKSON-MADISON-POLK-PAULDING-COBB-
NORTH FULTON-GWINNETT-BARROW-CLARKE-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-WILKES-
HARALSON-CARROLL-DOUGLAS-SOUTH FULTON-DEKALB-ROCKDALE-WALTON-
NEWTON-MORGAN-GREENE-TALIAFERRO-HEARD-COWETA-FAYETTE-CLAYTON-
SPALDING-HENRY-BUTTS-JASPER-PUTNAM-HANCOCK-WARREN-TROUP-
MERIWETHER-PIKE-LAMAR-MONROE-JONES-BALDWIN-
703 AM EST FRI MAR 6 2015

...LIGHT SNOW AND PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE POSSIBLE THROUGH MID
MORNING...

LIGHT SNOW AND PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NORTH
GEORGIA THROUGH 10 AM..ROUGHLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM
LAGRANGE TO WARRENTON TO MONROE.

ANY SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED TO BE LIMITED TO A DUSTING.

AS TEMPERATURES RISE...THE SNOW AND FREEZING DRIZZLE SHOULD
TRANSITION RAIN OR DRIZZLE BY MID MORNING WITH PRECIPITATION
ENDING BY THE AFTERNOON. EXCEPT FOR ISOLATED HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN
THE MOUNTAINS...TEMPERATURES SHOULD RISE ABOVE FREEZING IN THE
10AM TO NOON TIMEFRAME.

ACROSS THE WHOLE AREA...PATCHY BLACK ICE CONTINUES TO BE POSSIBLE
THIS MORNING. WITH SNOW AND LIGHT RAIN OCCURRING THIS
MORNING...AREAS THAT WERE PREVIOUSLY DRY OVERNIGHT MAY BECOME WET
AND ICY THIS MORNING. PEOPLE TRAVELING ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA THIS
MORNING SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION AND BE PREPARED FOR SLICK SPOTS
ON ROADS.



$$




Hydrologic Outlook

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
GAC009-011-013-015-021-023-035-045-047-053-055-057-059-063-067-
077-079-081-083-085-089-091-093-097-107-111-113-115-117-121-123-
125-129-133-135-139-141-143-145-149-151-153-157-159-163-167-169-
171-175-187-193-195-197-199-207-209-211-213-215-217-219-221-223-
225-227-231-233-235-237-247-249-255-259-261-263-265-269-271-279-
281-283-285-289-291-293-295-297-301-303-307-309-311-313-315-317-
319-062300-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
945 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

...SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA...

FOR THE SPRING OF 2015...THE SOUTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER IS
PREDICTING A NEAR NORMAL RIVER FLOOD POTENTIAL FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL
GEORGIA. GIVEN THAT SPRING IS CHARACTERISTICALLY AN ACTIVE PERIOD
FOR RIVER FLOODING...THIS OUTLOOK INDICATES THAT NORTH AND CENTRAL
GEORGIA CAN EXPECT TO SEE A NEARLY-TYPICAL NUMBER OF RIVER FLOODS
WITH A SIMILAR FLOOD MAGNITUDE.

...EXISTING CONDITIONS...

SOIL MOISTURE...UPPER AND LOWER SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS HAVE
BECOME ABNORMALLY MOIST IN NORTH GEORGIA TO WET IN CENTRAL GEORGIA
DUE TO RECENT WEATHER SYSTEMS PRODUCING PRECIPITATION. AVERAGE DAILY
STREAM FLOWS FOR THE PAST 30 DAYS HAVE BEEN RUNNING NEAR NORMAL
ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

CLIMATE REGIME...A NEAR NORMAL WEATHER PATTERN HAS PERSISTED THROUGH
THE WINTER MONTHS AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE SPRING. THIS
PATTERN HAS CONTRIBUTED TO STORM TRACKS THAT HAVE BROUGHT
PRECIPITATION TO NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA ABOUT EVERY 3
TO 5 DAYS. THE MORE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE BEEN ABOUT
EVERY TWO WEEKS.

RAINFALL...DURING THE PAST 90 DAYS...ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION HAS
OCCURRED OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL GEORGIA. THESE AREAS WERE GENERALLY
100 TO 125 PERCENT OF NORMAL WITH RAINFALL TOTALS OF 13 TO 17
INCHES. BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION OCCURRED OVER NORTH GEORGIA IN
DECEMBER AND THE SECOND HALF OF JANUARY...BUT WAS ABOVE NORMAL IN
THE FIRST HALF OF JANUARY AND MOST OF FEBRUARY. AS A RESULT...
WIDESPREAD MINOR FLOODING OCCURRED A FEW TIMES ACROSS NORTH AND
CENTRAL GEORGIA IN JANUARY...AND ISOLATED MINOR FLOODING OCCURRED
OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL GEORGIA IN FEBRUARY.

RESERVOIR CONSIDERATIONS...OVERALL POOL LEVELS OF THE MAJOR
RESERVOIRS IN NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA ARE NEAR OR ABOVE TARGET
LEVELS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...WITH A FEW ALREADY APPROACHING SUMMER
POOL LEVELS. NORMAL RAINFALL SHOULD ALLOW RESERVOIRS TO BE FILLED TO
SUMMER POOL CRITERIA.

METEOROLOGICAL OUTLOOK...THE SOUTHEAST U.S. MOVES INTO A MORE
TRANSITIONAL ENVIRONMENT IN THE SPRING WITH INCREASING CHANCES OF
HEAVY RAIN. THE CURRENT FORECAST FOR MARCH THROUGH MAY IS FOR EQUAL
CHANCES OF ABOVE OR BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL OVER NORTH GEORGIA AND
ABOVE NORMAL FOR CENTRAL GEORGIA. A NEUTRAL ENSO PATTERN IS EXPECTED
TO PERSIST THROUGH THE SPRING...DEVELOPING INTO EL NINO THIS SUMMER.

...SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK...
CONSIDERING THE RAINFALL EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 90 DAYS AND THE
PRE-EXISTING MOIST TO WET SOIL CONDITIONS...THE OUTLOOK IS FOR A
NEAR NORMAL CHANCE OF FLOODING THIS SPRING IN NORTH AND CENTRAL
GEORGIA.

&&

FOR DETAILED WEB INFORMATION CONCERNING RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS
FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA...GO TO:

         WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ATLANTA

AND UNDER CURRENT WEATHER...CLICK ON "RIVERS/LAKES".

FOR PRECIPITATION ANALYSIS...GO TO:

         HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV/PRECIP

FOR FORECAST PRECIPITATION...GO TO:

         WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SERFC/?N=QPFPAGEHPC24

$$

16




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Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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