weather.gov     
National Weather Service

Watches, Warnings & Advisories
NWS Homepage

3 products issued by NWS for:
Share |


Hydrologic Outlook

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
GAC009-011-013-015-021-023-035-045-047-053-055-057-059-063-067-
077-079-081-083-085-089-091-093-097-107-111-113-115-117-121-123-
125-129-133-135-139-141-143-145-149-151-153-157-159-163-167-169-
171-175-187-193-195-197-199-207-209-211-213-215-217-219-221-223-
225-227-231-233-235-237-247-249-255-259-261-263-265-269-271-279-
281-283-285-289-291-293-295-297-301-303-307-309-311-313-315-317-
319-062300-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
945 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

...SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA...

FOR THE SPRING OF 2015...THE SOUTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER IS
PREDICTING A NEAR NORMAL RIVER FLOOD POTENTIAL FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL
GEORGIA. GIVEN THAT SPRING IS CHARACTERISTICALLY AN ACTIVE PERIOD
FOR RIVER FLOODING...THIS OUTLOOK INDICATES THAT NORTH AND CENTRAL
GEORGIA CAN EXPECT TO SEE A NEARLY-TYPICAL NUMBER OF RIVER FLOODS
WITH A SIMILAR FLOOD MAGNITUDE.

...EXISTING CONDITIONS...

SOIL MOISTURE...UPPER AND LOWER SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS HAVE
BECOME ABNORMALLY MOIST IN NORTH GEORGIA TO WET IN CENTRAL GEORGIA
DUE TO RECENT WEATHER SYSTEMS PRODUCING PRECIPITATION. AVERAGE DAILY
STREAM FLOWS FOR THE PAST 30 DAYS HAVE BEEN RUNNING NEAR NORMAL
ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

CLIMATE REGIME...A NEAR NORMAL WEATHER PATTERN HAS PERSISTED THROUGH
THE WINTER MONTHS AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE SPRING. THIS
PATTERN HAS CONTRIBUTED TO STORM TRACKS THAT HAVE BROUGHT
PRECIPITATION TO NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA ABOUT EVERY 3
TO 5 DAYS. THE MORE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE BEEN ABOUT
EVERY TWO WEEKS.

RAINFALL...DURING THE PAST 90 DAYS...ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION HAS
OCCURRED OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL GEORGIA. THESE AREAS WERE GENERALLY
100 TO 125 PERCENT OF NORMAL WITH RAINFALL TOTALS OF 13 TO 17
INCHES. BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION OCCURRED OVER NORTH GEORGIA IN
DECEMBER AND THE SECOND HALF OF JANUARY...BUT WAS ABOVE NORMAL IN
THE FIRST HALF OF JANUARY AND MOST OF FEBRUARY. AS A RESULT...
WIDESPREAD MINOR FLOODING OCCURRED A FEW TIMES ACROSS NORTH AND
CENTRAL GEORGIA IN JANUARY...AND ISOLATED MINOR FLOODING OCCURRED
OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL GEORGIA IN FEBRUARY.

RESERVOIR CONSIDERATIONS...OVERALL POOL LEVELS OF THE MAJOR
RESERVOIRS IN NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA ARE NEAR OR ABOVE TARGET
LEVELS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...WITH A FEW ALREADY APPROACHING SUMMER
POOL LEVELS. NORMAL RAINFALL SHOULD ALLOW RESERVOIRS TO BE FILLED TO
SUMMER POOL CRITERIA.

METEOROLOGICAL OUTLOOK...THE SOUTHEAST U.S. MOVES INTO A MORE
TRANSITIONAL ENVIRONMENT IN THE SPRING WITH INCREASING CHANCES OF
HEAVY RAIN. THE CURRENT FORECAST FOR MARCH THROUGH MAY IS FOR EQUAL
CHANCES OF ABOVE OR BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL OVER NORTH GEORGIA AND
ABOVE NORMAL FOR CENTRAL GEORGIA. A NEUTRAL ENSO PATTERN IS EXPECTED
TO PERSIST THROUGH THE SPRING...DEVELOPING INTO EL NINO THIS SUMMER.

...SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK...
CONSIDERING THE RAINFALL EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 90 DAYS AND THE
PRE-EXISTING MOIST TO WET SOIL CONDITIONS...THE OUTLOOK IS FOR A
NEAR NORMAL CHANCE OF FLOODING THIS SPRING IN NORTH AND CENTRAL
GEORGIA.

&&

FOR DETAILED WEB INFORMATION CONCERNING RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS
FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA...GO TO:

         WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ATLANTA

AND UNDER CURRENT WEATHER...CLICK ON "RIVERS/LAKES".

FOR PRECIPITATION ANALYSIS...GO TO:

         HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV/PRECIP

FOR FORECAST PRECIPITATION...GO TO:

         WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SERFC/?N=QPFPAGEHPC24

$$

16




Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
438 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-061000-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-
CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-
FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-
GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-
MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-
MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-
PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-
SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
438 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH GEORGIA
TODAY INTO THIS EVENING.

AS MUCH COLDER AIR SPILLS INTO NORTH GEORGIA TODAY BEHIND A STRONG
COLD FRONT...RAIN WILL MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET
ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH GEORGIA. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN
EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF FAR NORTH GEORGIA TODAY. REFER TO THE ADVISORY
PRODUCT /ATLWSWFFC/ FOR MORE INFORMATION.

THERE IS ALSO A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL GEORGIA
TODAY AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. WITH LIMITED INSTABILITY...NO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...


THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL GEORGIA WEDNESDAY.

OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

$$



Special Weather Statement

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
349 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

GAZ020>025-027-030>037-041>048-052>058-066>068-052100-
BARTOW-CHEROKEE-FORSYTH-HALL-BANKS-JACKSON-MADISON-POLK-PAULDING-
COBB-NORTH FULTON-GWINNETT-BARROW-CLARKE-OCONEE-HARALSON-CARROLL-
DOUGLAS-SOUTH FULTON-DEKALB-ROCKDALE-WALTON-NEWTON-HEARD-COWETA-
FAYETTE-CLAYTON-SPALDING-HENRY-BUTTS-TROUP-MERIWETHER-PIKE-
349 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

...PATCHY BLACK ICE LIKELY THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING...

AS COLDER AIR SPREADS INTO THE STATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT
AND TEMPERATURES DROP BELOW FREEZING...PATCHES OF BLACK ICE ARE
LIKELY TO FORM CREATING SLICK SPOTS ON ROADS. PATCHY BLACK ICE WILL
BE POSSIBLE NORTH OF A LINE FROM LAGRANGE...TO GRIFFIN...COVINGTON
AND ATHENS.

PEOPLE TRAVELING ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR SLICK SPOTS ON ROADS.


$$



U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: May 16, 2007
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE