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2 products issued by NWS for: Lexington KY
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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
420 AM EST SAT FEB 28 2015

INZ084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-070>078-081-082-
010930-
CRAWFORD IN-PERRY IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-HANCOCK KY-
BRECKINRIDGE KY-MEADE KY-OHIO KY-GRAYSON KY-HARDIN KY-BULLITT KY-
JEFFERSON KY-OLDHAM KY-TRIMBLE KY-HENRY KY-SHELBY KY-FRANKLIN KY-
SCOTT KY-HARRISON KY-SPENCER KY-ANDERSON KY-WOODFORD KY-FAYETTE KY-
BOURBON KY-NICHOLAS KY-NELSON KY-WASHINGTON KY-MERCER KY-
JESSAMINE KY-CLARK KY-LARUE KY-MARION KY-BOYLE KY-GARRARD KY-
MADISON KY-BUTLER KY-EDMONSON KY-HART KY-GREEN KY-TAYLOR KY-CASEY KY-
LINCOLN KY-LOGAN KY-WARREN KY-SIMPSON KY-ALLEN KY-BARREN KY-
MONROE KY-METCALFE KY-ADAIR KY-RUSSELL KY-CUMBERLAND KY-CLINTON KY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARENGO...TELL CITY...CORYDON...
NEW ALBANY...JEFFERSONVILLE...HAWESVILLE...HARDINSBURG...
BRANDENBURG...BEAVER DAM...LEITCHFIELD...ELIZABETHTOWN...FORT KNOX...
MOUNT WASHINGTON...SHEPHERDSVILLE...LOUISVILLE...LA GRANGE...
BEDFORD...NEW CASTLE...SHELBYVILLE...FRANKFORT...GEORGETOWN...
CYNTHIANA...TAYLORSVILLE...LAWRENCEBURG...VERSAILLES...LEXINGTON...
PARIS...CARLISLE...BARDSTOWN...SPRINGFIELD...HARRODSBURG...
NICHOLASVILLE...WINCHESTER...HODGENVILLE...LEBANON...DANVILLE...
LANCASTER...RICHMOND...MORGANTOWN...BROWNSVILLE...MUNFORDVILLE...
GREENSBURG...CAMPBELLSVILLE...LIBERTY...STANFORD...RUSSELLVILLE...
BOWLING GREEN...FRANKLIN...SCOTTSVILLE...GLASGOW...TOMPKINSVILLE...
EDMONTON...COLUMBIA...JAMESTOWN...BURKESVILLE...ALBANY
420 AM EST SAT FEB 28 2015 /320 AM CST SAT FEB 28 2015/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT BRINGING SOME
LIGHT SNOW OR POSSIBLY SOME LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. THE BEST CHANCE
FOR SNOW ACCUMULATIONS UP TO AN INCH WILL BE ALONG AND NORTH OF
THE OHIO RIVER. A DUSTING WILL BE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. FOR SUNDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT THE DOMINANT
PRECIPITATION TYPE WILL BE RAIN...AND THE CURRENT FORECAST CALLS
FOR AREAL AVERAGES OF 2 TO 3 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS.
THIS RAIN WOULD FALL ON TOP OF RESIDUAL SNOW COVER AND SATURATED
GROUNDS LIKELY LEADING TO FLOODING ISSUES. THERE COULD BE
THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT AND LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS.

COLDER AIR WILL SPILL INTO THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT RESULTING IN
ANOTHER ROUND OF SNOW ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

$$

EER/MJ








Hydrologic Outlook

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-282100-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
347 AM EST SAT FEB 28 2015 /247 AM CST SAT FEB 28 2015/

...SNOWMELT AND HEAVY RAINFALL COULD CAUSE FLOODING NEXT WEEK...

THE SNOWPACK IN THE AREA CONTAINS BETWEEN ONE HALF AND TWO INCHES OF
LIQUID.  THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MELTING THIS WEEKEND AS
SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO WARM ABOVE FREEZING.
ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION WITH TOTALS
OF UP TO A HALF INCH.  THIS PRECIPITATION COMBINED WITH THE SNOWMELT
WILL SATURATE THE GROUND AND RESULT IN RISES ON SMALL STREAMS/CREEKS.

A SECONDARY STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED.
AROUND TWO TO AS MUCH AS TWO AND HALF INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED
WITH THIS STORM SYSTEM.

THE COMBINED RAINFALL FROM THE TWO SYSTEMS MENTIONED COULD TRIGGER
WIDESPREAD FLOODING ACROSS THE REGION, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH
HEAVIER SNOWPACKS. GIVEN CURRENT FORECAST PROJECTIONS, FLOODING
ON THE MAJOR RIVER STEMS WOULD LIKELY BEGIN WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUE
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

THERE IS STILL QUITE A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY WITH REGARDS TO WHERE
THE HEAVY RAINFALL AXIS WILL SET UP. THOUGH THE LATEST FORECASTS SUGGEST
IT WILL BE ALONG OR SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF THE OHIO RIVER MAIN STEM. WE
WILL CONTINUE TO WATCH THESE STORMS CLOSELY OVER THE WEEKEND AND
WILL CONTINUE COORDINATION WITH OUR RIVER FORECAST CENTERS.

RESIDENTS IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR WATER LEVELS
IN THE COMING DAYS AND PREPARE FOR POSSIBLE FLOODING BY MIDWEEK.

$$

MJ/CMC








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