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Hydrologic Outlook

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-020900-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
524 PM EDT WED APR 1 2015 /424 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015/

...HEAVY RAINFALL LIKELY ACROSS SOUTHERN INDIANA AND CENTRAL
KENTUCKY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...

THE LATEST FORECASTS INDICATE THAT SEVERAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT TWO
DAYS AS SEVERAL WEATHER SYSTEMS AFFECT THE AREA.

CURRENT TOTAL ACCUMULATED RAINFALL FORECASTS OF ONE AND A HALF TO
AS MUCH AS THREE INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT. AT THIS TIME...THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS FORECAST TO
BE ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHERN INDIANA AND THE FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS
OF KENTUCKY ALONG THE OHIO RIVER.

CURRENTLY...THE RIVERS IN OUR AREA AREA ALL WELL BELOW FLOOD
STAGE. HOWEVER...THE GROUND IS STILL RELATIVELY MOIST FROM THE
LAST FEW WEEKS OF RAINFALL. BECAUSE OF THIS...RAPID RUNOFF FROM
HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE AND THAT WOULD RESULT IN SMALLER RIVERS
AND STREAMS QUICKLY FILLING UP OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS
WILL BE ESPECIALLY TRUE IF THUNDERSTORMS MOVE OVER THE SAME AREAS
REPEATEDLY.

FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND TYPICAL FLOOD PRONE AREAS WILL BE
POSSIBLE BEGINNING THURSDAY AND CONTINUING INTO FRIDAY. PERSONS IN
AND NEAR TO FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD BE ON ALERT FOR POSSIBLY HIGH
WATER PROBLEMS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

$$

MJ





Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
352 PM EDT WED APR 1 2015

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-022000-
ORANGE IN-WASHINGTON IN-SCOTT IN-JEFFERSON IN-DUBOIS IN-CRAWFORD IN-
PERRY IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-HANCOCK KY-BRECKINRIDGE KY-
MEADE KY-OHIO KY-GRAYSON KY-HARDIN KY-BULLITT KY-JEFFERSON KY-
OLDHAM KY-TRIMBLE KY-HENRY KY-SHELBY KY-FRANKLIN KY-SCOTT KY-
HARRISON KY-SPENCER KY-ANDERSON KY-WOODFORD KY-FAYETTE KY-BOURBON KY-
NICHOLAS KY-NELSON KY-WASHINGTON KY-MERCER KY-JESSAMINE KY-CLARK KY-
LARUE KY-MARION KY-BOYLE KY-GARRARD KY-MADISON KY-BUTLER KY-
EDMONSON KY-HART KY-GREEN KY-TAYLOR KY-CASEY KY-LINCOLN KY-LOGAN KY-
WARREN KY-SIMPSON KY-ALLEN KY-BARREN KY-MONROE KY-METCALFE KY-
ADAIR KY-RUSSELL KY-CUMBERLAND KY-CLINTON KY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLI...SALEM...SCOTTSBURG...MADISON...
JASPER...MARENGO...TELL CITY...CORYDON...NEW ALBANY...
JEFFERSONVILLE...HAWESVILLE...HARDINSBURG...BRANDENBURG...
BEAVER DAM...LEITCHFIELD...ELIZABETHTOWN...FORT KNOX...
MOUNT WASHINGTON...SHEPHERDSVILLE...LOUISVILLE...LA GRANGE...
BEDFORD...NEW CASTLE...SHELBYVILLE...FRANKFORT...GEORGETOWN...
CYNTHIANA...TAYLORSVILLE...LAWRENCEBURG...VERSAILLES...LEXINGTON...
PARIS...CARLISLE...BARDSTOWN...SPRINGFIELD...HARRODSBURG...
NICHOLASVILLE...WINCHESTER...HODGENVILLE...LEBANON...DANVILLE...
LANCASTER...RICHMOND...MORGANTOWN...BROWNSVILLE...MUNFORDVILLE...
GREENSBURG...CAMPBELLSVILLE...LIBERTY...STANFORD...RUSSELLVILLE...
BOWLING GREEN...FRANKLIN...SCOTTSVILLE...GLASGOW...TOMPKINSVILLE...
EDMONTON...COLUMBIA...JAMESTOWN...BURKESVILLE...ALBANY
352 PM EDT WED APR 1 2015 /252 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT INCREASING IN
COVERAGE TOWARD SUNRISE. THE STRONGEST STORMS MAY PRODUCE WIND
GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH...BRIEFLY HEAVY RAINFALL...AND CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ON THURSDAY AS
MULTIPLE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES PASS THROUGH THE REGION. WHILE
MORNING STORMS MAY PRODUCE A FEW GUSTY WINDS AND BRIEF HEAVY
RAINFALL AT BEST...STORMS THAT OCCUR FROM MID AFTERNOON INTO THE
EVENING HOURS THURSDAY MAY BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE IN NATURE.
THESE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE STRONG WINDS...ISOLATED
HAIL...AND BRIEFLY HEAVY RAINFALL ESPECIALLY ALONG AND WEST OF
INTERSTATE 65.

SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME WIDESPREAD THURSDAY
NIGHT AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY BECOMES STALLED OVER OUR REGION.
THUNDERSTORMS TRAVELING OVER THE SAME AREAS MAY PRODUCE FLASH
FLOODING THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING.

STORMS ARE EXPECTED ONCE AGAIN ON FRIDAY...SOME OF WHICH COULD BE
STRONG TO SEVERE. HOWEVER...THE OVERALL THREAT IS UNCERTAIN AT
THIS TIME GIVEN SOME QUESTIONS AS TO HOW MUCH CLOUD COVER AND
LINGERING SHOWERS AND STORMS THERE WILL BE FRIDAY MORNING. IF
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WERE TO OCCUR...THE MOST LIKELY LOCATION
WOULD BE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO REPORT STRONG OR DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...AND
FLOODING THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE.

$$

AMS/ZBT






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