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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1233 PM EST SUN MAR 1 2015

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-021200-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...CAMARGO...
JEFFERSONVILLE...MOUNT STERLING...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...
IRVINE...RAVENNA...CLAY CITY...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...BRODHEAD...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...ANNVILLE...BURNSIDE...SOMERSET...LONDON...
MONTICELLO...STEARNS...WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...
BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...CUMBERLAND...HARLAN...
SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...
SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...BEATTYVILLE...
JACKSON...HINDMAN...PIPPA PASSES...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...
MANCHESTER...HYDEN...JENKINS...WHITESBURG...INEZ...COAL RUN...
ELKHORN CITY...PIKEVILLE...SOUTH WILLIAMSON
1233 PM EST SUN MAR 1 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SNOW IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS OF A DUSTING TO A FEW
TENTHS OF AN INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

SNOW IS POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF A WINTRY MIX OF RAIN...FREEZING RAIN...AND
SLEET GENERALLY NORTH AND EAST OF A LINE FROM STANTON...TO
HAZARD...TO HARLAN MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING.

SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY.

THE EXTENDED FORECAST INDICATES A WARM UP AND THE POTENTIAL FOR A
PROLONGED RAINFALL EVENT THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THIS
RAIN...IN ADDITION TO THE MELTING OF THE CURRENT SNOW PACK...MEANS
A HEIGHTENED RISK FOR FLOODING FOR ALL OF EASTERN KENTUCKY. AS IT
STANDS NOW...FLOODING APPEARS MOST LIKELY ALONG PORTIONS OF THE
KENTUCKY AND CUMBERLAND RIVER BASINS BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
BE SURE TO STAY ABREAST OF THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

$$

JMW




Hydrologic Outlook

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-012200-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
458 PM EST SAT FEB 28 2015

...HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING POSSIBLE NEXT WEEK...

A COUPLE OF ROUNDS OF PRECIPITATION ARE EXPECTED ACROSS EAST
KENTUCKY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
OSCILLATES NORTH AND SOUTH ACROSS THE STATE. THE FIRST ROUND OF
PRECIPITATION EXPECTED SUNDAY INTO MONDAY IS NOT EXPECTED TO
PRODUCE EXCESSIVE AMOUNTS OF RAINFALL. HOWEVER...A SECOND ROUND OF
PRECIPITATION LASTING FROM TUESDAY THROUGH MIDWEEK WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS. ALL IN ALL...A
COMBINED TOTAL OF TWO TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN IS EXPECTED ACROSS
EAST KENTUCKY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

IN ADDITION TO THE POTENTIAL HEAVY AMOUNTS OF RAIN...A FEW TO
SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW REMAIN ON THE GROUND OVER MUCH OF EASTERN
KENTUCKY...WITH THIS SNOW HOLDING A SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT OF WATER
CONTENT...PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS BORDERING
VIRGINIA AND IN NEARBY PORTIONS OF VIRGINIA AND WEST VIRGINIA.
THESE HIGHER ELEVATION LOCATIONS ARE THE HEADWATER REGIONS FOR
THE CUMBERLAND...KENTUCKY...AND BIG SANDY RIVERS AND THIS MELTING
SNOWPACK WILL CONTRIBUTE SIGNIFICANTLY TO THE POTENTIAL RUNOFF
INTO THESE RIVERS NEXT WEEK.

SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD BE THE FIRST TO EXPERIENCE
SUBSTANTIAL RISES AND POSSIBLE FLOODING NEXT WEEK. AS THE WATER
COLLECTS INTO THE LARGER CREEKS AND RIVERS...SIGNIFICANT RISES AND
AT LEAST MINOR RIVER FLOODING IS LIKELY. MORE SIGNIFICANT RIVER
FLOODING IS POSSIBLE...BUT THE SEVERITY OF ANY RIVER FLOODING IS
STILL IN QUESTION AND WILL DEPEND SIGNIFICANTLY ON WHERE THE
HEAVIEST RAIN FALLS.

VISIT OUR INTERNET WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JKL OR LISTEN TO
NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES ON
THIS POTENTIAL FLOOD THREAT.

$$

ABE/GEOGERIAN



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