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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
445 AM EDT FRI JUL 25 2014

MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-260845-
MIDLAND-BAY-HURON-SAGINAW-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-LAPEER-
ST. CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
445 AM EDT FRI JUL 25 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT AS A WARM FRONT
BEGINS TO LIFT THROUGH THE AREA. THESE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE
SEVERE...BUT WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...
WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH...AND HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL. STORMS WILL
MOVE FROM WEST TO EAST AT 35 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
LIKELY SUNDAY. SEVERE WEATHER IS POSSIBLE BOTH DAYS BUT THE
POTENTIAL LOOKS GREATER FOR SUNDAY.

A WARM FRONT WILL LEAVE WARMER AND MORE HUMID AIR OVER THE REGION
SATURDAY WHICH WILL BECOME VERY UNSTABLE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TO HELP FOCUS
ACTIVITY BUT IT WILL BE WEAK WHICH WILL CAUSE SOME UNCERTAINTY ON
TIMING AND COVERAGE OF STORMS.

A STRONGER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED SUNDAY WHICH WILL PULL
THE SATURDAY COLD FRONT BACK NORTH AS A WARM FRONT. VERY UNSTABLE
AIR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE BACK INTO THE AREA ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE
WARM FRONT. BOTH THE FRONT AND THE SURFACE LOW ARE EXPECTED TO
COMBINE TO MAKE THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AND HELP ORGANIZE STORMS FOR
GREATER SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL COMPARED TO SATURDAY.

A COOLER TEMPERATURE PATTERN WILL RETURN FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK
BUT ENOUGH INSTABILITY WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

$$



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