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Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
504 PM MDT MON SEP 15 2014

NMZ502>524-526-529-160100-
ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-
SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-SANTA FE METRO AREA-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-
WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALBUQUERQUE...LOS LUNAS...RIO RANCHO...
ANGEL FIRE...MORA...CHAMA...CLINES CORNERS...CUBA...DULCE...
EL MORRO...ESPANOLA...GALLUP...GLENWOOD...GRAN QUIVIRA...GRANTS...
LAS VEGAS...LOS ALAMOS...MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...PECOS...CERRO/QUESTA...
QUEMADO...RED RIVER...RUIDOSO...SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST...TIJERAS...
SANTA FE...SOCORRO...TAOS
504 PM MDT MON SEP 15 2014

.NOW...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO RAPIDLY DEVELOP
OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL AND WESTERN NEW MEXICO THROUGH EARLY EVENING.
THE SHOWERS AND STORMS OVER CENTRAL NEW MEXICO ARE MOVING WEST AT 10
MPH WHILE STORMS OVER WESTERN NEW MEXICO ARE MOVING EAST AT 5 MPH.
EXPECT BRIEF HEAVY RAIN...SMALL HAIL AND STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS TO 40
MPH WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. LOCAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO AN INCH
AND A HALF WITHIN TWO HOURS ARE POSSIBLE FROM THE STRONGER STORMS.

$$



Special Weather Statement

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
358 PM MDT MON SEP 15 2014

NMZ501>540-161200-
ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-CURRY COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-
EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-ESTANCIA VALLEY-FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-GUADALUPE COUNTY-HARDING COUNTY-
JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-NORTHWEST PLATEAU-QUAY COUNTY-
RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-
SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-SANTA FE METRO AREA-
SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-UNION COUNTY-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
358 PM MDT MON SEP 15 2014

...REMNANTS OF HURRICANE ODILE POSES SERIOUS FLASH FLOOD CONCERNS...

MOISTURE HAS BEEN INCREASING SLOWLY OVER NEW MEXICO...LEADING TO
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. A FEW STRONG
STORMS THIS EVENING COULD LEAD TO LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND SOME
FLOODING. INTO TUESDAY THE MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE MORE
OVER SOUTHWESTERN AND SOUTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN NEW MEXICO ON TUESDAY
TO ACCOUNT FOR POTENTIALLY SLOW-MOVING STORMS AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN.

POWERFUL HURRICANE ODILE IS CURRENTLY SPINNING OVER THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA...AND IT IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTH TO NORTHEAST THROUGH
TUESDAY. THE STORM WILL WEAKEN CONSIDERABLY...BUT WILL STILL TURN
INTO SOUTHEASTERN ARIZONA WEDNESDAY AND THEN OVER NEW MEXICO
THURSDAY. WHILE ODILE WILL LOSE ITS HURRICANE STATUS BY THE TIME IT
ARRIVES IN THE LAND OF ENCHANTMENT...THERE IS EXPECTED TO BE PLENTY
OF DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH IT.

WHILE THE BULK OF THE HEAVY RAINFALL IS AGAIN EXPECTED OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN AND SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS OF NEW MEXICO ON
WEDNESDAY...RAIN CHANCES WILL QUICKLY RISE AND BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD
BY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. SOME OF THIS RAIN WILL BE HEAVY...
CREATING CONCERNS FOR FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN CENTRAL TO
WESTERN NEW MEXICO.

FORECASTING HURRICANES AND THEIR REMNANTS IS EXTREMELY CHALLENGING...
AND SOME UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS IN THE FORECAST. NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL NEW MEXICO RESIDENTS...ALONG WITH THOSE PLANNING TRAVEL OR
OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES IN THE AREA...SHOULD STAY UP TO DATE WITH CURRENT
FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS. FORECASTS ARE UPDATED AT LEAST TWICE
DAILY AT WEATHER.GOV/ABQ. YOU CAN ALSO TUNE IN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR STAY INFORMED WITH YOUR PREFERRED BROADCAST...PRINT...OR INTERNET
WEATHER INFORMATION SOURCE.

$$

SHOEMAKE





Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
551 AM MDT MON SEP 15 2014

NMZ501>540-161200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
551 AM MDT MON SEP 15 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

HEAVY RAINFALL THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER THE UPPER GILA
REGION OF THE SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS IS POSSIBLE...WHERE LOCALIZED
AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING MAY OCCUR. THIS INCLUDES THE WHITEWATER
BALDY BURN SCAR COMPLEX.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE REMNANTS OF
HURRICANE ODILE ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY.
STORM MOTIONS WILL BE SLOW AND RAINFALL WILL LIKELY BECOME HEAVY.
THIS WILL LEAD TO LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY
OVER AND NEAR RECENT AND OLDER BURN SCARS. ISOLATED LOCATIONS MAY
RECEIVE UP TO 3 OR 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH 1 TO 2 INCHES
COMMON ACROSS WESTERN AND SOUTHERN AREAS. A FEW STORMS MAY ALSO
PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND ANY FLOODING
THROUGH THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE WEB SITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/ABQ OR BY CALLING 1.888.386.7637.

$$

40






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Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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