Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
845 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-191200-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1201 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER MAINLY WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS TONIGHT...MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEVERE WEATHER IS UNLIKELY THROUGH TONIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS MAY MOVE INTO WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND ADJACENT PARTS OF
NORTH TEXAS TONIGHT AS THEY MOVE OFF THE HIGH PLAINS OF COLORADO
AND NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO. WITH MARGINAL INSTABILITY AND SHEAR...
ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS UNLIKELY OVER OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. HOWEVER...A FEW STORMS TONIGHT MAY CONTAIN
HEAVY RAIN...GUSTY WINDS...AND SMALL HAIL.

PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT WEDNESDAY JUN 19.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...30 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...10 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
AS A WEAK WEATHER DISTURBANCE MOVES OVER THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE OVER THE REGION. STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE...WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL THE PRIMARY
HAZARDS.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
WITH RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL...MAINLY OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL AND
NORTHERN OKLAHOMA...ADDITIONAL RAINFALL MAY LEAD TO FLOODING OF
LOW-LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED
AROUND 5 AM WEDNESDAY.

$$

MBS/II