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Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
1139 AM CST Sun Jan 21 2018

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-221745-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
1139 AM CST Sun Jan 21 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

.Fire Weather...
Critical to extreme fire weather conditions will develop this
afternoon with warm, dry and breezy weather. The most significant
fire weather conditions will be across western north Texas and
western Oklahoma where humidity will fall to between 10 and 20
percent this afternoon.

.Strong Winds...
Gusty southwest to west winds are expected this afternoon into
early evening, especially for many areas in Oklahoma west of I-35
and all of western north Texas. Wind gusts up to 45 mph will be
possible.

.Thunderstorms...
There is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms across southeastern
Oklahoma.

Location...
The slight risk includes Atoka and Bryan Counties. There is a
marginal risk of severe thunderstorms west of the slight risk and
east of a line from Wewoka to Ada to Madill.

Timing...
Between 2 PM and 7 PM.

Impacts...
Thunderstorm wind gusts of 60 to 70 mph will be possible, along
with hail up to quarter size. An isolated tornado is possible in
the slight risk area although chances are low.

Discussion...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop
across southeastern Oklahoma this afternoon. The atmosphere will
become somewhat unstable in southeastern Oklahoma and may be
enough to support an isolated severe thunderstorm this afternoon
and evening. Although instability will not be very high, strong
low-level wind shear could support a low tornado threat across
southeast Oklahoma. The severe weather risk will diminish early
this evening as the storms move east of Atoka and Bryan Counties.

.SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT STATEMENT...

Storm spotter groups and emergency management personnel across
southeastern Oklahoma should prepare for severe weather
operations from around 2 PM to 7 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday...

.Fire Weather...
Critical fire weather conditions will likely develop again Monday
afternoon across western north Texas due to gusty northwest winds
and low humidity, despite cooler temperatures. Near-critical
conditions are expected over much of Oklahoma.

Increased fire weather conditions are expected again on Tuesday,
Thursday and Friday afternoon as Oklahoma and Texas remain in a
warm and dry pattern.

.Strong Winds...
Gusty northwest winds are expected again on Monday, especially
across northern Oklahoma. Wind gusts up to 45 mph could be
possible.

.Thunderstorms...
Thunderstorms will be possible Friday and Friday night.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

.26./EM




Wind Advisory

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
National Weather Service Norman OK
1245 PM CST Sun Jan 21 2018

OKZ009>011-014>018-021>024-027-033>039-044-045-TXZ083>090-220200-
/O.CON.KOUN.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-180122T0200Z/
Ellis-Woodward-Major-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Grady-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Cotton-Jefferson-Hardeman-Foard-
Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
Including the cities of Shattuck, Arnett, Gage, Fargo, Woodward,
Fairview, Cheyenne, Hammon, Seiling, Vici, Taloga, Leedey,
Weatherford, Clinton, Watonga, Geary, Okeene, Kingfisher,
Hennessey, Okarche, Elk City, Sayre, Cordell, Burns Flat,
Sentinel, Anadarko, Hinton, Yukon, Concho, El Reno, Mustang,
Chickasha, Tuttle, Hollis, Mangum, Granite, Hobart, Snyder,
Altus, Frederick, Lawton, Duncan, Walters, Temple, Waurika,
Ringling, Ryan, Quanah, Crowell, Vernon, Sheppard AFB,
Wichita Falls, Munday, Knox City, Seymour, Archer City, Holliday,
Lakeside City, Scotland, and Henrietta
1245 PM CST Sun Jan 21 2018

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CST THIS EVENING...

* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* TIMING...Now until 8 pm today.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
  Blowing dust from the strong winds may occur and reduce
  visibilities mainly across western north Texas and southwestern
  Oklahoma.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that wind gusts 40 to 57 mph are expected.
Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

MBS




Fire Weather Watch

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
National Weather Service Norman OK
740 AM CST Sun Jan 21 2018

...Critical to Extreme Fire Weather conditions This Afternoon
into Early Evening across western Oklahoma and all of western
north Texas...

.The combination of gusty winds, warm and dry weather, and dry
vegetation will cause Critical to Extreme Fire Weather conditions
this afternoon and evening. Critical Fire Weather conditions are
likely again on Monday across western north Texas and southwestern
Oklahoma due to dry and windy weather.

OKZ021-033>038-044-045-TXZ083>090-212230-
/O.CON.KOUN.FW.W.0001.180121T1800Z-180122T0200Z/
/O.CON.KOUN.FW.A.0002.180122T1800Z-180123T0000Z/
Beckham-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-Tillman-Comanche-Cotton-
Jefferson-Hardeman-Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-
Clay-
740 AM CST Sun Jan 21 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM CST
THIS EVENING FOR SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR
SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS...

* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph on
  Sunday. Northwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph on
  Monday.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 10 percent both today and Monday.

* TEMPERATURE...Highs 60 to 75 on Sunday. Highs 53 to 63 on Monday.

* IMPACTS...Fires that develop will likely spread rapidly.
  Outdoor burning is strongly discouraged.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$



Red Flag Warning

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
National Weather Service Norman OK
740 AM CST Sun Jan 21 2018

...Critical to Extreme Fire Weather conditions This Afternoon
into Early Evening across western Oklahoma and all of western
north Texas...

.The combination of gusty winds, warm and dry weather, and dry
vegetation will cause Critical to Extreme Fire Weather conditions
this afternoon and evening. Critical Fire Weather conditions are
likely again on Monday across western north Texas and southwestern
Oklahoma due to dry and windy weather.

OKZ021-033>038-044-045-TXZ083>090-212230-
/O.CON.KOUN.FW.W.0001.180121T1800Z-180122T0200Z/
/O.CON.KOUN.FW.A.0002.180122T1800Z-180123T0000Z/
Beckham-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-Tillman-Comanche-Cotton-
Jefferson-Hardeman-Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-
Clay-
740 AM CST Sun Jan 21 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM CST
THIS EVENING FOR SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR
SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS...

* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph on
  Sunday. Northwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph on
  Monday.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 10 percent both today and Monday.

* TEMPERATURE...Highs 60 to 75 on Sunday. Highs 53 to 63 on Monday.

* IMPACTS...Fires that develop will likely spread rapidly.
  Outdoor burning is strongly discouraged.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$



U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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