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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1254 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-301130-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1254 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...THIS EVENING.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
        ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
        RISK...LIMITED.
        AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
        ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...
THERE WILL BE A LIMITED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER FAR
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING AND THEN DIMINISHING AFTER
MIDNIGHT. AIR MASS OVER THAT ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL CAPPED
UNTIL EARLY EVENING. THEN...ELEVATED UNSTABLE LAYER WILL BE
AVAILABLE FOR POSSIBLE CONVECTION. STEEP LAPSE RATES INDICATE HAIL
WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT.

THERE IS ALSO A LIMITED RISK OF FIRE DANGER...MAINLY WEST OF
HIGHWAY 75. STRONG WINDS BEHIND THE COLD FRONT LATER IN THE AFTERNOON
AND DROPPING RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL CREATE THE RISK. AROUND SUNSET...WINDS
WILL DIMINISH AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL INCREASE..ENDING THE
RISK.

THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE BEHIND THE COLD FRONT...AS IT MOVES
SOUTH DURING THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS COULD BE AROUND 25 MPH. FARTHER
SOUTH...AHEAD OF THE FRONT...WINDS COULD ALSO GUST UP TO NEAR 20
MPH...BUT FROM THE SOUTH. ALL THESE WINDS WILL DIMINISH AT SUNSET.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS EVENING IN SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA WILL BE
ONGOING ON MONDAY MORNING. THE FRONT THAT PASSES THE AREA TONIGHT
WILL MOVE BACK AS A WARM FRONT...KEEPING LOW THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
FOR SEVERAL DAYS. ANOTHER COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION MID
WEEK...AND PUSHES SOUTH FRIDAY NIGHT...RESULTING IN DRY WEATHER
FOR SATURDAY.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$






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