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Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
106 PM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-301045-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
106 PM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017

...ELEVATED SEVERE STORM RISK THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.
   TORNADO. RISK...Limited.
   AREA...Far northeast Oklahoma into northwest Arkansas.
   ONSET...After 3 PM.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Far northeast Oklahoma into northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...After 3 PM.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Far eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas.
ONSET...Late afternoon.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Far eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas.
ONSET...Late afternoon.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...

An elevated risk for severe storms is forecast across far eastern
Oklahoma and western Arkansas this afternoon mainly along and east
of Highway 75. The atmosphere remains stable as of early
afternoon after last night`s thunderstorms moved through. A narrow
axis of instability will develop across far eastern Oklahoma, and
storms may develop after 3 PM ahead of a cold front now located
in central Oklahoma.

Storms which do develop will likely be supercells given strong
wind fields which will favor storm organization. These storms
will have the potential for some large hail, damaging winds and
isolated tornadoes. The better low level flow and moisture are
maximized across northwest Arkansas, which may have the higher
potential for any tornadoes.

Storms will end from west to east this evening as the strong
upper storm system moves across the area.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
FRIDAY...No Hazards.
SATURDAY through Tuesday...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
The weather pattern will remain active with chances for
thunderstorms Thursday through Sunday.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
Emergency managers and first responders should monitor the latest
forecasts updates this afternoon and evening.

weather.gov/tulsa Contains additional information.

$$

CORFIDI



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