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3 products issued by NWS for: Wagoner OK
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Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
502 AM CST Tue Feb 20 2018

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-211115-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
502 AM CST Tue Feb 20 2018

...HEAVY RAIN THREAT THROUGH TONIGHT...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Southeast Oklahoma and Western Arkansas.
ONSET...Mid-Morning.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Significant.
AREA...Southeast Oklahoma and Western Arkansas.
ONSET...Mid-Morning.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Western Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.

WINTER WEATHER.
ICE ACCUMULATION.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Osage and Pawnee Counties.
ONSET...This morning.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Western Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Widespread showers and scattered thunderstorms will continue
through tonight across much of the area, with the axis of heaviest
rainfall becoming focused from southeast OKlahoma through
northwest Arkansas later today. Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches
will be common through tonight with potential for localized flash
flooding.

A strong cold front will move through the area during the day,
with temperatures falling below freezing over parts of northeast
Oklahoma by later this morning. There will be a period of light
freezing rain with some light ice accumulation across western
portions of Osage and Pawnee Counties into early this afternoon.
This area of concern may be further expanded through the day if
temperatures fall more than anticipated.

Ahead of the front south winds will continue to gust to around 30
mph at times. Wind will shift to the north and remain gusty behind
the front.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
WEDNESDAY...Winter Weather Potential.
THURSDAY through SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain
Potential.
SUNDAY...No Hazards.
MONDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Additional rounds of widespread shower and thunderstorm activity
are expected throughout the week. Additional light ice
accumulation will be possible mainly across northeast Oklahoma
Wednesday and Wednesday night as temperatures remain near or
below freezing.

Warmer temperatures for the latter part of the work week will
coincide with higher chances for widespread, heavy rainfall for
Thursday through Saturday. The deep moist axis will once again
setup across southeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas, and
additional amounts will have the potential to create flash
flooding and mainstem river flooding by late Thursday or Friday,
particularly areas that remain saturated by the heavy rainfall
earlier in the week.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
With a very unsettled pattern in place for this week, please pay
attention to the latest updates, and includes any flash flood and
river flood watches that may be posted given the current flood
potential. Overall rain amounts and areal coverage of rainfall
will be refined with later forecasts.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$




Short Term Forecast

Short Term Forecast
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
757 AM CST Tue Feb 20 2018

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-201500-
Benton-Carroll-Washington AR-Madison-Crawford-Franklin-Sebastian-
Pushmataha-Choctaw-Osage-Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Ottawa-Pawnee-
Tulsa-Rogers-Mayes-Delaware-Creek-Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-
Cherokee-Adair-Muskogee-McIntosh-Sequoyah-Pittsburg-Haskell-
Latimer-Le Flore-
Including the cities of Rogers, Bentonville, Berryville,
Eureka Springs, Fayetteville, Springdale, Huntsville, Van Buren,
Ozark, Charleston, Fort Smith, Antlers, Clayton, Hugo, Pawhuska,
Bartlesville, Nowata, Vinita, Miami, Pawnee, Tulsa, Claremore,
Pryor, Grove, Jay, Sapulpa, Okemah, Okmulgee, Wagoner, Tahlequah,
Stilwell, Muskogee, Checotah, Sallisaw, McAlester, Stigler,
Wilburton, and Poteau
757 AM CST Tue Feb 20 2018

.NOW...
At 750 am...National Weather Service doppler radars showed scattered
to numerous showers and thunderstorms across eastern Oklahoma and
western Arkansas. The largest band of showers and thunderstorms was
moving out of central Oklahoma and into eastern Oklahoma. Movement
was to the northeast at around 50 mph.

Through 9 am...scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will
to move rapidly to the northeast across eastern Oklahoma and
western arkansas. Some of the stronger storms will be moving
across northwest Arkansas affecting the cities of Bentonville and
Rogers. Showers and thunderstorms will also be moving into the Tulsa
metro area. With temperatures at or below freezing across portions of
Washington and Osage counties in northeast Oklahoma freezing rain will
be possible.


$$




Flood Watch

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1217 AM CST Tue Feb 20 2018

...THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TUESDAY...

.A strong upper trough will approach the region tonight with
scattered showers and thunderstorms developing. Precipitation
will become more widespread as a cold front moves through the
area Tuesday into Tuesday night with locally heavy rainfall
likely, mainly along and south of I-44.

OKZ058-062-067-202200-
/O.EXA.KTSA.FA.A.0001.180220T1200Z-180221T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Ottawa-Mayes-Wagoner-
Including the cities of Miami, Pryor, and Wagoner
1217 AM CST Tue Feb 20 2018

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM CST THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT...

The National Weather Service in Tulsa has expanded the

* Flood Watch to include a portion of northeast Oklahoma...
  including the following counties...Mayes...Ottawa and Wagoner.

* From 6 AM CST this morning through late Tuesday night.

* 1 to 3 inch rainfall totals are expected tonight through
  Wednesday morning with locally higher amounts possible.

* This will likely lead to flooding in some low lying areas,
  including the potential for a few rivers to reach flood stage.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A flood watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts. Drainage ditches, creeks and other low lying
areas are prone to rises and may flood. Most flood related deaths
occur in automobiles and flooding is the leading cause of weather
related deaths.

&&

$$



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