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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
101 PM CDT FRI JUL 29 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-301030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
101 PM CDT FRI JUL 29 2016

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.


DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING ACROSS WESTERN
ARKANSAS AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE AREA.
THESE STORMS WILL MOVE OUT OF THE AREA BY MID-AFTERNOON. OTHER
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
IN THE VICINITY OF OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES. ANY OF THESE STORMS WILL HAVE
THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS
THE MAIN CONCERN. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

ANOTHER THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX MAY AFFECT THE AREA AGAIN LATE TONIGHT.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO BE ONGOING EARLY SATURDAY AND
MAY PERSIST ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA THROUGHOUT THE
DAY.  THE REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM THE REPEATED
STORM COMPLEXES WILL REMAIN A FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
INTO SUNDAY.  THEREAFTER THE WEATHER PATTERN WILL TRANSITION
TO A HOT AND DRY PATTERN WITH HEAT STRESS IMPACTS AGAIN
RETURNING TO THE AREA.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$




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