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Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
658 PM CDT FRI AUG 29 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-300130-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
658 PM CDT FRI AUG 29 2014

.NOW...

AT 6:58 PM...DOPPLER RADARS INDICATED ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED
SHOWERS AFFECTING PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
RECENT TRENDS INDICATE A GRADUAL DECREASE IN COVERAGE WITH THIS
ACTIVITY AS IT CONTINUES TO LIFT NORTH NORTHEAST AT AROUND 20 MPH.

THROUGH 8:30 PM...ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A
THUNDERSTORM OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN ARKANSAS. MUCH OF THE ACTIVITY DURING THIS TIME WILL OCCUR
ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...EASTERN SECTIONS OF CARROLL...
MADISON AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES IN ARKANSAS...AS WELL AS
OSAGE...CRAIG...ROGERS...NOWATA AND MUSKOGEE COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA. MOST LOCATIONS AFFECTED CAN EXPECT AVERAGE HOURLY
RAINFALL OF UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH. ISOLATED LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS TO UP TO ONE QUARTER INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE
STRONGER SHOWERS AND ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT MAY OCCUR.

$$








Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
506 PM CDT FRI AUG 29 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-301000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
501 PM CDT FRI AUG 29 2014

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT AS AN
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE PASSES TO OUR NORTH. AERIAL COVERAGE OF
STORMS IS EXPECTED TO BE GREATEST ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN ARKANSAS. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED...HOWEVER GUSTY
WINDS TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH STRONGER STORMS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY WITH A GRADUAL
SHIFT EASTWARD DURING THE DAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL LIKELY STALL
NEAR THE OKLAHOMA KANSAS BORDER FOR THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT
WEEK...AND PROVIDE A CONTINUED CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS PRIMARILY
ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$








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