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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
508 AM CDT MON JUN 27 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-281015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
508 AM CDT MON JUN 27 2016


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...
ONGOING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY THIS MORNING
WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS...WITH ADDITIONAL
DIURNAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT CAPABLE THIS AFTERNOON AS A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY SAGS SOUTH INTO THE REGION. A LIMITED SEVERE
WEATHER POTENTIAL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON WITH LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS
BEING THE MAIN HAZARD. OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...SMALL THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES WILL CONTINUE...MAINLY OVER SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...SOUTH OF
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY.

ALSO THIS AFTERNOON...HEAT INDEX VALUES IN THE MID 90S TO AROUND
100 DEGREES IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION. THE HIGHER OF THESE
VALUES LOOKS TO BE OVER PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA INTO WEST
CENTRAL ARKANSAS...ESPECIALLY OVER LOCATIONS THAT REMAIN DRY THIS
AFTERNOON.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES QUICKLY SPREAD BACK OVER THE REGION
WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND AS UPPER LEVEL
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW DEVELOPS OVER THE PLAINS. THESE CHANCES LOOK TO
WEAKEN SOME BY LATE IN THE WEEKEND AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
COULD BEGIN TO PUSH BACK INTO THE PLAINS. TEMPERATURES DURING THIS
TIME PERIOD ARE FORECAST TO BE MORE CLOSER TO THE SEASONAL AVERAGE
COMPARED TO RECENT DAYS.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$




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