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Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
843 AM CDT MON APR 21 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-211515-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
843 AM CDT MON APR 21 2014

.NOW...

AT 8:40 AM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATED NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDER PROGRESSING TO THE
EAST NORTHEAST AT AROUND 25 MPH ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

THROUGH 10:00 AM... SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDER ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DEVELOPING ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND EASTERN
OKLAHOMA. AVERAGE HOURLY RAINFALL RATES OF SEVERAL HUNDREDTHS OF AN
INCH ARE ANTICIPATED... ALTHOUGH PARTS OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA OR
WHERE THUNDERSTORMS OCCUR... A TENTH OR TWO OF AN INCH COULD FALL.

$$






















Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
450 AM CDT MON APR 21 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-221000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
450 AM CDT MON APR 21 2014

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO EXPAND IN
COVERAGE ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON AS A
SLOW MOVING UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM PASSES THROUGH. WEAK WIND FIELDS WILL
KEEP THE SEVERE WEATHER CHANCES VERY LOW...ALTHOUGH THE SLOW
MOVEMENT OF STORMS COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

PRECIPITATION WILL TAPER OFF THIS EVENING.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE LATER IN THE WEEK AS THE NEXT
UPPER SYSTEM APPROACHES. FORECAST LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND WIND FIELDS
APPEAR SUPPORTIVE OF SOME SEVERE WEATHER...ESPECIALLY LATER
THURSDAY. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL PERSIST INTO THE
WEEKEND.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$







U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
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Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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