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Flash Flood Watch

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
327 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-300930-
/O.CON.KTSA.FF.A.0008.000000T0000Z-150531T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...
SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
327 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF ARKANSAS AND OKLAHOMA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
  AREAS...IN ARKANSAS...BENTON...CARROLL...CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN...
   MADISON...SEBASTIAN AND WASHINGTON. IN OKLAHOMA...ADAIR...
  CHEROKEE...CHOCTAW...CRAIG...CREEK...DELAWARE...HASKELL...
  LATIMER...LE FLORE...MAYES...MCINTOSH...MUSKOGEE...NOWATA...
  OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...OSAGE...OTTAWA...PAWNEE...PITTSBURG...
  PUSHMATAHA...ROGERS...SEQUOYAH...TULSA...WAGONER AND
  WASHINGTON.

* THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING

* SHOWERS...AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN ONGOING ACROSS
  EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS INTO THE OVERNIGHT
  HOURS. ANOTHER ROUND  OF MORE WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS WITH
  HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT WILL IMPACT THE
  AREA LATER TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCH
  RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE LIKELY ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA... WITH
  LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE. THE HIGHER RAINFALL
  AMOUNTS THAT OCCUR OVER ALREADY SATURATED GROUND WILL LEAD TO
  LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING.

THE HEAVY RAINFALL FROM THE PAST WEEK HAS CAUSED AREA LAKES...
SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND LOW LYING
AREAS AS WELL AS THE MAJOR RIVERS TO FLOOD. THIS FLOODING WILL
LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. MANY AREA LAKES ARE NEAR OR
SLIGHTLY OVER FULL CAPACITY. HIGH RELEASES ARE REQUIRED AND THIS
MAY FLOOD THE DOWNSTREAM RIVER. ALSO...TRIBUTARIES THAT FEED INTO
THESE RESERVOIRS WILL BACK UP AND FLOOD UNTIL LAKE LEVELS GET
UNDER CONTROL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS RAPIDLY RISING WATER OR FLOODING IS
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE
ROAD...THE ROAD MAY BE WASHED OUT UNDERNEATH THE RUSHING WATER.
TAKE A DIFFERENT ROUTE TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION OR WAIT UNTIL
THE WATER RECEDES.

IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...KEEP INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR
QUICK ACTION IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A WARNING IS
ISSUED.  HAVE A MEANS OF RECEIVING ANY WARNINGS ISSUED OVERNIGHT
SUCH AS A WEATHER RADIO.

&&

$$








Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
306 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-292130-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
306 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

.NOW...

AT 3:00 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS CONTINUED TO
DETECT AN AREA OF RAIN SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS
AFFECTING MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA...AND MOVING INTO WESTERN
ARKANSAS. THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION WAS LOCATED ALONG AND EAST OF
A LINE FROM BARTLESVILLE...TO CLAYTON. A FEW STRONGER STORMS WERE
LOCATED WITHIN OTTAWA...DELAWARE...AND CHEROKEE COUNTIES. ALL THIS
ACTIVITY WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST...AROUND 30 MILES PER
HOUR.

THROUGH 4:30 PM...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO
SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. MODERATE RAINFALL CAN
BE EXPECTED...WITH POCKETS OF BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL IN THE STRONGER
STORMS. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WITHIN THE MAIN AREA OF RAINFALL
WILL RANGE FROM AROUND A QUARTER OF AN INCH...TO A HALF INCH PER
HOUR...WITH LOCALIZED HEAVIER AMOUNTS WITH THE STRONGER CELLS. A
FEW OF THE STORMS COULD ALSO BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE...WITH ALL
MODES OF SEVERE WEATHER POSSIBLE.

$$

16




Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
158 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-301030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
158 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015


...SEVERE WEATHER AND FLOODING THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

TORNADO.
        RISK...LIMITED.
 AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
        ONSET...ONGOING.


SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
 AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
        ONSET...ONGOING.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA..AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON...THREAT EXPANDS
        EAST THIS AFTERNOON..AND INTO WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST
        ARKANSAS BY THIS EVENING.

ONSET...ONGOING.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON...THREAT EXPANDS
        EAST THIS AFTERNOON...AND INTO WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST
        ARKANSAS BY THIS EVENING.

        ONSET...ONGOING.


DISCUSSION...

INCREASED WIND SHEAR IN THE LOWEST LEVELS WILL RESULT IN A LIMITED
TORNADO AND SEVERE WIND RISK THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS PARTS
OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. AREAS
ALONG AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 69 WILL RISK FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES AND
SEVERE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS TO 60 MILES AN HOUR THIS AFTERNOON. THE
SEVERE RISKS WILL INCREASE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING
ACROSS WEST CENTRAL...AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.


INCREASING AREAL COVERAGE OF RAIN OCCURRING THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND HAS RESULTED IN ADDITIONAL FLOODING
ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. THIS ACTIVITY WILL IMPACT WEST
CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS BY THIS EVENING...AND CONTINUE INTO
TONIGHT. THEREFORE...THE RISK FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND
FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THOSE AREAS OVERNIGHT AS THE RAIN AXIS
MOVES EAST. AREAL FLOODING NEAR THE MAIN STEM RIVERS AND LAKES WILL
BE MAINTAINED AS WELL.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... LOCAL SPOTTER
ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A QUIETER UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL BEGIN TO TAKE SHAPE OVER THE
WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK...RESULTING IN MUCH DRIER CONDITIONS
COMPARED TO WHAT WAS OBSERVED DURING THE MONTH OF MAY. ONLY LOW
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE IN THE FORECAST FOR PARTS OF THE AREA
THROUGH NEXT WEEK.


EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
PLEASE NOTE THAT AREAL FLOODING WILL LIKELY CONTINUE INTO NEXT
WEEK...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WHERE AREA LAKES AND ARE NEAR OR OVER FULL
CAPACITY...AND RIVERS THAT HAVE BEEN IN A PROLONGED PERIOD OF AT
LEAST MODERATE FLOODING.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$









Flood Warning

FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
913 PM CDT THU MAY 28 2015

ARC007-015-033-047-087-131-143-OKC001-021-023-035-041-061-077-079-
091-097-101-105-107-111-115-121-127-131-135-145-300230-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FA.W.0026.000000T0000Z-150530T0230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CRAWFORD AR-FRANKLIN AR-MADISON AR-SEBASTIAN AR-
WASHINGTON AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-DELAWARE OK-HASKELL OK-
LE FLORE OK-MCINTOSH OK-MAYES OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-OKFUSKEE OK-
OKMULGEE OK-OTTAWA OK-PITTSBURG OK-PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-
SEQUOYAH OK-WAGONER OK-LATIMER OK-ADAIR OK-
913 PM CDT THU MAY 28 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  ADAIR COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  BENTON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...
  CARROLL COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...
  CHEROKEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
  CHOCTAW COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  CRAIG COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  CRAWFORD COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...
  DELAWARE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  EASTERN OKMULGEE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  EASTERN ROGERS COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  FRANKLIN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS...
  HASKELL COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  LATIMER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  LE FLORE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  MADISON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...
  MAYES COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  MCINTOSH COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  MUSKOGEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
  OTTAWA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  PITTSBURG COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  PUSHMATAHA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  SEBASTIAN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS...
  SEQUOYAH COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
  SOUTHEASTERN NOWATA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  SOUTHEASTERN OKFUSKEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
  WAGONER COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  WASHINGTON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...

* UNTIL 930 PM CDT FRIDAY

* AT 912 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
NO RAINFALL WAS FALLING ACROSS THE WARNED AREA.

THE HEAVY RAINFALL FROM THE PAST WEEK HAS CAUSED AREA LAKES...SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND LOW LYING AREAS AS WELL
AS THE MAJOR RIVERS TO FLOOD. THIS FLOODING WILL LIKELY CONTINUE FOR
MUCH OF THIS WEEK. AREA LAKES ARE NEAR OR SLIGHTLY OVER FULL
CAPACITY. HIGH RELEASES ARE REQUIRED AND THIS MAY FLOOD THE
DOWNSTREAM RIVER. ALSO...TRIBUTARIES THAT FEED INTO THESE RESERVOIRS
WILL ALSO BACK UP AND FLOOD UNTIL LAKE LEVELS GET UNDER CONTROL.
ROADS NEAR THESE LAKES MAY BE UNDER WATER DUE TO FLOODING FROM THESE
LAKES...ESPECIALLY EUFAULA...WISTER...SARDIS AND HUGO.

* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING TO OCCUR.
  SOME LOCATIONS THAT COULD EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...ANTLERS...
  BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...CEDARVILLE...CHARLESTON...CLAYTON...
  EUFAULA...EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...FORT SMITH...HUGO...
  HUNTSVILLE...JAY...MCALESTER...MIAMI...MOUNTAINBURG...MUSKOGEE...
  NATURAL DAM...OZARK...POTEAU...PRYOR...ROGERS...SALLISAW...SILOAM
  SPRINGS...SPRINGDALE...STIGLER...STILWELL...TAHLEQUAH...VAN BUREN
  AND VINITA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD TO
UNKNOWN DEPTHS. IT ONLY TAKES TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER TO CARRY AWAY
MOST SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES AND PICKUPS. TAKE A DIFFERENT ROUTE TO
REACH YOUR DESTINATION OR WAIT UNTIL THE WATER RECEDES. REMEMBER...
MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES.

&&

LAT...LON 3577 9351 3576 9369 3538 9370 3492 9444
      3451 9446 3450 9504 3393 9516 3386 9581
      3415 9599 3417 9578 3459 9568 3468 9610
      3528 9599 3529 9613 3602 9568 3700 9540
      3700 9462 3651 9461 3650 9330 3612 9329

$$








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Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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