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6 products issued by NWS for: Poteau OK
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Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
106 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-292000-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
106 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

.NOW...

AT 1:06 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS CONTINUED TO
DETECT AN AREA OF RAIN SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA. THE HEAVIEST
PRECIPITATION WAS LOCATED ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE FROM
CENTRALIA...TO CLAYTON. ALL THIS ACTIVITY WAS MOVING TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST...AROUND 30 MILES PER HOUR.

THROUGH 3:00 PM...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. LIGHT TO
MODERATE RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED...WITH POCKETS OF BRIEF HEAVY
RAINFALL IN THE STRONGER STORMS. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WITHIN THE
MAIN AREA OF RAINFALL WILL RANGE FROM AROUND A QUARTER OF AN
INCH...TO A HALF INCH PER HOUR...WITH LOCALIZED HEAVIER AMOUNTS WITH
THE STRONGER CELLS. WHILE SEVERE WEATHER IS UNLIKELY...THE HEAVIER
RAINFALL COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING ISSUES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR
INTO A FLOODED ROADWAY.

$$

16





Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1251 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-301030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1251 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015


...FLOODING THE MAIN CONCERN THROUGH THE WEEKEND...


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
 AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS EVENING.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA..AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON...THREAT EXPANDS
        EAST THIS AFTERNOON..AND INTO WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST
        ARKANSAS BY THIS EVENING.

ONSET...ONGOING.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON...THREAT EXPANDS
        EAST THIS AFTERNOON...AND INTO WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST
        ARKANSAS BY THIS EVENING.

        ONSET...ONGOING.


DISCUSSION...
INCREASING AREAL COVERAGE OF RAIN OCCURRING THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND HAS RESULTED IN ADDITIONAL FLOODING
ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. ALONG WITH SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL THIS AFTERNOON...THIS ACTIVITY WILL IMPACT WEST
CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS BY THIS EVENING...AND CONTINUE INTO
TONIGHT. THE RISK FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS THOSE AREAS OVERNIGHT THE RAIN AXIS MOVES EAST.
AREAL FLOODING NEAR THE MAIN STEM RIVERS AND LAKES WILL BE
MAINTAINED AS WELL. THE SEVERE WEATHER RISK WILL REMAIN LIMITED
DUE TO WEAKER WINDS ALOFT AND A MORE STABLE ENVIRONMENT THAT HAS
RESULTED FROM ONGOING/RECENT RAINFALL.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... LOCAL SPOTTER
ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A QUIETER UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL BEGIN TO TAKE SHAPE OVER THE
WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK...RESULTING IN MUCH DRIER CONDITIONS
COMPARED TO WHAT WAS OBSERVED DURING THE MONTH OF MAY. ONLY LOW
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE IN THE FORECAST FOR PARTS OF THE AREA
THROUGH NEXT WEEK.


EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
PLEASE NOTE THAT AREAL FLOODING WILL LIKELY CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK...
ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WHERE AREA LAKES AND ARE NEAR OR OVER FULL
CAPACITY...AND RIVERS THAT HAVE BEEN IN A PROLONGED PERIOD OF AT
LEAST MODERATE FLOODING.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$






Flash Flood Watch

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1052 AM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-300300-
/O.CON.KTSA.FF.A.0008.000000T0000Z-150531T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...JAY...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...
SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
1052 AM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF ARKANSAS AND OKLAHOMA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
  AREAS...IN ARKANSAS...BENTON...CARROLL...CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN...
   MADISON...SEBASTIAN AND WASHINGTON. IN OKLAHOMA...ADAIR...
  CHEROKEE...CHOCTAW...CRAIG...CREEK...DELAWARE...HASKELL...
  LATIMER...LE FLORE...MAYES...MCINTOSH...MUSKOGEE...NOWATA...
  OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...OSAGE...OTTAWA...PAWNEE...PITTSBURG...
  PUSHMATAHA...ROGERS...SEQUOYAH...TULSA...WAGONER AND
  WASHINGTON.

* THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING

* SHOWERS...AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN ONGOING ACROSS
  EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS TODAY. ANOTHER ROUND OF
  MORE WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED
  WITH A COLD FRONT WILL IMPACT THE AREA LATER TONIGHT THROUGH
  SATURDAY. ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCH RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE LIKELY
  ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA... WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES
  POSSIBLE. THE HIGHER RAINFALL AMOUNTS THAT OCCUR OVER ALREADY
  SATURATEDW GROUND WILL LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING.


THE HEAVY RAINFALL FROM THE PAST WEEK HAS CAUSED AREA LAKES...
SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND LOW LYING
AREAS AS WELL AS THE MAJOR RIVERS TO FLOOD. THIS FLOODING WILL
LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. MANY AREA LAKES ARE NEAR OR
SLIGHTLY OVER FULL CAPACITY. HIGH RELEASES ARE REQUIRED AND THIS
MAY FLOOD THE DOWNSTREAM RIVER. ALSO...TRIBUTARIES THAT FEED INTO
THESE RESERVOIRS WILL BACK UP AND FLOOD UNTIL LAKE LEVELS GET
UNDER CONTROL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS RAPIDLY RISING WATER OR FLOODING IS
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE
ROAD...THE ROAD MAY BE WASHED OUT UNDERNEATH THE RUSHING WATER.
TAKE A DIFFERENT ROUTE TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION OR WAIT UNTIL
THE WATER RECEDES.

IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...KEEP INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR
QUICK ACTION IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A WARNING IS
ISSUED.  HAVE A MEANS OF RECEIVING ANY WARNINGS ISSUED OVERNIGHT
SUCH AS A WEATHER RADIO.

&&

$$





Flood Warning

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
831 AM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Oklahoma...

  Poteau River near Poteau affecting Le Flore County.

  Poteau River near Panama affecting Le Flore County.

OKC079-292131-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-150603T1312Z/
/PANO2.3.ER.150520T1222Z.150527T0745Z.150603T0712Z.NO/
831 AM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Poteau River near Panama.
* until Wednesday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:30 AM Friday, the stage was 40.47 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Poteau River near Panama will continue falling to
  below flood stage by Wednesday before dawn.
* Impact...At 41.0 feet, very severe flooding occurs from near Poteau
  to Arkoma. Up to 20,000 acres of farmland is flooded. Several
  county roads crossing the Poteau River are totally impassable. This
  is a dangerous situation.

&&

LAT...LON 3521 9470 3504 9462 3523 9442 3540 9439 3540 9449

$$




Flood Warning

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
831 AM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Oklahoma...

  Poteau River near Poteau affecting Le Flore County.

  Poteau River near Panama affecting Le Flore County.

OKC079-292131-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-150601T0049Z/
/PTAO2.3.ER.150524T1615Z.150526T2030Z.150531T1849Z.NO/
831 AM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Poteau River near Poteau.
* until Sunday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:00 AM Friday, the stage was 29.66 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Poteau River near Poteau will continue falling to
  below flood stage by early Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, very severe flooding affects croplands and
  county roads from southeast of Poteau to the mouth of Brazil Creek.
  This is a dangerous situation.

&&

LAT...LON 3513 9468 3495 9471 3495 9461 3506 9454 3513 9456

$$



Flood Warning

FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
913 PM CDT THU MAY 28 2015

ARC007-015-033-047-087-131-143-OKC001-021-023-035-041-061-077-079-
091-097-101-105-107-111-115-121-127-131-135-145-300230-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FA.W.0026.000000T0000Z-150530T0230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CRAWFORD AR-FRANKLIN AR-MADISON AR-SEBASTIAN AR-
WASHINGTON AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-DELAWARE OK-HASKELL OK-
LE FLORE OK-MCINTOSH OK-MAYES OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-OKFUSKEE OK-
OKMULGEE OK-OTTAWA OK-PITTSBURG OK-PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-
SEQUOYAH OK-WAGONER OK-LATIMER OK-ADAIR OK-
913 PM CDT THU MAY 28 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  ADAIR COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  BENTON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...
  CARROLL COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...
  CHEROKEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
  CHOCTAW COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  CRAIG COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  CRAWFORD COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...
  DELAWARE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  EASTERN OKMULGEE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  EASTERN ROGERS COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  FRANKLIN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS...
  HASKELL COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  LATIMER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  LE FLORE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  MADISON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...
  MAYES COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  MCINTOSH COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  MUSKOGEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
  OTTAWA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  PITTSBURG COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  PUSHMATAHA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  SEBASTIAN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS...
  SEQUOYAH COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
  SOUTHEASTERN NOWATA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  SOUTHEASTERN OKFUSKEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
  WAGONER COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  WASHINGTON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...

* UNTIL 930 PM CDT FRIDAY

* AT 912 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
NO RAINFALL WAS FALLING ACROSS THE WARNED AREA.

THE HEAVY RAINFALL FROM THE PAST WEEK HAS CAUSED AREA LAKES...SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND LOW LYING AREAS AS WELL
AS THE MAJOR RIVERS TO FLOOD. THIS FLOODING WILL LIKELY CONTINUE FOR
MUCH OF THIS WEEK. AREA LAKES ARE NEAR OR SLIGHTLY OVER FULL
CAPACITY. HIGH RELEASES ARE REQUIRED AND THIS MAY FLOOD THE
DOWNSTREAM RIVER. ALSO...TRIBUTARIES THAT FEED INTO THESE RESERVOIRS
WILL ALSO BACK UP AND FLOOD UNTIL LAKE LEVELS GET UNDER CONTROL.
ROADS NEAR THESE LAKES MAY BE UNDER WATER DUE TO FLOODING FROM THESE
LAKES...ESPECIALLY EUFAULA...WISTER...SARDIS AND HUGO.

* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING TO OCCUR.
  SOME LOCATIONS THAT COULD EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...ANTLERS...
  BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...CEDARVILLE...CHARLESTON...CLAYTON...
  EUFAULA...EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...FORT SMITH...HUGO...
  HUNTSVILLE...JAY...MCALESTER...MIAMI...MOUNTAINBURG...MUSKOGEE...
  NATURAL DAM...OZARK...POTEAU...PRYOR...ROGERS...SALLISAW...SILOAM
  SPRINGS...SPRINGDALE...STIGLER...STILWELL...TAHLEQUAH...VAN BUREN
  AND VINITA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD TO
UNKNOWN DEPTHS. IT ONLY TAKES TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER TO CARRY AWAY
MOST SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES AND PICKUPS. TAKE A DIFFERENT ROUTE TO
REACH YOUR DESTINATION OR WAIT UNTIL THE WATER RECEDES. REMEMBER...
MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES.

&&

LAT...LON 3577 9351 3576 9369 3538 9370 3492 9444
      3451 9446 3450 9504 3393 9516 3386 9581
      3415 9599 3417 9578 3459 9568 3468 9610
      3528 9599 3529 9613 3602 9568 3700 9540
      3700 9462 3651 9461 3650 9330 3612 9329

$$








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Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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