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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
450 PM CDT WED JUL 27 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-281030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
450 PM CDT WED JUL 27 2016

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS. THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE INTO
THIS EVENING. THE STRONGER STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND
GUSTS UP TO ABOUT 50 MPH. MUCH OF THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO
DISSIPATE AROUND SUNSET. THE BEST CHANCE FOR OVERNIGHT THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY IS SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A MOIST...UNSTABLE...AND WEAKLY CAPPED AIR MASS WILL REMAIN OVER THE
REGION THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. THIS WILL RESULT IN CONTINUE CHANCES OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH SUNDAY. GREATER PRECIPITATION
CHANCES LOOK TO BE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY...AND AGAIN FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY AS THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES PUSH INTO THE REGION
WITHIN THE UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY FLOW.

A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDS BACK ACROSS THE REGION LATE THIS WEEKEND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL BE MINIMIZED AS A
RESULT OF THIS WEATHER PATTERN AND A RETURN TO ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$

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