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7 products issued by NWS for: Poteau OK
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Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
651 AM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-291400-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-TULSA-ROGERS-
MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-CHEROKEE-ADAIR-
MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...
HUGO...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...VINITA...MIAMI...
PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...GROVE...JAY...SAPULPA...
OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...WAGONER...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...
CHECOTAH...SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
651 AM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

.NOW...

AT 6:51 AM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS CONTINUED TO
DETECT A LARGE AREA OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS. SOME OF THE STORMS
EARLY THIS MORNING HAD BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE...HOWEVER THE
ACTIVITY HAD WEAKENED OVER THE PAST HOUR. ALL THIS ACTIVITY WAS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST...AROUND 35 MILES PER HOUR.

THROUGH 9:00 AM...RAIN SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA. A FEW OF THE STORMS
COULD BECOME STRONG...MAINLY SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 40. THE MAIN THREATS
WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS. FLOODING WILL ALSO BECOME A
CONCERN AS THE DAY PROGRESSES AS SEVERAL INCHES OF RAIN HAVE
ALREADY FALLEN...AND 1 TO 2 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS
EXPECTED.

$$

16




Flood Advisory

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
622 AM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

OKC077-079-121-127-291415-
/O.NEW.KTSA.FA.Y.0006.160429T1122Z-160429T1415Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
PITTSBURG OK-LE FLORE OK-LATIMER OK-PUSHMATAHA OK-
622 AM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN PITTSBURG COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA...
  LE FLORE COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA...
  LATIMER COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA...
  NORTHERN PUSHMATAHA COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA...

* UNTIL 915 AM CDT

* AT 619 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN DUE TO
  THUNDERSTORMS. THIS WILL CAUSE URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING IN
  THE ADVISORY AREA.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
  POTEAU...                         WILBURTON...
  CLAYTON...                        HEAVENER...
  HARTSHORNE...                     TALIHINA...
  WISTER...                         HOWE...
  RED OAK...                        FANSHAWE...
  ALBION...                         OCTAVIA...
  HEAVENER RUNESTONE STATE PARK...  HIGGINS...
  TUSKAHOMA...                      BIG CEDAR...
  STANLEY...                        MUSE...
  TALIMENA STATE PARK...            CLAYTON LAKE STATE PARK...

2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN HAS ALREADY OCCURRED WITH ANOTHER INCH
POSSIBLE. THIS ADDITIONAL RAIN WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING.

LAT...LON 3490 9566 3506 9510 3506 9493 3511 9492
      3494 9445 3452 9449 3452 9567

$$




Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
538 AM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-301030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
538 AM CDT FRI APR 29 2016


....SEVERE STORM AND HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL THROUGH TONIGHT...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA....SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
ONSET...LATE AFTERNOON.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA...NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.


FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.


DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED THIS MORNING ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
IN RESPONSE TO A LOW LEVEL JET AND A NORTHWARD ADVANCING WARM
FRONT. SOME OF THESE STORMS WILL MAINTAIN SEVERE POTENTIAL
THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AND
POSSIBLY WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS BEFORE WEAKENING SOME AS THE LOW
LEVEL JET SUBSIDES. LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH
MORNING STORMS.

AT LEAST SOME DEGREE OF THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE WILL PERSIST
ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. HOWEVER...THE SURFACE WARM FRONT
WILL SERVE AS FOCUS FOR ADDITIONAL CONVECTION BY THIS AFTERNOON.
THESE STORMS WILL ALSO CARRY A SEVERE POTENTIAL WITH LARGE HAIL AS
THE PRIMARY THREAT. STORMS THAT DEVELOP AND SUSTAIN THEMSELVES
ALONG THE BOUNDARY WILL ALSO HAVE A LIMITED TORNADO THREAT.
UNCERTAINTY AS TO HOW FAR NORTH THE BOUNDARY PROGRESSES EXISTS.
MORNING CONVECTION WILL LIKELY SLOW NORTHWARD MOVEMENT OF THE WARM
FRONT...AND AT THIS TIME SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA WILL HAVE THE BEST
CHANCES FOR SEVERE WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE RISK OF
SEVERE WEATHER WILL LIKELY EXPAND NORTH SHOULD THE WARM FRONT
ADVANCE MORE THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST.


ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND STORMS IS EXPECTED TONIGHT ALONG THE
TRAILING COLD FRONT. THESE STORMS WILL CARRY AT LEAST A LIMITED
SEVERE POTENTIAL...WITH LARGE HAIL AND STRAIGHT LINE WINDS AS THE
MAIN THREATS. THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH
FROM WEST TO EAST LATE TONIGHT ONCE THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH.

ADDITIONALLY...MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES THAT
OCCUROVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING ACROSS
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL BE IN EFFECT THIS
MORNING THROUGH 7 AM SATURDAY.


SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK LIKELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SOME RAIN AND THUNDER MAY LINGER ACROSS FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS SATURDAY MORNING. A WEAK SYSTEM WILL BRING
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES BACK TO THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. A
PERIOD OF SETTLED WEATHER TO FOLLOW FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.


WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$




Severe Thunderstorm Watch

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 123
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
420 AM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 123 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

OKC061-077-079-091-101-121-127-135-291500-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0123.160429T0920Z-160429T1500Z/

OK
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

HASKELL              LATIMER             LE FLORE
MCINTOSH             MUSKOGEE            PITTSBURG
PUSHMATAHA           SEQUOYAH
$$


ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...







Flash Flood Watch

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
412 AM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

ARZ029-OKZ049-053-073>076-292130-
/O.CON.KTSA.FF.A.0003.160429T1200Z-160430T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SEBASTIAN-PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT SMITH...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...HUGO...
MCALESTER...STIGLER...WILBURTON...POTEAU
412 AM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
  INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS...
  SEBASTIAN. IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...CHOCTAW...HASKELL...
  LATIMER...LE FLORE...PITTSBURG AND PUSHMATAHA.

* FROM 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING

* SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
  CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND PARTS OF WEST CENTRAL
  ARKANSAS INTO TONIGHT BEFORE SHIFTING EAST OF THE REGION BY
  SATURDAY MORNING. WIDESPREAD 1 TO 3 INCH RAINFALL TOTALS ARE
  EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

* IF THE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MATERIALIZE AS FORECAST...LOCALIZED
  FLOODING OR FLASH FLOODING WILL BE LIKELY. MAIN STEM RIVER
  FLOODING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

$$




Flood Watch

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1103 AM CDT THU APR 28 2016

...The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a Flood Watch for
the following rivers in Oklahoma...

  Poteau River near Poteau affecting Le Flore County
  Poteau River near Panama affecting Le Flore County
  Kiamichi River near Antlers affecting Pushmataha County
  Red River at Arthur City affecting Choctaw County

OKC079-300403-
/O.NEW.KTSA.FL.A.0007.160428T1603Z-160501T0600Z/
/PTAO2.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1103 AM CDT THU APR 28 2016

The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a
* Flood Watch for
  The Poteau River near Poteau
* until late Saturday night.
* At 10:45 AM Thursday, the stage was 3.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast...Flood stage may be exceeded Saturday if the expected
  rainfall of 2 to 4 inches occurs. If the heaviest rain falls further
  north than currently expected, there is a higher chance of exceeding
  flood stage. However, if the rain falls further south, the chance of
  flooding will go down. Listen for later forecasts and possible warnings.

$$



Flood Watch

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1103 AM CDT THU APR 28 2016

...The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a Flood Watch for
the following rivers in Oklahoma...

  Poteau River near Poteau affecting Le Flore County
  Poteau River near Panama affecting Le Flore County
  Kiamichi River near Antlers affecting Pushmataha County
  Red River at Arthur City affecting Choctaw County

OKC079-300402-
/O.NEW.KTSA.FL.A.0008.160428T1603Z-160502T1500Z/
/PANO2.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1103 AM CDT THU APR 28 2016

The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a
* Flood Watch for
  The Poteau River near Panama
* until Monday morning.
* At 10:30 AM Thursday, the stage was 10.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Forecast...Flood stage may be exceeded this weekend if the expected
  rainfall of 2 to 4 inches occurs. If the heaviest rain falls further
  north than currently expected, there is a higher chance of exceeding
  flood stage. However, if the rain falls further south, the chance of
  flooding will go down. Listen for later forecasts and possible warnings.

$$



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