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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
505 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-021000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
505 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2014

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...LOCATIONS NEAR THE OKLAHOMA KANSAS BORDER.
ONSET...AFTER 5 PM.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...GENERALLY NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40.
ONSET...AFTER 3 PM.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO EXTREME NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH EVENING HOURS.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTERNOON.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS ONGOING EARLY THIS MORNING ACROSS FAR NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS WILL CONTINUE EASTWARD
AND WEAKEN THROUGH MID MORNING.  THE REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
...ALONG WITH A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT NEAR THE OKLAHOMA KANSAS
BORDER...WILL SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  INSTABILITY WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON WHILE WINDS ALOFT STRENGTHEN.  THIS COMBINATION WILL
ALLOW STORMS WHICH DEVELOP LATER TODAY TO BECOME SEVERE.
THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER HAZARDS WILL BE DAMAGING OUTFLOW
WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.  THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED INTENSE
SEVERE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 80 MPH WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS.
ADDITIONALLY...A BRIEF WIND OF TORNADIC POTENTIAL WILL EXIST
WITH STORMS WHICH DEVELOP IN THE LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY
EVENING HOURS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
AND POSSIBLY FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS LATER TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.
FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THE WEAK COLD FRONT ALONG WITH VARIOUS OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES WILL
REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY AND SERVE
AS A FOCUS FOR CONTINUED THUNDERSTORM CHANCES.  TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL FOR MID TO LATE WEEK...BEFORE
THE NEXT COLD FRONT AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARRIVE NEXT WEEKEND.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$







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