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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1155 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-041045-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1155 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2015


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...WEST OF HIGHWAY 75 IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA .
ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.


DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.


DISCUSSION...
TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON WILL RISE SLIGHTLY ABOVE THE SEASONAL
AVERAGES. THIS WILL HELP CREATE HEAT INDICES IN THE MID TO UPPER
90S ACROSS THE REGION. A FEW LOCATIONS IN EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
ALONG THE RIVER VALLEY IN WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS COULD SEE HEAT
INDEX VALUES AROUND 100 DEGREES.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASE SOME LATE TONIGHT...MAINLY WEST OF
HIGHWAY 75 IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM BEGINS TO PUSH INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS
 HEAT POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
HIGHER THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL EXIST TUESDAY...MAINLY ACROSS
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS TUESDAY AS THE UPPER
LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS. PERIODS
OF HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG WITH AN ISOLATED SEVERE POTENTIAL WILL
EXIST NEAR THE OKLAHOMA KANSAS BORDER TUESDAY.

LOWER STORM CHANCES WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH FRIDAY OVER
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AS THE UPPER LOW PUSHES
OFF TO THE EAST. ADDITIONALLY...A COUPLE OF UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCES COMBINED WITH A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVE THROUGH
THE REGION.  SOUTH OF THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY...HOT AND HUMID
CONDITIONS MAY RESULT IN DANGEROUS HEAT INDICES EACH AFTERNOON
WEDNESDAY INTO THE WEEKEND.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$




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