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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
524 AM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-011000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
524 AM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHWEST OF A PAWNEE TO BARTLESVILLE LINE.
ONSET...MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

DISCUSSION...

THERE IS A VERY LIMITED RISK OF MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL MAINLY
AFTER MIDNIGHT TO THE NORTHWEST OF TULSA. AFTER A DRY DAY
TODAY...ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO
DEVELOP OVER NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS LATE
TONIGHT. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY MAY MAKE IT FAR ENOUGH EAST TO
AFFECT PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF
TULSA.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY THRU MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

SOME LINGERING ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED STORMS WILL LIKELY BE
ONGOING NEAR THE KANSAS BORDER WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH A LOW SEVERE
THREAT. THE BULK OF THE DAY WEDNESDAY SHOULD BE QUIET.

STORMS ARE FORECAST TO FIRE LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT AND UPPER DISTURBANCE. MORE STORMS ARE
CERTAINLY POSSIBLE ALONG THE FRONT AS IT MOVES THRU LATER IN THE
DAY ON THURSDAY AND INTO THURSDAY EVENING. THE STORMS LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY WILL HAVE THE HIGHEST POTENTIAL OF
BEING SEVERE...AS THE COMBINATION OF SHEAR AND INSTABILITY WILL BE
MOST FAVORABLE. DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN
THREATS.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$

LACY




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Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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