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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
452 AM CDT WED APR 23 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-241000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
452 AM CDT WED APR 23 2014

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...LATE MORNING.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 44.
ONSET...LATE MORNING.

DISCUSSION...
AN ELEVATED RISK OF RAPID FIRE SPREAD WILL EXIST FROM LATE THIS
MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF
INTERSTATE 44 AS A RESULT OF SOUTHERLY WINDS GUSTING TO 25
MPH...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES...AND LOW AFTERNOON RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE WITH SUNSET.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE INTO PORTIONS OF
EASTERN OKLAHOMA...ESPECIALLY NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AFTER MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT. ALTHOUGH WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED...A
FEW OF THE STORMS MAY PRODUCE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS
AND 50 TO 60 MPH WINDS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE ONGOING EARLY THURSDAY MORNING ACROSS
PORTIONS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA...EVENTUALLY SPREADING INTO WESTERN
ARKANSAS THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL END
FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST DURING THE AFTERNOON AS DRIER AIR
MOVES IN BEHIND A COLD FRONT.

AFTER A BRIEF DRY PERIOD THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE EARLY SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND...AS A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM IN THE WESTERN UNITED STATES MOVES INTO THE PLAINS. THIS
WEATHER PATTERN WILL SUPPORT MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS. SUNDAY CONTINUES TO LOOK MOST LIKELY TO FEATURE THE MOST
WIDESPREAD SEVERE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IN THE AREA...INCLUDING
THE POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES...VERY LARGE HAIL...AND DAMAGING
WINDS. SPECIFIC DETAILS ON THE WEEKEND SEVERE WEATHER THREATS
WILL CONTINUE TO BE REFINED DURING THE COMING DAYS.

THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY BEFORE THE UPPER
LOW MOVES EAST OF THE REGION. MUCH COOLER WEATHER WILL MOVE INTO
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THEREAFTER.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$







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