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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
523 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-301045-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
523 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...THIS EVENING.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT PUSHING THROUGH EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWESTERN
ARKANSAS THIS EVENING WILL INTERACT WITH INCREASING MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO FORM IN THAT REGION THIS EVENING. THE COMBINATION
OF WEAK INSTABILITY AND FAVORABLE WIND SHEAR WILL RESULT IN THE
POTENTIAL FOR A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING DOWNBURST WIND.

WARM TEMPERATURES...GUSTY WIND...AND DRY AIR WILL CONTINUE TO
SUPPORT A LIMITED THREAT OF FIRE SPREAD THROUGH THIS EVENING.
COOLING TEMPERATURES...DECREASING WIND...AND RISING HUMIDITY WILL
REDUCE THE THREAT BY LATE EVENING.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVING ACROSS THE SOUTH
CENTRAL UNITED STATES THIS WEEK ALONG WITH THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK
SURFACE FRONT WILL CONTINUE THE THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ACROSS
PORTIONS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE AREA
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY CONTINUING THE THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY. THERE IS A RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. DRIER AND MORE STABLE AIR WILL SPREAD
INTO THE AREA BEHIND THE FRONT...BRINGING FAIR WEATHER TO BEGIN
THE WEEKEND.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$

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