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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
100 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-021000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
100 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2014


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...LOCATIONS NEAR THE OKLAHOMA KANSAS BORDER.
ONSET...AFTER 5 PM.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...GENERALLY NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40.
ONSET...AFTER 3 PM.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO EXTREME NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH EVENING HOURS.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.



DISCUSSION...
LEFT OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES HAVE BEGUN WASHING OUT ACROSS THE REGION
THIS AFTERNOON. CLOUD COVER THAT REMAINS FROM PREVIOUS CONVECTION
ALSO CONTINUES TO THIN... AND WILL AID IN DESTABILIZING THE
ATMOSPHERE AS THE AFTERNOON PROGRESSES. THE MAIN FRONTAL
BOUNDARY...CURRENTLY ACROSS SOUTHERN KANSAS...WILL SERVE AS A
FOCUS FOR ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. INCREASED INSTABILITY ALONG WITH STRENGTHENING WINDS
ALOFT WILL ALLOW STORMS THAT DEVELOP LATER TODAY TO BECOME SEVERE.
THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER HAZARDS WILL BE DAMAGING OUTFLOW WINDS
AND LARGE HAIL. HOWEVER...THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED INTENSE
SEVERE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 80 MPH WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS.
ADDITIONALLY...A BRIEF WINDOW OF TORNADIC POTENTIAL WILL EXIST
WITH STORMS WHICH DEVELOP IN THE LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY
EVENING HOURS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK LIKELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.
FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THE WEAK COLD FRONT ALONG WITH VARIOUS OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES WILL
REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY...AND WILL SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR
CONTINUED THUNDERSTORM CHANCES.  TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL
ABOVE NORMAL FOR MID TO LATE WEEK...BEFORE THE NEXT COLD FRONT AND
ASSOCIATED THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARRIVE NEXT WEEKEND.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$





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Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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