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3 products issued by NWS for: Nashville TN
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Flood Advisory

TNC037-070000-
/O.NEW.KOHX.FL.Y.0015.150306T1200Z-150307T0000Z/
/DONT1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
606 AM CST FRI MAR 6 2015

The National Weather Service in Nashville, TN has issued a
* Flood Advisory for
  The Stones River Near Donelson
* At 5 AM Friday the stage was near steady at 21.6 feet.
* The river will remain high through today.
* At 20.0 feet...Portions of the Stones River Greenway between Percy Priest Dam
  and Lebanon Road are inundated.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.

$$





Special Weather Statement

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
526 AM CST FRI MAR 6 2015

TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-062200-
STEWART-MONTGOMERY-ROBERTSON-SUMNER-MACON-CLAY-PICKETT-HOUSTON-
HUMPHREYS-DICKSON-CHEATHAM-DAVIDSON-WILSON-TROUSDALE-SMITH-
JACKSON-PUTNAM-OVERTON-FENTRESS-PERRY-HICKMAN-LEWIS-WILLIAMSON-
MAURY-MARSHALL-RUTHERFORD-CANNON-DE KALB-WHITE-CUMBERLAND-BEDFORD-
COFFEE-WARREN-GRUNDY-VAN BUREN-WAYNE-LAWRENCE-GILES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOVER...CLARKSVILLE...SPRINGFIELD...
GALLATIN...LAFAYETTE...CELINA...BYRDSTOWN...ERIN...WAVERLY...
DICKSON...ASHLAND CITY...NASHVILLE...LEBANON...MOUNT JULIET...
HARTSVILLE...CARTHAGE...GAINESBORO...COOKEVILLE...LIVINGSTON...
JAMESTOWN...LOBELVILLE...CENTERVILLE...HOHENWALD...FRANKLIN...
BRENTWOOD...COLUMBIA...LEWISBURG...MURFREESBORO...WOODBURY...
SMITHVILLE...SPARTA...CROSSVILLE...SHELBYVILLE...TULLAHOMA...
MANCHESTER...MCMINNVILLE...ALTAMONT...SPENCER...WAYNESBORO...
LAWRENCEBURG...PULASKI
526 AM CST FRI MAR 6 2015

...TRAVEL CONDITIONS STILL HAZARDOUS AROUND MIDDLE TENNESSEE...

THE HEAVY ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW AND SLEET FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AND THURSDAY MORNING WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT IN HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS AROUND THE MID-STATE TODAY. WHILE THE SUN WILL BE OUT
IN FULL STRENGTH... TEMPERATURES WILL ONLY TOP OUT IN THE LOW TO
MIDDLE 30S. MANY ROADS AROUND MIDDLE TN...ESPECIALLY THOSE LESS
TRAVELED SECONDARY ROADS...WILL REMAIN ICE AND SNOW COVERED.

ANY MELTING THAT DOES OCCUR TODAY WILL REFREEZE TONIGHT AS
TEMPERATURES FALL BACK INTO THE UPPER TEENS AND LOW 20S...CAUSING
PATCHY BLACK ICE AND SLICK ROAD CONDITIONS ONCE AGAIN.

$$

27







Hydrologic Outlook

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
TNC003-015-021-027-031-035-037-041-043-049-055-061-081-083-085-
087-099-101-111-117-119-125-133-135-137-141-147-149-159-161-165-
169-175-177-181-185-187-189-062200-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
349 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015

...THE SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK FOR 2015 IS ABOVE AVERAGE IN THE
SHORT-TERM AND AVERAGE FOR THE REST OF THE SPRING...

FOR THE SPRING OF 2015...THERE IS AN AVERAGE TO ABOVE AVERAGE RISK
FOR FLOODING ACROSS MIDDLE TENNESSEE. RECENT PRECIPITATION HAS
NEARLY SATURATED THE SOIL MOISTURE...AND STREAM FLOWS REMAIN
ELEVATED. THIS HAS INCREASED THE OVER-ALL FLOOD RISK IN THE
SHORT-TERM TO ABOVE AVERAGE. FURTHERMORE...LINGERING SNOW AND ICE
FROM RECENT WINTER WEATHER EVENTS MAY LEAD TO ADDITIONAL RISES ON
AREA CREEKS AND STREAMS SHOULD A RAPID MELT OCCUR.

...EXISTING CONDITIONS...

SOIL MOISTURE REMAINS NEARLY SATURATED DUE TO THE RECENT RAINFALL
ACROSS THE AREA. ONCE SPRING GREEN UP OCCURS...VEGETATION WILL BEGIN
TO USE THIS MOISTURE...AND MORE RAINFALL WILL BE NEEDED BEFORE SOIL
SATURATION OCCURS. THEREFORE...ONCE PLANTS AND TREES ARE NO LONGER
DORMANT OUR FLOOD RISK BECOMES AVERAGE.

WINTER TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN WELL BELOW NORMAL...WITH FEBRUARY
RECORDING AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AS COLD AS 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.
THIS UNUSUAL COLD SPELL LED TO A FEW FROZEN GROUND ISSUES...BUT A
RECENT MODERATION OF TEMPERATURES AND A RISING SUN ANGLE HAS
ALLEVIATED CONCERNS.

PRECIPITATION FOR THE WINTER WAS BELOW NORMAL FOR MOST AREAS...BUT A
RECENT SHIFT TO A WET PATTERN HAS MADE UP THE DIFFERENCES AND MOST
LOCATIONS ARE NEAR NORMAL...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE MID-STATE.

...METEOROLOGICAL OUTLOOK...

THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER FORECASTS INDICATE THERE IS A SLIGHTLY
HIGHER PROBABILITY OF WETTER THAN NORMAL CONDITIONS...WITH EQUAL
CHANCES OF ABOVE...BELOW...OR NORMAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE
MID-STATE FOR THE MONTH OF MARCH.

FOR THE SPRING MONTHS OF MARCH-APRIL-MAY...THE CLIMATE PREDICTION
CENTER FORECASTS INDICATE THERE ARE EQUAL CHANCES OF
ABOVE...BELOW...OR NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND PRECIPITATION ACROSS
MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

...2015 SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK...

THE OVERALL SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK IS ABOVE AVERAGE IN THE SHORT-TERM
DUE TO RECENT RAINFALL AND LINGERING ICE AND SNOW IN SOME LOCATIONS.
ONCE THE WINTER LIKE PATTERN BREAKS AND SPRING GREEN UP
OCCURS...EXPECT AN AVERAGE RISK OF FLOODING FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
SPRING.

$$

05






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