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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
348 PM EST SAT FEB 13 2016

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-
005-006-008-142100-
CHEROKEE-CLAY-SCOTT TN-CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-HANCOCK-HAWKINS-
SULLIVAN-JOHNSON-MORGAN-ANDERSON-UNION-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-
NORTHWEST COCKE-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTHWEST GREENE-
SOUTHEAST GREENE-WASHINGTON TN-UNICOI-NORTHWEST CARTER-
SOUTHEAST CARTER-ROANE-LOUDON-KNOX-JEFFERSON-NW BLOUNT-
BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTH SEVIER-SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-
SEQUATCHIE-BLEDSOE-RHEA-MEIGS-MCMINN-NORTHWEST MONROE-
SOUTHEAST MONROE-MARION-HAMILTON-BRADLEY-WEST POLK-EAST POLK-LEE-
WISE-SCOTT-RUSSELL-WASHINGTON-
348 PM EST SAT FEB 13 2016 /248 PM CST SAT FEB 13 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST NORTH
CAROLINA...EAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

A STRONG WINTER STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA SUNDAY AFTERNOON
WITH CONTINUING IMPACT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. WITH SUB-FREEZING
AIR IN PLACE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLATEAU...NORTHEAST TENNESSEE AND
SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL WILL START FALLING SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...AND THEN CONTINUE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. THE SNOW
WILL MIX WITH RAIN FROM KNOXVILLE SOUTH OVERNIGHT. LATE SUNDAY
NIGHT WARMER AIR ALOFT WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST AND SOUTH
PRODUCING A MIXTURE OF RAIN...SNOW...AND SLEET...WITH PATCHY
FREEZING RAIN TOO. THERE WILL BE A GRADUAL CHANGE FROM MIXED
PRECIPITATION TO ALL RAIN LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING
FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST. ANY CHANGES IN THE DURATION AND TIMING
OF FROZEN PRECIPITATION TYPES WILL GREATLY AFFECT ACCUMULATION
AMOUNTS.

WIDESPREAD ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN
SECTIONS OF THE AREA. THE RAIN WILL CHANGE BACK TO SNOW LATE
MONDAY NIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY...ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND THE EASTERN TENNESSEE
MOUNTAINS ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA LINE WHERE SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE BY TUESDAY MORNING. ANOTHER WEAKER
SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST TUESDAY
AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY NIGHT WITH MORE SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE
ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

SPECIFIC FORECAST DETAILS REGARDING PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS...TYPE
AND GEOGRAPHIC POSITIONING AS WELL AS THE TIMING OF TRANSITIONS
FROM SNOW TO RAIN AND RAIN BACK TO SNOW...ARE STILL SOMEWHAT
UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME.

PLEASE STAY INFORMED AND UP TO DATE ON THE LATEST FORECAST
INFORMATION REGARDING THIS POTENTIAL WINTER STORM...PARTICULARLY IF
YOU HAVE TRAVEL PLANS DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WINTER PRECIPITATION REPORTS MAY BE NEEDED SUNDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

$$

DGS/TD




Special Weather Statement

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
337 PM EST SAT FEB 13 2016

NCZ060-061-TNZ040-067>071-073-081>086-098>102-141000-
CHEROKEE-CLAY-NORTHWEST COCKE-ROANE-LOUDON-KNOX-JEFFERSON-
NW BLOUNT-NORTH SEVIER-SEQUATCHIE-BLEDSOE-RHEA-MEIGS-MCMINN-
NORTHWEST MONROE-MARION-HAMILTON-BRADLEY-WEST POLK-EAST POLK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MURPHY...HAYESVILLE...NEWPORT...
KINGSTON...LENOIR CITY...KNOXVILLE...DANDRIDGE...MARYVILLE...
SEVIERVILLE...DUNLAP...PIKEVILLE...DAYTON...DECATUR...ATHENS...
MADISONVILLE...JASPER...CHATTANOOGA...CLEVELAND...BENTON...
DUCKTOWN
337 PM EST SAT FEB 13 2016 /237 PM CST SAT FEB 13 2016/

...MIXED WINTRY PRECIPITATION EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY
MORNING...

A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN FALLING ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN CUMBERLAND PLATEAU...THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN TENNESSEE
VALLEY...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA BEGINNING SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
THE MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THIS AREA THROUGH THE
EVENING. AFTER MIDNIGHT ON SUNDAY NIGHT...WARM AIR ABOVE THE
SURFACE WILL MOVE IN...WHICH WILL LIKELY PRODUCE A MIX OF
RAIN...SNOW...AND SLEET...WITH PATCHY FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE IN
SOME LOCATIONS. THE MIXED PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE OVER
TO ALL RAIN THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.

AT THIS TIME...THE GREATER KNOXVILLE AREA...SOUTHERN CUMBERLAND
PLATEAU...AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA COULD
SEE UP TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION...WITH A LIGHT
GLAZE OF ICE POSSIBLE IN SOME LOCATIONS. THE CHATTANOOGA AREA IS
EXPECTED TO SEE LITTLE TO NO SNOW OR ICE ACCUMULATION AS
TEMPERATURES AT THE GROUND SHOULD REMAIN AT OR ABOVE FREEZING.
HOWEVER...SLIGHT CHANGES IN THE DURATION AND TIMING OF EACH TYPE OF
PRECIPITATION WILL GREATLY IMPACT THE ACCUMULATION AMOUNTS.

ANY ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW OR OTHER WINTRY PRECIPITATION ARE
EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT.  HOWEVER...DRIVING AND WALKING MAY BE
DIFFICULT ON SOME ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...SLOW DOWN AND
ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

$$




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