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4 products issued by NWS for: Memphis TN
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Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Memphis TN
348 AM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-301100-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Benton TN-Calhoun-Carroll-Chester-Chickasaw-Clay-
Coahoma-Craighead-Crittenden-Crockett-Cross-DeSoto-Decatur-
Dunklin-Dyer-Fayette-Gibson-Greene-Hardeman-Hardin-Haywood-
Henderson-Henry-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lake-Lauderdale-Lawrence-
Lee AR-Lee MS-Madison-Marshall-McNairy-Mississippi-Monroe-Obion-
Panola-Pemiscot-Phillips-Poinsett-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Quitman-
Randolph-Shelby-St. Francis-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tippah-Tipton-
Tishomingo-Tunica-Union-Weakley-Yalobusha-
348 AM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of East Arkansas...
the Missouri Bootheel...North Mississippi...and West Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

There is an Enhanced Risk of severe thunderstorms over portions
of northeast Arkansas north of Jonesboro. There is a Slight Risk
of severe thunderstorms west of the Mississippi River. There is a
Marginal Risk along and immediately east of the Mississippi River.

Scattered thunderstorms will be possible mainly west of the
Mississippi River today. Coverage of storms will increase late
tonight, with storms becoming widespread over eastern Arkansas and
the Missouri bootheel toward daybreak Sunday.

The primary severe weather risks are damaging winds, large hail
and persistent heavy rains sufficient to produce flash flooding.
An secondary risk of a tornado will exist mainly in the Enhanced
Risk area, mainly this evening and early overnight.

The risk for flash flooding will increase for eastern Arkansas and
the Missouri bootheel by late evening and persist through the
overnight.

A wind advisory is in effect for portions of the Midsouth today.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

There is a Slight Risk for severe thunderstorms over all of the
Midsouth Sunday. Primary risks will be damaging winds and heavy
rainfall sufficient to produce flash flooding. Secondary threats
will include large hail and isolated brief tornadoes.

Non-thunderstorm winds may reach advisory criteria on Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be necessary through Sunday afternoon.

$$

PWB



Wind Advisory

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Memphis TN
327 AM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

...Strong Winds expected today across portions of the Midsouth...

.A strengthening storm in the Southern Plains will provide windy
conditions across western portions of the Midsouth today. Winds
are expected to subside slightly tonight but will likely increase
back to advisory criteria for a majority of the region on Sunday.

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-MSZ001-
007-008-010>012-020-TNZ001-002-019-048-049-088-292100-
/O.CON.KMEG.WI.Y.0009.170429T1400Z-170430T0000Z/
Randolph-Clay-Lawrence-Greene-Craighead-Poinsett-Mississippi-
Cross-Crittenden-St. Francis-Lee AR-Phillips-Dunklin-Pemiscot-
DeSoto-Tunica-Tate-Coahoma-Quitman-Panola-Tallahatchie-Lake-Obion-
Dyer-Lauderdale-Tipton-Shelby-
Including the cities of Pocahontas, Piggott, Corning,
Walnut Ridge, Paragould, Jonesboro, Harrisburg, Blytheville,
Wynne, West Memphis, Forrest City, Marianna, Helena, West Helena,
Kennett, Caruthersville, Southaven, Olive Branch, Tunica,
Senatobia, Clarksdale, Marks, Batesville, Charleston,
Tiptonville, Union City, Dyersburg, Ripley TN, Covington,
Bartlett, Germantown, Collierville, Memphis, and Millington
327 AM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM
CDT THIS EVENING...

* WINDS...south winds sustained of 20 to 30 mph...with gusts to
  40 mph.

* TIMING...9 am CDT Saturday morning through 7 pm CDT Saturday
  evening.

* IMPACTS...Loose outdoor items will be vulnerable in the wind.
  Driving may become hazardous...especially for high profile
  vehicles on west to east roadways.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that sustained winds of 25 to 39 mph are
expected...or gusts will range between 40 and 57 mph. Winds this
strong can make driving difficult...especially for high profile
vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

PWB



Flash Flood Watch

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Memphis TN
325 AM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

...A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect for eastern Arkansas,
the Missouri Bootheel and far northwest Tennessee, and has been
extended east to include additional portions of west Tennessee
and north Mississippi for Sunday...

.A very humid tropical airmass will prevail over the Midsouth
through Sunday. Isolated thunderstorms may produce locally heavy
rainfall over eastern Arkansas and the Missouri bootheel this
afternoon and evening. Overnight, the coverage of thunderstorms
will likely increase west of the Mississippi River. After daybreak
Sunday, widespread thunderstorms will move into west Tennessee
and northwest Mississippi. While storm total rain amounts will
likely be less significant east of the Mississippi River, intense
rainfall rates of 2 to 3 inches per hour may lead to increased
flash flood risks Sunday morning through early Sunday afternoon.
Some uncertainty remains with respect to the eastward extent of
the flash flood potential Sunday. As such, the Flash Flood Watch
may be expanded eastward pending additional forecast analysis.

MSZ001-002-007-008-010>013-020>022-TNZ048>051-088-089-292100-
/O.EXB.KMEG.FF.A.0001.170430T1200Z-170430T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
DeSoto-Marshall-Tunica-Tate-Coahoma-Quitman-Panola-Lafayette-
Tallahatchie-Yalobusha-Calhoun-Lauderdale-Tipton-Haywood-Crockett-
Shelby-Fayette-
Including the cities of Southaven, Olive Branch, Holly Springs,
Tunica, Senatobia, Clarksdale, Marks, Batesville, Oxford,
Charleston, Water Valley, Coffeeville, Bruce, Calhoun City,
Ripley TN, Covington, Brownsville, Alamo, Bartlett, Germantown,
Collierville, Memphis, Millington, Somerville, and Oakland
325 AM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...

The National Weather Service in Memphis has expanded the

* Flash Flood Watch to include portions of North Mississippi and
  West Tennessee, including the following areas, in North
  Mississippi, Calhoun, Coahoma, DeSoto, Lafayette, Marshall,
  Panola, Quitman, Tallahatchie, Tate, Tunica, and Yalobusha. In
  West Tennessee, Crockett, Fayette, Haywood, Lauderdale,
  Shelby, and Tipton.

* From Sunday morning through Sunday afternoon.

* Periods of heavy rain are forecast, with rainfall of 2 to 3
  inches possible in as little as an hour. Localized storm total
  amounts up to 4 inches possible.

* Recent rainfall has saturated soils across the watch area. Any
  additional heavy rainfall may result in the potential for
  flash flooding and subsequent river flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$



Flood Advisory

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Memphis TN
848 PM CDT Fri Apr 28 2017

...The National Weather Service in Memphis TN has issued a Flood
Advisory for the Mississippi River...

  Mississippi River at Memphis affecting Crittenden...DeSoto and
  Shelby Counties

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The next River Statement will be issued Saturday or sooner if conditions
warrant.

For graphical river and flood information...please go to
www.weather.gov and click near Memphis on the map. Then select Rivers
and Lakes AHPS under current conditions.

Do not drive through flooded areas...turn around don`t drown.

Stay tuned to your weather radio and your local news media for the
latest river information.

&&

ARC035-MSC033-TNC157-300148-
/O.NEW.KMEG.FL.Y.0009.170429T0148Z-170503T0446Z/
/MEMT1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
848 PM CDT Fri Apr 28 2017

The National Weather Service in Memphis TN has issued a
* Flood Advisory for
  the Mississippi River at Memphis
* from Friday April 28 until Tuesday May 2.
* At 8 PM Friday the stage was 22.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 34.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise around a foot every day
  and is expected to be near 32.5 feet Wednesday May 10.
* At 33.0 feet...In Memphis, Rivergate Drive could begin to flood
  north of the rail yards. In Arkansas, settlement at Blue Lake is
  flooded. Most all secondary roads east of the Arkansas levee are
  covered.

&&

LAT...LON 3539 9025 3539 8995 3533 9005 3513 9004
      3491 9008 3491 9041

$$




U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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