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Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1137 AM CST SUN DEC 4 2016

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-051200-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-DE SOTO-
RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA-SABINE-NATCHITOCHES-WINN-
GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-MCCURTAIN-BOWIE-FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-
MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-HARRISON-CHEROKEE-RUSK-
PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-ANGELINA-SAN AUGUSTINE-
1137 AM CST SUN DEC 4 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...EAST TEXAS AND
NORTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND SHIFT EAST ACROSS
PORTIONS OF DEEP EAST TEXAS AND NORTHCENTRAL LOUISIANA THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE RAIN AREAS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
EXPAND NORTH NORTHEAST ACROSS EAST TEXAS...NORTH LOUISIANA...AND
POSSIBLY EXTREME SOUTHERN ARKANSAS LATE TONIGHT...AS AN UPPER
LEVEL STORM SYSTEM SHIFTS EAST ACROSS MEXICO AND NEARS THE TEXAS
BIG BEND REGION BY DAYBREAK. HOWEVER...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS
EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

SHOWERS WITH A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE
REGION MONDAY...AS THE PARENT UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM SHIFTS
NORTHEAST ACROSS TEXAS. PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY ACROSS DEEP EAST TEXAS...NORTH
LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...WITH ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS UP TO THREE INCHES POSSIBLE. THIS MAY RESULT IN LOCALIZED
FLASH FLOODING AND MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING...POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS MONDAY BEFORE THE RAIN DIMINISHES FROM SOUTHWEST TO
NORTHEAST MONDAY EVENING. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT ACROSS THE REGION AHEAD OF AN ARCTIC
COLD FRONT...BUT RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT...WITH UP TO A
THIRD OF AN INCH POSSIBLE. THE COLDEST AIR OF THE FALL SEASON WILL
ARRIVE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING...WITH A WIDESPREAD
AND POSSIBLY LONG DURATION FREEZE EXPECTED AREAWIDE THURSDAY NIGHT
BEFORE TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO GRADUALLY MODERATE BY NEXT WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...AMATEUR RADIO
OPERATORS...AND STORM SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

$$

15




Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
207 PM CST SUN DEC 4 2016

LAZ013-014-017>022-TXZ165>167-042200-
JACKSON-OUACHITA-SABINE-NATCHITOCHES-WINN-GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-
ANGELINA-SAN AUGUSTINE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF JONESBORO, MONROE, MANY, ZWOLLE,
PLEASANT HILL, NATCHITOCHES, WINNFIELD, COLFAX, MONTGOMERY,
DRY PRONG, CLARKS, GRAYSON, COLUMBIA, JENA, MIDWAY, OLLA, LUFKIN,
SAN AUGUSTINE, HEMPHILL, AND PINELAND
207 PM CST SUN DEC 4 2016

.NOW...
AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS
OF DEEP EAST TEXAS AND WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA.
THROUGH 4 PM...LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED WILL GENERALLY BE
EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM LUFKIN TEXAS TO MONROE
LOUISIANA. THIS ACTIVITY IS MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST AROUND 45 MPH.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD BE LIGHT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS...
GENERALLY LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH.

$$

09




Flood Warning

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1021 AM CST SUN DEC 4 2016

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Do not drive vehicles through flooded waterways.  Use caution when
walking near flooded riverbanks.  Do not try to wade or swim in
flooded rivers and bayous.

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv

&&

TXC005-225-373-455-457-051621-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0148.161205T0417Z-161208T0000Z/
/DIBT2.1.ER.161205T0417Z.161206T0000Z.161207T0600Z.NO/
1021 AM CST SUN DEC 4 2016

...The flood warning extended until Wednesday evening...The flood
warning continues for
  the Neches River Near Diboll.
* from this evening to Wednesday evening...or until the warning is
  cancelled.
* At  9:15 AM Sunday The stage was 9.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise
  to near 12.9 feet BY early Tuesday morning. The river will fall
  below flood stage by early Wednesday morning.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding occurs.

&&

LAT...LON 3138 9492 3107 9455 3103 9459 3111 9485 3136 9500

$$

25




U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
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Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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