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3 products issued by NWS for: Culpeper VA
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Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
419 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

VAZ050-051-055-056-502-282100-
CULPEPER-STAFFORD-SOUTHERN FAUQUIER-SPOTSYLVANIA-ORANGE-
419 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN STAFFORD...
NORTHEASTERN ORANGE...SOUTHEASTERN CULPEPER...NORTH CENTRAL
SPOTSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEASTERN FAUQUIER COUNTIES...

AT 419 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 13 MILES NORTHWEST
OF SPOTSYLVANIA...OR 14 MILES WEST OF FREDERICKSBURG...MOVING NORTH
AT 30 MPH.

WINDS AROUND OF 30 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BEALETON...MIDLAND...STORCK...SUMERDUCK...LOCUST GROVE...
BRISTERSBURG...LAKE OF THE WOODS...FLAT RUN...HEFLIN...PARKER...
DUNAVANT...SOMERVILLE...COOKSTOWN...GOLDVEIN...LOIS...RICHARDSVILLE
AND MORRISVILLE.

LAT...LON 3829 7785 3862 7778 3857 7754 3856 7753
      3856 7750 3826 7769
TIME...MOT...LOC 2019Z 197DEG 26KT 3835 7775

$$

BJL




Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
320 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

MDZ003>006-501>507-VAZ025>031-036>040-050-051-501>508-WVZ050>053-
055-501>506-291930-
WASHINGTON-FREDERICK MD-CARROLL-NORTHERN BALTIMORE-
EXTREME WESTERN ALLEGANY-CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALLEGANY-
NORTHWEST MONTGOMERY-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MONTGOMERY-
NORTHWEST HOWARD-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST HOWARD-NORTHWEST HARFORD-
AUGUSTA-ROCKINGHAM-SHENANDOAH-FREDERICK VA-PAGE-WARREN-CLARKE-
NELSON-ALBEMARLE-GREENE-MADISON-RAPPAHANNOCK-ORANGE-CULPEPER-
NORTHERN FAUQUIER-SOUTHERN FAUQUIER-WESTERN HIGHLAND-
EASTERN HIGHLAND-WESTERN LOUDOUN-EASTERN LOUDOUN-
NORTHERN VIRGINIA BLUE RIDGE-CENTRAL VIRGINIA BLUE RIDGE-
HAMPSHIRE-MORGAN-BERKELEY-JEFFERSON-HARDY-WESTERN GRANT-
EASTERN GRANT-WESTERN MINERAL-EASTERN MINERAL-WESTERN PENDLETON-
EASTERN PENDLETON-
320 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA...
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA...AND CENTRAL AND WESTERN MARYLAND
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF GARRETT COUNTY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM FOR
ORANGE...ALBEMARLE AND NELSON COUNTIES.

EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS
WITH DAMAGING WINDS GUSTS...LARGE HAIL...AND AN ISOLATED TORNADO
ARE ALL POSSIBLE.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT LATE TONIGHT FOR MOST OF THE
AREA EXCEPT OVER THE POTOMAC HIGHLANDS AND THE SOUTHERN SHENANDOAH
VALLEY. PLEASE REFER TO THE FLASH FLOOD MESSAGE FOR MORE DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

$$




Flash Flood Watch

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1228 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2016


DCZ001-MDZ003>006-011-013-014-016>018-502>508-VAZ027>031-038>040-
050>057-501-502-505>507-WVZ050>053-055-504-290030-
/O.EXT.KLWX.FF.A.0011.160928T2200Z-160930T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-WASHINGTON-FREDERICK MD-CARROLL-
NORTHERN BALTIMORE-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-PRINCE GEORGES-ANNE ARUNDEL-
CHARLES-ST. MARYS-CALVERT-CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALLEGANY-
NORTHWEST MONTGOMERY-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MONTGOMERY-
NORTHWEST HOWARD-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST HOWARD-NORTHWEST HARFORD-
SOUTHEAST HARFORD-SHENANDOAH-FREDERICK VA-PAGE-WARREN-CLARKE-
GREENE-MADISON-RAPPAHANNOCK-ORANGE-CULPEPER-
PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX-
ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-STAFFORD-SPOTSYLVANIA-
KING GEORGE-NORTHERN FAUQUIER-SOUTHERN FAUQUIER-WESTERN LOUDOUN-
EASTERN LOUDOUN-NORTHERN VIRGINIA BLUE RIDGE-HAMPSHIRE-MORGAN-
BERKELEY-JEFFERSON-HARDY-EASTERN MINERAL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...HAGERSTOWN...FREDERICK...
BALLENGER CREEK...ELDERSBURG...WESTMINSTER...REISTERSTOWN...
COCKEYSVILLE...BALTIMORE...BOWIE...SUITLAND-SILVER HILL...
CLINTON...COLLEGE PARK...GREENBELT...LAUREL...CAMP SPRINGS...
GLEN BURNIE...ANNAPOLIS...SEVERN...SOUTH GATE...SEVERNA PARK...
ARNOLD...ODENTON...ST. CHARLES...WALDORF...LEXINGTON PARK...
CALIFORNIA...CHESAPEAKE BEACH...HUNTINGTOWN...DUNKIRK...
NORTH BEACH...LUSBY...PRINCE FREDERICK...CUMBERLAND...
GERMANTOWN...DAMASCUS...BETHESDA...ROCKVILLE...GAITHERSBURG...
SILVER SPRING...LISBON...COLUMBIA...ELLICOTT CITY...
JARRETTSVILLE...ABERDEEN...STRASBURG...WOODSTOCK...
MOUNT JACKSON...NEW MARKET...WINCHESTER...LURAY...SHENANDOAH...
STANLEY...FRONT ROYAL...BERRYVILLE...STANARDSVILLE...MADISON...
ORANGE...GORDONSVILLE...CULPEPER...DALE CITY...MANASSAS...
WOODBRIDGE...LAKE RIDGE...MONTCLAIR...RESTON...HERNDON...
ANNANDALE...CENTREVILLE...CHANTILLY...MCLEAN...FRANCONIA...
ARLINGTON...ALEXANDRIA...FALMOUTH...FREDERICKSBURG...DAHLGREN...
WARRENTON...TURNBULL...PURCELLVILLE...LEESBURG...ASHBURN...
STERLING...BIG MEADOWS...ROMNEY...PAW PAW...MARTINSBURG...
CHARLES TOWN...SHEPHERDSTOWN...MOOREFIELD...ANTIOCH...KEYSER...
NEW CREEK...RIDGEVILLE...RUSSELLDALE...HEADSVILLE...FORT ASHBY
1228 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* PORTIONS OF MARYLAND...THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA...VIRGINIA AND
  WEST VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN MARYLAND...
  ANNE ARUNDEL...CALVERT...CARROLL...CENTRAL AND EASTERN
  ALLEGANY...CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST HOWARD...CENTRAL AND
  SOUTHEAST MONTGOMERY...CHARLES...FREDERICK MD...NORTHERN
  BALTIMORE...NORTHWEST HARFORD...NORTHWEST HOWARD...NORTHWEST
  MONTGOMERY...PRINCE GEORGES...SOUTHEAST HARFORD...SOUTHERN
  BALTIMORE...ST. MARYS AND WASHINGTON. THE DISTRICT OF
  COLUMBIA. IN VIRGINIA...ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA...
  CLARKE...CULPEPER...EASTERN LOUDOUN...FAIRFAX...FREDERICK VA...
   GREENE...KING GEORGE...MADISON...NORTHERN FAUQUIER...NORTHERN
  VIRGINIA BLUE RIDGE...ORANGE...PAGE...PRINCE
  WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK...RAPPAHANNOCK...SHENANDOAH...
  SOUTHERN FAUQUIER...SPOTSYLVANIA...STAFFORD...WARREN AND
  WESTERN LOUDOUN. IN WEST VIRGINIA...BERKELEY...EASTERN
  MINERAL...HAMPSHIRE...HARDY...JEFFERSON AND MORGAN.

* FROM 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING

* A POWERFUL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE MIDWEST WILL BRING
  PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN TO OUR AREA TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
  NIGHT.

* WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH
  LOCALIZED SPOTS POTENTIALLY GETTING UP TO A FOOT OF RAIN.
  ADDITIONALLY...THE EASTERN SLOPES OF THE NORTHERN BLUE RIDGE
  AND CATOCTIN MOUNTAINS HAVE AN INCREASED RISK FOR GREATER
  TOTALS.

* HIGH POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS...AS WELL AS
  URBAN AREAS. ADDITIONALLY THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR THE HARDEST
  HIT LOCATIONS TO SEE SEVERE FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THESE NEXT FEW DAYS WILL BE A DANGEROUS TIME...REQUIRING MORE
THAN THE USUAL AWARENESS...PLANNING AND PREPARATIONS.

IF YOU ARE NEAR STREAMS OR DRAINAGE DITCHES...KEEP AN EYE ON THEM
AND BE READY TO QUICKLY SEEK HIGHER GROUND. WATER MAY RISE
RAPIDLY.

CLEAR OUT STORM DRAINS.

THOSE PRONE TO BASEMENT FLOODING SHOULD PREPARE. COMMUNITIES
PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD PREPARE.

CONTINUE TO CHECK IN ON THE FORECAST FOR UPDATES.

WARNINGS WILL BE ISSUED FOR AREAS WHERE FLOODING IS IMMINENT. ENSURE
YOU GET WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE THROUGH YOUR
MOBILE PHONE AND OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION IF A WARNING IS ISSUED FOR WHERE YOU
ARE OR IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED.

ENSURE YOUR KIDS DONT PLAY NEAR FLOOD WATERS.

REMEMBER IF YOU COME ACROSS WATER CROSSING A ROAD...TURN AROUND
DONT DROWN!

&&

$$




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NOAA National Weather Service
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Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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