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Red Flag Warning


URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
329 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015


OKZ004-005-009-010-014-011630-
/O.UPG.KOUN.FW.A.0005.150401T2000Z-150402T0100Z/
/O.NEW.KOUN.FW.W.0004.150401T2000Z-150402T0100Z/
HARPER-WOODS-ELLIS-WOODWARD-ROGER MILLS-
329 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM
CDT THIS EVENING FOR WINDY CONDITIONS... WARM TEMPERATURES AND
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM CDT
THIS EVENING. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* WIND...SOUTH 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...MINIMUM VALUES 15 TO 20 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURE...85 TO 90 DEGREES.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY.
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FIRES MAY START EASILY AND SPREAD RAPIDLY. REPORT SMOKE OR FIRE
TO YOUR LOCAL FIRE DEPARTMENT.

&&

$$

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
238 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015


KSZ052-053-068-069-082-083-091-092-012245-
/O.NEW.KICT.FW.W.0007.150401T1800Z-150402T0000Z/
MARION-CHASE-HARVEY-BUTLER-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-SUMNER-
238 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM
CDT THIS EVENING FOR EXTREME GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 052...053...068...069...082...083...091 AND 092...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING FOR EXTREME GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING.

* EXTREME GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER...IS FORECAST.

* WINDS...SOUTH AROUND 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 35 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY
  AND BECOME VERY DIFFICULT TO CONTROL. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT
  RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES
CAN CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER PRODUCT.

&&

$$

JAKUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
238 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015


KSZ032-033-047>051-067-012245-
/O.UPG.KICT.FW.A.0004.150401T1800Z-150402T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KICT.FW.W.0007.150401T1800Z-150402T0000Z/
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-RENO-
238 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM
CDT THIS EVENING FOR EXTREME GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 032...033...047...048...049...050...051 AND 067...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING FOR EXTREME GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING. THE FIRE
WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* EXTREME GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER...IS FORECAST.

* WINDS...SOUTH 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 30 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY
  AND BECOME VERY DIFFICULT TO CONTROL. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT
  RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES
CAN CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER PRODUCT.

&&

$$


Special Weather Statement


SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1247 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

ARZ001-OKZ058-063-011815-
BENTON AR-DELAWARE OK-OTTAWA OK-
1247 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 115 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
     NORTHERN BENTON

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     NORTHEASTERN DELAWARE AND SOUTHEASTERN OTTAWA

AT 1247 PM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES NORTH OF TIFF CITY TO 4 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
GROVE...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED
BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...GROVE AND TIFF CITY.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL. THESE
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

LAT...LON 3651 9461 3650 9453 3650 9434 3648 9434
      3650 9453 3651 9459 3651 9461 3652 9480
      3685 9469 3685 9461
TIME...MOT...LOC 1747Z 270DEG 24KT 3676 9464 3657 9470

$$

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL
425 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-020000-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-
JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-
PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-
BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-
RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-
CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATCHISON...PAOLA...MOUND CITY...TROY...
LEAVENWORTH...KANSAS CITY KS...OVERLAND PARK...OLATHE...TARKIO...
ROCKPORT...MARYVILLE...GRANT CITY...ALBANY...STANBERRY...
BETHANY...PRINCETON...UNIONVILLE...LANCASTER...DOWNING...OREGON...
SAVANNAH...CAMERON...GALLATIN...JAMESPORT...TRENTON...MILAN...
GREEN CITY...KIRKSVILLE...ST. JOSEPH...PLATTSBURG...KINGSTON...
HAMILTON...POLO...CHILLICOTHE...BROOKFIELD...MACON...LA PLATA...
PARKVILLE...PLATTE CITY...WESTON...LIBERTY...EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...
RICHMOND...CARROLLTON...SALISBURY...KEYTESVILLE...MOBERLY...
KANSAS CITY...INDEPENDENCE...LEXINGTON...CONCORDIA...MARSHALL...
FAYETTE...NEW FRANKLIN...RAYMORE...HARRISONVILLE...
PLEASANT HILL...WARRENSBURG...SEDALIA...BOONVILLE...BUTLER...
RICH HILL...CLINTON
425 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY...

GUSTY SOUTH WINDS OF UP TO 35 MPH AND VERY DRY SURFACE FUELS WILL
LEAD TO ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THIS AFTERNOON. ANY
UNATTENDED FIRES MAY QUICKLY GET OUT OF CONTROL. AVOID OUTSIDE
BURNING IF POSSIBLE.

$$


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1248 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-021800-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
1248 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH
CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  ELEVATED HAIL RISK.
  ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  LIMITED FLOODING RISK.
  ELEVATED LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED NON THUNDERSTORM WIND RISK.
  ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER RISK.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

  HAZARDS WEATHER RISK...

  THURSDAY...
  LIMITED NON THUNDERSTORM WIND RISK.

  FRIDAY...
  LIMITED NON THUNDERSTORM WIND RISK.
  LIMITED FIRE WEATHER RISK.

  SATURDAY...
  ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER RISK.

  SUNDAY...
  ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER RISK.

  MONDAY...
  ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER RISK.

  TUESDAY...
  ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER RISK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TONIGHT.

&&

FOR MORE DETAILS VISIT OUR WEBPAGE HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC/?N=HWO

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1225 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-021730-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-
NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-
BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-
CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-
TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-
JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-
FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1225 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN...
WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.LOCATION...
THE RISK AREA IS GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM COALGATE
TO MADILL.

.TIMING...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM 4 TO MIDNIGHT.

.IMPACTS...
LARGE HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS AND WIND GUSTS TO 65 MPH
ARE THE MAIN HAZARDS.

.DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS
PORTIONS SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS
EVENING. LOWER THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE EXPECTED ALONG A DRYLINE
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA.

STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL WITHIN
THE SLIGHT RISK AREA SHOULD BE READY FOR SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS.

.FIRE WEATHER...
A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR FAR NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA THIS
AFTERNOON. VERY DRY AIR WILL COMBINE WITH BREEZY WINDS TO CREATE
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
A COLD FRONT WILL STALL OVER NORTHERN OKLAHOMA EARLY
THURSDAY...BUT WILL PUSH SOUTHWARD DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. A FEW STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY
DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...
ESPECIALLY ALONG AND EAST OF A STILLWATER TO ARDMORE LINE.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY...
ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA. ADDITIONAL STORMS ARE POSSIBLE
ON MONDAY.

GET GRAPHICS AND MORE DETAILS AT WEATHER.GOV/NORMAN...AND FOLLOW
OUR WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE ON TWITTER AND FACEBOOK.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1211 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-021715-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
1211 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  ELEVATED HAIL RISK.
  ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  ELEVATED LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED NON THUNDERSTORM WIND RISK.
  ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
  AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND WARM FRONT MOVE ACROSS THE
  AREA. A FEW SEVERE STORMS MAY DEVELOP WITH HAIL TO THE SIZE OF
  HALF DOLLARS AND LOCALIZED WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH. THE GREATEST
  COVERAGE OF STORMS WILL BE ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN MISSOURI THIS
  AFTERNOON.

  SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL GUST TO AROUND 35 MPH ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN
  KANSAS INTO SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

  PERIODS OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
  EARLY FRIDAY WITH THE APPROACH AND PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT.
  STRONG TO POTENTIALLY SEVERE STORMS MAY DEVELOP THURSDAY INTO
  THURSDAY EVENING WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL THE PRIMARY
  HAZARDS.

  IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAINFALL AND THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED
  FLOODING MAY DEVELOP LATER THURSDAY.

  NORTHWESTERLY WINDS MAY GUST UP TO 30 MPH ON FRIDAY BEHIND THE
  COLD FRONT.

  SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL RETURN ON SUNDAY WITH SOME GUSTS TO NEAR
  30 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON.

  THERE WILL BE PERIODIC THUNDERSTORM CHANCES FROM SUNDAY NIGHT
  INTO NEXT TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT FOR
  AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-44 ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

$$

GRIFFIN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1143 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-021645-
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-
POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS-
WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
1143 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL...NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE RANGELAND FIRE DANGER CATEGORY IS VERY HIGH THIS AFTERNOON
FOR MOST OF NORTH CENTRAL...NORTHEAST AND PORTIONS OF EAST
CENTRAL KANSAS. WIDESPREAD SOUTHERLY WINDS BETWEEN 15 AND 25 MPH
WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH ARE LIKELY MID MORNING ONWARD WHILE
MINIMUM HUMIDITY VALUES FALL TO NEAR 30 PERCENT OVER NORTH CENTRAL
LOCATIONS.

WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP OVER SOUTHERN
NEBRASKA ALONG A COLD FRONT DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING PERIOD. THESE STORMS WILL TRACK INTO NORTH CENTRAL AREAS
BETWEEN 7 PM AND 10 PM...BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD IN COVERAGE
ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA FROM MIDNIGHT THROUGH SUNRISE THURSDAY. A
FEW STORMS MAY BE SEVERE FOR AREAS ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE FROM
HIAWATHA...TO MANHATTAN AND HERINGTON. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS ARE THE MAIN HAZARDS. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ARE
POSSIBLE FOR THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN ON THURSDAY...MAINLY
SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70. A FEW STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR
AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 35 IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS EVENING FOR THE AREAS
PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED IN NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1030 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-021530-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
1030 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS...
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS THIS MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.
THIS WILL MAINLY IMPACT LABETTE COUNTY. NO SEVERE WEATHER IS
EXPECTED.

SOUTH WINDS INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH WILL
PRODUCE A VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER ACROSS THE AREA
TODAY...PLEASE REFER TO THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR MORE DETAILS.

CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA MAINLY FOR
TONIGHT OVER CENTRAL KANSAS...WITH A FEW STRONG TO MARGINALLY
SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE. THE PRIMARY RISKS WILL BE NICKEL TO
QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS TO 60 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN IN THE FORECAST FOR THURSDAY
INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WITH HAIL UP TO
THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS...AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

SEVERAL HOURS OF VERY HIGH GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER ARE POSSIBLE
THURSDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS...AND PERIODICALLY
OVER THE REST OF THE AREA FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

IN ADDITION...SLIGHT CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN TO THE
FORECAST SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...MAINLY FOR THE FLINT HILLS
AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION...SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWO.PHP

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
758 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
021200-
PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-VALLEY-GREELEY-NANCE-
SHERMAN-HOWARD-MERRICK-POLK-DAWSON-BUFFALO-HALL-HAMILTON-YORK-
GOSPER-PHELPS-KEARNEY-ADAMS-CLAY-FILLMORE-FURNAS-HARLAN-FRANKLIN-
WEBSTER-NUCKOLLS-THAYER-
758 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE
OUTLOOK AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT...WITH SOME SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE PRIMARILY BETWEEN 4 PM AND MIDNIGHT. AT
THIS TIME...THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREATS APPEAR TO BE HAIL UP
TO THE SIZE OF PING PONG BALLS...AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OF 60 MPH
OR HIGHER. THERE COULD ALSO BE A NARROW CORRIDOR OF LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL OF AT LEAST 1 TO 2 INCHES.

PRIOR TO ANY POTENTIAL RAINFALL...NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE DANGER IS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON PRIMARILY WEST OF A LINE FROM
KEARNEY NEBRASKA TO PLAINVILLE KANSAS...THANKS TO RELATIVE
HUMIDITY DROPPING TO 25 PERCENT OR LOWER IN THE PRESENCE OF WIND
GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH OR HIGHER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE LATE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...PRIMARILY WEST OF HIGHWAY 281...AS RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES DROP TO NEAR 20 PERCENT AND SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASE.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY...NORTHEAST OF A LINE
FROM ORD TO GRAND ISLAND TO HEBRON NEBRASKA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED WITHIN PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK
AREA...PRIMARILY BETWEEN 4 PM AND MIDNIGHT.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE:
   HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HASTINGS  (ALL LOWERCASE)

$$

PFANNKUCH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
502 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-021015-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
502 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

 VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER IS EXPECTED TODAY DUE TO STRONG SOUTHERLY
 WINDS AND HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE 30 TO 40 PERCENT RANGE.

 THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY LATE THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. LARGE HAIL
 AND GUST WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR NORTHWESTERN MISSOURI.
 ADDITIONALLY... LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDIA/EAX/EMBRIEFING1/EMBRIEFING1.PDF

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

 THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY. THE BEST CHANCES FOR SEVERE
 STORMS WILL BE ACROSS SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI BUT A FEW
 STRONG STORMS ARE POSSIBLE SOUTH SOUTH AND EAST OF LINE FROM
 PLEASANTON... KS TO SEDALIA... MO.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDIA/EAX/EMBRIEFING1/EMBRIEFING1.PDF

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
502 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-021015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
502 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

...SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER POSSIBLE THURSDAY...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...PRIMARILY EAST OF A LINE FROM MIAMI TO MCALESTER.
ONSET...AFTERNOON.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...ALL EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTERNOON.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 44.
ONSET...AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS
AHEAD OF A WEAK DISTURBANCE MOVING ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD
OF A DISTURBANCE LIFTING NORTHWARD FROM CENTRAL TEXAS.
CONDITIONS WILL BECOME UNSTABLE THIS AFTERNOON WITH SUFFICIENT
WIND SHEAR TO ALLOW FOR PERIODS OF UPDRAFT ORGANIZATION.
THE RESULT WILL BE AN INCREASE IN STORM INTENSITY THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS WITH POTENTIAL FOR BOTH
LARGE HAIL AND LOCALIZED DAMAGING WINDS.  ADDITIONALLY...
SOUTH WINDS WILL GUST 25 TO 35 MPH THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
MUCH OF THE AREA AND ALLOW FOR RAPID FIRE SPREAD ESPECIALLY
AREAS NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 44.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
FORECAST CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FROM LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THE EVENING HOURS.  SUPERCELL STORMS ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP
DURING THIS TIMEFRAME CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 2 TO 3 INCH SIZE
HAIL.  FURTHERMORE...SHOULD SUFFICIENT LOW LEVEL SHEAR
DEVELOP BY THURSDAY EVENING THEN TORNADIC STORMS WILL BE
LIKELY.  A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE AREA THURSDAY
NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING WITH A CONTINUED CHANCE OF STRONG
TO SEVERE STORMS...FOLLOWED BY GUSTY NORTH WINDS.

DRY AND COOLER CONDITIONS PREVAIL SATURDAY...WITH
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURNING SUNDAY.  THE SEVERE WEATHER
POTENTIAL MAY INCREASE AGAIN EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A STRONG
STORM SYSTEM ORGANIZES OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN STATES.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
EXPECT SEVERE WEATHER WATCHES AND WARNINGS ON THURSDAY
ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO FAR NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1253 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-011900-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
1253 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

.NOW...

AT 12:53 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS CONTINUED TO
DETECT WIDELY SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING
OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS. A FEW
STRONGER STORMS WERE AFFECTING FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA WITHIN
NORTHERN DELAWARE AND OTTAWA COUNTIES...AS WELL AS FAR NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS WITHIN CARROLL COUNTY. ALL THIS ACTIVITY WAS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST...AROUND 30 MILES PER HOUR.

THROUGH 2:00 PM...SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP...AND SPREAD NORTHEAST
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL WILL BE
EXPECTED...WITH BRIEF HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONGER
STORMS. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM AROUND A TENTH OF AN
INCH...TO UP TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH. SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS
WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS THAT
DEVELOP.

$$

16

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Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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