Flood Warning
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
926 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
ARKANSAS...LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI..
MISSISSIPPI RIVER NEAR GREENVILLE AFFECTING CHICOT...EAST
CARROLL...ISSAQUENA AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES
MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT VICKSBURG AFFECTING MADISON...TENSAS...
CLAIBORNE...JEFFERSON AND WARREN COUNTIES/PARISHES
MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT NATCHEZ AFFECTING CONCORDIA...ADAMS AND
WILKINSON COUNTIES/PARISHES
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON`T
DROWN!
THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES BUT TIBBEE
CREEK...LUXAPALLILA CREEK...NOXUBEE RIVER...AND THE TOMBIGEE RIVER
WHERE 48 HOURS OF FORECAST RAINFALL ARE ROUTINELY USED.
THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.
&&
LAC029-MSC001-157-230826-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NTZM6.1.ER.130506T1830Z.130522T0200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
926 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT NATCHEZ
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 9:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 50.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 48.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE SLOWLY FALLING OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS.
* IMPACT...AT 48.0 FEET...CARTHAGE POINT ROAD BECOMES IMPASSABLE.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME WED THU FRI CREST TIME DATE
LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER
NATCHEZ 48 50.5 TUE 09 PM 50.4 50.3 50.1 CRESTING
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA
844 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
LOUISIANA...
MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT BATON ROUGE AFFECTING EAST BATON ROUGE AND
WEST BATON ROUGE PARISHES
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FORECAST CRESTS ARE BASED UPON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED ALONG WITH
ANTICIPATED RAIN FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECASTS
WILL BE MADE IF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS.
DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...TWO FEET OF
RUSHING WATER CAN CARRY AWAY MOST VEHICLES INCLUDING PICKUPS. TURN
AROUND AND DON`T DROWN.
A FOLLOWUP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER
RADIO...LOCAL TV AND RADIO STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE PROVIDER...FOR
THE LATEST INFORMATION. THE LATEST GRAPHICAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WEATHER.GOV.
&&
LAC033-121-230744-
/O.CON.KLIX.FL.W.0104.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BTRL1.1.ER.130515T1320Z.130522T0100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
844 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT BATON ROUGE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 8:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 35.4 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 35.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEAR 35.4 FEET.
* IMPACT...AT 35.0 FEET...RIVER ISLANDS FROM RED RIVER LANDING
DOWNSTREAM TO BATON ROUGE WILL BE INUNDATED.
$$
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA
843 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
LOUISIANA...
MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT RED RIVER LANDING AFFECTING EAST BATON
ROUGE...POINTE COUPEE AND WEST FELICIANA PARISHES
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FORECAST CRESTS ARE BASED UPON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED ALONG WITH
ANTICIPATED RAIN FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECASTS
WILL BE MADE IF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS.
DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...TWO FEET OF
RUSHING WATER CAN CARRY AWAY MOST VEHICLES INCLUDING PICKUPS. TURN
AROUND AND DON`T DROWN.
A FOLLOWUP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER
RADIO...LOCAL TV AND RADIO STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE PROVIDER...FOR
THE LATEST INFORMATION. THE LATEST GRAPHICAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WEATHER.GOV.
&&
LAC033-077-125-230743-
/O.CON.KLIX.FL.W.0094.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RRLL1.1.ER.130502T0035Z.130521T2100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
843 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT RED RIVER LANDING.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 7:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 52.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 48.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEAR 52.5 FEET.
* IMPACT...AT 51.0 FEET...ALL RIVER ISLANDS ALONG THE REACH FROM RED
RIVER LANDING TO BATON ROUGE WILL BE INUNDATED. RECREATIONAL CAMPS
AND RIVER BOTTOM FARM LAND WILL BE UNDER WATER.
* IMPACT...AT 48.0 FEET...ACCESS ROADS WILL BE INUNDATED AND
EVACUATION OF ALL RIVER ISLANDS MUST BE COMPLETE. PROTECTION OF
PEOPLE AND PROPERTY IN THE RIVER BOTTOM LAND ON THE RIVER SIDE OF
THE LEVEES MUST BE COMPLETE
$$
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA
733 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
LOUISIANA...
ATCHAFALAYA RIVER AT MORGAN CITY AFFECTING ST. MARY PARISH
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FORECAST CRESTS ARE BASED UPON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED ALONG WITH
ANTICIPATED RAIN FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECASTS
WILL BE MADE IF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS.
DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...TWO FEET OF
RUSHING WATER CAN CARRY AWAY MOST VEHICLES INCLUDING PICKUPS. TURN
AROUND AND DON`T DROWN.
A FOLLOWUP PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED LATER. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER
RADIO...LOCAL TV AND RADIO STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE PROVIDER...FOR
THE LATEST INFORMATION. THE LATEST GRAPHICAL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WEATHER.GOV.
&&
LAC101-230633-
/O.CON.KLIX.FL.W.0078.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCGL1.1.ER.130414T1013Z.130521T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
733 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE ATCHAFALAYA RIVER AT MORGAN CITY.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 7:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.7 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 4.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEAR 5.7 FEET.
* IMPACT...AT 5.0 FEET...FLOODWALL GATES WILL BE CLOSED TO PROTECT
AGAINST HIGHER STAGES. VESSEL TRAFFIC WILL BE AFFECTED BY STRONGER
RIVER CURRENT AND VESSEL TRAFFIC SAFETY RULES WILL BE STRICTLY
ENFORCED BY THE U. S. COAST GUARD.
$$
Severe Thunderstorm Watch
WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCHES 208/209
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
108 AM CDT WED MAY 22 2013
LAC003-009-011-039-079-115-220715-
/O.CON.KLCH.SV.A.0209.000000T0000Z-130522T0700Z/
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 209 REMAINS VALID UNTIL 2 AM CDT EARLY
THIS MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IN LOUISIANA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 6 PARISHES
IN CENTRAL LOUISIANA
AVOYELLES EVANGELINE RAPIDES
IN SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA
ALLEN BEAUREGARD
IN WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA
VERNON
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...BUNKIE...COTTONPORT...
DE RIDDER...KINDER...LEESVILLE...MAMOU...MANSURA...MARKSVILLE...
NEW LLANO...OAKDALE...PINEVILLE...SIMMESPORT AND VILLE PLATTE.
$$
WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 209
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1149 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
LAC025-029-107-MSC001-007-015-019-021-025-029-037-043-049-051-063-
077-079-085-087-089-097-099-103-105-121-123-127-149-155-159-163-
220700-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.A.0209.000000T0000Z-130522T0700Z/
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 209 REMAINS VALID UNTIL 2 AM CDT
WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IN LOUISIANA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 3 PARISHES
IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA
CATAHOULA CONCORDIA TENSAS
IN MISSISSIPPI THIS WATCH INCLUDES 28 COUNTIES
IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
ATTALA CHOCTAW COPIAH
HINDS HOLMES LEAKE
MADISON RANKIN SCOTT
SIMPSON YAZOO
IN EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
NESHOBA NOXUBEE WINSTON
IN NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
CARROLL GRENADA MONTGOMERY
WEBSTER
IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
CLAY LOWNDES OKTIBBEHA
IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
LAWRENCE LINCOLN
IN SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI
ADAMS CLAIBORNE FRANKLIN
JEFFERSON
IN WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
WARREN
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...ACKERMAN...BRANDON...BROOKHAVEN...
BROOKSVILLE...BUDE...CANTON...CARROLLTON...CARTHAGE...COLUMBUS...
CRYSTAL SPRINGS...DURANT...EUPORA...FAYETTE...FERRIDAY...FOREST...
GOODMAN...GRENADA...HARRISONBURG...HAZLEHURST...JACKSON...
JONESVILLE...KOSCIUSKO...LEXINGTON...LOUISVILLE...MABEN...MACON...
MADISON...MAGEE...MATHISTON...MEADVILLE...MENDENHALL...
MONTICELLO...MORTON...NATCHEZ...NEW HEBRON...NEWELLTON...
NORTH CARROLLTON...PEARL...PEARL RIVER...PHILADELPHIA...PICKENS...
PORT GIBSON...RICHLAND...RIDGELAND...ROXIE...ST. JOSEPH...
STARKVILLE...TCHULA...VAIDEN...VICKSBURG...VIDALIA...WATERPROOF...
WEIR...WESSON...WEST FERRIDAY...WEST POINT...
WINONA AND YAZOO CITY.
$$
Special Weather Statement
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
121 AM CDT WED MAY 22 2013
TXZ178-179-199-200-220645-
POLK TX-LIBERTY TX-SAN JACINTO TX-MONTGOMERY TX-
121 AM CDT WED MAY 22 2013
...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...
AT 116 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A SERIES OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS 9 MILES EAST OF SHEPHERD...OR 13
MILES SOUTH OF LIVINGSTON...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PEAS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CONROE...LIVINGSTON...PANORAMA VILLAGE...SHEPHERD...CUT AND SHOOT...
COLDSPRING...NORTH CLEVELAND AND GOODRICH.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.
&&
LAT...LON 3049 9468 3049 9473 3047 9472 3017 9566
3028 9573 3089 9463 3053 9455
TIME...MOT...LOC 0616Z 251DEG 24KT 3053 9485
$$
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
100 AM CDT WED MAY 22 2013
TXZ180-259-260-220645-
NORTHERN JASPER TX-NORTHERN NEWTON TX-TYLER TX-
100 AM CDT WED MAY 22 2013
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR JASPER...NEWTON AND TYLER
COUNTIES UNTIL 145 AM CDT...
AT 1257 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM EBENEZER TO 3 MILES
NORTHWEST OF TOWN BLUFF TO 13 MILES WEST OF SPURGER...MOVING EAST AT
25 MPH.
* THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
TOWN BLUFF BY 105 AM...
SPURGER BY 120 AM...
JASPER BY 125 AM...
HARRISBURG AND MAGNOLIA SPRINGS BY 140 AM...
ROGANVILLE...JAMESTOWN...FARRSVILLE AND KIRBYVILLE BY 145 AM...
THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THESE STORMS ARE FREQUENT LIGHTNING...PEA TO
NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 45 MPH...WHICH COULD DOWN
TREE LIMBS AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A
SAFE HOME OR BUILDING UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED.
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM WEDNESDAY
MORNING FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS
IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA.
LAT...LON 3082 9431 3108 9426 3112 9408 3113 9371
3083 9373 3064 9385 3064 9447
$$
24
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1242 AM CDT WED MAY 22 2013
LAZ017>020-220645-
GRANT-NATCHITOCHES-SABINE-WINN-
1242 AM CDT WED MAY 22 2013
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY...EFFECTIVE UNTIL 145 AM CDT...FOR THE FOLLOWING
PARISHES...
IN NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...
SABINE AND NATCHITOCHES...
IN NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
GRANT AND WINN...
INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
COLFAX...MANY...MONTGOMERY AND NATCHITOCHES...
AT 1237 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
DETECTING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9 MILES SOUTH OF MANY...OR 14 MILES
NORTH OF ANACOCO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.
WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
$$
12
Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1112 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025-034-035-040-
041-230415-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-
1112 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY
STRONG STORMS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING AS A
DISTURBANCE SWINGS ACROSS THE REGION. THE MOST INTENSE STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE CAPABLE OF WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AS WELL AS SOME SMALL
HAIL. OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES IS ALSO POSSIBLE.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.
.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...IS NO LONGER NEEDED TONIGHT.
$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1112 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
MSZ026>033-036>039-042>045-047>050-053>055-059>063-230415-
GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-
HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-
WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-JEFFERSON-
ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-
1112 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY
A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI TONIGHT. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OF 60 MPH AND NICKEL
SIZED HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE MOST INTENSE STORMS. A BRIEF TORNADO
CANNOT BE RULED OUT. IN ADDITION...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE
PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.
.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...HAS BEEN REQUESTED TONIGHT.
$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1111 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-221300-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
1111 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDER SOUTHEAST OF AN ATHENS TO
TEMPLE LINE OVERNIGHT. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.
PATCHY FOG MAY FORM OVERNIGHT ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE
35...RESULTING IN VISIBILITY REDUCTIONS AROUND 1 MILE IN SOME
AREAS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
PATCHY FOG MAY OCCUR WEDNESDAY MORNING ALONG AND EAST OF
INTERSTATE 35...RESULTING IN VISIBILITY REDUCTIONS AROUND 1 MILE
IN SOME AREAS.
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
THURSDAY NIGHT IN THE NORTHWEST AND FRIDAY OVER ALL BUT THE
SOUTHWEST COUNTIES OF NORTH TEXAS.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
$$
82/JLD
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
602 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577-LAZ034>037-
039-040-046>050-056>072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-221115-
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
LAKE BORGNE-CHANDELEUR SOUND-BRETON SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO
60 NM-POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-
WASHINGTON-ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE-WEST BATON ROUGE-
EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES-
ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON-
ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE-
LOWER TERREBONNE-LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON-
LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST. BERNARD-NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA-
SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-
HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON-
602 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA...SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED. HOWEVER...A FEW STRONG
TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE
FREQUENT LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS...AND HAIL. ISOLATED AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.
$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
352 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
GMZ330-335-350-355-370-375-TXZ214-235>238-221300-
BRAZORIA-CHAMBERS-GALVESTON-GALVESTON BAY-JACKSON-MATAGORDA-
MATAGORDA BAY-
WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM-
352 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT. ISOLATED
STRONG STORMS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE MAIN THREAT DAMAGING WINDS
AND SMALL HAIL.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.
$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
352 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>213-226-227-221300-
AUSTIN-BRAZOS-BURLESON-COLORADO-FORT BEND-GRIMES-HARRIS-HOUSTON-
LIBERTY-MADISON-MONTGOMERY-POLK-SAN JACINTO-TRINITY-WALKER-WALLER-
WASHINGTON-WHARTON-
352 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THIS
EVENING. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY
ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM EAGLE LAKE TO HOUSTON TO LIBERTY.
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM
NEAR KURTEN IN NORTHERN BRAZOS COUNTY TO MADISONVILLE TO LOVELADY
TO CENTRALIA IN NORTHERN TRINITY COUNTY. THE MAIN TIME FRAME WILL
LIKELY BE BETWEEN 6 PM AND MIDNIGHT. THE MAIN THREAT ARE DAMAGING
WIND AND LARGE HAIL...ALTHOUGH ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY
SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY DOWNPOURS MAY BE POSSIBLE
FOR AREAS MAINLY SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 10 CORRIDOR. AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXPAND OVER THE REGION THURSDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY LEADING TO DRIER AND HOTTER WEATHER.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TONIGHT.
$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
330 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
GMZ430-432-435-450-452-455-470-472-475-LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-
073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-221300-
SABINE LAKE-CALCASIEU LAKE-VERMILION BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
20 TO 60 NM-VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-
ST. LANDRY-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-
UPPER ST. MARTIN-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-LOWER ST. MARTIN-
WEST CAMERON-EAST CAMERON-TYLER-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-
NORTHERN JASPER-NORTHERN NEWTON-SOUTHERN JASPER-SOUTHERN NEWTON-
330 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
GULF OF MEXICO...CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE EAST
TEXAS LAKES AREA AND WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA LATE IN THE EVENING.
STORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE REST OF THE AREA THROUGH
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
THE CHANCE OF A SEVERE STORM IS LOW THROUGH TONIGHT, HOWEVER AN
ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OR TWO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT. HAIL TO
AROUND ONE INCH IN DIAMETER AND GUSTY WINDS TO AROUND 60 MPH MAY
BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE ONGOING TO START
WEDNESDAY. A VERY LOW CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER EXISTS WEDNESDAY
WITH HAIL TO NEAR ONE INCH AND GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLE IN THE
STRONGEST STORMS.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1245 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-TXZ096-
097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-221100-
ANGELINA-BIENVILLE-BOSSIER-BOWIE-CADDO-CALDWELL-CAMP-CASS-CHEROKEE-
CLAIBORNE-COLUMBIA-DE SOTO-FRANKLIN-GRANT-GREGG-HARRISON-HEMPSTEAD-
HOWARD-JACKSON-LA SALLE-LAFAYETTE-LINCOLN-LITTLE RIVER-MARION-
MCCURTAIN-MILLER-MORRIS-NACOGDOCHES-NATCHITOCHES-NEVADA-OUACHITA-
PANOLA-RED RIVER LA-RED RIVER TX-RUSK-SABINE LA-SABINE TX-
SAN AUGUSTINE-SEVIER-SHELBY-SMITH-TITUS-UNION AR-UNION LA-UPSHUR-
WEBSTER-WINN-WOOD-
1245 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST
LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AND EAST AND NORTHEAST TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY ACROSS MUCH
OF EAST TEXAS...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...AND
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA AND PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA. AN UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT...AND INTERACT WITH STRONG
INSTABILITY...VARIOUS CONVECTIVE BOUNDARIES LEFT IN PLACE FROM
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLIER MONDAY NIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING...AND A MOIST ATMOSPHERE. ONGOING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS
AND EXTREME NORTHEAST TEXAS WILL EXPAND AND DEVELOP OVER
REMAINING PARTS OF THE FOUR STATE REGION. WINDS FEEDING INTO THE
AREA WILL BE TURNING WITH HEIGHT PROVIDING WIND SHEAR WHICH WILL
HELP WITH UPDRAFT ROTATION...SUCH THAT SOME OF THESE STORMS WILL
BECOME SEVERE...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...
AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. THESE STORMS WILL ALSO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AT TIMES...GIVEN THE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE PROVIDED BY
THE GULF OF MEXICO...THAT CAN PRODUCE FROM ONE TO THREE INCHES
OF RAIN ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS AND NORTHWEST LOUISIANA. THESE STORMS SHOULD
CONSOLIDATE INTO A LARGE THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX TONIGHT AS IT
PROPAGATES EAST SOUTHEAST ACROSS SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS AND NORTH
LOUISIANA...WHERE STRONG DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS WILL BE
POSSIBLE. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD WEAKEN LATE TONIGHT
AND EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA AS
INSTABILITY GRADUALLY DIMINISHES.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE ONGOING WEDNESDAY MORNING
ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND PORTIONS OF DEEP EAST
TEXAS...BUT SHOULD DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST BY LATE MORNING
WITH THE DEPARTURE OF THE UPPER TROUGH. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS MAY REDEVELOP WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON MAINLY SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 20 OVER EAST TEXAS AND NORTH LOUISIANA...WHERE A WEAK
SURFACE BOUNDARY BECOMES STATIONARY. THESE STORMS SHOULD
DIMINISH WEDNESDAY EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF HEATING.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGERS...SKYWARN NETWORKS...AND AMATEUR
RADIO PERSONNEL...WILL BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
$$
06
Short Term Forecast
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1256 AM CDT WED MAY 22 2013
LAZ005-010>014-017>022-TXZ152-153-165>167-220700-
LINCOLN-DE SOTO-RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA-SABINE LA-
NATCHITOCHES-WINN-GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-
ANGELINA-SAN AUGUSTINE-SABINE TX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RUSTON...MANSFIELD...COUSHATTA...
BIENVILLE...JONESBORO...MONROE...MANY...NATCHITOCHES...
WINNFIELD...COLFAX...COLUMBIA...JENA...NACOGDOCHES...CENTER...
LUFKIN...SAN AUGUSTINE...HEMPHILL
1256 AM CDT WED MAY 22 2013
.NOW...
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PARTS OF
DEEP EAST TEXAS AND NORTH LOUISIANA THROUGH THE NEXT FEW HOURS. A
FEW OF THE STORMS ACROSS DEEP EAST TEXAS AND WEST CENTRAL
LOUISIANA IN THE SAM RAYBURN AND TOLEDO BEND AREAS COULD BE
STRONG...PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS...HEAVY DOWNPOURS...AND FREQUENT
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH 2
AM WILL AVERAGE AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS OF UP TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGER
STORMS.
$$
12
