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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
524 AM MDT Fri Oct 20 2017

COZ058>089-093>099-211130-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
524 AM MDT Fri Oct 20 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Isolated to scattered snow showers will be possible across the
higher terrain late this afternoon through tonight, with snow
showers increasing in coverage along and west of the Continental
Divide later tonight. Snow accumulations of 1 to 4 inches will be
possible by early Saturday morning, mainly across the higher terrain
of the Central Mountains, north of Cottonwood Pass.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

No hazardous weather is anticipated at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will
possible tonight across the higher terrain along the Continental
Divide, especially north of Cottonwood Pass.

$$

23/Hodanish

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
350 AM MDT Fri Oct 20 2017

NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-211230-
Upper Gila River Valley-Southern Gila
Highlands/Black Range-Southern Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley-
Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River Valley-Lowlands of the Bootheel-
Uplands of the Bootheel-Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin-Eastern Black
Range Foothills-Sierra County Lakes-Northern Dona Ana County-
Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla Valley-Central Tularosa Basin-
Southern Tularosa Basin-West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500
Feet-Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet-East Slopes Sacramento
Mountains Below 7500 Feet-Otero Mesa-Western El Paso County-
Eastern/Central El Paso County-Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco
Mountains-Salt Basin-Southern Hudspeth Highlands-Rio Grande Valley
of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties-Rio Grande Valley of
Eastern Hudspeth County-
350 AM MDT Fri Oct 20 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
New Mexico, southwest New Mexico, and southwest Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

No hazardous weather expected at this time. Winds may gust around 30
mph over a few areas this afternoon and this evening especially
along eastern slopes.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

No hazardous weather is expected. Winds may gust around 35 mph over
portions of the area Saturday afternoon and evening especially along
eastern slopes.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation should not be required.

$$

Rogash

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
347 AM MDT Fri Oct 20 2017

NMZ501>540-211045-
Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-
Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-
San Francisco River Valley-San Juan Mountains-Jemez Mountains-
West Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Northern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet/Red River-
Southern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley-
Lower Chama River Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia/Manzano Mountains-Estancia Valley-
Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-Upper Tularosa Valley-
South Central Mountains-Raton Ridge/Johnson Mesa-
Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-
Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-
Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County-
Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County-
347 AM MDT Fri Oct 20 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north and central
New Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Breezy to locally windy conditions will develop across the region
this afternoon. Favored area for the strongest wind gusts today and
tonight will be across the northeast quarter of the state as an upper
level trough and surface cold front approach from the northwest.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Colder temperatures are expected Saturday night into Sunday morning.
A few locations along the middle Rio Grande valley from in and near Corrales
south to Los Lunas and Belen could observe freezing temperatures for
the first time this season.

Weather can change very rapidly. Always use the latest forecasts,
watches and warning for planning purposes. weather can
change very rapidly. Always use the latest forecasts, watches and
warning for planning purposes.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

$$

33

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
441 AM CDT Fri Oct 20 2017

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-210945-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
441 AM CDT Fri Oct 20 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

.Thunderstorms...
Scattered showers and some thunderstorms will be possible through
tonight across portions of the area. No organized severe weather
is expected.

.Wind...
Gusty winds are expected today in parts of northwest Oklahoma,
with a few wind gusts approaching 40 mph possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday...

.Thunderstorms...
Showers and thunderstorms will be possible Saturday into early
Sunday as a cold front moves across the area. The highest chances
for storms will be late Saturday afternoon into Saturday night.
There is an Enhanced risk for Saturday across portions of the
area, mainly along and southeast of a line from Medford and
Clinton, to Hobart and Frederick Oklahoma, to Vernon and Seymour
Texas. This risk includes places like Ponca City, Enid, Oklahoma
City Metro, Lawton, Ardmore, and Ada Oklahoma, and Wichita Falls
Texas. A slight risk and marginal risk are west of the enhanced
risk and includes the area east of a line from Freedom and
Woodward, to Erick and Hollis Oklahoma. Large hail up to the size
of tennis balls and damaging wind gusts up to 80 mph will be the
main concerns. The potential for damaging winds as the primary
threat is expected to increase as the storms develop into one or
more lines Saturday evening and overnight. Locally heavy rain will
also be a concern.

The potential for severe storms will decrease overnight with rain
chances ending across the area Sunday morning.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
440 AM CDT Fri Oct 20 2017

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-211100-
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-
Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone-
Leon-Milam-Robertson-
440 AM CDT Fri Oct 20 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Scattered thunderstorms are expected today along and east of the
Interstate 35 corridor. A few storms may become strong to marginally
severe, but widespread severe weather is not expected. Damaging winds
and hail will be the main hazards with any strong or severe storms. To
the west of the Interstate 35 corridor, a few thunderstorms may also
occur. Thunderstorm coverage is expected to decrease in the evening
hours, but low chances for thunderstorms will continue tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

There is a chance of thunderstorms on Saturday. A cap should limit
the extent of storms, but with considerable instability, any storms
that are able to develop Saturday afternoon could quickly become
severe with large hail and damaging winds.

More widespread thunderstorms are expected Saturday night as a cold
front sweeps through the region. The linear complex of storms that
accompanies the front will primarily pose a wind threat, but any
discrete cells will be capable of large hail and tornadoes,
particularly if they precede the line. A brief tornado could also
occur within the line, but since these nocturnal spin-ups are often
obscured by rain, they would be difficult for spotters to observe.
The severe threat will diminish during the early morning hours Sunday
as the line weakens across Central and East Texas. The storm chances
will come to an end on Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Very limited spotter activation may be requested this afternoon along
and east of Interstate 35 corridor.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
413 AM CDT Fri Oct 20 2017

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-202100-
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
413 AM CDT Fri Oct 20 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Isolated thunderstorms may develop today and this evening across
mainly eastern sections of the Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles. Any
storms that develop are expected to remain below severe levels at
this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Isolated thunderstorms will be possible Saturday across the far
eastern Texas Panhandle. Any storms that develop are expected to
remain below severe levels at this time.

Low temperatures early Sunday morning are forecast to fall into
the 33 to 36 degree range across much of the Oklahoma Panhandle as
well as the western one third of the Texas Panhandle. A Frost
Advisory may become necessary for this area late Saturday night
into Sunday morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

$$

Andrade

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
404 AM CDT Fri Oct 20 2017

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-210915-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
404 AM CDT Fri Oct 20 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Strong southerly winds will drive the grassland fire danger index
into the very high category across central and portions of south
central Kansas this afternoon. A wind advisory is also in effect
for much of the area through the evening hours.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Severe thunderstorms are likely Saturday afternoon and evening
along a southward moving cold front. The primary threats will be
damaging winds of 60-70 mph, quarter to golf ball sized hail and
locally heavy rain. Flooding of typical flood-prone areas may also be
possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated today or tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
http://weather.gov/wichita/hwo/

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
335 AM CDT Fri Oct 20 2017

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-210845-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
335 AM CDT Fri Oct 20 2017 /235 AM MDT Fri Oct 20 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

There is a slight chance for an isolated thunderstorm or two
across south central Kansas late this afternoon and early
evening. Severe weather is not expected.

Strong south winds and low relative humidity will create elevated
fire weather conditions this afternoon. Outdoor burning is
discouraged.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Lightning: Limited risk
* Non-thunderstorm wind: Elevated risk
* Fire weather: Elevated risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

Strong to marginally severe thunderstorms will be possible across
south central Kansas Saturday afternoon and evening. Storms will
be capable of producing up to quarter size hail and gusty winds up
to 60 mph.

Gusty north winds will develop behind a cold front moving across
western Kansas during the day Saturday. Outdoor burning is
discouraged.

Near to slightly below freezing temperatures will be possible
across west central and western portions of southwest Kansas late
Saturday night into early Sunday morning.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Saturday
  - Lightning: Elevated risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
  - Freeze: Significant risk
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

* Sunday
  - Freeze: Significant risk
  - Fire weather: Limited risk

* Monday
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

* Tuesday
  - Freeze: Elevated risk
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

* Wednesday
  - Freeze: Limited risk
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

* Thursday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Freeze: Elevated risk
  - Fire weather: Limited risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

$$

32

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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