Flash Flood Warning
FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
939 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
OKC061-077-079-091-101-121-135-211730-
/O.CON.KTSA.FF.W.0009.000000T0000Z-130521T1730Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HASKELL OK-LE FLORE OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
SEQUOYAH OK-LATIMER OK-
939 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN LATIMER...
SEQUOYAH...PITTSBURG...SOUTHEASTERN MUSKOGEE...SOUTHERN MCINTOSH...
NORTHERN LE FLORE AND HASKELL COUNTIES UNTIL 1230 PM CDT...
AT 936 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED AN
AREA OF MODERATE RAIN WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WARNED
AREA. WHILE THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL HAS SHIFTED SOUTH OF THE AREA....
ADDITIONAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR THROUGH
THE MORNING. 3 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS ALREADY OCCURRED WITH AN
ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES POSSIBLE.
RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING INCLUDE...
EUFAULA...MCALESTER...POTEAU...SALLISAW...STIGLER...WILBURTON...
ALDERSON...ARROWHEAD STATE PARK...ASHLAND...BLOCKER...BOKOSHE...
BRIARTOWN...CAMERON...CANADIAN...CROWDER...ENTERPRISE...GANS...
HANNA...HAYWOOD...INDIANOLA...KEOTA...KINTA...KREBS...LEQUIRE...
MCALESTER REGIONAL AIRPORT...MCCURTAIN...MULDROW...PANAMA...POCOLA
AND PORUM.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD TO
UNKNOWN DEPTHS. IT ONLY TAKES TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER TO CARRY AWAY
MOST SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES AND PICKUPS. TAKE A DIFFERENT ROUTE TO
REACH YOUR DESTINATION OR WAIT UNTIL THE WATER RECEDES. REMEMBER...
MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES.
LOW WATER CROSSINGS IN HILLY TERRAIN ARE ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS IN
HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS FLOODED ROADS. FIND
ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT ONLY TAKES A FEW INCHES OF SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER
TO CARRY VEHICLES AWAY.
&&
LAT...LON 3505 9610 3516 9599 3528 9599 3560 9448
3507 9445 3476 9609
$$
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
OKC077-079-121-127-211800-
/O.NEW.KTSA.FF.W.0010.130521T1355Z-130521T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
855 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
LATIMER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
LE FLORE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
NORTHERN PUSHMATAHA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
SOUTHERN PITTSBURG COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
* UNTIL 100 PM CDT
* AT 854 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN OVER THE WARNED AREA. 1 TO 2
INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS ALREADY OCCURRED WITH AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 3
INCHES POSSIBLE.
* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT COULD EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
CLAYTON...POTEAU...WILBURTON...ALBION...ASHLAND...BENGAL...BIG
CEDAR...BLANCO...CLAYTON LAKE STATE PARK...DAMON...DUNBAR...
FANSHAWE...HARTSHORNE...HEAVENER...HEAVENER RUNESTONE STATE PARK...
HIGGINS...HOWE...KIAMICHI...KIOWA...KOSOMA...LAKE WISTER STATE
PARK...MOYERS...MUSE...NASHOBA...OCTAVIA...RED OAK...SAVANNA...
SNOW...STANLEY AND TALIHINA.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD TO
UNKNOWN DEPTHS. IT ONLY TAKES TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER TO CARRY AWAY
MOST SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES AND PICKUPS. TAKE A DIFFERENT ROUTE TO
REACH YOUR DESTINATION OR WAIT UNTIL THE WATER RECEDES. REMEMBER...
MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES.
LOW WATER CROSSINGS IN HILLY TERRAIN ARE ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS IN
HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS FLOODED ROADS. FIND
ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT ONLY TAKES A FEW INCHES OF SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER
TO CARRY VEHICLES AWAY.
&&
LAT...LON 3428 9578 3450 9579 3451 9568 3459 9568
3459 9588 3468 9589 3468 9609 3479 9610
3509 9444 3450 9447 3450 9504
$$
Flood Warning
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
936 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
ARKANSAS...LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI..
MISSISSIPPI RIVER NEAR GREENVILLE AFFECTING CHICOT...EAST
CARROLL...ISSAQUENA AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES
MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT VICKSBURG AFFECTING MADISON...TENSAS...
CLAIBORNE...JEFFERSON AND WARREN COUNTIES/PARISHES
MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT NATCHEZ AFFECTING CONCORDIA...ADAMS AND
WILKINSON COUNTIES/PARISHES
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON`T
DROWN!
THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES BUT TIBBEE
CREEK...LUXAPALLILA CREEK...NOXUBEE RIVER...AND THE TOMBIGEE RIVER
WHERE 48 HOURS OF FORECAST RAINFALL ARE ROUTINELY USED.
THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.
&&
ARC017-LAC035-MSC055-151-220836-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0106.000000T0000Z-130524T0300Z/
/GEEM6.1.ER.130513T0035Z.130519T1100Z.130523T1200Z.NO/
936 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER NEAR GREENVILLE
* UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING.
* AT 8:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 48.7 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 48.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 48.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO COVER THE DIRT ROAD LEADING
TO THE FARMERS GRAIN TERMINAL FACILITY WHICH IS NORTH OF THE NEW
GREENVILLE BRIDGE.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME TUE WED THU CREST TIME DATE
LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER
GREENVILLE 48 48.7 MON 08 PM 48.6 48.5 48.0 FALLING
$$
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
902 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THE NEXT RIVER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED TUESDAY MORNING OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.
FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO
WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS
AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS.
DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON`T DROWN.
STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE
LATEST RIVER INFORMATION.
&&
ARC077-MSC143-220202-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0058.000000T0000Z-130525T0000Z/
/TRPM6.1.ER.130428T0300Z.130512T0600Z.130524T0000Z.NO/
902 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT TUNICA RIVERPARK
* UNTIL THURSDAY MAY 23.
* AT 07 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 44.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 41.0 FEET.
* AT 44.0 FEET...CASINOS ARE OPEN AND UNAFFECTED. BOAT RAMP AT
CHARLIES` CAMP IS FLOODED. LOTS ARE BEGINNING TO GO UNDER WATER AT
CHARLIES` CAMP AND NEL-WIN. RIVERBEND ROAD TO BORDEAUX POINT FROM
CHARLIES` CAMP IS FLOODING. NORTHEAST EVACUATION ROAD TO HOUSE ON
THE RIVERBANK SOUTHWEST OF MHOON LANDING IS FLOODED AT THE LOWEST
SPOT. CAMP ON WEST SIDE OF MIDWAY LAKE IS TOTALLY COVERED.
FARMSTEAD JUST SOUTH OF ARKANSAS COUNTY ROAD 533 IS FLOODING.
$$
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
902 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THE NEXT RIVER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED TUESDAY MORNING OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.
FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO
WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS
AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS.
DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON`T DROWN.
STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE
LATEST RIVER INFORMATION.
&&
ARC093-MOC155-TNC045-097-220202-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-130522T1629Z/
/CRTM7.1.ER.130423T0250Z.130510T1200Z.130521T1629Z.NO/
902 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT CARUTHERSVILLE
* UNTIL TUESDAY MAY 21.
* AT 08 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 33.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 32.0 FEET.
* AT 33.0 FEET...BARR ROAD IN CHICKASAW NATIONAL FOREST IS
FLOODING...CUTTING OFF EVACUATIONS FROM THE WARDLEWS POCKET AREA.
$$
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
902 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THE NEXT RIVER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED TUESDAY MORNING OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.
FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO
WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS
AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS.
DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON`T DROWN.
STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE
LATEST RIVER INFORMATION.
&&
ARC093-TNC097-167-220202-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-130524T0200Z/
/OSGA4.2.ER.130424T1410Z.130511T1200Z.130523T0200Z.NO/
902 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER BELOW OSCEOLA
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MAY 22.
* AT 08 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.6 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET.
* AT 31.0 FEET...NIX ROAD IS FLOODED. LOW SPOTS ON FOUR MILE ROAD IS
FLOODED ARE INUNDATED. SNYDER BLUFF AND NORTHERN SAM TAYLOR ROADS
ARE FLOODING. SUNK LAKE ROAD IS COVERED NORTH OF BEE LAKE. FIELDS
ON MORGAN POINT ARE BEING COVERED.
$$
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
849 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013
...FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK...THE FLOOD
WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ARKANSAS...
WHITE RIVER AT AUGUSTA AFFECTING WHITE AND WOODRUFF COUNTIES
CACHE RIVER NEAR PATTERSON AFFECTING JACKSON AND WOODRUFF COUNTIES
RIVER FORECASTS ARE BASED ON CURRENT CONDITIONS AND RAINFALL
FORECASTED TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. DURING PERIODS OF
FLOODING...EVENING FORECASTS ARE REISSUED WITH UPDATED RAINFALL
FORECASTS.
OBSERVED AND FORECASTED STAGE DATA PLOTS ARE AVAILABLE ON OUR
ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE WEB PAGE AT...
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/LZK
UNDER THE CURRENT CONDITIONS SECTION...SELECT RIVER AND LAKES AHPS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN
DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.
EVERYONE WITH PROPERTY OR OTHER INTEREST ALONG STREAMS AND RIVERS
SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO CHANGING WEATHER FORECAST. SHOULD CONDITIONS
CHANGE...LOOK FOR RIVER FORECAST OR FLOOD WARNINGS FOR USE IN MAKING
INFORMED DECISIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
&&
ARC067-147-211648-
/O.EXT.KLZK.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-130523T0600Z/
/PTTA4.1.ER.130411T1906Z.130511T1300Z.130522T0000Z.NO/
849 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD
WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE CACHE RIVER NEAR PATTERSON.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
TUESDAY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...ADDITONAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED LATE
TUESDAY WHICH COULD BRING THE RIVER BACK OUT OF ITS BANKS LATER IN
THE WEEK OR SLOW THE RECESSION. PLEASE MONITOR LATEST FORECASTS FOR
ANY UPDATES.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME TUE WED THU FRI SAT
CACHE RIVER
PATTERSON 8 8.5 MON 08 PM 8.2 7.6 6.7 5.7 5.0
$$
111
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
849 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013
...FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK...THE FLOOD
WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ARKANSAS...
WHITE RIVER AT AUGUSTA AFFECTING WHITE AND WOODRUFF COUNTIES
CACHE RIVER NEAR PATTERSON AFFECTING JACKSON AND WOODRUFF COUNTIES
RIVER FORECASTS ARE BASED ON CURRENT CONDITIONS AND RAINFALL
FORECASTED TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. DURING PERIODS OF
FLOODING...EVENING FORECASTS ARE REISSUED WITH UPDATED RAINFALL
FORECASTS.
OBSERVED AND FORECASTED STAGE DATA PLOTS ARE AVAILABLE ON OUR
ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE WEB PAGE AT...
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/LZK
UNDER THE CURRENT CONDITIONS SECTION...SELECT RIVER AND LAKES AHPS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN
DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.
EVERYONE WITH PROPERTY OR OTHER INTEREST ALONG STREAMS AND RIVERS
SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO CHANGING WEATHER FORECAST. SHOULD CONDITIONS
CHANGE...LOOK FOR RIVER FORECAST OR FLOOD WARNINGS FOR USE IN MAKING
INFORMED DECISIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
&&
ARC145-147-211649-
/O.EXT.KLZK.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-130523T0600Z/
/AUGA4.1.ER.130426T1315Z.130514T0530Z.130522T0000Z.NO/
849 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE WHITE RIVER AT AUGUSTA.
* UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
TUESDAY EVENING. HOWEVER...HEAVY RAINFALL IS FORECASTED ON THE
UPPER WHITE RIVER TONIGHT WHICH COULD BRING THE RIVER BACK OUT OF
ITS BANKS OR SLOW THE RECESSION. PLEASE MONITOR LATEST FORECASTS
FOR ANY UPDATES.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME TUE WED THU FRI SAT
LOWER WHITE RIVER
AUGUSTA 26 26.5 MON 08 PM 26.3 25.6 25.0 24.2 23.8
$$
Tornado Watch
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 201
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1025 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
TORNADO WATCH 201 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
OKC013-023-085-095-220000-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0201.130521T1525Z-130522T0000Z/
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRYAN CHOCTAW LOVE
MARSHALL
$$
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 201
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1025 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
TORNADO WATCH 201 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
TXC001-009-023-027-035-049-059-077-083-085-093-095-097-099-113-
119-121-133-139-143-145-147-161-181-193-207-213-217-221-223-231-
237-251-253-257-267-277-281-289-293-307-309-319-327-331-333-337-
349-363-367-379-395-397-399-411-417-425-429-439-441-447-467-497-
503-220000-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0201.130521T1525Z-130522T0000Z/
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON ARCHER BAYLOR
BELL BOSQUE BROWN
CALLAHAN CLAY COLEMAN
COLLIN COMANCHE CONCHO
COOKE CORYELL DALLAS
DELTA DENTON EASTLAND
ELLIS ERATH FALLS
FANNIN FREESTONE GRAYSON
HAMILTON HASKELL HENDERSON
HILL HOOD HOPKINS
HUNT JACK JOHNSON
JONES KAUFMAN KIMBLE
LAMAR LAMPASAS LEON
LIMESTONE MASON MCCULLOCH
MCLENNAN MENARD MILAM
MILLS MONTAGUE NAVARRO
PALO PINTO PARKER RAINS
ROBERTSON ROCKWALL RUNNELS
SAN SABA SHACKELFORD SOMERVELL
STEPHENS TARRANT TAYLOR
THROCKMORTON VAN ZANDT WISE
YOUNG
$$
ATTN...WFO...OUN...FWD...SJT...TSA...
Flash Flood Watch
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
927 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ068>076-220000-
/O.CON.KTSA.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-130522T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE...
VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...FORT SMITH...TAHLEQUAH...
STILWELL...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...
WILBURTON...POTEAU
927 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR
* PORTIONS OF ARKANSAS AND OKLAHOMA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
AREAS...IN ARKANSAS...BENTON...CARROLL...CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN...
MADISON...SEBASTIAN AND WASHINGTON. IN OKLAHOMA...ADAIR...
CHEROKEE...HASKELL...LATIMER...LE FLORE...MCINTOSH...
MUSKOGEE...PITTSBURG AND SEQUOYAH.
* UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING
* SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORMS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
THE AREA TODAY AS A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT INTERACTS WITH A NEAR
TROPICAL AIRMASS OVER EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY IN THE WATCH
AREA AS THUNDERSTORMS MOVE ACROSS THE SAME AREAS. LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.
$$
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
927 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
OKZ049-053-220000-
/O.EXA.KTSA.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-130522T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...HUGO
927 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS EXPANDED THE
* FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE A PORTION OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...CHOCTAW AND PUSHMATAHA.
* UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING
* SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORMS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
THE AREA TODAY AS A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT INTERACTS WITH A NEAR
TROPICAL AIRMASS OVER EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY IN THE WATCH
AREA AS THUNDERSTORMS MOVE ACROSS THE SAME AREAS. LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.
$$
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
652 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE NORTHERN TWO THIRDS OF ARKANSAS...
ARZ003>007-012>015-021>023-030-031-212100-
/O.CON.KLZK.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-130522T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BAXTER-BOONE-CONWAY-FULTON-IZARD-JOHNSON-LOGAN-MARION-NEWTON-POPE-
SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASH FLAT...BEE BRANCH...BOONEVILLE...
BULL SHOALS...CALICO ROCK...CAVE CITY...CENTER RIDGE...
CLARKSVILLE...CLINTON...DEER...FAIRFIELD BAY...FLIPPIN...
GASSVILLE...HARDY...HARRISON...HECTOR...HORSESHOE BEND...JASPER...
LEAD HILL...LESLIE...MAMMOTH SPRING...MARSHALL...MELBOURNE...
MORRILTON...MOUNT MAGAZINE...MOUNTAIN HOME...MOUNTAIN VIEW...
NORFORK...OMAHA...OXFORD...OZONE...PARIS...PELSOR...
RUSSELLVILLE...SALEM...SUMMIT...VIOLA...WESTERN GROVE...YELLVILLE
652 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR
* PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS AND
WESTERN ARKANSAS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...CONWAY AND POPE. IN NORTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS...
BAXTER...BOONE...FULTON...IZARD...MARION...NEWTON...SEARCY...
SHARP...STONE AND VAN BUREN. IN WESTERN ARKANSAS...JOHNSON AND
LOGAN.
* THROUGH THIS EVENING
* SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY
AND TONIGHT. AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL BE LIKELY TODAY THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL AVERAGE BETWEEN 1
TO 2 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 4
INCHES POSSIBLE.
* EXTREMELY HIGH AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE...COMBINED WITH SEVERAL
ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALLOW FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AND
THE POTENTIAL FOR HIGH WATER PROBLEMS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION IF A FLASH FLOOD
WARNING IS ISSUED.
&&
$$
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
652 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE NORTHERN TWO THIRDS OF ARKANSAS...
ARZ016-024-025-032>034-039-041>047-052>057-212100-
/O.CON.KLZK.FF.A.0002.130521T1800Z-130522T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ARKANSAS-CLARK-CLEBURNE-FAULKNER-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-LONOKE-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-
PIKE-PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-WHITE-WOODRUFF-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALTHEIMER...AMITY...ARKADELPHIA...
AUGUSTA...AVILLA...BATESVILLE...BAUXITE...BEEBE...BENTON...
BISMARCK...BONNERDALE...BRINKLEY...BRYANT...CABOT...CLARENDON...
CONWAY...COTTON PLANT...DE VALLS BLUFF...DE WITT...DES ARC...
DONALDSON...DRASCO...EL PASO...ENGLAND...FOURCHE JUNCTION...
GEORGETOWN...GILLETT...GLENWOOD...GREENBRIER...GREERS FERRY...
GURDON...HASKELL...HAZEN...HEBER SPRINGS...HOT SPRINGS...
HOT SPRINGS VILLAGE...HOUSTON...HUMNOKE...HUMPHREY...
JACKSONVILLE...JESSIEVILLE...LEOLA...LITTLE ROCK...LONOKE...
MALVERN...MAUMELLE...MAYFLOWER...MCCRORY...MOUNT IDA...
MURFREESBORO...NEWPORT...NORMAN...NORTH LITTLE ROCK...
OIL TROUGH...OKOLONA...PARON...PERRYVILLE...PINE BLUFF...
PINE RIDGE...PLEASANT PLAINS...POYEN...PRATTSVILLE...REDFIELD...
ROSE BUD...SEARCY...SHERIDAN...SHERWOOD...STUTTGART...SWIFTON...
TUCKERMAN...VILONIA...WRIGHTSVILLE
652 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM CDT THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR
* PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ARKANSAS...EASTERN ARKANSAS...NORTH
CENTRAL ARKANSAS...SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS AND
WESTERN ARKANSAS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...FAULKNER...GARLAND...GRANT...LONOKE...PERRY...
PRAIRIE...PULASKI...SALINE AND WHITE. IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
JACKSON...MONROE AND WOODRUFF. IN NORTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS...
CLEBURNE AND INDEPENDENCE. IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...ARKANSAS
AND JEFFERSON. IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...CLARK...HOT SPRING AND
PIKE. IN WESTERN ARKANSAS...MONTGOMERY.
* FROM 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING
* SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REDEVELOP OVER THE AREA TODAY
AND TONIGHT. AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL BE LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL AVERAGE
BETWEEN 1 TO 2 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN EXCESS
OF 4 INCHES POSSIBLE.
* EXTREMELY HIGH AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE...COMBINED WITH SEVERAL
ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALLOW FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AND
THE POTENTIAL FOR HIGH WATER PROBLEMS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION IF A FLASH FLOOD
WARNING IS ISSUED.
&&
$$
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
652 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE NORTHERN TWO THIRDS OF ARKANSAS...
ARZ037-038-040-212100-
/O.CON.KLZK.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-130522T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
POLK-SCOTT-YELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DANVILLE...DARDANELLE...GRAVELLY...
MENA...OLA...WALDRON...WICKES...Y CITY
652 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING...
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR
* PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ARKANSAS AND WESTERN ARKANSAS...INCLUDING
THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS...YELL. IN WESTERN
ARKANSAS...POLK AND SCOTT.
* THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING
* SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REDEVELOP OVER THE AREA TODAY
AND TONIGHT. AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL BE LIKELY TODAY THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL AVERAGE BETWEEN 1
TO 2 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 4
INCHES POSSIBLE.
* EXTREMELY HIGH AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE...COMBINED WITH SEVERAL
ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALLOW FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AND
THE POTENTIAL FOR HIGH WATER PROBLEMS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION IF A FLASH FLOOD
WARNING IS ISSUED.
&&
$$
Flood Advisory
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
940 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013
...THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...
MISSISSIPPI RIVER NEAR ARKANSAS CITY AFFECTING CHICOT...DESHA...
BOLIVAR AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES
ARC017-041-MSC011-151-220840-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130525T2200Z/
/ARSA4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
940 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013
THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER NEAR ARKANSAS CITY.
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 9:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 36.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 37.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE FALLING OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
* IMPACT...AT 37.0 FEET...THE LOW SILT PLAIN IN FRONT OF ARKANSAS CITY
INSIDE THE LEVEE SYSTEM BEGINS TO FLOOD ALONG WITH WIDESPREAD
BOTTOMLAND FLOODING AT HUNTINGTON POINT MISSISSIPPI.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME TUE WED THU CREST TIME DATE
LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER
ARKANSAS CITY 37 36.6 MON 09 PM 36.5 36.1 35.6 FALLING
$$
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
912 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013
...THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...
MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT MEMPHIS AFFECTING CRITTENDEN...DESOTO AND
SHELBY COUNTIES
MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT HELENA AFFECTING LEE...PHILLIPS...COAHOMA AND
TUNICA COUNTIES
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THE NEXT RIVER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED TUESDAY MORNING OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.
FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO
WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS
AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS.
DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON`T DROWN.
STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE
LATEST RIVER INFORMATION.
&&
ARC035-MSC033-TNC157-220212-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-130522T1800Z/
/MEMT1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
912 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013
THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT MEMPHIS
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MAY 22.
* AT 09 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 31.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 34.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL SLOWLY NEAR 31.4 FEET TUESDAY MAY 21.
* AT 32.0 FEET...ROAD TO DWELLING ON SOUTH END OF ISLAND CHUTE IS
FLOODING. LEVEE NEAR DANNER LAKE HAS WATER ON IT. WATER IS UP TO
MOST OF THE LEVEE WEST OF ISLAND 40 CHUTE AND ON SOUTH TO I-55.
MOST ALL LAND BETWEEN MEMPHIS AND WEST MEMPHIS IS UNDER WATER. LEVEE
HAS WATER ON IT WEST OF PRESIDENT ISLAND SOUTH TO BLUE LAKE.
$$
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
912 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013
...THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...
MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT MEMPHIS AFFECTING CRITTENDEN...DESOTO AND
SHELBY COUNTIES
MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT HELENA AFFECTING LEE...PHILLIPS...COAHOMA AND
TUNICA COUNTIES
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THE NEXT RIVER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED TUESDAY MORNING OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.
FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO
WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS
AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS.
DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON`T DROWN.
STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE
LATEST RIVER INFORMATION.
&&
ARC077-107-MSC027-143-212232-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.Y.0033.000000T0000Z-130521T2232Z/
/HEEA4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
912 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013
THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT HELENA
* UNTIL TUESDAY MAY 21.
* AT 09 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 41.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 44.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL SLOWLY TO NEAR 41.5 FEET TUESDAY MAY 21.
* AT 42.0 FEET...WATER IS AGAINST OR NEAR THE TOE OF THE ARKANSAS
LEVEE FROM SOUTH HELENA SOUTH PAST MILE 658. ROADS TO LOADING AREAS
ON THE WEST BANK OF THE RIVER AT MILE 661 SOUTH PAST MILE 658 ARE
FLOODING. WATER IS NEAR OR ON THE TOE OF THE EAST LEVEE SOUTH OF
HIGHWAY 49 PAST MILE 658. FIELDS BETWEEN JACKSON POINT AND JUG
HARRIS TOWHEAD BEGIN TO GO UNDER WATER. ROAD TO TERMAINAL AT LONG
LAKE IS FLOODING. ROAD THAT SERVICES LANDING AT POWER PLANT IS
GOING UNDER WATER.
$$
Special Weather Statement
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1033 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
OKZ057-063-068>070-072-074-211630-
ADAIR OK-CHEROKEE OK-CRAIG OK-DELAWARE OK-HASKELL OK-MUSKOGEE
OK-SEQUOYAH OK-
1033 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1130 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...
IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
CHEROKEE...EASTERN MUSKOGEE AND SEQUOYAH
IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
SOUTHEASTERN CRAIG...DELAWARE AND ADAIR
IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
HASKELL
AT 1032 AM CDT...STRONG AND GUSTY EAST WINDS WERE OCCURRING OVER
PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA ASSOCIATED WITH A THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX
MOVING INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. A LARGE PORTION OF
CHEROKEE...SOUTHEASTERN CRAIG...DELAWARE...HASKELL...EASTERN
MUSKOGEE...SEQUOYAH AND ADAIR COUNTIES WILL SEE WIND GUSTS AS HIGH
AS 40 MPH THROUGH 11:30 AM.
LAT...LON 3667 9461 3538 9445 3530 9449 3529 9463
3535 9477 3521 9482 3520 9493 3506 9493
3506 9535 3516 9535 3516 9545 3533 9539
3529 9535 3555 9535 3557 9541 3585 9523
3607 9521 3617 9501 3652 9506 3667 9500
TIME...MOT...LOC 1532Z 189DEG 5KT 3600 9490
$$
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1032 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
ARZ001-010-OKZ057-063-068>070-072-074-211630-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CHEROKEE OK-CRAIG OK-DELAWARE OK-HASKELL
OK-MUSKOGEE OK-SEQUOYAH OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1032 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1130 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...
IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
WESTERN BENTON AND WESTERN WASHINGTON
IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
CHEROKEE...EASTERN MUSKOGEE AND SEQUOYAH
IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
SOUTHEASTERN CRAIG...DELAWARE AND ADAIR
IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
HASKELL
AT 1031 AM CDT...STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS ON THE BACK SIDE OF A
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX WERE OCCURRING OVER PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
A LARGE PORTION OF WESTERN BENTON...WESTERN
WASHINGTON...CHEROKEE...SOUTHEASTERN
CRAIG...DELAWARE...HASKELL...EASTERN MUSKOGEE...SEQUOYAH AND ADAIR
COUNTIES WILL BE AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS THROUGH 1130 AM CDT.
THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH.
LAT...LON 3667 9461 3538 9445 3530 9449 3529 9463
3535 9477 3521 9482 3520 9493 3506 9493
3506 9535 3516 9535 3516 9545 3533 9539
3529 9535 3555 9535 3557 9541 3585 9523
3607 9521 3617 9501 3652 9506 3667 9500
TIME...MOT...LOC 1531Z 189DEG 5KT 3600 9490
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1038 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
ARZ074-075-LAZ007-008-MSZ018-019-025-034-221545-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-
WASHINGTON-
1038 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...EXTREME NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST
MISSISSIPPI.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF MISSISSIPPI THIS
AFTERNOON. THE PRIMARY HAZARD WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS AROUND 60 MPH AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.
SCATTERED SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING AS A DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. THE PRIMARY SEVERE
WEATHER RISK WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AROUND 60
MPH AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. A FEW TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE...MAINLY IN THE DELTA REGION TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY.
IN ADDITION...PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE. RAINFALL
IN STRONGER STORMS MAY PRODUCE PONDING WATER ON ROADWAYS AND IN LOW
LYING AREAS AND LOCAL FLOODING PROBLEMS IN AREAS WHERE DRAINAGE IS
POOR.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY
THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.
.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM
SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS...MAY BE NECESSARY
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
$$
FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN.
EC
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1038 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
LAZ009-015-016-023>026-MSZ026>033-035>038-040>044-047>049-053-059-
060-221545-
EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-
CONCORDIA-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-
OKTIBBEHA-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-
MADISON MS-LEAKE-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-CLAIBORNE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-
1038 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
SCATTERED SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING AS A DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. THE
PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER RISK WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS AROUND 60 MPH AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. A FEW TORNADOES
WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY IN THE DELTA REGION TONIGHT
THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY.
IN ADDITION...PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE.
RAINFALL IN STRONGER STORMS MAY PRODUCE PONDING WATER ON ROADWAYS
AND IN LOW LYING AREAS AND LOCAL FLOODING PROBLEMS IN AREAS WHERE
DRAINAGE IS POOR.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.
.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM
SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS...MAY BE
NECESSARY TONIGHT.
$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1035 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-221000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1035 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
...SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY FLOODING RAINS EXPECTED TODAY...
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...CHOCTAW COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...MID-AFTERNOON.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...EARLY AFTERNOON.
FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.
HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHEAST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.
AREA AT GREATEST RISK...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE LATE THIS MORNING NORTH OF A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
NEAR THE RED RIVER. THESE STORMS ARE MOVING REPEATEDLY OVER THE
SAME AREAS AND CREATING A FLASH FLOOD THREAT. THERE IS A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH /OKCFFATSA/ IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THESE STORMS ARE ALSO CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL
HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AS AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE MOVES INTO THE REGION FROM THE TEXAS PANHANDLE. THERE WILL
BE A TORNADO THREAT ALONG THE RED RIVER NEAR A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN THAT
AREA. NORTH OF THAT BOUNDARY THERE WILL BE MORE OF A LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WIND THREAT. THIS ACTIVITY WILL END BY MID-EVENING AS THE UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE EXITS THE AREA.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK LIKELY.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.
FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
ANOTHER FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE SOUTH INTO THE AREA LATER THIS
WEEK AND WILL THEN REMAIN IN THE VICINITY FOR SEVERAL DAYS.
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH DAY FROM FRIDAY
THROUGH MONDAY AS A RESULT.
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
945 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-221445-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
945 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...
ELEVATED HAIL RISK.
ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
LIMITED FLOODING RISK.
ELEVATED LIGHTNING RISK.
LIMITED FOG RISK.
DISCUSSION...
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WITH CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE
OVER SOUTHERN MISSOURI ALONG THE MISSOURI ARKANSAS BORDER THIS MORNING.
* SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO
REDEVELOP LATER THIS AFTERNOON ALONG AND AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
AS IT PUSHES THROUGH THE MISSOURI OZARKS. HAIL TO THE SIZE OF
QUARTERS AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. THE MAIN RISK OF SEVERE
STORMS WILL BE SOUTH AND EAST OF A BRANSON TO SALEM LINE FROM
MID AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.
IN ADDITION...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING ARE EXPECTED. LOCALIZED FLOODING OF
CREEKS...STREAMS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.
PATCHY FOG WITH VISIBILITIES DOWN TO A MILE OR LESS WILL BE
POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AS SKIES BEGIN TO CLEAR AND WINDS BECOME
LIGHT.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A THUNDERSTORM WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE LAKE OF THE OZARKS REGION OF CENTRAL
MISSOURI. THE MAIN THREAT FROM ANY STORMS WOULD BE
OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING STRIKES.
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN BE POSSIBLE FROM FRIDAY
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT FOR
LOCATIONS SOUTH AND EAST OF A BRANSON TO SALEM LINE.
&&
THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)
$$
LINDENBERG
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
722 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-221300-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA-
CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER-
FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-
ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-
MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT-
PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY-
ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-
UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
722 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE ENTIRE
MID SOUTH TODAY AND TONIGHT. A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
ARE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING WITH HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS AS THE
PREDOMINANT SEVERE WEATHER THREATS. A GREATER THREAT FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AS A
STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER
THREATS ALONG WITH A SECONDARY POTENTIAL FOR PERHAPS A TORNADO.
LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY
THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS MAY BE NEEDED IN
SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS TODAY AND TONIGHT.
$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
607 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-211700-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION AR-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-
UNION LA-DE SOTO-RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA-SABINE LA-
NATCHITOCHES-WINN-GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-MCCURTAIN-BOWIE-
FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-
HARRISON-CHEROKEE-RUSK-PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-ANGELINA-
SAN AUGUSTINE-SABINE TX-
607 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...EAST TEXAS AND
NORTHEAST TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY ACROSS MUCH
OF EAST TEXAS...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...AND
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL
SHIFT EAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TODAY AND INTERACT WITH
STRONG INSTABILITY THAT WILL DEVELOP WITH DAYTIME HEATING...AND
VARIOUS CONVECTIVE BOUNDARIES LEFT IN PLACE FROM SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOPED MONDAY NIGHT AND THIS MORNING ACROSS
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD INCREASE BY THIS AFTERNOON OVER NORTHEAST
TEXAS...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS AHEAD OF THE
TROUGH...OVER AREAS THAT WILL CONTAIN STRONG INSTABILITY AT THE
SURFACE AND ALOFT. STRONG WIND SHEAR WILL ALSO AID IN UPDRAFT
ROTATION...SUCH THAT SOME OF THESE STORMS WILL BECOME
SEVERE...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND
ISOLATED TORNADOES. THESE STORMS WILL ALSO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AT TIMES...WITH ONE TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN POSSIBLE
ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS
AND NORTHWEST LOUISIANA. THESE STORMS SHOULD CONSOLIDATE INTO A
LARGE THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX TONIGHT AS IT PROPAGATES EAST SOUTHEAST
ACROSS SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS AND NORTH LOUISIANA...WHERE STRONG
DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE. THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
SHOULD WEAKEN LATE TONIGHT OVER NORTHCENTRAL LOUISIANA AS
INSTABILITY GRADUALLY DIMINISHES.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE ONGOING WEDNESDAY MORNING
ACROSS NORTHCENTRAL LOUISIANA AND PORTIONS OF DEEP EAST
TEXAS...BUT SHOULD DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST BY LATE MORNING
WITH THE DEPARTURE OF THE UPPER TROUGH. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS MAY REDEVELOP WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON MAINLY SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 20 OVER EAST TEXAS AND NORTH LOUISIANA...WHERE A WEAK
SURFACE BOUNDARY BECOMES STATIONARY OVER THESE AREAS. THESE SHOULD
DIMINISH WEDNESDAY EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF HEATING.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGERS...SKYWARN NETWORKS...AND AMATEUR
RADIO PERSONNEL...WILL BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.
$$
15
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
430 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-221000-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
430 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT.
THE PRIMARY THREAT...SHOULD A SEVERE STORM OCCUR...WILL BE
DAMAGING WINDS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY
THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE OF STORMS WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AND AGAIN ON SUNDAY. AT THIS TIME...NO WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER
IS EXPECTED.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE TODAY INTO TONIGHT.
$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
429 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-221000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
429 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS WESTERN ARKANSAS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST AND NORTHEAST OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. THERE
WILL CONTINUE TO BE SOME POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO SEVERE WEATHER
WITH THIS ACTIVITY OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...WITH DAMAGING WINDS
AND LARGE HAIL POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS. SOME HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE...LEADING TO LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING AS THESE STORMS MOVE OVER AREAS THAT SAW SOME HEAVY
RAINFALL ON MONDAY EVENING.
EXPECT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO REDEVELOP LATER THIS MORNING
AND ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS AS A POTENT STORM SYSTEM
TO THE WEST MOVES OVER ARKANSAS. ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP
WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME SEVERE WITH HIGH LEVELS OF
INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE IN PLACE. THE MAIN THREATS WITH THE
STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND DESTRUCTIVE LARGE HAIL.
THE POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES WILL EXIST...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
SOUTHWESTERN SECTIONS OF THE STATE WHERE THE BEST COMBINATION OF
INSTABILITY AND LOW LEVEL SHEAR WILL COINCIDE.
DUE TO THE HIGH LEVELS OF MOISTURE IN PLACE...AND WITH MULTIPLE
ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED...THERE WILL BE A
THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING AS SOME LOCATIONS COULD SEE SEVERAL
INCHES OF RAINFALL IN A SHORT TIME FRAME.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DECREASE BEGINNING ON
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS MORE STABLE AND DRIER AIR MOVES INTO THE
STATE. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE STATE FOR FRIDAY...BUT
CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION WILL BE LIMITED TO THE SOUTH AND
WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE STATE. AT THIS TIME...THE THREAT FOR
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE LOW LATE THIS WEEK AND INTO THE
WEEKEND.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.
&&
VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
$$
62
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
303 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-220815-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
303 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS THE EASTERN
THREE QUARTERS OF NORTH TEXAS...AND A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE
WEATHER ACROSS THE REST OF THE AREA. A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS NORTH TEXAS WITH THUNDERSTORMS BEGINNING
NEAR THE RED RIVER IN THE MORNING...SPREADING SOUTH AND EAST
AHEAD OF THE FRONT DURING THE DAY.
THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE FREQUENT LIGHTNING...HAIL LARGER THAN
TWO INCHES IN DIAMETER...AND DAMAGING WINDS. THE TORNADO THREAT
WILL INCREASE DURING THE DAY...WITH STRONG LONG TRACK TORNADOES A
POSSIBILITY. BY MID AFTERNOON THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO EVOLVE
INTO A SQUALL LINE...INCREASING THE DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WIND
POTENTIAL. THE SQUALL LINE SHOULD EXIT THE SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES
BY LATE EVENING.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS RETURNS WEDNESDAY EVENING IN THE
NORTHWEST AND THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING GENERALLY NORTH OF
THE I-20 CORRIDOR.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY BEGINNING IN THE MORNING FOR COUNTIES
NEAR THE RED RIVER...EXTENDING SOUTH AND EAST ACROSS NORTH TEXAS
DURING THE DAY AND EVENING.
$$
Short Term Forecast
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1023 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
ARZ050-051-OKZ077-211700-
SEVIER-HOWARD-MCCURTAIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DE QUEEN...NASHVILLE...IDABEL
1023 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
.NOW...
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PUSH ACROSS PORTIONS OF
EXTREME SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AND SOUTH ARKANSAS THIS MORNING.
MOVEMENT IS TO THE NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 30 MPH. STRONGER STORMS
COULD PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL.
$$
25
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
946 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-211600-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
946 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
.NOW...
AT 9:45 AM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS CONTINUED TO
DETECT A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...EXTENDING FROM NEAR
ASHLAND...EAST TOWARD MANSFIELD. ADDITIONAL LIGHT RAIN WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WAS ALSO AFFECTING LOCATIONS ACROSS
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. ALL THIS ACTIVITY WAS
MOVING TOWARD THE EAST...AROUND 30 MILES AN HOUR.
THROUGH 11:00 AM...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO
SPREAD EAST ACROSS THE AREA. THE STRONGER STORMS WILL REMAIN SOUTH
OF HIGHWAY 40. THE STRONGER STORMS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE HEAVY
RAINFALL...INTENSE LIGHTNING...AND GUSTY WINDS. FLOODING IS ALSO A
THREAT...AS STORMS CONTINUE TO TRAIN ACROSS THE SAME AREAS JUST
SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 40. IMPASSABLE ROADS HAVE BEEN REPORTED IN
PORTIONS OF LE FLORE AND LATIMER COUNTIES.
$$
16
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
904 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-211600-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-
NAVARRO-FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-
LIMESTONE-LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
904 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
.NOW...
A COLD FRONT WILL SLIDE ACROSS THE RED RIVER BETWEEN 9 AND 11 AM.
A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ACCOMPANY THE COLD FRONT.
THE INDIVIDUAL STORMS WILL MOVE NORTHEAST WHILE THE ENTIRE LINE
SLIDES SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS NORTH OF A LINE FROM
BRECKENRIDGE...TO DFW...TO PARIS WILL SEE PERIODS OF MODERATE TO
HEAVY RAINFALL AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING BY 11 AM. SEVERE
STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON.
$$
