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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
506 AM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-191100-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
506 AM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...This Afternoon.

DISCUSSION...
Unseasonably warm temperatures and persistent dry conditions will
lead to a limited fire weather danger this afternoon.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
FRIDAY through SUNDAY...No Hazards.
MONDAY...Heavy Rain Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Shower and thunderstorm chances return Wednesday evening and
overnight ahead of an approaching low pressure system from the
desert southwest. An isolated severe potential develops Wednesday
evening before instability begins to weaken overnight. Widespread
showers and a few embedded thunderstorms continue Thursday and
Thursday night, with a heavy rain threat that may lead to an
increase in flood concerns. This precipitation is forecast to
begin tapering off Friday once the low pressure system moves over
the region and a cold front moves through eastern Oklahoma and
northwest Arkansas.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
358 AM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-191000-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-
Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-
Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-
Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-
Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-
Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
358 AM CST Tue Nov 18 2025 /458 AM EST Tue Nov 18 2025/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern
Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast
Missouri.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected today. Stronger
storms this morning could produce small hail, and isolated severe
storms with large hail are possible.

Scattered thunderstorms this afternoon into early this evening
will pose a greater risk of severe weather. Large hail and isolated
tornadoes are possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Isolated thunderstorms are possible Wednesday night through
Friday. Strong storms are possible Thursday into early Friday,
along with brief heavy rain.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed today.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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