Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
302 PM CST Wed Nov 19 2025
KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-202115-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
302 PM CST Wed Nov 19 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
Weather hazards expected...
Marginal hail risk.
Elevated lightning risk.
DISCUSSION...
Late tonight into Thursday morning, strong to marginally severe
thunderstorms will be posible. Any thunderstorm will be capable of
producing small hail, with a 5 percent chance for some storms to
produce hail up to the size of quarters.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
Widespread moderate to heavy rain will occur from early Thursday
morning through Friday as multiple showers and thunderstorms move
across the area. Localized flooding may be possible for locations
that receive multiple rounds of heavy rain.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.
&&
More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket
This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf
$$
Price
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
213 PM CST Wed Nov 19 2025
ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-202015-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-
Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-
Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-
Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-
Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-
Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
213 PM CST Wed Nov 19 2025 /313 PM EST Wed Nov 19 2025/
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern
Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast
Missouri.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight
Thunderstorms will be possible late tonight, mainly across
southeast Missouri. The main threats would be lightning and heavy
downpours.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday
Showers and thunderstorms are possible across most of the area
Thursday and Friday. The main threats will be lightning and heavy
downpours.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1256 PM CST Wed Nov 19 2025
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-201900-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
1256 PM CST Wed Nov 19 2025
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Late Afternoon.
DISCUSSION...
A few thunderstorms may develop by late this afternoon across
parts of southeast Oklahoma in advance of an upper level storm
system across the southwest U.S. Additional thunderstorm
development is expected late this evening and overnight across
much of eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. A few storms may
become severe, especially late this evening and overnight, with
large hail being the main severe weather threat.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...No Hazards.
SUNDAY AND MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
TUESDAY...No Hazards.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
As the upper level storm system moves northeast towards the
southern plains Thursday, showers and thunderstorms will become
more widespread during the day and continue into Thursday night
before tapering off Friday. Locally heavy rainfall remains
possible Thursday and Thursday night, which may lead to an
increase in flood concerns with time. Again, a few storms may
become strong to marginally severe during the day Thursday. AN
increase in low level shear toward sunset Thursday could pose a
very low tornado threat across parts of SE OK and WC AR Thursday
evening as the last round of thunderstorms moves through the area.
Another upper level storm system looks to affect the area Sunday
and Monday bringing another round of showers and storms along with
the potential for locally heavy rainfall, especially across parts
of southeast Oklahoma and western Arkansas.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
$$
