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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
234 AM CDT Fri May 24 2024

ARZ004>008-014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-
103-112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230-
237-238-240-241-313-340-341-250745-
Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Stone-Izard-Independence-
Lawrence-Cleburne-Jackson-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Perry-
Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-
Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-
Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-Boone County Except Southwest-
Newton County Higher Elevations-Searcy County Lower Elevations-
Southern Johnson County-Southern Pope County-
Southeast Van Buren County-Western and Northern Logan County-
Northern Scott County-Northwest Yell County-
Polk County Lower Elevations-
Central and Eastern Montgomery County-
Boone County Higher Elevations-Newton County Lower Elevations-
Northwest Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Johnson County Higher Elevations-Pope County Higher Elevations-
Van Buren County Higher Elevations-
Southern and Eastern Logan County-
Central and Southern Scott County-Yell Excluding Northwest-
Northern Polk County Higher Elevations-
Northern Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
Eastern, Central, and Southern Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Southeast Polk County Higher Elevations-
Southwest Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
234 AM CDT Fri May 24 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Showers and thunderstorms are expected through much of today.
Some storms could be strong to severe with hail, damaging winds,
and a few tornadoes possible. Additionally, flash flooding will be
possible today as a result of heavy rainfall associated with
thunderstorms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

An unsettled pattern continues for Arkansas through the weekend.
Thunderstorms are forecast each day, with some severe thunderstorms
possible. Large hail and damaging winds will be the primary threats
with the strongest storms. A tornado or two will also be possible.
Locally heavy rainfall may also result in some isolated flash
flooding.

Cooler and drier air will move into northern Arkansas on Monday and
clear the remainder of the state by Tuesday of next week, with the
threat for hazardous weather becoming minimal thereafter.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

$$

73/70

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1137 AM CDT Fri May 24 2024

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-251200-
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-
Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone-
Leon-Milam-Robertson-
1137 AM CDT Fri May 24 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are likely this afternoon and evening.
Storms will develop around 3-4 pm and persist through the evening.
The primary threats will be hail greater than 2 inches and damaging
wind gusts of 60-70 mph. There will be a localized tornado threat
with the strongest storms. Storms should dissipate around midnight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
There is a low threat of severe storms late Saturday afternoon,
primarily across western North Texas. Large hail and damaging wind
gusts will be the primary hazards.

Additional storm chances return mid to late next week. The potential
for severe weather remains uncertain at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is likely for much of the area between 4 pm and
midnight.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
631 AM CDT Fri May 24 2024

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-TXZ096-
097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-251145-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-
Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-De Soto-
Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-Natchitoches-Winn-Grant-
Caldwell-La Salle-McCurtain-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-Morris-Cass-
Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-Rusk-Panola-
Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
631 AM CDT Fri May 24 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Arkansas,
southwest Arkansas, north central Louisiana, northwest Louisiana,
southeast Oklahoma, east Texas and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Severe weather will be possible once again today through tonight
across most of the Four State Region. Large hail and damaging
thunderstorm wind gusts will again be the main threats. While
widespread flooding is not likely through tonight, flooding of low
lying and flood prone areas will be possible with heavy downpours
through tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Severe weather will be possible once again late Saturday into
Saturday Night across mainly portions of Northeast Texas, Southeast
Oklahoma and Southwest Arkansas. Large hail and damaging thunderstorm
wind gusts will again be the main threats on Saturday.

A strong cold front will move through the region on Memorial Day and
Monday Night bringing with it another chance of thunderstorms. Before
the cold front arrives late on Monday, we will see some of the
hottest temperatures of the late Spring Season with afternoon high
temperatures both Saturday and Sunday in the lower to middle 90s.
Combine this with high afternoon humidity and heat indices could
approach 105 degrees across some locations.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

16

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
503 AM CDT Fri May 24 2024

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-251015-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
503 AM CDT Fri May 24 2024

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...This Morning...Then Mid Afternoon.

DISCUSSION...
A cold front will move into the area this morning, with scattered
showers and storms possible around or just after sunrise across
northeast Oklahoma. These storms could be severe, with large hail
the main threat. Better storm chances will exist this afternoon
along and ahead of the frontal boundary in eastern Oklahoma and
northwestern Arkansas. A highly unstable airmass and strong shear
would support supercells capable of all hazards, especially large
to significant hail in excess of two inches in diameter. Storms
will move east during the evening into southeast Oklahoma and west
central Arkansas, with a continues severe threat.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
SATURDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
SUNDAY...High Wind Potential.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...No Hazards.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Strong storm system will bring storm chances back to the area on
Saturday as storms could develop along a dryline in central
Oklahoma and spread eastward into the eastern Oklahoma during the
evening hours. All severe hazards will be possible, including
large to very large hail and tornadoes. Storms will likely be
isolated to widely scattered as a capping inversion limits
convection along the boundary during the afternoon before the
arrival of stronger forcing. A couple of quiet days are expected
for the remainder of the holiday weekend. Nightly thunderstorm
chances will return by mid week as northwest flow aloft sets up
and chances increase for storm complexes moving into the region
overnight.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
433 AM CDT Fri May 24 2024

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-250945-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
433 AM CDT Fri May 24 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited tornado risk.
  Limited hail risk.
  Limited thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Elevated lightning risk.
  Limited excessive rainfall risk

DISCUSSION...

Scattered thunderstorms will be possible this morning, but will
become more numerous this afternoon and evening. Strong to severe
storms will be possible, especially during the afternoon and
evening when the instability will be at the highest ahead of a
cold front.

Hail to the size of golf balls will be the main severe weather
risk, along with damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph. An isolated
tornado will also be possible.

In addition to the severe weather risk, heavy rain may lead to
localized flooding in low lying areas.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Another round of strong to severe thunderstorms will move through
the region late Saturday night into Sunday. Damaging wind and
large hail will be the main severe weather risks.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed later today or tonight for areas
southeast of a Pittsburg Kansas to Warsaw Missouri line.


&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Lindenberg

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
401 AM CDT Fri May 24 2024

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-251000-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-
Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-
Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-
Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-
Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-
Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
401 AM CDT Fri May 24 2024 /501 AM EDT Fri May 24 2024/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern
Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast
Missouri.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered thunderstorms are possible today and tonight. A few
severe storms will be possible late this afternoon into the
evening, mainly over southeast Missouri and southern Illinois.
Large hail and damaging winds will be the primary concerns, but a
tornado or two cannot be ruled out. Locally heavy rainfall could
lead to some isolated flooding problems.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

A few thunderstorms are possible Saturday mainly over the
Pennyrile Region of west Kentucky. A brief period of heavy
rainfall and lightning can be expected.

Numerous thunderstorms are expected Sunday afternoon and night.
Severe storms are expected in the afternoon and evening, with
damaging winds, large hail, and tornadoes all possible. Supercells
are expected initially, but they will quickly form into a line
and move east or southeast across the region. A few high end
severe events, 2 inch diameter hail, 75+ mph winds, and EF2 or
greater tornadoes, will be possible, especially over the northeast
half of the region. In addition, torrential rains could lead to
some isolated flooding problems.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters should be prepared for activation late this afternoon and
evening, mainly over southeast Missouri and southern Illinois, and
then throughout the area Sunday afternoon and evening.

$$

DRS

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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