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Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
217 AM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-220730-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
217 AM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017 /117 AM MDT Sat Oct 21 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

Strong to marginally severe thunderstorms will be possible across
south central Kansas this afternoon and evening. Storms will be
capable of producing quarter to half dollar size hail and gusty
winds in excess of 60 mph.

Gusty north winds will develop this afternoon behind a cold front
moving across western Kansas during the day. Outdoor burning is
discouraged.

Near to slightly below freezing temperatures will be possible
across west central and western portions of southwest Kansas late
tonight into early Sunday morning.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Tornado: Limited risk
* Hail: Elevated risk
* Lightning: Limited risk
* Non-thunderstorm wind: Elevated risk
* Freeze: Significant risk
* Fire weather: Elevated risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon generally east of
a Larned to Coldwater line.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

$$

32

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
830 PM CDT Fri Oct 20 2017

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-220130-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
830 PM CDT Fri Oct 20 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Strong south winds will continue across portions of Central Kansas
until around 2AM. Please refer to latest wind advisory for
additional details.


A few storms will be possible tonight with strong or severe storms
not expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Severe thunderstorms are likely Saturday afternoon and evening
along a southward moving cold front. The primary threats will be
damaging winds of 60-70 mph, quarter to half dollar sized hail and
locally heavy rain. Flooding of typical flood-prone areas may also
be possible, especially for areas southeast of the Kansas Turnpike.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
http://weather.gov/wichita/hwo/

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
709 PM CDT Fri Oct 20 2017

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-220015-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
709 PM CDT Fri Oct 20 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited Lightning risk.
  Limited Non thunderstorm wind risk.

DISCUSSION...

An isolated thunderstorm is possible late tonight across
southeastern Kansas into far southwestern Missouri. However, most
locations will remain dry.

Southerly winds will gust up to 30mph tonight across Southeastern
Kansas and Western Missouri.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Southerly winds will gust up to 35 mph at times across the area
through the day on Saturday.

Saturday night, a line of strong to severe thunderstorms are
expected to move through the area. Damaging wind gusts will be the
primary hazard with this activity. However, there is a threat for
an isolated tornado along the line of storms for areas west of US
Highway 65. Large hail is also possible in a few storms.

The line of thunderstorms looks to reach the Kansas and Missouri
borders after 10pm and the US Highway 65 corridor after 12 AM
Sunday. These storms are then expected to weaken as they shift
east of US Highway 65 during the early morning hours Sunday.

There is also a risk for some localized flooding, particularly in
southeastern Kansas and western Missouri. Widespread flooding is
not expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Wise

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
518 PM CDT Fri Oct 20 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-211000-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
518 PM CDT Fri Oct 20 2017

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...This evening.

DISCUSSION...
There remains a small chance of thunderstorms this evening and
into the overnight hours across parts of eastern Oklahoma and
northwest Arkansas. Severe weather is not expected with this
activity.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
SATURDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential...
           Heavy Rain Potential.
SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
MONDAY...No Hazards.
TUESDAY...High Wind Potential.
WEDNESDAY...No Hazards.
THURSDAY...High Wind Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorms are expected to develop to the west and northwest
Saturday afternoon along a cold front and move into northeast
Oklahoma by early Saturday evening and spread into northwest
Arkansas Saturday night. An enhanced severe thunderstorm risk is
forecast with damaging winds...large hail and also a low tornado
potential during the initial storm development. Late evening and
overnight Saturday...storms are forecast to become more linear and
transition to mainly a damaging wind threat as the front moves
through the region. The front looks to be exiting southeast
Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas early Sunday morning.

In addition to the severe potential, heavy rainfall remains
possible through Saturday night, with widespread 1 to 2 inch rain
amounts, with local amounts near 4 inches. These amounts may lead
to flash flooding and/or river flooding.

Behind the exiting front...breezy northerly winds look to continue
Sunday with cooler and drier conditions for the first half of next
week.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
Persons attending outdoor events Saturday evening should prepare
for thunderstorms with the potential for severe weather. The
overall tornado threat will continue to be assessed as additional
data becomes available as the event approaches.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1037 AM CDT Fri Oct 20 2017

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-211545-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-
Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-De Soto-
Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-Natchitoches-Winn-
Grant-Caldwell-La Salle-McCurtain-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-
Morris-Cass-Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-Rusk-
Panola-Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
1037 AM CDT Fri Oct 20 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
Arkansas, southwest Arkansas, north central Louisiana, northwest
Louisiana, southeast Oklahoma, east Texas and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

Scattered showers and a few isolated thunderstorms will develop
today and tonight as a weak upper disturbance transitions across
the region. However, no hazardous weather is expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday...

Thunderstorms will accompany a strong cold front advancing south
through the southern Plains into our region late Saturday through
early Sunday. A few severe storms will be possible mainly along
and north of the Interstate 30 corridor, especially if a squall
line develops with the primary threat of strong damaging winds.
The threat will diminish through the daytime hours on Sunday as
the cold front exits the region later in the evening and during
the overnight hours.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of emergency management personnel...amateur radio
operators and storm spotters will not be needed through tonight.

$$

20

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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