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Flash Flood Watch


Flood Watch
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1145 AM MDT Thu Jul 27 2017

NMZ504>509-511>534-537-539-281200-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.A.0003.170727T1800Z-170728T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-
San Francisco River Valley-Jemez Mountains-
West Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Northern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet/Red River-
Southern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley-
Lower Chama River Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia/Manzano Mountains-Estancia Valley-
Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-Upper Tularosa Valley-
South Central Mountains-Raton Ridge/Johnson Mesa-
Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-
Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-
Quay County-De Baca County-Eastern Lincoln County-
1145 AM MDT Thu Jul 27 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* a portion of north and central New Mexico, including the
  following areas: Central Highlands, De Baca County, East Slopes
  Sangre de Cristo Mountains, Eastern Lincoln County, Eastern San
  Miguel County, Estancia Valley, Far Northeast Highlands,
  Guadalupe County, Harding County, Jemez Mountains, Lower Chama
  River Valley, Lower Rio Grande Valley, Middle Rio Grande
  Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area, Northeast Highlands, Northern
  Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet/Red River, Northwest Highlands,
  Quay County, Raton Ridge/Johnson Mesa, San Francisco River
  Valley, Sandia/Manzano Mountains, Santa Fe Metro Area, South
  Central Highlands, South Central Mountains, Southern Sangre de
  Cristos above 9500 feet, Southwest Mountains, Union County, Upper
  Rio Grande Valley, Upper Tularosa Valley, West Central Highlands,
  West Central Mountains, West Central Plateau and West Slopes
  Sangre de Cristo Mountains.

* Through late tonight...

* A very moist atmosphere will slowly destabilize this afternoon,
  leading to scattered to numerous slow-moving thunderstorms across
  much of northern and western New Mexico. Storms may also repeatedly
  move over the same area, leading to prolonged heavy downpours.

* Heavy downpours will lead to ponding of water in low lying areas
  and abrupt and excessive water runoff near steeper terrain. As
  soils become saturated from prolonged downpours, flash flooding
  will be a threat. Normally dry creeks, arroyos, low water
  crossings, and river beds could turn to raging torrents during
  flash flooding episodes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to
flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.
Monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash
Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

52

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1235 PM CDT Thu Jul 27 2017

OKZ001-TXZ001-006-011-016-280400-
/O.CON.KAMA.FF.A.0002.170727T1800Z-170728T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Cimarron-Dallam-Hartley-Oldham-Deaf Smith-
Including the cities of Boise City, Keyes, Dalhart, Hartley,
Channing, Vega, and Hereford
1235 PM CDT Thu Jul 27 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Oklahoma and Texas, including the following areas,
  in Oklahoma, Cimarron. In Texas, Dallam, Deaf Smith, Hartley,
  and Oldham.

* Through Friday morning

* Scattered to numerous thunderstorms with heavy rain are expected
  across the western Oklahoma Panhandle and the far northwestern
  Texas Panhandle tonight into Thursday morning. Areas within the
  watch are expected to receive periods of heavy rainfall due to
  slow moving thunderstorms in a moist environment. This may
  product excessive runoff and possible flash flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$


Flood Advisory


Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
114 PM MDT THU JUL 27 2017

NMC039-043-272115-
/O.NEW.KABQ.FA.Y.0199.170727T1914Z-170727T2115Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Rio Arriba-Sandoval-
114 PM MDT THU JUL 27 2017

The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has issued a

* Arroyo and Small Stream Flood Advisory for...
  Southern Rio Arriba County in north central New Mexico...
  Northeastern Sandoval County in north central New Mexico...

* Until 315 PM MDT.

* At 110 PM MDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain due to multiple
  slow moving thunderstorms. This will cause arroyo and small stream
  flooding in the advisory area. Rivers impacted include the west
  fork of the Jemez River, San Antonio Creek, Rio Cebolla and Rio
  Guadalupe, as well as many of their tributaries. The potential
  exists for flash flooding to develop.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Jemez Springs, Fenton Lake State Park and Jemez State Monument.

This will impact the Thompson Ridge burn scar including but not
limited to Sulphur Creek Road, Sulphur Springs,
Freelove Canyon, Mormon Canyon, Deer Canyon, Valles Caldera Preserve
Headquarters, Redondo Creek, and Redondo Peak area.

This will also impact the Cajete burn scar, including Highway 4.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Both localized and distant heavy rainfall will create dangerous flows
in arroyos and over low water crossings. Do not attempt to drive
through these waters. Water in arroyos may travel many miles and take
hours to reach your location from upstream rain areas.

&&

LAT...LON 3605 10659 3587 10647 3574 10653 3581 10681
      3608 10683

$$

44

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1248 PM MDT THU JUL 27 2017

NMC039-272045-
/O.NEW.KABQ.FA.Y.0196.170727T1848Z-170727T2045Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Rio Arriba-
1248 PM MDT THU JUL 27 2017

The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has issued a

* Arroyo and Small Stream Flood Advisory for...
  South central Rio Arriba County in north central New Mexico...

* Until 245 PM MDT.

* At 1245 PM MDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain due to
  thunderstorms. This will cause arroyo and small stream flooding in
  the advisory area.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Youngsville and Coyote. This includes the Rio Puerco downstream to
  Abiquiu Reservoir. Heavy ponding is also expected on Highway 96 in
  spots east of Gallina to Youngsville.

This will impact the Diego fire burn scar including but not limited
to Forest Roads 103 and 316, Coyote Creek, and Rito Encino.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3615 10656 3602 10664 3610 10682 3628 10683
      3627 10665 3625 10653

$$

44


Special Weather Statement


Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
124 PM MDT THU JUL 27 2017

COZ060>062-065-069-072-073-272015-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Ft CO-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Ft CO-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide below 10000 Ft CO-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Ft CO-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Ft CO-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains above 11000 Ft CO-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains above 11000 Ft CO-
124 PM MDT THU JUL 27 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTH CENTRAL CHAFFEE...WESTERN
FREMONT AND NORTH CENTRAL SAGUACHE COUNTIES UNTIL 215 PM MDT...

At 123 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Poncha Pass, or 44 miles east of Gunnison, moving southeast at 20
mph.

Dime size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Bonanza, Poncha Pass and Villa Grove.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3854 10607 3822 10581 3810 10606 3842 10626
      3842 10625 3844 10625 3844 10626
TIME...MOT...LOC 1923Z 327DEG 16KT 3843 10612

$$

TLM


Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
225 PM CDT Thu Jul 27 2017

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-281000-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
225 PM CDT Thu Jul 27 2017 /125 PM MDT Thu Jul 27 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

There will be a chance for rain showers and isolated
thunderstorms through early tonight. A few of the stronger storms
this evening may be capable of producing periods of moderate
rainfall and cloud to ground lightning.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Flooding: Limited risk
* Lightning: Limited risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

There will be a pretty good chance for thunderstorm activity,
some of which organized, just about every day this period
through early next week. The main risk will be flooding as
some areas will likely see several inches of additional
rainfall across mainly far southwest Kansas.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Friday
  - Flooding: Limited risk
  - Lightning: Elevated risk

* Saturday
  - Flooding: Elevated risk
  - Lightning: Elevated risk

* Sunday
  - Lightning: Elevated risk

* Monday
  - Lightning: Elevated risk

* Tuesday
  - Lightning: Elevated risk

* Wednesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
1121 AM MDT Thu Jul 27 2017

COZ030>051-281730-
Jackson County Below 9000 Feet-
West Jackson and West Grand Counties Above 9000 Feet-
Grand and Summit Counties Below 9000 Feet-
South and East Jackson/Larimer/North and Northeast Grand/
Northwest Boulder Counties Above 9000 Feet-
South and Southeast Grand/West Central and Southwest Boulder/
Gilpin/Clear Creek/Summit/North and West Park Counties Above
9000 Feet-Larimer and Boulder Counties Between 6000 and 9000 Feet-
Jefferson and West Douglas Counties Above 6000 Feet/Gilpin/Clear
Creek/Northeast Park Counties Below 9000 Feet-
Central and Southeast Park County-
Larimer County Below 6000 Feet/Northwest Weld County-
Boulder And Jefferson Counties Below 6000 Feet/West Broomfield
County-
North Douglas County Below 6000 Feet/Denver/West Adams and
Arapahoe Counties/East Broomfield County-
Elbert/Central and East Douglas Counties Above 6000 Feet-
Northeast Weld County-Central and South Weld County-Morgan County-
Central and East Adams and Arapahoe Counties-
North and Northeast Elbert County Below 6000 Feet/North Lincoln
County-
Southeast Elbert County Below 6000 Feet/South Lincoln County-
Logan County-Washington County-Sedgwick County-Phillips County-
1121 AM MDT Thu Jul 27 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for northeast and north central
Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered thunderstorms forming early this afternoon over the
Front Range mountains and foothills will slowly drift east over
the adjacent plains through the afternoon. Storm chances on the
plains this afternoon will be greatest up along the Wyoming
border, west of Interstate 25 and over the higher terrain of the
Palmer Divide. A few storms near the Wyoming border could produce
hail at least an inch in diameter, wind gusts to 60 mph and
locally heavy rainfall. Storms elsewhere will be capable of wind
gusts to 40 mph, brief heavy rainfall and perhaps some small hail.
A quick inch of rain in under 30 minutes could cause local
flooding of burn scars, streets and underpasses, and in locations
that received heavy rain last night. Most of this storm activity
should end by mid to late evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected Friday across the
forecast area with a chance of stronger storms over the northern
plains. Strong outflow winds, brief heavy rain and some hail will
be possible. Similar conditions will be similar Saturday before
moisture gets pushed southwest for Sunday and Monday, where storms
will favor the high terrain slightly more. Brief heavy rain will
remain a hazard with the storms as monsoonal moisture remains
overhead or nearby.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today or tonight. However,
any reports of rainfall greater than 1 inch or hail at least an
inch in diameter will be appreciated.

$$
Baker/RJK

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1110 AM MDT Thu Jul 27 2017

COZ058>089-093>099-281715-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Ft-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Ft-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains above 11000 Ft-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Ft-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Ft-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County above 9000Ft-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Ft-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide below 10000 Ft-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Ft-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below 10000 Ft-
Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Ft-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Ft-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Ft-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Ft-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains above 11000 Ft-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Ft-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Ft-
Northwestern Fremont County  Above 8500Ft-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Ft-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Ft-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000Ft-
Wet Mountains above 10000 Ft-
Teller County/Rampart Range above 7500fT/Pike`s Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Ft-Pikes Peak above 11000 Ft-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Ft-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Ft-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Ft-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Ft-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1110 AM MDT Thu Jul 27 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected to
develop again this afternoon and evening, mainly over and near
the mountain areas. Storms across the plains should be much more
isolated today due to the atmosphere being stabilized by recent
heavy precipitation.

Monsoon moisture remains firmly entrenched over southern Colorado,
supporting the potential for locally heavy rain fall with all
storms that develop today. This will also lead to possible flash
flooding across the area again today, especially over area burn
scars, as well as locations that have already been saturated by
recent heavy rain. Other concerns from storms include dangerous
cloud to ground lightning, with gusty winds and small hail also
possible with the strongest storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Monsoon moisture will remain over southern Colorado through the
period. The mountains will see scattered afternoon and evening
thunderstorms each day in the period. The plains will see active
days mixed with quieter days. Currently, most model forecasts
agree that Saturday, Sunday and Tuesday will be the most active
days for storms across the plains. The primary concerns through
the period will continue to be flash flooding, lightning, gusty
winds and small hail.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will
be likely over and near the higher terrain this afternoon and
evening and remain possible across the rest of southern Colorado.

$$

23/23

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
434 AM MDT Thu Jul 27 2017

NMZ501>540-281000-
Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-
Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-
San Francisco River Valley-San Juan Mountains-Jemez Mountains-
West Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Northern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet/Red River-
Southern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley-
Lower Chama River Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia/Manzano Mountains-Estancia Valley-
Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-Upper Tularosa Valley-
South Central Mountains-Raton Ridge/Johnson Mesa-
Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-
Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-
Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County-
Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County-
434 AM MDT Thu Jul 27 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north and central
New Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Heavy rainfall is expected across a large portion of northern and
central New Mexico today and tonight. There is a strong possibility
for flash flooding and a flash flood watch has been issued between
noon to 6 am MDT Friday.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Heavy rainfall will continue to impact portions of northern and
central New Mexico on Friday. A resurgence of heavy rain potential
exists Sunday night through the earlier half of next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

$$

50

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service GRAND JUNCTION CO
430 AM MDT Thu Jul 27 2017

COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-281030-
Lower Yampa River Basin-Central Yampa River Basin-
Roan and Tavaputs Plateaus-Elkhead and Park Mountains-
Upper Yampa River Basin-Grand Valley-Debeque to Silt Corridor-
Central Colorado River Basin-Grand and Battlement Mesas-
Gore and Elk Mountains/Central Mountain Valleys-
Central Gunnison and Uncompahgre River Basin-
West Elk and Sawatch Mountains-Flat Tops-
Upper Gunnison River Valley-Uncompahgre Plateau and Dallas Divide-
Northwest San Juan Mountains-Southwest San Juan Mountains-
Paradox Valley/Lower Dolores River-
Four Corners/Upper Dolores River-Animas River Basin-
San Juan River Basin-Southeast Utah-Eastern Uinta Mountains-
Eastern Uinta Basin-Tavaputs Plateau-Arches/Grand Flat-
La Sal and Abajo Mountains-Canyonlands/Natural Bridges-
430 AM MDT Thu Jul 27 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for eastern Utah and western
Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Expect scattered thunderstorms this afternoon and evening across
the entire area, favoring the mountains, especially in the south.
Locally heavy rain and small hail are possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Thunderstorms are expected to increase across the entire area from
Friday through Monday with heavy rain a continued threat.
Thunderstorm activity will decrease Tuesday and Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

$$

NL

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
440 AM CDT Thu Jul 27 2017

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-272300-
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
440 AM CDT Thu Jul 27 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

A Flash Flood Watch has been issued for this afternoon into
tonight for the far western Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles. A few
storms this afternoon maybe strong with gusty winds. Localized
flash flooding will be the main threat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

A Flash Flood Watch has been issued through early Friday morning
for the far western Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles. Additional showers and storms
are possible everyday through Wednesday.Localized heavy rainfall
along with flooding and flash flooding will continue to be the
main threat throughout this period. Some storms may be strong with
gusty winds and small hail.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE