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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
120 PM CDT SUN APR 20 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-211000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
120 PM CDT SUN APR 20 2014

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS EVENING.

DISCUSSION...
A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM CENTERED OVER EASTERN NEW MEXICO
AND PANHANDLE OF OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TONIGHT... INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
LATE MONDAY.  SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
THIS AFTERNOON WILL BECOME MORE NUMEROUS TONIGHT.  LIMITED
MOISTURE AND WEAK WIND FIELDS WILL KEEP THUNDERSTORMS THAT
DO FORM FROM BECOMING SEVERE.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN MONDAY BEFORE
THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM CLEARS OUR AREA. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
ARE UNLIKELY.

ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL BRING A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
TO OUR REGION LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.

A MORE POTENT SYSTEM IS EXPECTED NEXT WEEKEND.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
118 PM CDT SUN APR 20 2014

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-211830-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
118 PM CDT SUN APR 20 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  ELEVATED LIGHTNING RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
  ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA FROM THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT
  PERIOD. THE MAIN THREAT WITH ANY STORMS WILL BE CLOUD TO
  GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK ACROSS THE
  AREA DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY. AGAIN NO SEVERE STORMS ARE
  EXPECTED.

  ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FROM LATE WEDNESDAY
  NIGHT INTO THURSDAY NIGHT AND AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY
  AS A SLOW MOVING STORM SYSTEM TRACKS ACROSS THE CENTRAL UNITED
  STATES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

$$

SCHAUMANN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1113 AM CDT SUN APR 20 2014

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-211615-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
1113 AM CDT SUN APR 20 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE ENTIRE AREA
SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

SHOWERS AND OCCASIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY ON
MONDAY. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE NEXT WEDNESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY. AT THIS TIME THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER IS LOW.

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/IMAGES/FXC/EAX/EM1/EAX-EMBRIEFING1.PDF

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
510 AM CDT SUN APR 20 2014

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-211015-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
510 AM CDT SUN APR 20 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD EAST ACROSS KANSAS THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. A FEW MAY PRODUCE NICKEL-SIZED HAIL OVER
PRIMARILY CENTRAL AND SOUTH-CENTRAL KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY CONTINUE OVER AREAS EAST OF I-135 ON MONDAY
BUT SHOULD BE NEITHER STRONG NOR SEVERE.

A VERY HIGH GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER IS POSSIBLE OVER PRIMARILY BARTON
AND RUSSELL COUNTIES TUESDAY AFTERNOON. A VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE
DANGER IS LIKELY ACROSS ALL OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH-CENTRAL KANSAS
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. THE EXTREME GRASSLAND FIRE
DANGER WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON IS GREATEST FOR CENTRAL KANSAS PRIMARILY
WEST OF HIGHWAY 14 WHERE RED FLAG WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL AROUND THE SIZE OF GOLFBALLS AND 60
TO 70 MPH WINDS ARE POSSIBLE FOR AREAS WEST OF I-135 WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT. LARGE HAIL
WOULD BE THE PRIMARY THREAT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH
DAMAGING WINDS BECOMING THE PRIMARY THREAT FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS
LATER WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WOULD BE
GREATEST PRIMARILY EAST OF I-135 ON THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION...SEE OUR WEBPAGE AT
(LOWERCASE) HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWO.PHP

$$

ES

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
516 AM CDT SUN APR 20 2014

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-211030-
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-
POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS-
WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
516 AM CDT SUN APR 20 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL...NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL
KANSAS THIS MORNING...SPREADING EASTWARD INTO EAST CENTRAL AND
NORTHEAST KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES CONTINUE
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED...HOWEVER
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY ALONG AND AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT TRACKING
THROUGH THE OUTLOOK AREA ON MONDAY. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
EXPECTED.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL
KANSAS ON TUESDAY EVENING.

A STRONG DISTURBANCE AND PASSING COLD FRONT WILL BRING THE CHANCE
FOR THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY. TIMING AND DETAILS ARE STILL UNCERTAIN AT
THIS POINT...HOWEVER THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS LATE
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE OUTLOOK AREA ON SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

$$


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1222 PM CDT SUN APR 20 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-201900-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
1222 PM CDT SUN APR 20 2014

.NOW...

AT 12:20 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS INDICATED
WIDELY SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST AT
AROUND 30 MPH ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

THROUGH 2:00 PM... WIDELY SCATTERED AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OVER PARTS OF
EASTERN OKLAHOMA. AVERAGE HOURLY RAINFALL RATES OF A TRACE... TO A
HUNDREDTH OF AN INCH... ARE ANTICIPATED.

$$

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NOAA National Weather Service
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Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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