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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
102 PM CST MON DEC 22 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-230715-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
102 PM CST MON DEC 22 2014


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...WEST OF HIGHWAY 75 IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
A SURFACE BOUNDARY WILL PUSH ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
MOVES THROUGH THE PLAINS. BEHIND THE BOUNDARY...BREEZY WESTERLY
WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH COMBINED WITH SOME DRIER AIR FILTERING INTO
THE REGION HAS ALLOWED FOR A LIMITED FIRE WEATHER DANGER WEST OF
HIGHWAY 75...MAINLY OVER OSAGE AND PAWNEE COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SUBSIDE THIS EVENING...WHICH WILL
DECREASE FIRE DANGERS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SNOW CONTINUES TO LOOK POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FROM TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CURRENTLY PUSHING
INTO THE PLAINS IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY
NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION STARTING OUT AS RAIN TUESDAY EVENING AND TRANSITION
TO SNOW LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY TO BE POSSIBLE. AT THIS
TIME...ONLY MINOR ACCUMULATIONS AND IMPACTS ARE
ANTICIPATED...THOUGH ANYONE WITH TRAVEL PLAINS DURING THIS TIME
FRAME SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR LATEST FORECASTS.

SOUTHERLY WINDS AND WARMER TEMPERATURES LOOK TO RETURN TO THE
REGION DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK. GUSTY WINDS THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY WILL ALLOW FOR AN INCREASE IN FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS
ACROSS OVER PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION LOOK TO BECOME POSSIBLE FRIDAY INTO THE
WEEKEND AS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT
LOOKS TO MOVE INTO THE PLAINS. DEPENDING ON SURFACE TEMPERATURES
AND THE TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM...SOME WINTRY WEATHER COULD BE
POSSIBLE FOR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS SATURDAY.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CST MON DEC 22 2014

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-231100-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
500 AM CST MON DEC 22 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY TONIGHT ACROSS FAR
SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. HOWEVER...THE
THREAT FOR STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

BEHIND THE FRONT...IT WILL TURN COLDER BY TUESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY
WEDNESDAY WITH MOISTURE DECREASING. EVEN SO...THERE MAY BE ENOUGH
MOISTURE FOR A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES IN THE OZARK
MOUNTAINS. LITTLE OR NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

AFTER A DRY AND MILD CHRISTMAS DAY...ANOTHER FRONT WILL BRING SMALL
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS FOR THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

$$

57


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
356 PM CST MON DEC 22 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-222330-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
356 PM CST MON DEC 22 2014

.NOW...

AT 3:56 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS CONTINUED TO
DETECT SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN AND AREAS OF DRIZZLE MOVING ACROSS FAR
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS. MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION
WAS LOCATED ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM WELCH TO POTEAU. ALL
THIS ACTIVITY WAS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST...AROUND 40 MILES PER
HOUR.

THROUGH 5:30 PM...LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT
FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS
WILL BE VERY LIGHT...WITH BETWEEN A TRACE...AND A FEW HUNDREDTHS
OF AN INCH EXPECTED. THE PRECIPITATION WILL COME TO AN END FROM
WEST TO EAST AS NORTHWEST WINDS BRING COOLER AND DRIER AIR INTO
THE REGION.

$$

16

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Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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