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Flood Warning


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1029 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana...

  Calcasieu River Near Glenmora
  Calcasieu River At Old Town Bay
  Bayou Vermilion Near Carencro

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana..
  Calcasieu River Near Oberlin
  Mermentau River Near Mermentau
  Vermilion River At Lafayette, Surrey Street Gage

LAC079-260528-
/O.EXT.KLCH.FL.W.0115.000000T0000Z-160827T2100Z/
/GLML1.2.ER.160814T2000Z.160815T2330Z.160827T1500Z.NO/
1029 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Calcasieu River Near Glenmora.
* until Saturday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:45 AM Thursday the stage was 13.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
  late Saturday morning.
* Impact...At stages near 12.0 feet...When the river is falling and
  the gauge reading is forecast to be near 12 feet, flooding of
  forested areas near the river will occur.

&&

LAT...LON 3113 9279 3090 9269 3090 9262 3105 9265 3115 9275

$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1026 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Do not drive vehicles through flooded waterways.  Use caution when
walking near flooded riverbanks.  Do not try to wade or swim in
flooded rivers and bayous.

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv

&&

ARC027-LAC119-261526-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0145.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SPHL1.1.ER.160820T1005Z.160821T2300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1026 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Bayou Dorcheat Near Springhill.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 10:00 AM Thursday The stage was 12.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast...The bayou will recede to near 12.5 feet by Friday morning.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding of boat ramps. Move
  livestock to higher ground.

&&

LAT...LON 3317 9339 3300 9335 3282 9332 3282 9338 3300 9343

$$

vii

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
800 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

...From the National Weather Service in Little Rock...the Flood
Warning continues for the following river in Arkansas...

  Ouachita River At Thatcher L&D affecting Bradley...Calhoun and
  Union Counties


River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 24 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
www.srh.noaa.gov/lzk
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don`t Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecast. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecast or Flood Warnings for use in

&&

ARC011-013-139-251600-
/O.EXT.KLZK.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-160827T1800Z/
/CALA4.1.ER.160822T2315Z.160824T1330Z.160826T1200Z.NO/
800 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Ouachita River At Thatcher L&D.
* until Saturday afternoon...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 7:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 79.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 79.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will fall to near 79.0 feet by Friday
  morning.
* Impacts at 80.0 feet...Minor flooding occurs at this level. Levee
  gates should be closed to prevent the river from backing into
  Calion Lake. Access to oil and gas rigs and to timber is flooded.
  There is wide coverage of flooding in the river bottoms.


             Fld     Observed                 Forecast 6 AM
Location     Stg   Stg  Day Time    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Ouachita River
  Thatcher L  79  79.5 Wed 08 PM   79.4   79.0   78.7   78.3   77.9


&&


LAT...LON 3311 9223 3323 9236 3329 9261 3338 9247
 3333 9226 3322 9212



$$


Heat Advisory


URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
926 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

...DANGEROUS HEAT EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MIDSOUTH
TODAY...

.THE COMBINATION OF HOT TEMPERATURES AND HIGH HUMIDITY WILL ALLOW
FOR HEAT INDICES TO REACH 105F DEGREES OR HIGHER THIS AFTERNOON
AND INTO EARLY THIS EVENING ACROSS THE DELTA MIDSOUTH COUNTIES.

ARZ009-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-MSZ001-007-008-
010>012-020-TNZ001-002-019-048-049-088-252230-
/O.NEW.KMEG.HT.Y.0016.160825T1700Z-160826T0000Z/
CLAY-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI-CROSS-CRITTENDEN-
ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT-DESOTO-TUNICA-TATE-
COAHOMA-QUITMAN-PANOLA-TALLAHATCHIE-LAKE-OBION-DYER-LAUDERDALE-
TIPTON-SHELBY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PIGGOTT...CORNING...PARAGOULD...
JONESBORO...HARRISBURG...BLYTHEVILLE...WYNNE...WEST MEMPHIS...
FORREST CITY...MARIANNA...HELENA...WEST HELENA...KENNETT...
CARUTHERSVILLE...SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH...TUNICA...SENATOBIA...
CLARKSDALE...MARKS...BATESVILLE...CHARLESTON...TIPTONVILLE...
UNION CITY...DYERSBURG...RIPLEY TN...COVINGTON...BARTLETT...
GERMANTOWN...COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON
926 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A HEAT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING.

* HEAT INDEX READINGS...105 TO 109 DEGREES.

* TIMING...FROM 12PM CDT THROUGH 7PM CDT.

* IMPACTS...THE HIGH HEAT COULD CAUSE HEAT EXHAUSTION OR HEAT
  STROKE FROM PROLONGED STRENUOUS OUTDOOR ACTIVITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HEAT ADVISORY MEANS THAT A PERIOD OF HOT TEMPERATURES IS
EXPECTED. THE COMBINATION OF HOT TEMPERATURES AND HIGH HUMIDITY
WILL COMBINE TO CREATE A SITUATION IN WHICH HEAT ILLNESSES ARE
POSSIBLE. DRINK PLENTY OF FLUIDS...STAY IN AN AIR-CONDITIONED
ROOM...STAY OUT OF THE SUN...AND CHECK UP ON RELATIVES AND
NEIGHBORS.

   TAKE EXTRA PRECAUTIONS...IF YOU WORK OR SPEND TIME OUTSIDE.
WHEN POSSIBLE...RESCHEDULE STRENUOUS ACTIVITIES TO EARLY MORNING
OR EVENING. KNOW THE SIGNS AND SYMPTOMS OF HEAT EXHAUSTION AND
HEAT STROKE. WEAR LIGHT WEIGHT AND LOOSE FITTING CLOTHING WHEN
POSSIBLE AND DRINK PLENTY OF WATER.

   TO REDUCE RISK DURING OUTDOOR WORK...THE OCCUPATIONAL SAFETY
AND HEALTH ADMINISTRATION RECOMMENDS SCHEDULING FREQUENT REST
BREAKS IN SHADED OR AIR CONDITIONED ENVIRONMENTS. ANYONE OVERCOME
BY HEAT SHOULD BE MOVED TO A COOL AND SHADED LOCATION.   HEAT
STROKE IS AN EMERGENCY...CALL 9 1 1.

&&

$$

JAB


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
934 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-261645-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-BENTON TN-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-
COAHOMA-CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-
DUNKLIN-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-
HENDERSON-HENRY-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-
LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-
PANOLA-PEMISCOT-PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-
RANDOLPH-SHELBY-ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-
TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
934 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A HEAT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT ACROSS THE DELTA MIDSOUTH COUNTIES
FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO EARLY THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

$$

JAB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
624 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-261130-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-DE SOTO-
RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA-SABINE-NATCHITOCHES-WINN-
GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-MCCURTAIN-BOWIE-FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-
MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-HARRISON-CHEROKEE-RUSK-
PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-ANGELINA-SAN AUGUSTINE-
624 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...FOR
NORTHERN LOUISIANA...FOR EASTERN TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

SCATTERED TO POSSIBLY NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE TODAY WITH ISOLATED ACTIVITY TO REMAIN OVERNIGHT. ANY
MID TO LATE DAY STRONG STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY
WINDS...HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
HOWEVER...NO WIDESPREAD SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THREAT IS
EXPECTED...BUT AFTER ONLY A COUPLE OF DRY DAYS...THE GROUND IS
STILL FAIRLY WET...MAKING NEW RUNOFF QUICK TO RISE IN LOW LYING
AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
AGAIN ON FRIDAY. MEANWHILE...OUR AIR TEMPERATURES WILL LINGER IN
THE LOWER 90S WITH THE HIGH HUMIDITY KEEPING AFTERNOON HEAT
INDICES NEAR 105 OVER THE WEEKEND...BUT THEN BACK ABOVE 105 FEELS
LIKE DEGREES AGAIN FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK...AS OUR STORM COVERAGE
THINS OUT TO JUST ISOLATED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGERS...SKYWARN NETWORKS AND AMATEUR
RADIO OPERATORS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.

$$

24

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
433 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-261000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
433 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

TORNADO.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA NEAR OK...KS STATE LINE.
ONSET...LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE BY LATE
AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING ACROSS FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA NEAR A
STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY. A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE
WITH QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. IF THE FRONT CAN MOVE
SOUTH INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...A LIMITED TORNADO THREAT WOULD BE
POSSIBLE NEAR THE OKLAHOMA...KANSAS STATE LINE. THE GREATER CHANCE
FOR SEVERE WEATHER HOWEVER IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN JUST NORTH AND
WEST OF THE AREA...ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND SOUTHEAST
KANSAS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE LIKELY WITH ANY STORMS THAT
DEVELOP.

OTHERWISE...WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS WITH HEAT
INDICES RANGING FROM 95 TO 102 DEGREES.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS A
SERIES OF WEAK UPPER WAVES LIFT NORTH OUT OF TEXAS.

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY THROUGH MUCH OF
NEXT WEEK AS A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR-MASS REMAINS IN PLACE.
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT NEXT WEEK WILL MAINLY BE CONFINED TO THE
AFTERNOON HOURS IN ASSOCIATION WITH PEAK HEATING.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
505 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577-LAZ034>037-
039-040-046>050-056>072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-260100-
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
LAKE BORGNE-CHANDELEUR SOUND-BRETON SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON LA TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
RIVER LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO
PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND
LOUISIANA OUT 20 TO 60 NM-POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-
EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-WASHINGTON-ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE-
WEST BATON ROUGE-EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-
ST. JAMES-ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-
UPPER JEFFERSON-ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-
UPPER TERREBONNE-LOWER TERREBONNE-LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON-
LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST. BERNARD-NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA-
SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-
HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON-
505 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA...SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY.
SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...FREQUENT
LIGHTNING STRIKES...AND GUSTY WINDS.

SOME TRIBUTARIES IN EAST BATON ROUGE...IBERVILLE AND ASCENSION
PARISHES ARE EXPERIENCING BACKWATER FLOODING. PLEASE REFER TO FLOOD
ADVISORIES AND STATEMENTS FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION.

THE AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL BE IN THE 100 TO 105 DEGREE
RANGE IN LOCATIONS OUTSIDE OF RAIN AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
EACH DAY. A FEW STORMS COULD BE STRONG AND PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL...FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES...AND GUSTY WINDS.

HEAT INDEX READINGS BETWEEN 100 AND 105 DEGREES ARE EXPECTED DURING
THE AFTERNOON EACH DAY. THIS MAY PRODUCE HEAT RELATED IMPACTS
ON PEOPLE OUTDOORS...ESPECIALLY IN FLOOD AFFECTED AREAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
503 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-261015-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-
NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-
BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-
CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-
TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-
JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-
FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
503 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN...
WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
NORTHERN OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

LOCATION...
THE SLIGHT RISK AREA EXISTS NORTH AND EAST OF A PERRY TO CAMARGO
TO WOODWARD TO ALVA LINE. LOCATIONS IN THE SLIGHT RISK INCLUDE
PONCA CITY...ENID...MEDFORD...CHEROKEE...AND FAIRVIEW. A MARGINAL
RISK AREA SURROUNDS THE SLIGHT RISK AREA AND EXISTS NORTH OF A
LINE FROM SEYMOUR TO WICHITA FALLS TEXAS TO DUNCAN OKLAHOMA TO
PURCELL TO SEMINOLE.

TIMING..
THE GREATEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY WILL BE
BETWEEN 4 AND 10 PM.

IMPACTS...
THE MAIN HAZARD WILL BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS UP TO 80 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...
AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING WILL BE POSSIBLE AS WELL.

DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR MAINLY
ACROSS NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA BEFORE 4 PM TODAY. THESE STORMS ARE
EXPECTED REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LIMITS...BUT MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY
HEAVY DOWNPOURS.

AROUND 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON...ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO FORM NEAR A FRONT ACROSS THE EASTERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE INTO NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA AS THE AIR WILL BE HOT AND
UNSTABLE. THESE STORMS WILL QUICKLY MOVE NORTHEAST. SUFFICIENT
SHEAR WILL SUPPORT CLUSTERS AND LINES OF STORMS AS WELL AS PERHAPS
A FEW SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS.
STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AFTER 10 PM THIS EVENING WITH THE
LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING...THOUGH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL MAY
CONTINUE FOR THE REST OF TONIGHT.

.SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ACROSS
THE RISK AREAS...ESPECIALLY IN NORTHERN OKLAHOMA...SHOULD PREPARE
FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
THERE WILL BE A DAILY CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT
WEDNESDAY. A FEW STRONG TO PERHAPS SEVERE STORMS WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE. THE PRIMARY HAZARDS WITH STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL THAT COULD LEAD TO FLOODING.

GET GRAPHICS AND MORE DETAILS AT WEATHER.GOV/NORMAN...AND FOLLOW
OUR WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE ON TWITTER AND FACEBOOK.

$$

MBS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
450 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-
261100-
VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-
CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-
VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-LOWER ST. MARTIN-WEST CAMERON-
EAST CAMERON-TYLER-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-NORTHERN JASPER-
NORTHERN NEWTON-SOUTHERN JASPER-SOUTHERN NEWTON-
450 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST
CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AN EASTERLY WAVE/UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE INTO THE
FORECAST AREA TODAY...BRINGING AN ELEVATED CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. THE BEST CHANCE WILL BE DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
DUE TO THE HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT IN THE ATMOSPHERE...LOCALLY HEAVY
DOWNPOURS WILL BE POSSIBLE...BRINGING A QUICK ONE TO TWO INCHES OF
RAINFALL. ALSO...OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING CAN BE
EXPECTED WITH THE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION
INTO THE WEEKEND WITH A DECENT COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY
DOWNPOURS AND OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY FOR THE FORECAST PERIOD NEXT
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY AS A LOT WILL DEPEND ON THE EVENTUAL
STRENGTH AND POSITION OF THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE KNOWN AS 99L. AS
IT STANDS AT THIS POINT...THERE WOULD BE NO DIRECT IMPACTS.
HOWEVER...DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY...ALL INTERESTS SHOULD CONTINUE
TO MONITOR THIS SYSTEM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
449 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>213-226-227-261000-
AUSTIN-BRAZOS-BURLESON-COLORADO-FORT BEND-GRIMES-HARRIS-HOUSTON-
LIBERTY-MADISON-MONTGOMERY-POLK-SAN JACINTO-TRINITY-WALKER-WALLER-
WASHINGTON-WHARTON-
449 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
PATCHY FOG MAY DROP VISIBILITIES BELOW 2 MILES AT TIMES THROUGH
MID-MORNING.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA
TODAY. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED... BUT LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN
AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE WITH STRONGER ACTIVITY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF
THE AREA FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
EXPECTED... BUT LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE
WITH STRONGER ACTIVITY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
340 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023-MSZ018-019-025>037-040>042-047-
260845-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-
MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-
HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-WARREN-
340 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...NORTHWEST
MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

EXCESSIVE HEAT
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TODAY

AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW TO MID 90S COMBINED WITH HIGH
HUMIDITY WILL RESULT IN HEAT INDICES AROUND 105. HEAT STRESS WILL
BE POSSIBLE AGAIN TODAY.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
309 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-260815-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
309 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE
FROM TEMPLE TO BONHAM. A FEW STORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AND
BRIEF HEAVY RAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
BETTER THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION
ON FRIDAY. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEKEND
THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK...WITH THE BEST CHANCES OCCURRING IN THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED...BUT A FEW
STORMS COULD PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

$$


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
819 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-251600-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-
NAVARRO-FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-
LIMESTONE-LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
819 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

.NOW...
PATCHY FOG WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT ONE TO TWO HOURS GENERALLY
ALONG AND SOUTH OF A GRAHAM TO CLEBURNE TO ATHENS LINE. VISIBILITY
WILL RANGE BETWEEN TWO AND FOUR MILES...THOUGH A FEW SHELTERED OR LOW
LYING SPOTS AS WELL AS AREAS NEAR BODIES OF WATER MAY BRIEFLY SEE
VISIBILITY FALL TO NEAR OR JUST BELOW 1 MILE. MOTORISTS SHOULD
EXERCISE CAUTION AND SLOW DOWN IF FOG IS ENCOUNTERED.

OTHERWISE...SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY...EXCEPT FOR AREAS
GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF A PARIS TO TEMPLE LINE...WHERE SOME
CLOUDS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS.

$$

24-BAIN

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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