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Flash Flood Watch


FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
728 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

ARZ019-020-029-OKZ059-060-064>067-070>076-302200-
/O.CON.KTSA.FF.A.0005.140730T1800Z-140731T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-PAWNEE-TULSA-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-
WAGONER-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-LATIMER-
LE FLORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VAN BUREN...OZARK...CHARLESTON...
FORT SMITH...PAWNEE...TULSA...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...OKMULGEE...
WAGONER...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...SALLISAW...MCALESTER...STIGLER...
WILBURTON...POTEAU
728 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM CDT THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF ARKANSAS AND OKLAHOMA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
  AREAS...IN ARKANSAS...CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN AND SEBASTIAN. IN
  OKLAHOMA...CREEK...HASKELL...LATIMER...LE FLORE...MCINTOSH...
  MUSKOGEE...OKFUSKEE...OKMULGEE...PAWNEE...PITTSBURG...
  SEQUOYAH...TULSA AND WAGONER.

* FROM 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON

* SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXPAND ACROSS
  NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON...AND BEGIN TO FOCUS FURTHER
  SOUTH AND EAST ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO WEST CENTRAL
  ARKANSAS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL
  AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS
  AROUND 5 INCHES POSSIBLE. THE RAINFALL WILL END FROM NORTHWEST
  TO SOUTHEAST DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS RAPIDLY RISING WATER OR FLOODING IS
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...KEEP INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR
QUICK ACTION IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A WARNING IS
ISSUED.

&&

$$

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
342 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN
ARKANSAS TONIGHT THROUGH MID DAY THURSDAY...

ARZ030-037-038-040-041-052-302000-
/O.CON.KLZK.FF.A.0007.140731T0000Z-140731T1700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LOGAN-MONTGOMERY-PIKE-POLK-SCOTT-YELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOONEVILLE...DANVILLE...DARDANELLE...
GLENWOOD...GRAVELLY...MENA...MOUNT IDA...MOUNT MAGAZINE...
MURFREESBORO...NORMAN...OLA...PARIS...PINE RIDGE...WALDRON...
WICKES...Y CITY
342 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS AND WESTERN
  ARKANSAS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN CENTRAL
  ARKANSAS...YELL. IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...PIKE. IN WESTERN
  ARKANSAS...LOGAN...MONTGOMERY...POLK AND SCOTT.

* FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING

* SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME LIKELY THIS EVENING...AS A
  SURFACE AND UPPER LEVELS SYSTEM INTERACT OVER THE REGION.
  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES ARE LIKELY IN WESTERN
  ARKANSAS...PARTICULARLY IN THE OUACHITA MOUNTAINS. ISOLATED
  AREAS COULD SEE RAINFALL EXCEEDING THREE INCHES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

57


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1213 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-311715-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-
ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-
KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-
LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-
GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-
PONTOTOC-
COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-
HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1213 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN...
WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

A LARGE AREA OF RAIN AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE ACROSS MUCH OF OKLAHOMA THROUGH TONIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE MOVES OVERHEAD. THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND
POTENTIAL FLOODING WILL SHIFT EAST ACROSS CENTRAL OKLAHOMA LATER
TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
PARTS OF NORTHERN...WESTERN...CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

A FEW STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY
OVER SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING WHERE GREATER INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE IN
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA EARLY IN THE MORNING THURSDAY...BEFORE MOVING
SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

GET GRAPHICS AND MORE DETAILS AT WEATHER.GOV/NORMAN...AND FOLLOW
OUR WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE ON TWITTER AND FACEBOOK.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1057 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-311600-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION AR-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-
UNION LA-DE SOTO-RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA-SABINE LA-
NATCHITOCHES-WINN-GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-MCCURTAIN-BOWIE-
FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-
HARRISON-CHEROKEE-RUSK-PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-ANGELINA-
SAN AUGUSTINE-SABINE TX-
1057 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...EAST TEXAS AND
NORTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY MOVE INTO THE AREA FROM THE
WEST TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS
TIME. HOWEVER...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND ISOLATED FLOODING WILL
BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 30 CORRIDOR.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN IN THE FORECAST THROUGH SATURDAY AS A
SERIES OF UPPER TROUGHS INTERACT WITH A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM AND STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARIES ACROSS THE AREA. ONE TO
THREE INCHES OF RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY ACROSS
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST TEXAS.

THE FRONT SHOULD MOVE SOUTH OF THE AREA DURING THE WEEKEND...BUT
SCATTERED DAYTIME THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE SUNDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...AMATEUR RADIO
OPERATORS...AND STORM SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

$$

12

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-311000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
500 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

RAIN CHANCES RETURN TO MUCH OF ARKANSAS THIS MORNING AS A STORM
SYSTEM LIFTS OUT OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND MOVES TOWARD ARKANSAS.
RAIN WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE STATE WEST TO EAST THROUGH THE DAY. RAIN
CHANCES WILL INCREASE LATE IN THE DAY AND OVERNIGHT...AND BECOME
HEAVIER. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING FOR PARTS OF WEST ARKANSAS WHERE ONE TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN
COULD FALL...WITH SOME PLACES GETTING OVER 3 INCHES OF RAIN. AN
ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM MAY ALSO BE SEEN...BUT
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER DOES NOT APPEAR LIKELY. RESIDENTS SHOULD
MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS ON THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THE RAIN WILL CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY AND MAINLY AFFECT CENTRAL AND
SOUTH SECTIONS OF THE STATE. THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING AN ADDITIONAL 1
TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE SOUTH. SLIGHT RAIN
CHANCES WILL CONTINUE IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH SECTIONS FRIDAY BEFORE
COMING TO AN END. SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY IS EXPECTED TO BE DRY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

$$

51

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
457 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-311000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
457 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

...HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL INTO THURSDAY...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...ALONG AND ON EITHER SIDE OF INTERSTATE 40.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS MORNING.

AREA AT GREATEST RISK...ALONG AND ON EITHER SIDE OF INTERSTATE 40.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS MORNING.

DISCUSSION...
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
EXPAND EASTWARD INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS TODAY.
AN AXIS OF HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...SHIFTING INTO PARTS OF
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS WITHIN THIS AXIS
SHOULD BE IN THE 1 TO 3 INCH RANGE...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS NEAR 5
INCHES...WHICH COULD LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF THE AREA BEGINNING 1 PM
TODAY.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ONGOING THURSDAY
MORNING...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 44. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL COULD CONTINUE THROUGH MIDDAY
THURSDAY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COULD REDEVELOP
DURING THE DAY FRIDAY ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN ARKANSAS...ALTHOUGH MOST SPOTS WILL REMAIN DRY. AFTER
FRIDAY...DRY AND WARMER WEATHER WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEKEND
AND INTO NEXT WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
442 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

GMZ430-432-435-450-452-455-470-472-475-LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-
073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-310945-
SABINE LAKE-CALCASIEU LAKE-VERMILION BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
20 TO 60 NM-VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-
ST. LANDRY-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-
UPPER ST. MARTIN-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-LOWER ST. MARTIN-
WEST CAMERON-EAST CAMERON-TYLER-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-
NORTHERN JASPER-NORTHERN NEWTON-SOUTHERN JASPER-SOUTHERN NEWTON-
442 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
GULF OF MEXICO...CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
A STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS FORECASTED ACROSS EAST TEXAS AND
CENTRAL LOUISIANA FOR THURSDAY. ALSO...A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
THESE SYSTEMS WILL COMBINE TO INCREASE THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
ESPECIALLY FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. THE MAIN HAZARDS WILL BE HEAVY
RAIN WHICH COULD LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. NO SEVERE WEATHER IS
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THE COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DECREASE BEGINNING
SUNDAY. SCATTERED MAINLY DAYTIME THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED
THROUGH TUESDAY. ALTHOUGH TORRENTIAL RAIN AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING
MAY ACCOMPANY SOME STORMS...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
428 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-310930-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
428 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FOR LOCATIONS GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH
OF INTERSTATE 20...OR EAST OF INTERSTATE 35 TODAY. THE BEST CHANCE
OF STORMS WILL REMAIN NEAR THE RED RIVER. CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASE TONIGHT...AND INCLUDE LOCATIONS
ALONG AND NORTHEAST OF A LINE FROM COMANCHE TO TEMPLE. THE BEST
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIST FOR LOCATIONS ALONG AND
NORTHEAST OF A LINE FROM BOWIE TO CANTON TONIGHT. HEAVY RAINFALL
AND LOCALIZED FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE FOR THESE LOCATIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FOR ALL OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
TEXAS ON THURSDAY. THE BEST RAIN CHANCES IN THE MORNING EXIST OVER
LOCATIONS ALONG AND NORTHEAST OF A LINE FROM BOWIE TO CANTON WHERE
A HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLOODING THREAT WILL PERSIST FROM
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON...THE BEST CHANCE OF STORMS EXISTS FOR
LOCATIONS ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM ATHENS TO KILLEEN.
THURSDAY AFTERNOON STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG...AND MAY BE CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

$$

CAVANAUGH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
425 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

GMZ330-335-350-355-370-375-TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-
227-235>238-310930-
AUSTIN-BRAZORIA-BRAZOS-BURLESON-CHAMBERS-COLORADO-FORT BEND-
GALVESTON-GALVESTON BAY-GRIMES-HARRIS-HOUSTON-JACKSON-LIBERTY-
MADISON-MATAGORDA-MATAGORDA BAY-MONTGOMERY-POLK-SAN JACINTO-
TRINITY-WALKER-WALLER-WASHINGTON-
WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM-WHARTON-
425 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON WITH
DAYTIME HEATING. MAIN THREATS WILL BE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTING
AND BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING AS AN UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVES
INTO THE REGION AND PUSHES A FRONT THROUGH THE REGION. BRIEF HEAVY
DOWNPOURS MAY LEAD TO SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING WITH THIS ACTIVITY.

A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1159 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

ARZ050-051-059>061-070-071-LAZ001-002-OKZ077-TXZ096-097-108>112-
124>126-136>138-149>151-301900-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
CADDO-BOSSIER-MCCURTAIN-RED RIVER-BOWIE-FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-
MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-HARRISON-CHEROKEE-RUSK-
PANOLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DE QUEEN...NASHVILLE...ASHDOWN...HOPE...
PRESCOTT...TEXARKANA...LEWISVILLE...SHREVEPORT...BOSSIER CITY...
IDABEL...CLARKSVILLE...MT VERNON...MT PLEASANT...PITTSBURG...
DAINGERFIELD...ATLANTA...QUITMAN...GILMER...JEFFERSON...TYLER...
LONGVIEW...MARSHALL...RUSK...HENDERSON...CARTHAGE
1159 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

.NOW...
LIGHT RAIN IS MOVING INTO THE AREA THIS MORNING AS A STORM SYSTEM
APPROACHES THE REGION FROM THE WEST. RAIN AMOUNTS WILL BE LESS
THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH IN MOST AREAS.

$$
10

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1115 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-301745-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
1115 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

.NOW...

AT 11:50 AM... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS INDICATED A
SOLID AREA OF MAINLY LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS MOST OF EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND OVER WESTERN ARKANSAS. THE PRECIPITATION WAS HEAVIEST
SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40 AND WEST OF HIGHWAY 75. THE PRECIPITATION WAS
MOVING TO THE SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

THROUGH 12:30 PM... RAIN SHOWER COVERAGE AND INTENSITY ARE
EXPECTED TO INCREASE ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA...ESPECIALLY
WEST OF HIGHWAY 75. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED. AVERAGE
HOURLY RAINFALL RATES OF A TENTH OF AN INCH OR LESS ARE
ANTICIPATED... ALTHOUGH HEAVIER AMOUNTS TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH WILL
BECOME INCREASINGLY LIKELY THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING AND
INTO THE AFTERNOON.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE