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Flood Warning


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
930 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA...THE LITTLE
MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA...THE MYAKKA RIVER AT THE MYAKKA RIVER STATE
PARK...THE PEACE RIVER AT ARCADIA...AND THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA. THE
FLOOD WARNING FOR THE MANATEE RIVER AT MYAKKA HEAD HAS EXPIRED AS THE RIVER
HAS DROPPED BELOW FLOOD STAGE.

.SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN IN THE FORECAST FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. IF
ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN OCCURS OVER THE RIVER BASINS THIS MAY PROLONG THE
FLOODING. .

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

FLC057-021430-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-141005T1200Z/
/LITF1.2.ER.140927T2255Z.140929T0145Z.141005T0600Z.NO/
930 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING
* AT 09 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.4 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13 FEET
* THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 15 FEET...ADDITIONAL RESIDENCES DOWNSTREAM OF STATE ROAD 640
  BRIDGE BEGIN FLOODING.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.4 FEET ON AUG
29 2012.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

ALAFIA
 LITHIA       13 15.4  WED 09 PM  14.8   14.0   13.4   12.9   12.4


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
930 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA...THE LITTLE
MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA...THE MYAKKA RIVER AT THE MYAKKA RIVER STATE
PARK...THE PEACE RIVER AT ARCADIA...AND THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA. THE
FLOOD WARNING FOR THE MANATEE RIVER AT MYAKKA HEAD HAS EXPIRED AS THE RIVER
HAS DROPPED BELOW FLOOD STAGE.

.SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN IN THE FORECAST FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. IF
ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN OCCURS OVER THE RIVER BASINS THIS MAY PROLONG THE
FLOODING. .

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

FLC027-021430-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-141006T1200Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.140930T0345Z.141002T1200Z.141006T0600Z.NO/
930 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR THE PEACE RIVER AT ARCADIA
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING
* AT 08 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.5 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.7 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE
  RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 12 FEET...THE GIRL SCOUT CAMP FLOODS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.1 FEET ON JUL
30 2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

PEACE
 ARCADIA      11 11.5  WED 08 PM  11.7   11.7   11.6   11.3   10.9


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186



$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
930 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA...THE LITTLE
MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA...THE MYAKKA RIVER AT THE MYAKKA RIVER STATE
PARK...THE PEACE RIVER AT ARCADIA...AND THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA. THE
FLOOD WARNING FOR THE MANATEE RIVER AT MYAKKA HEAD HAS EXPIRED AS THE RIVER
HAS DROPPED BELOW FLOOD STAGE.

.SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN IN THE FORECAST FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. IF
ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN OCCURS OVER THE RIVER BASINS THIS MAY PROLONG THE
FLOODING. .

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

FLC115-021430-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.2.ER.140926T2121Z.141002T0115Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
930 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE MYAKKA RIVER AT MYAKKA RIVER STATE PARK
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 09 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.6 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 9.3 FEET BY .
* IMPACT...AT 10.6 FEET...THE WALKWAY TO THE RIVER GAGE FLOODS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 8.1 FEET ON JUN 30
  2012.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

MYAKKA
 MYAKKA RIVE   7  9.6  WED 09 PM   9.5    9.3    9.1    8.7    8.4


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
930 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA...THE LITTLE
MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA...THE MYAKKA RIVER AT THE MYAKKA RIVER STATE
PARK...THE PEACE RIVER AT ARCADIA...AND THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA. THE
FLOOD WARNING FOR THE MANATEE RIVER AT MYAKKA HEAD HAS EXPIRED AS THE RIVER
HAS DROPPED BELOW FLOOD STAGE.

.SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN IN THE FORECAST FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. IF
ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN OCCURS OVER THE RIVER BASINS THIS MAY PROLONG THE
FLOODING. .

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

FLC057-021430-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-141004T0600Z/
/WIMF1.2.ER.140928T0058Z.140929T0745Z.141004T0000Z.NO/
930 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT
* AT 09 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.9 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
* THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 13 FEET...THE CANOE RENTAL AREA FLOODS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.3 FEET ON SEP
26 2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

LITTLE MANATEE
 WIMAUMA      11 12.9  WED 09 PM  12.6   11.7   10.2    9.4    8.9


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
930 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA...THE LITTLE
MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA...THE MYAKKA RIVER AT THE MYAKKA RIVER STATE
PARK...THE PEACE RIVER AT ARCADIA...AND THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA. THE
FLOOD WARNING FOR THE MANATEE RIVER AT MYAKKA HEAD HAS EXPIRED AS THE RIVER
HAS DROPPED BELOW FLOOD STAGE.

.SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN IN THE FORECAST FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. IF
ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN OCCURS OVER THE RIVER BASINS THIS MAY PROLONG THE
FLOODING. .

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

FLC027-021430-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-141006T0000Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.140928T1807Z.141002T1200Z.141005T1800Z.NO/
930 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING
* AT 08 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.6 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 14.2 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE
  RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 14 FEET...BUILDINGS IN HIDDEN ACRES FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 12.7 FEET ON SEP
26 2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

HORSE CREEK
 ARCADIA      12 13.6  WED 08 PM  14.2   13.2   12.6   12.1   11.7


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE, FL
1027 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

...RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ST. JOHNS RIVER AT ASTOR...

RECENT HEAVY RAINS ALONG WITH TIDAL EFFECTS AND NORTHERLY WINDS THAT
INHIBIT FLOW DOWNSTREAM ARE EXPECTED THE KEEP THE RIVER NEARLY STEADY
IN MINOR FLOOD STAGE INTO THE WEEKEND. HOWEVER...ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL
OVER THE BASIN OR UPSTREAM COULD CAUSE FURTHER SLIGHT RISES INTO LATE WEEK.

FLC069-127-031427-
/O.CON.KMLB.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ASTF1.1.ER.140929T0300Z.141001T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1027 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ST JOHNS RIVER NEAR ASTOR.

* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.

*AT 2.5 FEET, WATER BEGINS TO COVER DOCKS AT SOUTH MOON FISH CAMP.
WATER BEGINS TO MOVE INTO YARDS IN LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE RIVER.

*AT 2.8 FEET, MINOR FLOODING OCCURS TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES IN LOW
LYING AREAS ALONG THE RIVER.

&&

             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 7 AM EST/8AM EDT
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

ST. JOHNS RIVER
 ASTOR       2.8   2.9  WED 09 AM   3.0    3.0    3.0    3.0    3.0


&&

LAT...LON  2910 8142 2935 8157 2932 8169 2908 8150

$$

GLITTO


Marine Weather Statement


MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
414 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

AMZ552-020915-
414 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER THE ATLANTIC WATER JUST OFFSHORE CAPE
CANAVERAL...

AT 408 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORM...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS NEAR 30 KNOTS... 14 MILES
NORTH OF PORT CANAVERAL...MOVING SOUTH AT 10 KNOTS.

MARINERS CAN EXPECT GUSTY WINDS UP TO 30 KNOTS...LOCALLY HIGHER
WAVES...AND LIGHTNING STRIKES. BOATERS SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR
IMMEDIATELY UNTIL THIS STORM PASSES. GUSTY WINDS MAY CROSS THE TIP
OF CAPE CANAVERAL.

THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE WATERSPOUTS WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE
WARNING.  SEEK SAFE HARBOR IF A WATERSPOUT IS SPOTTED.

LAT...LON 2844 8066 2856 8061 2859 8063 2858 8065
      2861 8060 2865 8063 2866 8065 2869 8064
      2869 8044 2831 8038 2831 8061 2834 8061
      2832 8064 2831 8063 2830 8068
TIME...MOT...LOC 0812Z 358DEG 9KT 2860 8054

$$


KELLY


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
428 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676-
030000-
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-GLADES-HENDRY-
INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER-
INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-
MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-
COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
428 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY ACROSS INTERIOR AND EAST COAST TODAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO
DEVELOP MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EARLY EVENING ACROSS
INTERIOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA, EAST OF NAPLES, AND ACROSS THE
EAST COAST. BEST CHANCES ARE ALONG EAST COAST. MAIN CONCERNS WITH
STORMS TODAY WILL BE OCCASIONAL TO FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES AND
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

FLOODING: LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL COULD RESULT IN PONDING OF WATER
AND STREET FLOODING IN POOR DRAINAGE AND LOW LYING AREAS MAINLY
ACROSS THE METRO AREAS OF SOUTHEAST FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

NO OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONCE AGAIN FORECAST
MAINLY FOR THE INTERIOR AND EAST COAST ON FRIDAY WITH A CHANCE FOR
ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA ON SATURDAY AS AN EARLY SEASON FRONT SWEEPS
ACROSS THE AREA THIS WEEKEND. CONDITIONS WILL DRY OUT SUNDAY AND
MONDAY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ONCE AGAIN
RETURNING TOWARDS THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

THE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL INCREASE SLIGHTLY ALONG THE NAPLES
COAST ON SATURDAY AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND ALONG THE EAST COAST LATE
SUNDAY AND EARLY NEXT WEEK AS ONSHORE FLOW DEVELOPS BEHIND THE
FRONT.

NO OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
348 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-
GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-031000-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-HAMILTON-
SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-ST JOHNS-
GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-
APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN-
COASTAL GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL
CAMDEN-
348 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS...

...ELEVATED WATER LEVELS ALONG THE ST JOHNS RIVER...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA...SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON MAINLY ACROSS
NORTHEAST FLORIDA SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 10.

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT THE AREA BEACHES DUE TO
AN INCREASE IN SWELLS AND ONSHORE FLOW.

WATER LEVELS ALONG THE ST JOHNS RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN
ELEVATED ABOVE NORMAL OVER THE COUPLE OF DAYS. SOME NORMALLY DRY AREAS
ALONG THE RIVER MAY BE IMPACTED.

A RIVER FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ST MARY`S AT MACCLENNY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BRING A GOOD CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO
THE AREA FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED AT THIS TIME.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.

$$

PP

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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