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FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
649 PM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

NMZ504-506>529-533-539-540-021200-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-140802T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-
JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
649 PM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT SATURDAY...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...INCLUDING THE
  FOLLOWING AREAS...ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA...CENTRAL HIGHLANDS...
  EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS...EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY...
  ESTANCIA VALLEY...FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS...GUADALUPE COUNTY...
  JEMEZ MOUNTAINS...LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY...LOWER RIO GRANDE
  VALLEY...NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS...NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO
  MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER...NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS...
  RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA...SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY...SAN JUAN
  MOUNTAINS...SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS...SANTA FE METRO AREA...
  SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS...SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS...SOUTHERN
  SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET...SOUTHWEST CHAVES
  COUNTY...SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS...UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY...UPPER
  TULAROSA VALLEY...WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS...WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS
  AND WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS.

* UNTIL 6 AM MDT SATURDAY

* ABUNDANT MOISTURE IS IN PLACE OVER MUCH OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
  NEW MEXICO...AND A WEAK DISTURBANCE ALOFT WILL BE ENTERING
  NORTHERN PARTS OF THE STATE THROUGH THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
  IN ADDITION...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE VERY SLOWLY THROUGH
  EARLY MORNING...AND THIS SCENARIO WILL LEAD TO A HEIGHTENED
  RISK FOR FLASH FLOODING. WITH ABUNDANT MOISTURE IN PLACE SOME OF
  THE STRONGER STORMS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS
  WITH RAIN AT RATES NEAR 1 INCH IN JUST A HALF HOUR.

* LOCATIONS WHERE THE GROUND IS ALREADY SATURATED FROM RECENT
  RAINFALL WILL BE FAVORED FOR FLASH FLOODING. OTHER VULNERABLE
  LOCATIONS WILL INCLUDE STEEP TERRAIN...URBAN AREAS AND BURN
  SCARS. KEEP A WATCHFUL EYE ON ARROYOS AND SMALL STREAMS...AND
  STAY OUT OF FLOODED LOW WATER CROSSINGS. MONITOR THE LATEST
  FORECASTS CLOSELY AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION IF A
  WARNING OR ADVISORY IS ISSUED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH
FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

SHY

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
555 PM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

...HEAVY RAINS WITH FLASH FLOODING POTENTIAL FOR TODAY THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING...

.A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS IS IN PLACE OVER SOUTHERN NEW
MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS. PORTIONS OF THE AREA HAVE ALREADY
RECEIVED HEAVY RAINFALL THE LAST FEW DAYS...RESULTING IN
SATURATED SOIL CONDITIONS. AN OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY REMAINS DRAPED
ACROSS THE REGION. THIS BOUNDARY AND A WEAK UPPER LEVEL STORM
SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE THE THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS TO
REDEVELOP TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY. WITH ABUNDANT MOISTURE IN PLACE...
STORMS WILL BE ABLE TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL. EXCESSIVE RAIN
RUNOFF WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE FLOODING ALONG
DRAINAGES...ARROYOS AND SMALL STREAMS. ADDITIONALLY...POORLY
DRAINED LOW LYING AREAS AND ROADS WILL SEE INCREASED PONDING OF
WATER. THIS MOIST RAINY PATTERN WILL PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST
SUNDAY MORNING.

NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-021400-
/O.CON.KEPZ.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-140803T1400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHERN GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE-
SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER VALLEY-LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-
UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-
EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES-
NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY-SOUTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY/MESILLA VALLEY-
CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN-SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN-
WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-OTERO MESA-
WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY-EASTERN/CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY-
NORTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN-
SOUTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GILA HOT SPRINGS...BUCKHORN...
MULE CREEK...CLIFF...SILVER CITY...LAKE ROBERTS...KINGSTON...
FORT BAYARD...MIMBRES...FAYWOOD...HURLEY...GRANT COUNTY AIRPORT...
LORDSBURG...REDROCK...VIRDEN...ANIMAS...HACHITA...
ANTELOPE WELLS...CLOVERDALE...DEMING...COLUMBUS...HILLSBORO...
WINSTON...TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES...DERRY...SPACEPORT...GARFIELD...
HATCH...RADIUM SPRINGS...LAS CRUCES...VADO...SUNLAND PARK...
ALAMOGORDO...TULAROSA...WHITE SANDS MONUMENT...OROGRANDE...
WHITE SANDS RANGE HEADQUARTERS...CHAPARRAL...MESCALERO...
MOUNTAIN PARK...TIMBERON...CLOUDCROFT...SUNSPOT...APACHE SUMMIT...
MAYHILL...SACRAMENTO...PINON...CROW FLATS...DOWNTOWN...
WEST EL PASO...UPPER VALLEY...FORT BLISS...SOCORRO...
EAST AND NORTHEAST EL PASO...HUECO TANKS...LOMA LINDA...
DELL CITY...CORNUDAS...SALT FLAT...SIERRA BLANCA...FABENS...
TORNILLO...FORT HANCOCK
555 PM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NM AND TX...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN
  NM...CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN...EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS
  BELOW 7500 FEET...EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS...LOWLANDS OF
  THE BOOTHEEL...NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY...OTERO MESA...
  SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET...SIERRA COUNTY LAKES...
  SOUTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY/MESILLA VALLEY...SOUTHERN GILA
  FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY...SOUTHERN GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK
  RANGE...SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN...SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA
  RIVER VALLEY...SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN...UPLANDS OF THE
  BOOTHEEL...UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY AND WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO
  MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET. IN TX...EASTERN/CENTRAL EL PASO
  COUNTY...NORTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS...RIO
  GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES...
  RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY...SALT BASIN...
  SOUTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS AND WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY.

* THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING

* WIDESPREAD AREAS OF RAINFALL OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH A FEW
  AREAS POSSIBLY TOTALING 4-5 INCHES...THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.

* NORMALLY DRY ARROYOS AND STREAMS COULD BE QUICKLY FILLED WITH
  FAST MOVING WATER...MUD AND DEBRIS. LOW WATER CROSSING
  ROADWAYS COULD BECOME IMPASSABLE. FLOODING OF POORLY DRAINED
  STREETS AND INTERSECTIONS IS POSSIBLE FOR URBAN AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

LUNDEEN


Flood Advisory


FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
1057 PM MST FRI AUG 1 2014

AZC013-020815-
/O.EXT.KPSR.FA.Y.0065.000000T0000Z-140802T0815Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MARICOPA AZ-
1057 PM MST FRI AUG 1 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PHOENIX HAS EXTENDED THE

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
  CENTRAL MARICOPA COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ARIZONA...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...GLENDALE...YOUNGTOWN...WADDELL...
  TOLLESON...SUN CITY...LAVEEN...GOODYEAR...EL MIRAGE...BUCKEYE...
  AVONDALE...

* UNTIL 115 AM MST

* AT 1054 PM MST STORMS HAVE WEAKENED AND RAINFALL HAS DIMINISHED.
  HOWEVER...RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE FOR NEXT FEW
  HOURS BEFORE TAPERING OFF AND RECEDING. ADDITIONAL LIGHT SHOWER
  ACTIVITY MAY CONTINUE AND PASS THROUGH THE ADVISORY AREA...
  WITH VERY LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED.

* LOCATIONS THAT MAY EXPERIENCE MINOR FLOODING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT
  LIMITED TO...GLENDALE...PEORIA...LITCHFIELD PARK...GOODYEAR

* STREAM FLOW HAS BEEN REPORTED IN AREA WASHES AND DRAINAGES.
  HEED ALL ROADWAYS SIGNAGE AND BARRIERS...DO NOT DRIVE AROUND OR
  THROUGH THEM INTO THE WATER COVERED ROADWAY. THERE IS NO WAY
  OF TELLING HOW DEEP OR FAST THE WATER IS MOVING. DO NOT CHANCE
  IT.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING
WATER CAN BE POWERFUL ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN
ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT
DROWN.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 3362 11261 3362 11214 3339 11212 3337 11273

$$

NOLTE

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
1054 PM MST FRI AUG 1 2014

AZC003-020745-
/O.NEW.KTWC.FA.Y.0064.140802T0554Z-140802T0745Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
COCHISE AZ-
1054 PM MST FRI AUG 1 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TUCSON HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
  NORTHERN COCHISE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARIZONA...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF WILLCOX...

* UNTIL 1245 AM MST

* AT 1050 PM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED AN AREA
  OF MODERATE RAINFALL OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF COCHISE COUNTY. THIS
  RAINFALL IS ON TOP OF THE EARLIER HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE SAME
  AREA. THIS WILL CAUSE SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING ISSUES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

A FLOOD ADVISORY MEANS RIVER OR STREAM FLOWS ARE ELEVATED OR PONDING
OF WATER IN URBAN OR OTHER AREAS IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT.

&&

LAT...LON 3183 10907 3169 10925 3174 11001 3172 11042
      3242 11044 3242 10906

$$
ZELL

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
1033 PM MST FRI AUG 1 2014

AZC023-020830-
/O.NEW.KTWC.FA.Y.0063.140802T0533Z-140802T0830Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SANTA CRUZ AZ-
1033 PM MST FRI AUG 1 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TUCSON HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
  CENTRAL SANTA CRUZ COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARIZONA...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF NOGALES...

* UNTIL 130 AM MST

* AT 1031 PM MST AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO GENERATE
  LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
  SANTA CRUZ COUNTY. NOGALES AIRPORT WAS REPORTING ABOUT 3/4 OF
  AN INCH OF RAINFALL OVER THE PAST HOUR. RAINFALL AMOUNTS NEAR
  OR IN EXCESS OF 1 INCH WILL CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING ISSUES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE ELEVATED LEVELS IN
WASHES AND STREAMS...AND PONDING OF WATER IN URBAN AREAS...
HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.

&&

LAT...LON 3156 11105 3159 11056 3133 11050 3132 11054
      3133 11103

$$

MEYER

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
1024 PM MST FRI AUG 1 2014

AZC013-020730-
/O.EXT.KPSR.FA.Y.0064.000000T0000Z-140802T0730Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MARICOPA AZ-
1024 PM MST FRI AUG 1 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PHOENIX HAS EXTENDED THE

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR MINOR FLOODING OF POOR
  DRAINAGE AREAS IN...
  CENTRAL MARICOPA COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ARIZONA...

* UNTIL 1230 AM MST

* AT 1020 PM MST STORM SPOTTERS AND LOCAL MEDIA HAVE REPORTED
  WASH AND STREET FLOODING IN THE AREA OF MOON VALLEY AS WELL
  AS ALONG THE INTERSTATE 17 CORRIDOR. STORM RUNOFF WILL CONTINUE
  TO DRAIN THROUGH AREA WASHES AND POND OVER LOW LYING AREAS.
  THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS MOSTLY ENDED OVER THE ADVISORY AREA...
  WITH POCKETS OF VERY LIGHT RAINFALL LINGERING. COULD SEE
  ADDITIONAL LIGHT RAINFALL THIS EVENING...BUT THE THREAT FOR
  MORE THUNDERSTORM AND RUNOFF HAS ENDED FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

* LOCATIONS THAT MAY EXPERIENCE MINOR FLOODING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT
  LIMITED TO...MOON VALLEY...NORTH PHOENIX...DEER VALLEY...
  INTERSTATE 17 IN THE AREA OF CACTUS THROUGH THE LOOP 101...


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY WASHES TO RUN AND
CAUSE CONSIDERABLE PONDING OF WATER ON STREETS...UNDERPASSES...AND
DETENTION BASINS AFFECTING SOME COMMUNITY PARKS. UNBRIDGED CROSSINGS
MAY BECOME TOO DANGEROUS FOR DRIVING. HEED ALL ROADWAY SIGNAGE AND
BARRIERS...DO NOT GO AROUND THEM OR DRIVE THROUGH THE WATER COVERED
ROADWAY THEY ARE GUARDING.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 3379 11213 3380 11196 3361 11201 3361 11214

$$

NOLTE

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
1122 PM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

NMC017-023-020815-
/O.NEW.KEPZ.FA.Y.0076.140802T0522Z-140802T0815Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GRANT NM-HIDALGO NM-
1122 PM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN EL PASO HAS ISSUED AN

* ARROYO AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
  GRANT COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...
  NORTHERN HIDALGO COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO...

* UNTIL 215 AM MDT

* AT 1120 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. DOPPLER
  RADAR ESTIMATED AN INCH TO TWO AND HALF INCHES OF RAIN HAD FALLEN
  IN THE PAST FEW HOURS. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  CITY OF ROCKS STATE PARK...
  RODEO...
  LORDSBURG...
  ANIMAS...
  SILVER CITY...
  REDROCK...
  LAKE ROBERTS...
  GILA HOT SPRINGS...
  BUCKHORN...
  GEORGETOWN...
  BEAR CANYON LAKE...
  SAPILLO CAMPGROUND...
  MCMILLAN CAMPGROUND...
  CHERRY CREEK CAMPGROUND...

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING TO
OCCUR...ESPECIALLY ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND NEAR LOW WATER CROSSINGS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RAINFALL CAN QUICKLY TURN DRY DESERT WASHES AND ARROYOS
INTO RAGING RIVERS...EVEN IN AREAS FAR FROM WHERE RAIN HAS FALLEN. DO
NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS FLOODED ARROYOS. SWIFTLY MOVING WATER CAN CARVE
DEEP CHANNELS IN PREVIOUSLY SHALLOW WASHES...AND WATER CAN BE MUCH
DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. IF YOUR ROUTE BECOMES CUT OFF BY FLOODED
ARROYOS...WAIT FOR FLOOD WATERS TO RECEDE.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. DO NOT
ENTER THE WATER. TURN AROUND AND MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE
FLOOD WATERS.

&&

LAT...LON 3320 10905 3321 10808 3261 10791 3252 10792
      3251 10823 3181 10821 3176 10906

$$

GNL

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
905 PM MST FRI AUG 1 2014

AZC019-021-020700-
/O.NEW.KTWC.FA.Y.0062.140802T0405Z-140802T0700Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
PIMA AZ-PINAL AZ-
905 PM MST FRI AUG 1 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TUCSON HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN PIMA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARIZONA...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF ORO VALLEY...
  SOUTH CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARIZONA...

* UNTIL MIDNIGHT MST

* AT 902 PM MST THUNDERSTORMS WERE GENERATING MODERATE TO LOCALLY
  HEAVY RAINFALL IN AREAS AROUND ORO VALLEY...CATALINA...ORACLE
  JUNCTION...AND THE CATALINA MOUNTAINS INCLUDING SUMMERHAVEN.
  COMBINED WITH EARLIER RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN THE 1/2 TO 1 INCH
  RANGE EXPECT HEAVY FLOW IN NORMALLY DRY WASHES AND
  STREAMBEDS...AS WELL AS LOCALIZED FLOODING NEAR SOME ROADS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE ELEVATED LEVELS IN
WASHES AND STREAMS...AND PONDING OF WATER IN URBAN AREAS...
HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.

&&

LAT...LON 3268 11121 3272 11076 3233 11057 3234 11105

$$

MEYER


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1157 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-021800-
UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHERN GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE-
SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER VALLEY-LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-
UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-
EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES-
NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY-SOUTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY/MESILLA VALLEY-
CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN-SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN-
WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-OTERO MESA-
WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY-EASTERN/CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY-
NORTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN-
SOUTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY-
1157 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NM AND TX.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. SOME OF THE STORMS WILL PRODUCE PERIODS OF
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL RESULTING IN EXCESSIVE RUNOFF AND FLASH FLOODING
ALONG DRAINAGES AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS. AREAS WHICH HAVE RECEIVED
2 OR MORE INCHES FROM RECENT HEAVY RAINS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE
TO FLOODING. THE STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND WIND
GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL OCCUR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...SHIFTING TO THE WEST OF
THE RIO GRANDE MONDAY. WITH THE GROUND ALREADY SOAKED FROM PREVIOUS
RAINFALLS...THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR EXCESSIVE RAIN RUNOFF TO
CAUSE FLOODING ALONG DRAINAGES...SMALL STREAMS...ARROYOS AND AT
LOW WATER CROSSINGS. POORLY DRAINED LOW LYING AREAS AND ROADS WILL
HAVE INCREASED PONDING OF WATER. RAINS THROUGH SUNDAY ARE
PROJECTED TO BE BETWEEN AND INCH AND A HALF TO THREE INCHES.
DRIER AIR WILL MOVE INTO EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA BY
MONDAY...WITH HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL LIMITED TO PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO THAT DAY. TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY THERE WILL
BE THUNDERSTORMS SCATTERED OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND ISOLATED IN THE
LOWLANDS...WHICH IS MORE TYPICAL DURING MONSOON SEASON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT ANY OBSERVED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OR FLOODING
TO THIS OFFICE AND LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT.

$$

FAUSETT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1006 AM MST FRI AUG 1 2014

AZZ004>018-037>040-020645-
KAIBAB PLATEAU-MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-
COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-CHINLE VALLEY-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-
OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-BLACK MESA AREA-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
1006 AM MST FRI AUG 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR APACHE...COCONINO...
NORTHERN GILA...NAVAJO...AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES IN NORTHERN
ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A MOIST UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL LEAD TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT TODAY. STORMS WILL GENERALLY MOVE SLOWLY TO THE SOUTH
OR SOUTHWEST...WITH THE AREAS OF GREATEST IMPACT ALONG AND
SOUTHWEST OF THE MOGOLLON RIM (INCLUDING MUCH OF YAVAPAI COUNTY).
HEAVY RAIN AND LOCALIZED FLOODING ARE THE GREATEST THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

DEEP MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTH WILL KEEP SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHERN ARIZONA THROUGH SUNDAY.
HEAVY RAIN WILL OCCUR WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS...WITH AREAS OF
LOCALIZED FLOODING THE GREATEST THREAT THIS WEEKEND. EXPECT A
DOWNWARD TREND IN THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY EARLY NEXT WEEK AS DRIER
AIR MOVES INTO THE AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
616 AM MST FRI AUG 1 2014

AZZ020>028-CAZ030>033-021330-
LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ-WEST CENTRAL DESERTS-
NORTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY-GREATER PHOENIX AREA-
SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS-
YUMA/MARTINEZ LAKE AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST DESERTS-
SOUTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY-NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-
JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK-LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA-
RIVERSIDE COUNTY/EASTERN DESERTS-IMPERIAL COUNTY-
616 AM MST FRI AUG 1 2014 /616 AM PDT FRI AUG 1 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST-CENTRAL
ARIZONA...EXTREME SOUTHWEST ARIZONA...EXTREME WEST-CENTRAL
ARIZONA...SOUTH-CENTRAL ARIZONA...SOUTHWEST ARIZONA...WEST-CENTRAL
ARIZONA...EXTREME SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE WILL BE AT LEAST SLIGHT CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY ON THE
LOWER DESERTS...BETTER OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. STORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN. THE STRONGEST
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND AND FLASH
FLOODING. FOR THE LOWER DESERTS...ANTICIPATE SOUTHWEST ARIZONA TO BE
MORE ACTIVE THAN THE PHOENIX AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

STORM CHANCES INCREASE REGION WIDE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY THEN TAPER OFF
SHARPLY DURING THE WORK WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD FOLLOW STANDARD REPORTING PROCEDURES.

$$

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX IS ON THE INTERNET AT

WEATHER.GOV/PHOENIX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
602 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

NMZ501>540-021200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
602 AM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A SLOW MOVING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL INTERACT WITH ABUNDANT
MOISTURE TO PRODUCE A BETTER RISK OF FLASH FLOODING THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT THAN NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO HAS SEEN IN THE
PAST FEW DAYS. THE GREATEST RISK WILL BE ALONG THE CONTINENTAL
DIVIDE AND EASTWARD TO THE WESTERN HIGH PLAINS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A VERY MOIST ATMOSPHERE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
MUCH OF THE ENERGY FROM THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE THAT PASSES
SOUTH AND SOUTHEASTWARD INTO NEW MEXICO TODAY AND TONIGHT SHOULD
SHIFT WESTWARD OVER SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE FORECAST AREA SATURDAY
BRINGING THE BEST CHANCE OF HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING TO THE
SOUTHERN TIER OF MOUNTAINS AND LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY. THE BEST
POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING SHOULD THEN FAVOR THE CONTINENTAL
DIVIDE REGION TO THE ARIZONA BORDER SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS A SLOW
MOVING SUBTROPICAL WAVE MIGRATES NORTHWARD WEST OF NEW
MEXICO...THEN EASTWARD NORTH OF NEW MEXICO...STEERING A ROBUST
MONSOON MOISTURE PLUME OVERHEAD.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND ANY FLOODING
THROUGH THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE WEB SITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/ABQ OR BY CALLING 1.888.386.7637.

$$

44


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1155 PM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

NMZ505>509-020800-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EL MORRO...GALLUP...GLENWOOD...GRANTS...
QUEMADO
1155 PM MDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.NOW...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING
OVER WEST CENTRAL AND INTO SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO. EXPECT DANGEROUS
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND RAINFALL OF SEVERAL TENTHS OF AN INCH
ALONG WITH WIND GUSTS TO 25 MPH. LOCATIONS IMPACTED THROUGH 2 AM
INCLUDE GRANTS...ACOMA PUEBLO...ALAMO AND OJO CALIENTE. DOWNPOURS
WILL FILL ARROYOS AND DITCHES AND BLOCK LOW WATER CROSSINGS.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE