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Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
121 PM MST FRI AUG 28 2015

AZZ004>018-037>040-290830-
KAIBAB PLATEAU-MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-
COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-CHINLE VALLEY-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-
OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-BLACK MESA AREA-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
121 PM MST FRI AUG 28 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR APACHE...COCONINO...
NORTHERN GILA...NAVAJO...AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES IN NORTHERN
ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MID EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE IS EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHERN
ARIZONA THIS WEEKEND...WITH STORMS PRIMARILY OCCURRING BETWEEN 10
AM AND 8 PM MST. THE TYPICAL MONSOON THREATS OF HEAVY
RAIN...LOCAL FLASH FLOODING...HAIL...STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND
LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE.

THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY AFTERNOON
FOR AREAS NORTH OF A LINE FROM SELIGMAN TO WINDOW ROCK. SEVERE
STORMS PRODUCE HAIL ONE INCH OR GREATER IN SIZE AND OR WIND GUSTS
GREATER THAN 58 MPH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...NONE.

$$
41

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1100 AM MDT FRI AUG 28 2015

NMZ401-404>407-410-411-417-TXZ418>424-291700-
UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER VALLEY-
LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY-
SOUTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY/MESILLA VALLEY-OTERO MESA-
WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY-EASTERN/CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY-
NORTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN-
SOUTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY-
1100 AM MDT FRI AUG 28 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NM AND TX.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS BY LATE AFTERNOON. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS
COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL OF ONE TO TWO INCHES AND LOCAL FLOODING.
WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A FEW STORMS
COULD PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCAL FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

$$

BIRD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1100 AM MDT FRI AUG 28 2015

NMZ402-403-414>416-291700-
SOUTHERN GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE-
SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY-
WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-
1100 AM MDT FRI AUG 28 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NM.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. A FEW STORMS WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL
OF ONE TO TWO INCHES AND LOCAL FLOODING. WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45
MPH ALONG WITH PEA SIZE HAIL ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A FEW
STORMS COULD PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCAL FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
602 AM MDT FRI AUG 28 2015

NMZ501>540-291200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
602 AM MDT FRI AUG 28 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A BACK DOOR COLD FRONT WILL CONCENTRATE STRONGER STORMS AND
LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS ACROSS THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND PORTIONS
OF THE EASTERN PLAINS TODAY INTO THIS EVENING. SMALL HAIL...GUSTY
WINDS AND MINOR FLOODING ALL POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

STORM COVERAGE AND INTENSITY WILL BE A LITTLE LESS ON SATURDAY
ALTHOUGH LOCALLY STRONG STORMS AND SOME MINOR FLOODING WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE OVER THE MOUNTAINS. COVERAGE OF STRONGER STORMS AND
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL INCREASE SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT WITH
RESIDUAL IMPACTS EARLY NEXT WEEK. WESTERN/CENTRAL AREAS WILL BE
FAVORED DURING THIS PERIOD.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$

50


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
548 PM MDT FRI AUG 28 2015

NMZ401>408-290200-
UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHERN GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE-
SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER VALLEY-LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-
UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-
EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GILA HOT SPRINGS...BUCKHORN...
MULE CREEK...CLIFF...SILVER CITY...LAKE ROBERTS...KINGSTON...
FORT BAYARD...MIMBRES...FAYWOOD...HURLEY...GRANT COUNTY AIRPORT...
LORDSBURG...REDROCK...VIRDEN...ANIMAS...HACHITA...
ANTELOPE WELLS...CLOVERDALE...DEMING...COLUMBUS...HILLSBORO...
WINSTON
548 PM MDT FRI AUG 28 2015

.NOW...
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE STARTING TO DEVELOP ACROSS
AREAS WEST OF THE RIO GRANDE. THE OVERALL COVERAGE OF STORMS IN
THIS REGION IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.
BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY STORM OUTFLOW WINDS OF 40 TO 45 MPH
WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EVENING.

$$

LANEY

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
439 PM MST FRI AUG 28 2015

AZZ509>514-290145-
UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-
WHITE MOUNTAINS OF GRAHAM AND GREENLEE COUNTIES-
GALIURO AND PINALENO MOUNTAINS-CHIRICAHUA MOUNTAINS-
DRAGOON AND MULE AND HUACHUCA AND SANTA RITA MOUNTAINS-
CATALINA AND RINCON MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLIFTON...SAFFORD...HANNAGAN MEADOW...
MOUNT GRAHAM...CHIRICAHUA NM...BISBEE...CANELO HILLS...
MADERA CANYON...MOUNT LEMMON...SUMMERHAVEN
439 PM MST FRI AUG 28 2015

.NOW...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING
HOURS...MAINLY NEAR TERRAIN EAST TO SOUTH OF TUCSON. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS WILL GENERALLY BE LESS THAN ONE QUARTER INCH...EXCEPT FOR
SOME LOCALIZED ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO AN INCH IN CONJUNCTION WITH
THE STRONGEST STORMS. A FEW WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE. STORMS ARE GENERALLY MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$



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