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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1127 AM MDT THU AUG 21 2014

NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-221730-
UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHERN GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE-
SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER VALLEY-LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-
UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-
EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES-
NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY-SOUTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY/MESILLA VALLEY-
CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN-SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN-
WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-OTERO MESA-
WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY-EASTERN/CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY-
NORTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN-
SOUTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY-
1127 AM MDT THU AUG 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NM AND TX.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THIS AFTERNOON LOOKS QUIET WITH GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS
THE REGION. THERE ARE LIKELY TO BE A FEW STORMS OVER THE MOUNTAINS
AND EVEN A COUPLE OF STORMS MAY FORM NEAR THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER
AREAS...ESPECIALLY THE BOOTHEEL OF NEW MEXICO AND SOUTHERN
HUDSPETH COUNTY IN FAR WEST TEXAS. TONIGHT A SHARP INCREASE IN
MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE FROM THE SOUTH. ALONG WITH IT
SHOULD BE AN INCREASE IN SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
GENERALLY OVER SOUTHERN AND WESTERN ZONES. SEVERE WEATHER THREAT
IS MINIMAL WITH THE PRIMARY THREAT BEING ISOLATED AREAS OF HEAVY
RAIN. HOWEVER MOST OF THE RAIN TONIGHT WILL BE ONLY MODERATE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

FRIDAY THE THICK SLUG OF MOISTURE WILL WORK FURTHER INTO THE AREA
ADDING INCREASED SHOWER AND STORM CHANCES TO THE RIO GRANDE
VALLEY...THE SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS AND THE REST OF SOUTH CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS. RAIN AMOUNTS ARE PROJECTED TO BE IN
THE .50" TO 1.10" RANGE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PLENTY OF CLOUDS
AND MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL KEEP THE POTENTIAL FOR
WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS AND INTENSE RAIN MINIMIZED. DRYING WORKS
IN...ESPECIALLY WEST SATURDAY AND REMAINS SUNDAY. THE REST OF THE
WEEK WE WILL HAVE ADEQUATE MOISTURE FOR DAYTIME AND EVENING
ISOLATED STORMS...BUT THREATS OF SIGNIFICANT IMPACT WEATHER LOOK
MINIMAL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER INFORMATION IS VITAL TO OUR WARMING OPPERATIONS. SPOTTERS
ARE URGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER...REAL TIME...TO THE
WEATHER OFFICE VIA OUR 800 NUMBER OR VIA TWITTER @NWSELPASO

$$

BIRD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
549 AM MDT THU AUG 21 2014

NMZ501>540-221200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
549 AM MDT THU AUG 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE SCATTERED ON MOST MOUNTAIN
RANGES AND ONLY ISOLATED IN THE VALLEYS AND EASTERN PLAINS. ANY
THUNDERSTORM COULD PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN AND LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ACTUALLY INCREASE
TONIGHT AS A SURGE OF MONSOON MOISTURE MOVES NORTH OUT OF MEXICO
INTO WESTERN NEW MEXICO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

HEAVY RAINFALL FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING IS POSSIBLE
ANYWHERE ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...WHERE LOCALIZED
AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING MAY OCCUR. RECENT BURN SCARS ARE ESPECIALLY
SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND ANY FLOODING
THROUGH THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE WEB SITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/ABQ OR BY CALLING 1.888.386.7637. SPOTTERS CAN ALSO
SUBMIT PHOTOS AND REPORTS TO OUR FACEBOOK PAGE OR VIA TWITTER
USING THE HASHTAG N M W X.

$$

40

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
233 AM MST THU AUG 21 2014

AZZ020>028-CAZ030>033-221400-
LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ-WEST CENTRAL DESERTS-
NORTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY-GREATER PHOENIX AREA-
SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS-
YUMA/MARTINEZ LAKE AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST DESERTS-
SOUTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY-NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-
JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK-LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA-
RIVERSIDE COUNTY/EASTERN DESERTS-IMPERIAL COUNTY-
233 AM MST THU AUG 21 2014 /233 AM PDT THU AUG 21 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST-CENTRAL
ARIZONA...EXTREME SOUTHWEST ARIZONA...EXTREME WEST-CENTRAL
ARIZONA...SOUTH-CENTRAL ARIZONA...SOUTHWEST ARIZONA...WEST-CENTRAL
ARIZONA...EXTREME SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION
TODAY. VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE AT TIMES...RESULTING IN FLOODING
OF LOW LYING AREAS AND WASHES. IN ADDITION TO THE HEAVY RAIN...VERY
STRONG DAMAGING WINDS ARE LIKELY WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS ALONG WITH
FREQUENT LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY.

$$

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX IS ON THE INTERNET AT

WEATHER.GOV/PHOENIX


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
149 AM MDT FRI AUG 22 2014

NMZ501>509-519-520-524>526-539-540-221100-
ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-
FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALBUQUERQUE...LOS LUNAS...RIO RANCHO...
CARRIZOZO...CUBA...DULCE...EL MORRO...ELK...FARMINGTON...GALLUP...
GLENWOOD...GRAN QUIVIRA...GRANTS...PICACHO...QUEMADO...RUIDOSO...
SOCORRO
149 AM MDT FRI AUG 22 2014

.NOW...
THROUGH 5 AM...LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE OVER WESTERN NEW MEXICO. THIS
ACTIVITY WILL MOVE NORTH NORTHEAST AT 25 TO 30 MPH...AFFECTING
LOCALITIES SUCH AS CHACO CANYON...FARMINGTON...SHIPROCK...GALLUP...
ZUNI PUEBLO...QUEMADO...FENCE LAKE...AND RED HILL. A SECOND AREA WILL
SLOWLY CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWARD INTO LINCOLN...SOCORRO AND EASTERN
CATRON COUNTIES AFFECTING LOCALITIES SUCH AS BEAVERHEAD...DUSTY...THE
BOSQUE DEL APACHE AND SOCORRO. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN
NEAR OR UNDER ONE TENTH OF AN INCH...HOWEVER MORE SUBSTANTIAL RAINS
ARE EXPECTED AFTER SUNRISE AS MORE MOISTURE SPREADS UP FROM THE SOUTH
AND A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH EDGES CLOSER FROM THE SOUTHWEST.
OCCASIONAL...BUT DEADLY...CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND ERRATIC
WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH MAY ALSO ACCOMPANY THE THUNDERSTORMS.

$$

34

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NOAA National Weather Service
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Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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