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FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
609 AM MDT WED SEP 17 2014

...MOISTURE AND STORM DYNAMICS FROM TROPICAL STORM ODILE TO KEEP
FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL ELEVATED ACROSS SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO AND FAR
WEST TEXAS THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TROPICAL STORM ODILE IS MAKING SLOW PROGRESS NORTH TOWARD
SOUTHEAST ARIZONA AND WILL TRACK OVER TUCSON AND INTO THE GILA
TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY. DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW IMPORTED A VERY
WET TROPICAL ATMOSPHERE OVER THE BORDERLAND. WIDESPREAD COVERAGE OF
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP OVER SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS TODAY THROUGH
THURSDAY. A SLIGHT BREAK IN WIDESPREAD SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED
TODAY WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY. ANOTHER PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN SHOULD MOVE IN FROM THE
SOUTHWEST TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL ONE TO
TWO INCHES IS EXPECTED. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN IS LIKELY OVER THE
LOWLANDS WEST OF THE RIO GRANDE. AREA MOUNTAINS COULD SEE COULD
RECEIVE UP TO FIVE OR MORE INCHES.

NMZ401>411-180500-
/O.CON.KEPZ.FF.A.0010.000000T0000Z-140919T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHERN GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE-
SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER VALLEY-LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-
UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-
EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES-
NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY-SOUTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY/MESILLA VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GILA HOT SPRINGS...BUCKHORN...
MULE CREEK...CLIFF...SILVER CITY...LAKE ROBERTS...KINGSTON...
FORT BAYARD...MIMBRES...FAYWOOD...HURLEY...GRANT COUNTY AIRPORT...
LORDSBURG...REDROCK...VIRDEN...ANIMAS...HACHITA...
ANTELOPE WELLS...CLOVERDALE...DEMING...COLUMBUS...HILLSBORO...
WINSTON...TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES...DERRY...SPACEPORT...GARFIELD...
HATCH...RADIUM SPRINGS...LAS CRUCES...VADO...SUNLAND PARK
609 AM MDT WED SEP 17 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS.
  INCLUDED ARE HIDALGO...GRANT...SIERRA...LUNA...DONA ANA...AND
  OTERO COUNTIES IN NEW MEXICO. IN TEXAS...EL PASO AND HUDSPETH
  COUNTIES ARE INCLUDED. OF SPECIAL CONCERN WILL BE WESTERN SIERRA
  AND EASTERN GRANT COUNTIES WITH EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THE BLACK
  RANGE AND THE MOUNTAINS OF THE GILA.

* THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING

* SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY
  RAIN. AN AREA-WIDE INCREASE IN RAIN COVERAGE TONIGHT THROUGH
  THURSDAY AS THE REMNANTS OF ODILE MOVE ACROSS FROM THE WEST.

* NORMALLY DRY ARROYOS...STREAMS...AND RIVER COULD BE QUICKLY
  FILLED WITH FAST MOVING WATER...MUD AND DEBRIS. LOW WATER
  CROSSINGS WILL LIKELY BECOME IMPASSABLE. SEVERAL RIVERS WILL
  LIKELY REACH BANKFUL AND RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. FLOODING OF
  HOMES AND BUSINESSES IN LOW LYING AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS WILL
  BE POSSIBLE. SOME FLOODING COULD BECOME LIFE THREATENING.
  PEOPLE LIVING IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE
  ACTION IF RISING WATER IS SEEN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
609 AM MDT WED SEP 17 2014

...MOISTURE AND STORM DYNAMICS FROM TROPICAL STORM ODILE TO KEEP
FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL ELEVATED ACROSS SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO AND FAR
WEST TEXAS THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TROPICAL STORM ODILE IS MAKING SLOW PROGRESS NORTH TOWARD
SOUTHEAST ARIZONA AND WILL TRACK OVER TUCSON AND INTO THE GILA
TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY. DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW IMPORTED A VERY
WET TROPICAL ATMOSPHERE OVER THE BORDERLAND. WIDESPREAD COVERAGE OF
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP OVER SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS TODAY THROUGH
THURSDAY. A SLIGHT BREAK IN WIDESPREAD SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED
TODAY WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY. ANOTHER PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN SHOULD MOVE IN FROM THE
SOUTHWEST TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL ONE TO
TWO INCHES IS EXPECTED. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN IS LIKELY OVER THE
LOWLANDS WEST OF THE RIO GRANDE. AREA MOUNTAINS COULD SEE COULD
RECEIVE UP TO FIVE OR MORE INCHES.

NMZ412>417-TXZ418>424-180500-
/O.CON.KEPZ.FF.A.0010.000000T0000Z-140919T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN-SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN-
WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-OTERO MESA-
WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY-EASTERN/CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY-
NORTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN-
SOUTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALAMOGORDO...TULAROSA...
WHITE SANDS MONUMENT...OROGRANDE...
WHITE SANDS RANGE HEADQUARTERS...CHAPARRAL...MESCALERO...
MOUNTAIN PARK...TIMBERON...CLOUDCROFT...SUNSPOT...APACHE SUMMIT...
MAYHILL...SACRAMENTO...PINON...CROW FLATS...DOWNTOWN...
WEST EL PASO...UPPER VALLEY...FORT BLISS...SOCORRO...
EAST AND NORTHEAST EL PASO...HUECO TANKS...LOMA LINDA...
DELL CITY...CORNUDAS...SALT FLAT...SIERRA BLANCA...FABENS...
TORNILLO...FORT HANCOCK
609 AM MDT WED SEP 17 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS.
  INCLUDED ARE HIDALGO...GRANT...SIERRA...LUNA...DONA ANA...AND
  OTERO COUNTIES IN NEW MEXICO. IN TEXAS...EL PASO AND HUDSPETH
  COUNTIES ARE INCLUDED. OF SPECIAL CONCERN WILL BE WESTERN SIERRA
  AND EASTERN GRANT COUNTIES WITH EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THE BLACK
  RANGE AND THE MOUNTAINS OF THE GILA.

* THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING

* SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY
  RAIN. AN AREA-WIDE INCREASE IN RAIN COVERAGE TONIGHT THROUGH
  THURSDAY AS THE REMNANTS OF ODILE MOVE ACROSS FROM THE WEST.

* NORMALLY DRY ARROYOS...STREAMS...AND RIVER COULD BE QUICKLY
  FILLED WITH FAST MOVING WATER...MUD AND DEBRIS. LOW WATER
  CROSSINGS WILL LIKELY BECOME IMPASSABLE. SEVERAL RIVERS WILL
  LIKELY REACH BANKFULL AND RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. FLOODING OF
  HOMES AND BUSINESSES IN LOW LYING AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS WILL
  BE POSSIBLE. SOME FLOODING COULD BECOME LIFE THREATENING.
  PEOPLE LIVING IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE
  ACTION IF RISING WATER IS SEEN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

BIRD

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
419 AM MST WED SEP 17 2014

AZZ007-008-012>018-037-038-171930-
/O.CON.KFGZ.FF.A.0007.140917T1800Z-140919T0100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-
OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VALLE...PRESCOTT...SELIGMAN...
ASH FORK...WUPATKI N.M....TUBA CITY...WINSLOW...HOLBROOK...
SNOWFLAKE...ST. JOHNS...SPRINGERVILLE...FLAGSTAFF...WILLIAMS...
MUNDS PARK...HEBER...HAPPY JACK...FOREST LAKES...SHOW LOW...
GREER...PINETOP...PAYSON...STRAWBERRY...YOUNG...COTTONWOOD...
CAMP VERDE...CORDES JUNCTION...BAGDAD...SEDONA
419 AM MST WED SEP 17 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MST THIS
MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ARIZONA...ROUGHLY ALONG AND
  SOUTH OF A LINE FROM THE GRAND CANYON SOUTH RIM TO WINSLOW TO
  ST. JOHNS.

* FROM 11 AM MST THIS MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON

* DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
  NORTHERN ARIZONA TODAY AND THURSDAY. WIDESPREAD AND PROLONGED
  PERIODS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL WITH EMBEDDED
  THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR SOME STORMS
  TO PRODUCE RAINFALL RATES GREATER THAN 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR.

* THE LATEST PRECIPITATION TOTALS FOR TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY ARE
  FORECAST TO RANGE FROM 1 TO 2 INCHES IN NORTHERN GILA COUNTY AND
  THE EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM...TO 2 TO 3 INCHES IN THE WHITE
  MOUNTAINS REGION...WITH GENERALLY LOWER AMOUNTS NORTH AND WEST
  OF THESE AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT DEVELOPING CONDITIONS MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

PEOPLE...ESPECIALLY THOSE LOCATED ALONG AREA CREEKS...RIVERS OR
OTHER FLASH FLOOD PRONE AREAS...SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR LATER
FORECASTS.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS
BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
455 AM MDT WED SEP 17 2014

NMZ508-509-520-524>526-539-540-171900-
/O.EXT.KABQ.FF.A.0015.000000T0000Z-140919T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-
UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-
SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
455 AM MDT WED SEP 17 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...INCLUDING THE
  FOLLOWING AREAS...EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY...LOWER RIO GRANDE
  VALLEY...SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY...SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS...
  SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS...SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY...SOUTHWEST
  MOUNTAINS AND UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY.

* THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON

* DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE OVER SOUTHERN
  NEW MEXICO TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN
  WIDESPREAD RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES...WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS.
  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL FALLING UPON AREAS THAT HAVE ALREADY
  RECEIVED HEAVY RAIN DURING THE PAST DAY OR SO WILL INCREASE THE
  ALREADY SERIOUS FLASH FLOOD THREAT. OF PARTICULAR CONCERN WILL
  BE THE UPPER GILA REGION AND SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND
  HIGHLANDS WHERE INTENSE DOWNPOURS COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL RATES
  OVER 2 INCHES PER HOUR. THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT WILL ONLY
  INCREASE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY AND THIS EXTENDED THREAT PERIOD
  COULD RESULT IN POTENTIALLY LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOOD
  SITUATIONS.

* THE FLASH FLOODING THREAT WILL BE ESPECIALLY HIGH DOWNSTREAM OF
  RECENT BURN SCARS. ABRUPT FLOWS OF WATER...ASH...AND DEBRIS
  COULD DEVELOP AFTER HEAVY DOWNPOURS IMPACT THE AREA. RESIDENTS
  AND TRAVELERS THROUGH THE WATCH AREA SHOULD REMAIN ALERT AS
  FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS MAY BE ISSUED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH
FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
455 AM MDT WED SEP 17 2014

NMZ538-171900-
/O.EXB.KABQ.FF.A.0015.140917T1200Z-140919T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-
455 AM MDT WED SEP 17 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS EXPANDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS.

* THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON

* TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE OVER SOUTHERN NEW
  MEXICO TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WIDESPREAD RAIN
  AND THUNDERSTORMS AT TIMES OVER MUCH OF CHAVES COUNTY.
  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OVER AREAS THAT HAVE RECEIVED SIGNIFICANT
  RAINFALL WITHIN THE PAST WEEK OR SO WILL RESULT IN AN EXTENDED
  FLASH FLOODING THREAT.

* THE FLASH FLOODING THREAT WILL BE ESPECIALLY HIGH IN THE
  HEADWATERS OF THE RIO HONDO AND OTHER SMALL CREEKS AND
  TRIBUTARIES THAT FEED THE PECOS RIVER. ABRUPT FLOWS OF WATER...AND
  DEBRIS COULD DEVELOP AFTER HEAVY DOWNPOURS IMPACT THE AREA.
  RESIDENTS AND TRAVELERS THROUGH THE WATCH AREA SHOULD REMAIN
  ALERT AS FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS MAY BE ISSUED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH
FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
451 AM CDT WED SEP 17 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR THE
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...EDDY COUNTY PLAINS...AND VAN HORN AND THE
HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...

.REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM ODILE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST INTO ARIZONA
THROUGH TONIGHT...BRINGING INCREASED MOISTURE AND INCREASING
CHANCES OF RAINFALL TO WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO.
FAVORED AREAS FOR HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE IN AND AROUND THE
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.  THESE AREAS RECEIVED HEAVY RAINFALL ON
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY OF LAST WEEK AND SOILS ARE ALREADY NEAR
SATURATION. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL GENERATE RUNOFF QUICKLY
AND INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING.

NMZ027-028-TXZ057-258-172115-
/O.NEW.KMAF.FF.A.0006.140917T1200Z-140918T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUEEN...ARTESIA...CARLSBAD...VAN HORN...
PINE SPRINGS
451 AM CDT WED SEP 17 2014 /351 AM MDT WED SEP 17 2014/

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND
  SOUTHWEST TEXAS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST
  NEW MEXICO...EDDY COUNTY PLAINS AND GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF
  EDDY COUNTY. IN SOUTHWEST TEXAS...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND VAN
  HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR.

* THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING

* ABUNDANT MOISTURE FROM THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM ODILE WILL
  MOVE INTO THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT...INCREASING THE CHANCES
  FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL ON
  ALREADY SATURATED SOILS. ONE INCH OF RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE IN
  THESE AREAS...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER 2 INCHES POSSIBLE.

* FLOODING OF CREEKS...ARROYOS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS...AND CITY
  STREETS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
924 PM MST TUE SEP 16 2014

...PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN WITH POSSIBLE FLOODING THROUGH
THURSDAY...

AZZ505-506-509-510-171230-
/O.CON.KTWC.FF.A.0008.140917T1800Z-140919T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SOUTH CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY-
UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-
WHITE MOUNTAINS OF GRAHAM AND GREENLEE COUNTIES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PICACHO PEAK STATE PARK...MAMMOTH...
ORACLE...CLIFTON...SAFFORD...HANNAGAN MEADOW
924 PM MST TUE SEP 16 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTHEAST ARIZONA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
  AREAS...SOUTH CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY...SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY...
  UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY AND WHITE MOUNTAINS OF GRAHAM AND
  GREENLEE COUNTIES.

* FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON

* OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
  ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN
  POSSIBLE. THE HEAVIEST AND MOST WIDESPREAD RAINS ARE EXPECTED AS
  THE REMNANTS OF ODILE MOVE ACROSS THE REGION LATE WEDNESDAY INTO
  THURSDAY...INCLUDING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WEDNESDAY NIGHT. AS
  NORMALLY HAPPENS AND IS EXPECTED THIS TIME...RAINFALL AMOUNTS
  WILL VARY WIDELY ACROSS THE AREA...BUT THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL
  AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY TOTAL 2 TO 4 INCHES BY LATE THURSDAY ACROSS
  FAR WESTERN AREAS AND 3 TO 6 INCHES ELSEWHERE. LOCALLY HIGHER
  AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN THE MOUNTAINS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE BECOMING FAVORABLE
FOR WIDESPREAD FLASH FLOODING TO DEVELOP. MONITOR FORECASTS
CLOSELY AND BE READY TO TAKE QUICK ACTION IF FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS
ARE ISSUED.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE
THE DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODS.  IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT
QUICKLY. TURN AROUND AND TAKE ANOTHER ROUTE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION
STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR UPDATES ON THIS
FLASH FLOOD THREAT.

&&

$$

MEYER


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
622 AM MDT WED SEP 17 2014

COZ058>089-093>099-181230-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
622 AM MDT WED SEP 17 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED PRIMARILY AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ARE ANTICIPATED OVER HIGHER TERRAIN LOCATIONS WITH THE PRIMARY
THREATS BEING LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS AROUND 45 MPH AT TIMES...AS
WELL HAZARDOUS LIGHTNING. IN ADDITION...ONE OR TWO OF THE STRONGER
STORMS COULD PRODUCE PERIODS OF MODERATE TO POTENTIALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL...WHICH COULD BECOME PROBLEMATIC...ESPECIALLY IF
STORMS DIRECTLY IMPACT RECENT BURN SCARS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THURSDAY AFTERNOON A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE. ON FRIDAY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED...WITH THE BEST CHANCES BEING ALONG THE SOUTHERN BORDER
AREAS AS THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE ODILE MOVE ACROSS NEW MEXICO.
SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
OVER SOME OF THE LOWER ELEVATIONS...WITH SCATTERED ACTIVITY OVER
AND NEAR THE MOUNTAINS. THE MAIN THUNDERSTORM THREATS WILL BE
LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS...BUT SOME OF THE STRONGER
STORMS MAY PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

$$

77/28

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
609 AM MDT WED SEP 17 2014

NMZ501>540-181215-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
609 AM MDT WED SEP 17 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM ODILE WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE
AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. WIDESPREAD RAIN AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL FOCUS ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN AREAS THROUGH TONIGHT. OF
PARTICULAR CONCERN WILL BE THE UPPER GILA AND SOUTH CENTRAL
MOUNTAIN REGIONS WHERE AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN IS
EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS IN THE VICINITY OF THE
WHITEWATER BALDY BURN SCAR. FARTHER NORTH...ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NORTHWEST AND NORTHEAST
WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS COVERAGE FROM NORTH TO SOUTH.STORM
MOTIONS WILL BE SLOW AND RAINFALL COULD BECOME HEAVY. A FEW
STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT STILL LOOK TO BE THE MOST CRITICAL PERIOD
FOR FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING...AS THE REMNANTS OF ODILE PASS
OVER THE HEART OF THE STATE. THE THREAT OF AREAL FLOODING AND
POTENTIALLY LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING WILL BE GREATEST IN
THE WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWESTERN MOUNTAINS AS WELL AS THE SOUTH
CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT HIGHLANDS BUT LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING WILL BE A THREAT AREAWIDE. A SLOW AND GRADUAL DRYING AND
CLEARING TREND IS EXPECTED IN WESTERN NEW MEXICO ON FRIDAY...BUT
EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE STATE COULD CONTINUE TO SEE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WITH A LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND ANY FLOODING
THROUGH THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE WEB SITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/ABQ OR BY CALLING 1.888.386.7637.

$$

41

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
545 AM MDT WED SEP 17 2014

COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-181200-
LOWER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-CENTRAL YAMPA RIVER BASIN-
ROAN AND TAVAPUTS PLATEAUS-ELKHEAD AND PARK MOUNTAINS-
UPPER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-GRAND VALLEY-DEBEQUE TO SILT CORRIDOR-
CENTRAL COLORADO RIVER BASIN-GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS-
GORE AND ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAIN VALLEYS-
CENTRAL GUNNISON AND UNCOMPAHGRE RIVER BASIN-
WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS-FLATTOPS-
UPPER GUNNISON RIVER VALLEY-UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU AND DALLAS DIVIDE-
NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-
PARADOX VALLEY/LOWER DOLORES RIVER-
FOUR CORNERS/UPPER DOLORES RIVER-ANIMAS RIVER BASIN-
SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN-SOUTHEAST UTAH-EASTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN UINTA BASIN-TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-ARCHES/GRAND FLAT-
LA SAL AND ABAJO MOUNTAINS-CANYONLANDS/NATURAL BRIDGES-
545 AM MDT WED SEP 17 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN UTAH AND WESTERN
COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER
THE MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY OVER THE SOUTHERN
MOUNTAINS AND VALLEYS. THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL COME TO
AN END SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET THIS EVENING. GUSTY WINDS TO 40
MPH...SMALL HAIL AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN WILL ACCOMPANY THE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE FROM THE SOUTH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...THEN ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA ON FRIDAY.
AFTER A DRIER DAY ON SATURDAY...A CHANCE OF MAINLY MOUNTAIN SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
438 AM MST WED SEP 17 2014

AZZ004>018-037>040-180815-
KAIBAB PLATEAU-MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-
COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-CHINLE VALLEY-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-
OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-BLACK MESA AREA-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
438 AM MST WED SEP 17 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR APACHE...COCONINO...
NORTHERN GILA...NAVAJO...AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES IN NORTHERN
ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

DEEP MOISTURE FROM TROPICAL STORM ODILE WILL AFFECT THE AREA TODAY
THROUGH THURSDAY BRINGING PERIODS OF MODERATE RAINFALL WITH
EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11
AM MST TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR AREAS ROUGHLY ALONG
AND SOUTH OF THE I-40 CORRIDOR. SEE TEXT PRODUCT PHXFFAFGZ FOR
DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

PERIODS OF MODERATE RAINFALL WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE THURSDAY AS THE REMNANTS OF ODILE MOVE THROUGH EASTERN
ARIZONA. THE MOST WIDESPREAD AND HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS FORECAST TO
OCCUR FROM NORTHERN GILA COUNTY TOWARD THE EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM WHERE
1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES
FORECAST IN THE WHITE MOUNTAINS REGION. THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH
CONTINUES THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

LINGERING MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY
THROUGH THE COMING WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
406 AM CDT WED SEP 17 2014

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-180915-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
406 AM CDT WED SEP 17 2014 /306 AM MDT WED SEP 17 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

HEAVY TROPICAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND
TONIGHT ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL BE THE
MAIN HAZARD AND COULD LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. THE GREATEST AREA OF
CONCERN WILL BE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND THE VAN
HORN/HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
THESE AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

LOCAL FLASH FLOOD CONCERNS WILL CONTINUE THURSDAY... ESPECIALLY
FOR THOSE AREAS THAT RECEIVED HEAVY RAIN LAST WEEK INCLUDING THE
GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS... SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO... AND PARTS
OF THE NORTHWEST PERMIAN BASIN.

THE RIO GRANDE MAY SEE ELEVATED FLOWS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS DUE
A COMBINATION OF RELEASES FROM RESERVOIRS IN MEXICO AND HEAVY RAIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ALTHOUGH SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED... LOCAL EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT SHOULD REMAIN UP TO DATE ON THE LATEST DEVELOPMENTS IN
THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING TODAY AND TONIGHT.

$$
THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
355 AM CDT WED SEP 17 2014

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-172100-
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
355 AM CDT WED SEP 17 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT OVER THE
SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE. IF STORMS DO IN FACT FORM...THEY ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

ISOLATED TO PERHAPS SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN AND WESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME WIDESPREAD ACROSS THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES BY LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...WITH STORM CHANCES
PERSISTING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. ALTHOUGH NO ORGANIZED OR WIDESPREAD
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED...HEAVY RAINFALL IS LIKELY TO
ACCOMPANY THESE STORMS. A RISK FOR FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING MAY
DEVELOP.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS MAY OCCUR OVER THE PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS AND
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES EARLY IN THE NEXT WORK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
545 PM MDT TUE SEP 16 2014

NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-171715-
UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHERN GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE-
SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER VALLEY-LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-
UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-
EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES-
NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY-SOUTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY/MESILLA VALLEY-
CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN-SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN-
WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-OTERO MESA-
WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY-EASTERN/CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY-
NORTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN-
SOUTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY-
545 PM MDT TUE SEP 16 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NM AND TX.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT.

WIDESPREAD SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
TONIGHT. HEAVY RAINS WILL FALL OVER SOME LOCATIONS WITH RAINFALL
AMOUNTS EXCEEDING 2 INCHES OVER A FEW AREAS. THUS FLASH FLOODING MAY
OCCUR.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM HURRICANE ODILE WILL BRING WIDESPREAD SHOWER
AND THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY WITH AREAS OF
HEAVY RAINFALL AND THE RISK OF FLOODING. ISOLATED LOCATIONS MAY
EXPERIENCE OVER 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED FRIDAY
THROUGH MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT ANY OBSERVED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OR FLOODING
TO THIS OFFICE AND LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT.

$$

ROGASH


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
646 AM MDT WED SEP 17 2014

NMZ401>403-408>410-171500-
UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHERN GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE-
SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY-
EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES-
NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GILA HOT SPRINGS...BUCKHORN...
MULE CREEK...CLIFF...SILVER CITY...LAKE ROBERTS...KINGSTON...
FORT BAYARD...MIMBRES...FAYWOOD...HURLEY...GRANT COUNTY AIRPORT...
HILLSBORO...WINSTON...TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES...DERRY...SPACEPORT...
GARFIELD...HATCH...RADIUM SPRINGS
646 AM MDT WED SEP 17 2014

.NOW...
AT 630 AM MDT...ANOTHER BROAD BAND OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WERE MOVING NORTH ACROSS NORTHERN DONA
ANA...NORTHERN LUNA AND CENTRAL GRANT COUNTY. THIS AREA OF
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL TRACK NORTH ACROSS THE GILA
REGION...THE BLACK RANGE AND MOST OF SIERRA COUNTY THROUGH 8 AM
MDT. COMMUNITIES IMPACTED WILL BE SILVER CITY...BAYARD...
HURLEY...SANTA CLARA...FAYWOOD...AND HILLSBORO. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF ONE- QUARTER INCHES IS EXPECTED WITH SOME HEAVIER
AMOUNTS UP TO ONE- HALF TO THREE- QUARTER INCHES. THIS AREA HAS
ALREADY SEEN MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL OVERNIGHT AND THUS RUNOFF
OF NEW RAIN SHOULD BEGIN QUICKLY. EXPECT RUNNING WATER THROUGH
ARROYOS...CREEKS...STREAMS...AND NORMALLY DRY WASHES. IF WATER
CROSSES THE ROAD DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS..WAIT IT OUT.

$$

BIRD

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
624 AM MDT WED SEP 17 2014

NMZ505>509-511-518>526-533-537>540-171400-
ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-
DE BACA COUNTY-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
GUADALUPE COUNTY-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-
SANTA FE METRO AREA-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALBUQUERQUE...LOS LUNAS...RIO RANCHO...
CARRIZOZO...CLINES CORNERS...EL MORRO...ELK...FORT SUMNER...GALLUP...
GLENWOOD...GRAN QUIVIRA...GRANTS...LOS ALAMOS...MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...
PICACHO...QUEMADO...ROSWELL...RUIDOSO...SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST...
TIJERAS...SANTA FE...SANTA ROSA...SOCORRO
624 AM MDT WED SEP 17 2014

.NOW...
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY TRACK NORTH NORTHEASTWARD
FROM THE SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS TO PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO THIS MORNING. AREAS NEAR AND NORTH OF THE I-40 CORRIDOR
COULD SEE A TENTH OF AN INCH TO ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH OF RAIN
PER HOUR WHILE AREAS SOUTH OF THE I-40 CORRIDOR COULD SEE ONE QUARTER
TO POSSIBLY AN INCH PER HOUR...WITH POTENTIAL FLASH FLOODING FAVORING
THE SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS. FLOWING WATER SHOULD
DEVELOP IN NORMALLY DRY ARROYOS AND ACROSS LOW WATER CROSSINGS.
MOTORISTS ON I-25 THROUGH SOCORRO AND VALENCIA COUNTIES SHOULD EXPECT
PONDING OF WATER ON THE HIGHWAY ALONG WITH REDUCED VISIBILITY AT
TIMES DUE TO RAIN AND FOG. A FEW EMBEDDED LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL ALSO
BE POSSIBLE.

$$

32

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
602 AM MDT WED SEP 17 2014

NMZ412>416-171415-
CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN-SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN-
WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALAMOGORDO...TULAROSA...
WHITE SANDS MONUMENT...OROGRANDE...
WHITE SANDS RANGE HEADQUARTERS...CHAPARRAL...MESCALERO...
MOUNTAIN PARK...TIMBERON...CLOUDCROFT...SUNSPOT...APACHE SUMMIT...
MAYHILL...SACRAMENTO...PINON
602 AM MDT WED SEP 17 2014

.NOW...
AT 5:52 MDT AN AREA OF SHOWERS WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN IS
MOVING ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN OTERO COUNTY. AREAS LIKE
ALAMOGORDO, TULAROSA AND THE SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS WILL BE
AFFECTED. RADAR ESTIMATES 0.75 TO 1 INCHES OF RAIN MAY FALL WITH
THESE SHOWERS. WATER RUNNING IN ARROYOS AND STREAMS COULD RESULT
IN MINOR FLOODING. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS FLOODED AREAS.

$$

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
649 AM CDT WED SEP 17 2014

TXZ021-022-027>044-171400-
PARMER-CASTRO-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE-FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-COCHRAN-
HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING-YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA-KENT-
STONEWALL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRIONA...BOVINA...DIMMITT...HART...
MULESHOE...LITTLEFIELD...OLTON...PLAINVIEW...FLOYDADA...LOCKNEY...
MATADOR...ROARING SPRINGS...PADUCAH...MORTON...LEVELLAND...
LUBBOCK...SLATON...WOLFFORTH...CROSBYTON...RALLS...DICKENS...
SPUR...GUTHRIE...PLAINS...DENVER CITY...BROWNFIELD...TAHOKA...
ODONNELL...POST...JAYTON...ASPERMONT
649 AM CDT WED SEP 17 2014

.NOW...
THROUGH 9 AM...SCATTERED DRIZZLE AND LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ARE
EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS THE SOUTH PLAINS AND ADJACENT PORTIONS
OF THE ROLLING PLAINS. THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
UP TO A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH OF PRECIPITATION AS IT MOVES
EAST NEAR 30 MPH. ROAD SURFACES ARE SLICK THIS MORNING AND EXTRA
CAUTION IS ADVISED IN THE COMMUTE THIS MORNING.


$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE