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Special Weather Statement


SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
315 AM MDT SAT APR 19 2014

COZ017>023-200915-
UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU AND DALLAS DIVIDE-
NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-
PARADOX VALLEY/LOWER DOLORES RIVER-
FOUR CORNERS/UPPER DOLORES RIVER-ANIMAS RIVER BASIN-
SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RIDGWAY...GLADE PARK...OURAY...
TELLURIDE...LAKE CITY...SILVERTON...RICO...HESPERUS...GATEWAY...
NUCLA...CORTEZ...DOVE CREEK...MANCOS...DURANGO...BAYFIELD...
IGNACIO...PAGOSA SPRINGS AND VICINITY
315 AM MDT SAT APR 19 2014

...SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS COULD RISE QUICKLY THIS WEEKEND...

SCATTERED TO WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN COLORADO THIS MORNING THROUGH THE EARLY
EVENING HOURS. SNOW LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM ABOUT 8500
FEET THIS MORNING TO NEAR 10000 FEET BY NOON. RAIN IS EXPECTED TO
MELT SOME OF THE WINTER SNOWPACK...THEREFORE SMALL STREAMS AND
CREEKS COULD RISE QUICKLY. USE CAUTION IF TRAVELING THROUGH THE
BACKCOUNTRY OR TRAVELING NEAR LOW-LYING AREAS ALONG SMALL
DRAINAGES. PLEASE RELAY REPORTS OF RISING WATER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN GRAND JUNCTION.

$$


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
513 AM MDT SAT APR 19 2014

NMZ501>540-201200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
513 AM MDT SAT APR 19 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES INTO WESTERN NEW MEXICO
TODAY...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NEW MEXICO. A FEW OF THE STORMS MAY GENERATE
GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE OVER CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NEW MEXICO TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

ANOTHER ROUND OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...PRIMARILY FROM THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS EAST OUT
ONTO THE NORTHEAST AND EAST-CENTRAL PLAINS.

WEATHER CAN CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST FORECASTS...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$

33

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
431 AM CDT SAT APR 19 2014

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-200945-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
431 AM CDT SAT APR 19 2014 /331 AM MDT SAT APR 19 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...WITH
BEST CHANCES ALONG AND WEST OF A HOBBS...TO ALPINE...TO PRESIDIO LINE.
ANY STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY FREQUENT LIGHTNING.
STRONGER STORMS WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
45 MPH.  SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS...AND
AREAS WEST AND SOUTH OF THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS...WITH STRONG WINDS AND
LARGE HAIL BEING THE PRIMARY THREATS.  IN ADDITION...BRIEF HEAVY RAIN
WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS AND UPPER TRANS PECOS...WHICH
COULD RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO
SUNDAY.  SOME STORMS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING COULD APPROACH SEVERE
LEVELS...MAINLY OVER THE LOWER TRANS PECOS...WITH THE MAIN THREATS BEING
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
343 AM CDT SAT APR 19 2014

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-192200-
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
343 AM CDT SAT APR 19 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A FEW NON-SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING MAINLY ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL TEXAS PANHANDLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS
PANHANDLES ON SUNDAY...BUT ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP ARE NOT EXPECTED
TO BE SEVERE.

ELEVATED TO POTENTIALLY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS DUE TO
BREEZY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE POSSIBLE ON
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY MAINLY ACROSS THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL
PANHANDLES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

AREA FIRE MANAGERS AND EMERGENCY OFFICIALS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR
ELEVATED TO POTENTIALLY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ON TUESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY.

$$

KNS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
910 PM MDT FRI APR 18 2014

COZ058>089-093>099-200315-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
910 PM MDT FRI APR 18 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER PEAKS ABOVE 10000
FEET TONIGHT.  LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS OF AN INCH OR TWO ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN SAN JUAN AND LA GARITA
MOUNTAINS...AND THE EASTERN SAWATCH AND WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY ACROSS THE
REGION. THE STRONGER AND MORE NUMEROUS STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON
SATURDAY. THE MAIN THREAT FROM STRONGER STORMS WILL BE HAIL UP TO
1/2 INCH IN DIAMETER...AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH. ALL STORMS WILL
PRODUCE DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

SNOW LEVELS THROUGH THE WEEKEND WILL REMAIN AROUND OR ABOVE 10000
FEET. LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN ABOVE 10000 FEET THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

BELOW 10000 FEET...PRECIPITATION WILL FALL AS RAIN. INSTABILITY
APPEARS TO BE ON THE LOWER SIDE OF THE SPECTRUM WITH THIS SYSTEM
WHICH WOULD TEND TO KEEP RAINFALL RATES GENERALLY BELOW .20 AN
HOUR. HOWEVER...IF SUFFICIENT AFTERNOON HEATING OCCURS...A FEW
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WHICH COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN...ESPECIALLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ANY
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN FALLING ON THE SUSCEPTIBLE BURN SCARS...SUCH AS
THE WALDO...COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING.

METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS FOR EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR ARE EXPECTED
TO OCCUR ON WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL
BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL MOUNTAINS.

$$

88/88


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
530 AM MDT SAT APR 19 2014

NMZ505>509-191430-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EL MORRO...GALLUP...GLENWOOD...GRANTS...
QUEMADO
530 AM MDT SAT APR 19 2014

.NOW...

THROUGH 830 AM...ISOLATED LIGHT SHOWERS WILL STEADILY INCREASE IN
COVERAGE WITH SOME EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS ALSO TAKING SHAPE OVER WEST
CENTRAL AND ESPECIALLY SOUTHWESTERN NEW MEXICO. THESE SHOWERS AND
STORMS WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AT 15 TO 20 MPH...PRIMARILY
IMPACTING LOCATIONS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40 SUCH AS GLENWOOD...
DUSTY...BEAVERHEAD...THE VERY LARGE ARRAY...HORSE SPRINGS...LUNA...
QUEMADO...AND ALAMO. SEVERAL HUNDRETHS TO ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH OR
RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE. ANY SHOWERS OR STORMS COULD PRODUCE VARIABLE
AND GUSTY WINDS UP TO 30 MPH AND AN OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING STRIKES.

$$

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
530 AM MDT SAT APR 19 2014

NMZ519>526-533-539-540-191430-
ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-
ESTANCIA VALLEY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALBUQUERQUE...LOS LUNAS...RIO RANCHO...
CARRIZOZO...CLINES CORNERS...ELK...GRAN QUIVIRA...
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...PICACHO...RUIDOSO...SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST...
TIJERAS...SANTA ROSA...SOCORRO
530 AM MDT SAT APR 19 2014

.NOW...

THROUGH 830 AM...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO
WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL TO SOUTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO. THESE
SHOWERS WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AT 15 TO 20 MPH...PRODUCING LIGHT
RAINFALL AMOUNTS. ANY SHOWERS OR STORMS WILL PRODUCE VARIABLE AND
GUSTY WINDS UP TO 30 MPH AND AN OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING STRIKE OR TWO.

$$

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
530 AM MDT SAT APR 19 2014

NMZ534>538-191430-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-CURRY COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-QUAY COUNTY-
ROOSEVELT COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLOVIS...FORT SUMNER...PORTALES...
ROSWELL...TUCUMCARI
530 AM MDT SAT APR 19 2014

.NOW...

THROUGH 830 AM...ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL STEADILY INCREASE IN
COVERAGE WITH SOME EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS ALSO DEVELOPING OVER
EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO. THESE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE NORTH NORTHEAST AT 15 TO 20 MPH...PRIMARILY
IMPACTING LOCATIONS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40 SUCH ELIDA...MESA...
ELKINS...KENNA...MILNESAND...ELIDA...LINGO...CAUSEY...AND ROGERS. A
FEW TO FIFTEEN HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH OF RAINFALL CAN EXPECTED WITH
THIS ACTIVITY...AND ANY SHOWERS OR STORMS WILL PRODUCE VARIABLE AND
GUSTY WINDS UP TO 30 MPH AND AN OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING STRIKE.

$$

24

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Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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