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Flash Flood Warning


FLASH FLOOD WARNING
UTC037-292245-
/O.NEW.KGJT.FF.W.0010.140729T1939Z-140729T2245Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
139 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND JUNCTION  HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN SAN JUAN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST UTAH...

* UNTIL 445 PM MDT

* AT 138 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING
  HEAVY RAIN ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE ABAJO MOUNTAINS IN THE INDIAN
  CREEK DRAINAGE. NEARLY TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN
  THIS EARLY AFTERNOON. FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SHORTLY.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE   CANYONLANDS
  NEEDLES DISTRICT HIGHWAY 211...NEAR NEWSPAPER ROCK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. ACT QUICKLY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE.

&&

LAT...LON 3811 10956 3784 10955 3780 10969 3817 10964

$$

JOE


Flash Flood Watch


FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1230 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

...FLASH FLOOD THREAT EXPECTED ACROSS ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST COLORADO THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND FOR THE
SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS AND PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.MONSOON MOISTURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY.
THIS MOISTURE WILL COMBINE WITH MOIST LOW LEVEL EASTERLY UPSLOPE
FLOW TO PRODUCE NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. STORMS
WILL BE SLOW MOVING AND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL.
BURN SCARS...URBAN AREAS...AND LOCATIONS WITH SATURATED SOIL FROM
RECENT HEAVY RAIN WILL BE HIGHLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING
THROUGH THIS EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS WILL EVOLVE INTO A
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS OVERNIGHT WHICH
WILL MAINTAIN A THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS AND PLAINS AS ABUNDANT ATMOSPHERIC
MOISTURE REMAINS IN PLACE.

COZ072>089-093>099-300230-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0010.000000T0000Z-140731T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LA VETA PASS...PONCHA PASS...
BLANCA PEAK...CUCHARA...STONEWALL...WESTON...SPANISH PEAKS...
COALDALE...COTOPAXI...HILLSIDE...HOWARD...SWISSVALE...
TEXAS CREEK...SILVER CLIFF...WESTCLIFFE...RYE...GREENHORN MTN...
WOODLAND PARK...PIKES PEAK...CANON CITY...PENROSE...
BLACK FOREST...AIR FORCE ACADEMY...COLORADO SPRINGS...PUEBLO...
WALSENBURG...TRINIDAD...ORDWAY...OLNEY SPRINGS...LA JUNTA...
ROCKY FORD...BRANSON...KIM...EADS...SHERIDAN LAKE...LAS ANIMAS...
LAMAR...SPRINGFIELD...WALSH
1230 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO AND
  SOUTHEAST COLORADO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EAST
  CENTRAL COLORADO...EL PASO COUNTY AND TELLER COUNTY AND THE
  RAMPART RANGE. IN SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO...FREMONT COUNTY...
  NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS...SOUTHERN SANGRE DE
  CRISTO MOUNTAINS...WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY AND WET MOUNTAINS. IN
  SOUTHEAST COLORADO...BACA COUNTY...BENT COUNTY...CROWLEY
  COUNTY...EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY...EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY...
  HUERFANO COUNTY...OTERO COUNTY...PROWERS COUNTY...PUEBLO
  COUNTY...WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY AND WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY.

* THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON

* MONSOON MOISTURE WILL REMAIN OVER SOUTHEAST COLORADO. AT THE
  SURFACE...EASTERLY UPSLOPE FLOW WILL ENHANCE THUNDERSTORM
  DEVELOPMENT OVER THE MOUNTAINS. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL
  DEVELOP OVER THE PLAINS THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON AND
  OVERNIGHT HOURS WHICH MAY CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY.
  THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SLOW MOVING WITH RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO
  TWO INCHES PER HOUR.

* FLOODING OF URBAN AREAS...CREEKS...ARROYOS AND NORMALLY DRY
  WASHES WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
  HEAVY RAINFALL ON BURN SCARS MAY RESULT IN DANGEROUS MUD AND
  ASH FLOWS. HIGH FLOWS MAY OCCUR ON AREA STREAMS AND RIVERS DUE
  TO INCREASED RUNOFF.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
COLORADO AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO TONIGHT HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1230 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

...FLASH FLOOD THREAT EXPECTED ACROSS ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST COLORADO THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND FOR THE
SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS AND PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.MONSOON MOISTURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY.
THIS MOISTURE WILL COMBINE WITH MOIST LOW LEVEL EASTERLY UPSLOPE
FLOW TO PRODUCE NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. STORMS
WILL BE SLOW MOVING AND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL.
BURN SCARS...URBAN AREAS...AND LOCATIONS WITH SATURATED SOIL FROM
RECENT HEAVY RAIN WILL BE HIGHLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING
THROUGH THIS EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS WILL EVOLVE INTO A
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS OVERNIGHT WHICH
WILL MAINTAIN A THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS AND PLAINS AS ABUNDANT ATMOSPHERIC
MOISTURE REMAINS IN PLACE.

COZ058>071-300230-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0010.000000T0000Z-140730T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLIMAX...MOSQUITO PASS...LEADVILLE...
INDEPENDENCE PASS...MT ELBERT...MT MASSIVE...GRANITE...SALIDA...
BUENA VISTA...SARGENTS...BONANZA...NORTH PASS...SOUTH FORK...
CREEDE...CUMBRES PASS...WOLF CREEK PASS...CENTER...DEL NORTE...
ALAMOSA...MONTE VISTA...MANASSA...LA JARA...ANTONITO...SANFORD...
SAN LUIS...FORT GARLAND...BLANCA
1230 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
TONIGHT...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF CENTRAL COLORADO AND SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO...
  INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN CENTRAL COLORADO...EASTERN
  SAWATCH RANGE...MOSQUITO RANGE AND UPPER ARKANSAS RIVER
  VALLEY. IN SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO...CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY...
  EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS...LA GARITA MOUNTAINS...NORTHERN
  SAN LUIS VALLEY...SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY AND UPPER RIO
  GRANDE VALLEY.

* UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT

* MONSOON MOISTURE WILL REMAIN OVER COLORADO TODAY. AN EMBEDDED
  DISTURBANCE OVER WESTERN COLORADO WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION
  TODAY ENHANCING THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
  EVENING HOURS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
  RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR.

* FLOODING OF URBAN AREAS...CREEKS...STREAMS AND NORMALLY DRY
  WASHES WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HEAVY
  RAINFALL ON BURN SCARS MAY RESULT IN DANGEROUS MUD AND ASH
  FLOWS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
100 PM CDT TUE JUL 29 2014

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>010-300200-
/O.CON.KAMA.FF.A.0005.140730T0000Z-140731T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOISE CITY...KEYES...GUYMON...BEAVER...
FORGAN...DALHART...STRATFORD...SPEARMAN...GRUVER...PERRYTON...
BOOKER...HIGGINS...FOLLETT...HARTLEY...CHANNING...DUMAS...
BORGER...MIAMI...CANADIAN
100 PM CDT TUE JUL 29 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
  AREAS...IN OKLAHOMA...BEAVER...CIMARRON AND TEXAS. IN TEXAS...
  DALLAM...HANSFORD...HARTLEY...HEMPHILL...HUTCHINSON...
  LIPSCOMB...MOORE...OCHILTREE...ROBERTS AND SHERMAN.

* FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING

* SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH HEAVY
  RAINFALL...ARE EXPECTED. AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN
  IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1024 AM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

NMZ510>516-523-526>534-537-539-300300-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.A.0006.000000T0000Z-140730T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-
1024 AM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...INCLUDING THE
  FOLLOWING AREAS...CENTRAL HIGHLANDS...DE BACA COUNTY...EAST
  SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS...EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY...
  EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY...FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS...GUADALUPE
  COUNTY...HARDING COUNTY...JEMEZ MOUNTAINS...NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS...
  NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER...
  QUAY COUNTY...RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA...SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS...
  SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS...SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS
  ABOVE 9500 FEET...UNION COUNTY...UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND WEST
  SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS.

* UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING

* AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL SLOWLY MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS
  CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NEW MEXICO TRIGGERING SHOWERS AND
  THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE AREA. WEAK STEERING FLOW ALOFT
  COMBINED WITH A VERY MOIST AIRMASS IN PLACE...WILL RESULT IN SLOW
  MOVING THUNDERSTORMS THAT WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY HEAVY
  RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING.

* LOCATIONS WHERE THE GROUND IS ALREADY SATURATED FROM RECENT
  RAINFALL WILL BE FAVORED FOR FLASH FLOODING. OTHER VULNERABLE
  LOCATIONS WILL INCLUDE STEEP TERRAIN...URBAN AREAS AND BURN
  SCARS. KEEP A WATCHFUL EYE ON ARROYOS AND SMALL STREAMS...AND
  STAY OUT OF FLOODED LOW WATER CROSSINGS. MONITOR THE LATEST
  FORECASTS CLOSELY AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION IF A
  WARNING OR ADVISORY IS ISSUED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH
FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
726 AM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

COZ001>014-017>020-022-023-UTZ023>025-027-028-292200-
/O.CON.KGJT.FF.A.0005.140729T1800Z-140730T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LOWER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-CENTRAL YAMPA RIVER BASIN-
ROAN AND TAVAPUTS PLATEAUS-ELKHEAD AND PARK MOUNTAINS-
UPPER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-GRAND VALLEY-DEBEQUE TO SILT CORRIDOR-
CENTRAL COLORADO RIVER BASIN-GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS-
GORE AND ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAIN VALLEYS-
CENTRAL GUNNISON AND UNCOMPAHGRE RIVER BASIN-
WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS-FLATTOPS-
UPPER GUNNISON RIVER VALLEY-UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU AND DALLAS DIVIDE-
NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-
PARADOX VALLEY/LOWER DOLORES RIVER-ANIMAS RIVER BASIN-
SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN-EASTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS-EASTERN UINTA BASIN-
TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-ARCHES/GRAND FLAT-LA SAL AND ABAJO MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RANGELY...DINOSAUR...CRAIG...HAYDEN...
MEEKER...RIO BLANCO...COLUMBINE...TOPONAS...
STEAMBOAT SPRINGS AND VICINITY...GRAND JUNCTION...FRUITA...
PALISADE...RIFLE...SILT...PARACHUTE...MESA...GLENWOOD SPRINGS...
EAGLE...CARBONDALE...SKYWAY...ASPEN...VAIL...SNOWMASS...
CEDAREDGE...DELTA...HOTCHKISS...MONTROSE...CRESTED BUTTE...
TAYLOR PARK...MARBLE...BUFORD...TRAPPERS LAKE...GUNNISON...
CIMARRON...RIDGWAY...GLADE PARK...OURAY...TELLURIDE...LAKE CITY...
SILVERTON...RICO...HESPERUS...GATEWAY...NUCLA...DURANGO...
BAYFIELD...IGNACIO...PAGOSA SPRINGS AND VICINITY...MANILA...
DUTCH JOHN...VERNAL...JENSEN...BALLARD...FORT DUCHESNE...
RANDLETT...MOAB...CASTLE VALLEY...THOMPSON SPRINGS...
MONTICELLO AND VICINITY
726 AM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON MDT TODAY
THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF COLORADO AND UTAH...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
  AREAS...IN COLORADO...ANIMAS RIVER BASIN...CENTRAL COLORADO
  RIVER BASIN...CENTRAL GUNNISON AND UNCOMPAHGRE RIVER BASIN...
  CENTRAL YAMPA RIVER BASIN...DEBEQUE TO SILT CORRIDOR...
  ELKHEAD AND PARK MOUNTAINS...FLATTOPS...GORE AND ELK
  MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAIN VALLEYS...GRAND VALLEY...GRAND AND
  BATTLEMENT MESAS...LOWER YAMPA RIVER BASIN...NORTHWEST SAN
  JUAN MOUNTAINS...PARADOX VALLEY/LOWER DOLORES RIVER...ROAN AND
  TAVAPUTS PLATEAUS...SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN...SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN
  MOUNTAINS...UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU AND DALLAS DIVIDE... UPPER
  GUNNISON RIVER VALLEY...UPPER YAMPA RIVER BASIN AND WEST ELK
  AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS. IN UTAH...ARCHES/GRAND FLAT... EASTERN
  UINTA BASIN...EASTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS...LA SAL AND ABAJO
  MOUNTAINS AND TAVAPUTS PLATEAU.

* FROM NOON MDT TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING

* FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING DUE TO
  HEAVY RAINFALL FROM MONSOONAL MOISTURE AND ANOTHER DISTURBANCE
  THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL COLORADO AND UTAH.
  STORMS WILL ALSO BE SLOW MOVING FURTHER INCREASING FLASH
  FLOODING RISKS.

* DEBRIS AND MUD FLOWS WILL BE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY NEAR OLD BURN
  SCARS. NORMALLY DRY WASHES AND SMALL STREAMS MAY FILL RAPIDLY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

CUOCO


Flood Advisory


FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
249 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

NMC019-057-292345-
/O.NEW.KABQ.FA.Y.0340.140729T2049Z-140729T2345Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GUADALUPE-TORRANCE-
249 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED AN

* ARROYO AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
  EAST CENTRAL TORRANCE COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW MEXICO
  WEST CENTRAL GUADALUPE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO

* UNTIL 545 PM MDT

* AT 246 PM MDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  HEAVY RAIN OCCURRING OVER WESTERN GUADALUPE COUNTY...NORTH OF
  THE VILLAGE OF VAUGHN. RADAR IS CURRENTLY ESTIMATING TWO TO
  TWO AND A HALF INCHES OF RAINFALL THAT WILL LEAD TO EXCESSIVE
  RUNOFF INTO SMALLER WASHES FEEDING INTO THE PINTADO ARROYO.

* STRONG FLOWS AND HIGH WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED IN
  ARROYOS...SMALL   STREAMS AND OVER LOW WATER CROSSINGS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HEAVY RAINFALL MAY RESULT IN FLOODING OF ROAD INTERSECTIONS AND LOW
LYING AREAS. WATERS MAY BEGIN TO RUN IN NORMALLY DRY ARROYOS AND
SPILL OVER THE BANKS OF SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS.

&&

LAT...LON 3485 10539 3491 10508 3466 10500 3464 10533

$$

SHOEMAKE

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
248 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

NMC051-292345-
/O.NEW.KEPZ.FA.Y.0052.140729T2048Z-140729T2345Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SIERRA NM-
248 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN EL PASO HAS ISSUED AN

* ARROYO AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
  CENTRAL SIERRA COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...

* UNTIL 545 PM MDT

* AT 247 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. DOPPLER
  RADAR ESTIMATED AN INCH TO AND INCH AND HALF OF RAIN HAD FALLEN IN
  IN 30 MINUTES OR LESS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES...
  MONTICELLO...
  LAS PALOMAS...
  ENGLE...
  PLACITAS...
  PLACITAS IN SIERRA COUNTY...
  WILLIAMSBURG...
  ELEPHANT BUTTE...
  CUCHILLO...
  ALAMOSA CANYON...
  ROCK HOUSE...
  NORTH MONTICELLO POINT...

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING TO
OCCUR...ESPECIALLY ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND NEAR LOW WATER CROSSINGS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RAINFALL CAN QUICKLY TURN DRY DESERT WASHES AND ARROYOS
INTO RAGING RIVERS...EVEN IN AREAS FAR FROM WHERE RAIN HAS FALLEN. DO
NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS FLOODED ARROYOS. SWIFTLY MOVING WATER CAN CARVE
DEEP CHANNELS IN PREVIOUSLY SHALLOW WASHES...AND WATER CAN BE MUCH
DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. IF YOUR ROUTE BECOMES CUT OFF BY FLOODED
ARROYOS...WAIT FOR FLOOD WATERS TO RECEDE.

IN HILLY TERRAIN THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS WHICH ARE
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS
FLOODED ROADS. IT ONLY TAKES A FEW INCHES OF SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO
CARRY VEHICLES AWAY.

&&

LAT...LON 3301 10691 3296 10754 3348 10762 3348 10693

$$

GNL

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
238 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

COC071-292145-
/O.CON.KPUB.FA.Y.0099.000000T0000Z-140729T2145Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LAS ANIMAS CO-
238 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

...THE FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM MDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY...

AT 236 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE
RAINFALL IN THE ADVISORY AREA. MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE IN THIS
AREA THROUGH AT LEAST 330 PM. RADAR ESTIMATES 1 TO 1.5 INCHES OF
RAIN HAS FALLEN IN PORTIONS OF THE ADVISORY AREA THIS AFTERNOON.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
COKEDALE...BONCARBO...GULNARE...STONEWALL...SEGUNDO AND WESTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 3741 10467 3726 10456 3700 10452 3700 10515
      3728 10513

$$

28

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
132 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

NMC005-011-019-037-041-292215-
/O.NEW.KABQ.FA.Y.0339.140729T1932Z-140729T2215Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CHAVES-DE BACA-GUADALUPE-QUAY-ROOSEVELT-
132 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED AN

* ARROYO AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
  DE BACA COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO
  EASTERN GUADALUPE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO
  EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN QUAY COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO
  NORTHWESTERN ROOSEVELT COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO
  CENTRAL CHAVES COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO

* UNTIL 415 PM MDT

* AT 118 PM MDT COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS AND TRAINED
  WEATHER SPOTTERS CONTINUED TO REPORT FLOODED AREAS ALONG THE
  GREATER PECOS RIVER BASIN. AREAS SUCH AS ALAMOGORDO CREEK...
  TAIBAN CREEK...AND TRUCHAS CREEK ARE FLOODED WITH STANDING WATER
  NEAR THE CONFLUENCE OF THESE CREEKS WITH THE PECOS. LAW ENFORCEMENT
  OFFICIALS HAVE ALSO CLOSED U.S. 84 BETWEEN FORT SUMNER AND SUMNER
  LAKE. ADDITIONAL FLOODED AREAS MAY EXTEND AROUND THE GREATER SANTA
  ROSA AREA AS WELL AS IN PORTIONS OF CHAVES COUNTY NEAR THE
  CONFLUENCE OF THE ARROYO DEL MACHO...RIO HONDO...ROCKY ARROYO...AND
  THE THIRTEEN MILE DRAW.

* STRONG FLOWS AND HIGH WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED IN
  ARROYOS...SMALL   STREAMS AND OVER LOW WATER CROSSINGS. RAPID
  RUNOFF AND STANDING WATER MAY MAKE MANY SECONDARY ROADS AND EVEN
  SOME PRIMARY ROADS IMPASSABLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOTH LOCALIZED AND DISTANT HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CREATE DANGEROUS FLOWS
IN ARROYOS AND OVER LOW WATER CROSSINGS. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE
THROUGH THESE WATERS. WATER IN ARROYOS MAY TRAVEL MANY MILES AND TAKE
HOURS TO REACH YOUR LOCATION FROM UPSTREAM RAIN AREAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3438 10469 3497 10478 3508 10443 3451 10384
      3297 10408 3295 10479

$$


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
250 PM CDT TUE JUL 29 2014

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-301100-
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
250 PM CDT TUE JUL 29 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA TONIGHT.
THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL THAT
MAY RESULT IN FLOODING IN POOR DRAINAGE AND LOW LYING AREAS. A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND THE
NORTHERN HALF OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.
OTHERWISE...NO WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL
REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND THE NORTHERN HALF OF
THE TEXAS PANHANDLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. MOST STORMS WILL
REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LEVELS WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...HOWEVER A FEW
SEVERE STORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY
ACROSS WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE PANHANDLES. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO
BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS...WHICH MAY PRODUCE FLOODING OR FLASH
FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

$$

CLK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
157 PM CDT TUE JUL 29 2014

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-301900-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
157 PM CDT TUE JUL 29 2014 /1257 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
MAINLY IN THE THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHWEST TEXAS...SOUTHEAST
NEW MEXICO AND THE NORTHERN PERMIAN BASIN. STRONGER STORMS WILL
BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND
DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT
ACROSS SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE...MOSTLY IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND
THE MOUNTAINS...THROUGH THE WEEKEND. STRONGER STORMS WILL PRODUCE
GUSTY WINDS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

05

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1209 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

COZ058>089-093>099-301300-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
1209 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

FLASH FLOODING WILL BE THE PRIMARY STORM THREAT TODAY AS AN EMBEDDED
DISTURBANCE WITHIN THE MONSOON PLUME ACTS IN CONCERT WITH AFTERNOON
HEATING TO GENERATE NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
MOUNTAINS.  THESE WILL MOVE OFF INTO THE PLAINS DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS BEFORE DEVELOPING INTO A THUNDERSTORM
CLUSTER ACROSS THE EXTREME SOUTHEAST PLAINS OVERNIGHT. DUE TO
ABUNDANT MOISTURE IN THE ATMOSPHERE...THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING.
RAINFALL RATES OF AROUND 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THE STRONGER STORMS. THE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE AREAS WILL BE THE BURN
SCARS. HOWEVER AREAS WITH SATURATED SOILS FROM RECENT HEAVY
RAIN...AND LOCATIONS IN AND NEAR STEEP TERRAIN WILL ALSO SEE AN
ELEVATED THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE FLASH
FLOOD THREAT WILL CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS FOR THE
SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS AND PLAINS AS A THUNDERSTORM CLUSTER DEVELOPS
AND SLOWLY MOVES TO THE SOUTHEAST.

ONE OR TWO STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  HAIL UP TO 1 INCH
IN DIAMETER AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE
STRONGER STORMS.

DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL BE A THREAT WITH ALL
THUNDERSTORMS TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE RISK FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND ASSOCIATED FLASH FLOODING
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER MANY PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN COLORADO
FROM WEDNESDAY INTO POSSIBLY THE WEEKEND. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED OVER THE MOUNTAINS MOST
AFTERNOONS...WITH STORMS SPREADING ACROSS THE ADJACENT HIGH
VALLEYS AND NEARBY PLAINS THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. AT THIS
TIME...IT APPEARS THAT THE THE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING WILL BE
HIGHEST WEDNESDAY...ALTHOUGH THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE AT TIMES FROM LATER THIS WEEK
INTO THIS WEEKEND. IN ADDITION...IF ENOUGH PRECIPITATION
FALLS...PORTIONS OF THE ARKANSAS AND PURGATOIRE RIVERS...ALONG
WITH THEIR TRIBUTARY CREEKS AND STREAMS MAY EXPERIENCE FLOODING
AT TIMES.

PLEASE REMEMBER THAT AREA BURN SCARS...URBAN AREAS...STEEP
TERRAIN LOCATIONS AND AREAS THAT HAVE RECEIVED RECENT HEAVY
PRECIPITATION WILL BE MOST VULNERABLE TO THE FLASH FLOOD RISK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

$$

06/06

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1109 AM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-301715-
UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHERN GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE-
SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER VALLEY-LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-
UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-
EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES-
NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY-SOUTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY/MESILLA VALLEY-
CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN-SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN-
WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-OTERO MESA-
WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY-EASTERN/CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY-
NORTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN-
SOUTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY-
1109 AM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NM AND TX.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH TONIGHT. THERE IS STILL PLENTY OF MOISTURE AROUND THE
AREA...ESPECIALLY EAST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN IS POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS WHICH GIVEN THE RECENT
RAINS...COULD PRODUCE SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING. A FEW STORMS COULD
PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY
MOSTLY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY BUT
MOISTURE WILL BE INCREASING ACROSS THE REGION STARTING THURSDAY
AND CONTINUING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. SOME OF THESE STORMS WILL BE
VERY SLOW MOVING AND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING AN INCH OR TWO OF RAIN
IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. FLASH FLOODING POTENTIAL WILL BE
PRESENT STARTING THURSDAY AND CONTINUING AT LEAST THROUGH SUNDAY.
MOST AREAS ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN NEW MEXICO INTO FAR WEST TEXAS WILL
SEE SIGNIFICANT RAIN ACCUMULATIONS DURING THIS PERIOD...THOSE WITH
OUTDOOR PLANS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE FORECAST FOR THIS
UPCOMING WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY...BUT ARE ENCOURAGED
TO REPORT RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND ANY FLOODING TO LOCAL LAW
ENFORCEMENT OR THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO.

$$
26

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1143 AM CDT TUE JUL 29 2014

TXZ021>044-301645-
PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE-
FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING-
YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL-
1143 AM CDT TUE JUL 29 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE...SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

FLOODING

THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO MOVE FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE
EXTREME SOUTHERN PANHANDLE TONIGHT MAY ALSO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND MINOR STREET FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA
WEDNESDAY. THE SEVERE POTENTIAL WITH THIS ACTIVITY IS RELATIVELY
LOW...ALTHOUGH STRONG WIND GUSTS...SMALL HAIL AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE MOST INTENSE ACTIVITY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
637 AM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

NMZ501>540-301230-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
637 AM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN NEW MEXICO
WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY BY MID-MORNING.
THIS WILL GIVE WAY TO A NEW ROUND OF SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING ACROSS NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL NEW MEXICO. SLOW MOVEMENT OF STORMS WILL PRODUCE LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH COULD LEAD TO FLOODING. STORMS MAY ALSO
PRODUCE SMALL HAIL...AND GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

A BRIEF BREAK IN THE ACTIVE PATTERN IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. THEN
ANOTHER BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL BOOST STORM COVERAGE FOR THE
THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY PERIOD WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED. STORM MOTIONS WILL BE SLOW AND RAINFALL
COULD BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES. THIS MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED AREAS OF
FLASH FLOODING... ESPECIALLY OVER AND NEAR RECENT AND OLDER BURN
SCARS. ISOLATED LOCATIONS MAY RECEIVE UP TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL.
A FEW STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND ANY FLOODING
THROUGH THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE WEB SITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/ABQ OR BY CALLING 1.888.386.7637.

$$

41

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
557 AM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-301200-
LOWER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-CENTRAL YAMPA RIVER BASIN-
ROAN AND TAVAPUTS PLATEAUS-ELKHEAD AND PARK MOUNTAINS-
UPPER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-GRAND VALLEY-DEBEQUE TO SILT CORRIDOR-
CENTRAL COLORADO RIVER BASIN-GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS-
GORE AND ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAIN VALLEYS-
CENTRAL GUNNISON AND UNCOMPAHGRE RIVER BASIN-
WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS-FLATTOPS-
UPPER GUNNISON RIVER VALLEY-UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU AND DALLAS DIVIDE-
NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-
PARADOX VALLEY/LOWER DOLORES RIVER-
FOUR CORNERS/UPPER DOLORES RIVER-ANIMAS RIVER BASIN-
SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN-SOUTHEAST UTAH-EASTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN UINTA BASIN-TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-ARCHES/GRAND FLAT-
LA SAL AND ABAJO MOUNTAINS-CANYONLANDS/NATURAL BRIDGES-
557 AM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN UTAH AND WESTERN
COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER WEST-CENTRAL COLORADO WILL INCREASE IN
COVERAGE AND INTENSITY FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. AS
TEMPERATURES WARM THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AND MOST WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME.
DANGEROUS LIGHTNING AND OUTFLOW WINDS FROM 30 TO 40 MPH WILL
ACCOMPANY THESE STORMS. LOCALIZED MUD...DEBRIS FLOWS...OR FALLING
ROCKS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THOSE AREAS PRONE TO SUCH OCCURRENCES
...LIKE STEEP TERRAIN. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST
OVERNIGHT...MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

WEDNESDAY-SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN QUITE
ACTIVE THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN
POSSIBLE. A SLOW DRYING TREND WILL BEGIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
THEREFORE...AFTER A LULL WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY THE
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING
WILL STAY MAINLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN.

SUNDAY-MONDAY...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER MONSOONAL SURGE
LATE THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. AS A RESULT...SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD WITH CELLS PRODUCING
HEAVY RAIN MORE PREVALENT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED TODAY OR TONIGHT...HOWEVER
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO RELAY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OR ANY OBSERVED
FLOODING TO THE GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST OFFICE.

$$

EH/NL


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
228 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

NMZ401>410-412-414>416-292300-
UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHERN GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE-
SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER VALLEY-LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-
UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-
EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES-
NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY-CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN-
WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GILA HOT SPRINGS...BUCKHORN...
MULE CREEK...CLIFF...SILVER CITY...LAKE ROBERTS...KINGSTON...
FORT BAYARD...MIMBRES...FAYWOOD...HURLEY...GRANT COUNTY AIRPORT...
LORDSBURG...REDROCK...VIRDEN...ANIMAS...HACHITA...
ANTELOPE WELLS...CLOVERDALE...DEMING...COLUMBUS...HILLSBORO...
WINSTON...TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES...DERRY...SPACEPORT...GARFIELD...
HATCH...RADIUM SPRINGS...ALAMOGORDO...TULAROSA...
WHITE SANDS MONUMENT...MESCALERO...MOUNTAIN PARK...TIMBERON...
CLOUDCROFT...SUNSPOT...APACHE SUMMIT...MAYHILL...SACRAMENTO...
PINON
228 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

.NOW...
AT 220 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE OCCURRING OVER THE REGION. STORMS
WERE MOST CONCENTRATED IN SIERRA COUNTY. MOVEMENT OF THE STORMS
WAS TO THE SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 15 MPH. PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAINFALL...SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE
FROM THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN AMOUNTS WILL VARY FROM HALF AND INCH TO
AN INCH AND HALF. LOCALIZED FLOODING ALONG DRAINAGES...ARROYOS AND
LOW WATER CROSSINGS IN POSSIBLE NEAR STORMS PRODUCING HIGHER RAIN
AMOUNTS. FURTHER THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON.


$$

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
100 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

NMZ413>417-TXZ418>421-423-292130-
SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN-
WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-OTERO MESA-
WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY-EASTERN/CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY-
NORTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OROGRANDE...
WHITE SANDS RANGE HEADQUARTERS...CHAPARRAL...MESCALERO...
MOUNTAIN PARK...TIMBERON...CLOUDCROFT...SUNSPOT...APACHE SUMMIT...
MAYHILL...SACRAMENTO...PINON...CROW FLATS...DOWNTOWN...
WEST EL PASO...UPPER VALLEY...FORT BLISS...SOCORRO...
EAST AND NORTHEAST EL PASO...HUECO TANKS...LOMA LINDA...
DELL CITY...CORNUDAS...SALT FLAT...FABENS...TORNILLO...
FORT HANCOCK
100 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

.NOW...
AT 1255 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED
SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS CONTINUING ACROSS THE EL PASO METRO AREA
AND PORTIONS OF HUDSPETH AND OTERO COUNTIES. THE LIGHT RAIN
SHOWERS SHOULD LINGER FOR A COUPLE MORE HOURS AS THEY SLOWLY
DISSIPATE. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY REDEVELOP LATER
THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

LUNDEEN

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE