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Flash Flood Warning


FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NMC043-012345-
/O.NEW.KABQ.FF.W.0047.150801T2215Z-150801T2345Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
415 PM MDT SAT AUG 1 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  NORTH CENTRAL SANDOVAL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...

* UNTIL 545 PM MDT

* AT 413 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN NEAR AND JUST SOUTH OF REGINA.
  BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN. AREAS MOST LIKELY TO BE
  IMPACTED ARE ALONG AND JUST EAST OF HIGHWAY 96 TOWARD THE SAN
  PEDRO MOUNTAINS. FLASH FLOODING IS LIKELY ALONG ARROYO NARANJO AND
  SALADO CREEK.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  REGINA AND LA JARA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOTH LOCALIZED AND DISTANT HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CREATE SUDDEN AND
DANGEROUS FLOWS IN ARROYOS AND OVER LOW WATER CROSSINGS.

&&

LAT...LON 3621 10689 3608 10688 3606 10703 3621 10705
      3622 10696 3622 10690

$$

34

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NMC047-020000-
/O.NEW.KABQ.FF.W.0046.150801T2205Z-150802T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
405 PM MDT SAT AUG 1 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  CENTRAL SAN MIGUEL COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO...

* UNTIL 600 PM MDT

* AT 404 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN JUST NORTH OF TREMENTINA. THE
  STRONG PRODUCING THE HEAVY RAIN WAS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST AROUND
  10 MPH. THIS WILL IMPACT HIGHWAY 419...TREMENTINA CREEK...AND
  ARROYO DEL MESTENO. FLASH FLOODING IS LIKELY.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  TREMENTINA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOTH LOCALIZED AND DISTANT HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CREATE SUDDEN AND
DANGEROUS FLOWS IN ARROYOS AND OVER LOW WATER CROSSINGS.

&&

LAT...LON 3565 10421 3537 10422 3548 10468 3562 10465

$$

34


Flash Flood Watch


FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
342 PM MDT SAT AUG 1 2015

NMZ501>507-510>517-020545-
/O.CON.KABQ.FF.A.0012.000000T0000Z-150802T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-
342 PM MDT SAT AUG 1 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTH AND CENTRAL NM...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
  AREAS...CHUSKA MOUNTAINS...EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO
  MOUNTAINS...FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS...JEMEZ MOUNTAINS...LOWER
  CHAMA RIVER VALLEY...NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500
  FEET/RED RIVER...NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS...NORTHWEST PLATEAU...SAN
  JUAN MOUNTAINS...SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET...
  UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY...WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS...WEST CENTRAL
  MOUNTAINS...WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU AND WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO
  MOUNTAINS.

* UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT

* A VERY MOIST AIRMASS REMAINS IN PLACE OVER MUCH OF NEW MEXICO...
  AND THIS WILL SUPPORT SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
  THUNDERSTORMS...PRIMARILY OVER NORTH CENTRAL TO NORTHWESTERN NEW
  MEXICO. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING WITH
  RAINFALL RATES COMMONLY 1 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR.

* FLASH FLOODING WILL BE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE AROUND STEEP TERRAIN...
  URBAN DRAINAGES...AND AREAS THAT HAVE RECENTLY EXPERIENCED HEAVY
  RAINFALL OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH
FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
342 PM MDT SAT AUG 1 2015

NMZ523-528-529-531>534-020545-
/O.EXB.KABQ.FF.A.0012.150801T2200Z-150802T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-
342 PM MDT SAT AUG 1 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS EXPANDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE A PORTION OF NORTH AND CENTRAL NM...
  INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...CENTRAL HIGHLANDS...EASTERN SAN
  MIGUEL COUNTY...FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS...GUADALUPE COUNTY...
  HARDING COUNTY...NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS AND QUAY COUNTY.

* UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT

* A VERY MOIST AIRMASS REMAINS IN PLACE OVER NORTHEAST NEW
  MEXICO... AND THIS WILL SUPPORT SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS
  AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE WATCH AREA. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL
  MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING WITH RAINFALL RATES COMMONLY 1 TO 3
  INCHES PER HOUR.

* FLASH FLOODING WILL BE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE AROUND STEEP TERRAIN...
  URBAN DRAINAGES...AND AREAS THAT HAVE RECENTLY EXPERIENCED HEAVY
  RAINFALL OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH
FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$


Flood Advisory


FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
313 PM MST SAT AUG 1 2015

AZC001-012330-
/O.CON.KFGZ.FA.Y.0049.000000T0000Z-150801T2330Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
APACHE-
313 PM MST SAT AUG 1 2015

...THE SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM MST
FOR CENTRAL APACHE COUNTY...

AT 308 PM MST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN HAS DIMINISHED
OVER THE ADVISORY AREA 10 MILES SOUTH OF CHINLE ALONG AND EAST OF
ROUTE 27 NEAR NAZLINI. THIS WILL CAUSE SMALL STREAM FLOODING IN THE
ADVISORY AREA.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
NAZLINI.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 3608 10946 3592 10938 3586 10952 3602 10958

$$

RB

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
404 PM MDT SAT AUG 1 2015

NMC051-020000-
/O.NEW.KEPZ.FA.Y.0162.150801T2204Z-150802T0000Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SIERRA NM-
404 PM MDT SAT AUG 1 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN EL PASO  HAS ISSUED A

* ARROYO AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN SIERRA COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...

* UNTIL 600 PM MDT

* AT 403 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN DUE TO
  THUNDERSTORMS. THIS WILL CAUSE ARROYO AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING IN
  THE ADVISORY AREA. RADAR ESTIMATES INDICATE THAT BETWEEN ONE AND
  TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN IN THE ADVISORY AREA.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
  HERMOSA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

CAMPERS AND HIKERS SHOULD AVOID STREAMS...CREEKS...AND ARROYOS AND
MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

EXCESSIVE RAINFALL CAN QUICKLY TURN DRY DESERT WASHES AND ARROYOS
INTO RAGING RIVERS...EVEN IN AREAS FAR FROM WHERE RAIN HAS FALLEN.
DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS FLOODED ARROYOS. IF YOUR ROUTE BECOMES CUT
OFF...WAIT FOR FLOOD WATERS TO RECEDE.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 3311 10774 3330 10775 3329 10742 3311 10740

$$

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
345 PM MDT SAT AUG 1 2015

NMC039-043-012345-
/O.NEW.KABQ.FA.Y.0405.150801T2145Z-150801T2345Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SANDOVAL-RIO ARRIBA-
345 PM MDT SAT AUG 1 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A

* ARROYO AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
  NORTH CENTRAL SANDOVAL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...
  SOUTH CENTRAL RIO ARRIBA COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...

* UNTIL 545 PM MDT

* AT 343 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  HEAVY RAIN DUE TO THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM JUST EAST OF OJO
  ENCINO...TO REGINA...AND YOUNGSVILLE. THESE STORMS WERE MOVING
  VERY LITTLE. 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE IN THESE AREA. LOW
  VISIBILITIES AND PONDING WATER ARE LIKELY ALONG HIGHWAY 550
  NORTHWEST OF CUBA...AND ALONG HIGHWAY 86 BETWEEN HIGHWAY 550 AND
  REGINA.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  CUBA...GALLINA...REGINA...YOUNGSVILLE...LA JARA AND COYOTE.

OTHER LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE RIO PUERCO CAMPGROUND AND SAN
GREGORIO RESERVOIR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE HEAVY RAINFALL AND SLOW MOVEMENT OF THESE STORMS MAY RESULT IN
FLOODING OF ROAD INTERSECTIONS AND LOW-LYING
AREAS.  WATERS MAY BEGIN TO RUN IN NORMALLY DRY ARROYOS.

&&

LAT...LON 3636 10655 3607 10647 3593 10718 3609 10736
      3628 10694

$$

34

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
341 PM MDT SAT AUG 1 2015

NMC033-055-012345-
/O.NEW.KABQ.FA.Y.0404.150801T2141Z-150801T2345Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MORA-TAOS-
341 PM MDT SAT AUG 1 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A

* ARROYO AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN MORA COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO...
  SOUTHEASTERN TAOS COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...

* UNTIL 545 PM MDT

* AT 338 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  HEAVY RAIN DUE TO THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH OF RANCHOS DE TAOS ALONG
  HIGHWAY 518. OTHER STORMS WERE MOVING EAST TOWARD CHACON. A QUICK
  ONE TO 1.5 INCHES OF RAIN IS LIKELY WITH THESE STORMS. IN ADDITION
  TO HIGHWAY 518...FOREST SERVICE ROAD 439 AND 76 MAY EXPERIENCE
  MINOR FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN LOW SPOTS WHERE THE ROADS CROSS THE
  ARROYOS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  TALPA...CHACON...TRES RITOS...RANCHOS DE TAOS...VADITO...PICURIS
  PUEBLO AND RIO LUCIO.

OTHER LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
AGUA PIEDRA CAMPGROUND...COMALES CAMPGROUND...DURAN CANYON
CAMPGROUND...UPPER LA JUNTA CAMPGROUND...SIPAPU SKI AREA...AND
FLECHADO PICNIC AREA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE HEAVY RAINFALL AND SLOW MOVEMENT OF THESE STORMS MAY RESULT IN
FLOODING OF ROAD INTERSECTIONS AND LOW-LYING
AREAS.  WATERS MAY BEGIN TO RUN IN NORMALLY DRY ARROYOS.

&&

LAT...LON 3636 10549 3616 10533 3602 10541 3621 10574
      3635 10572

$$

34

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
328 PM MDT SAT AUG 1 2015

NMC055-012330-
/O.NEW.KABQ.FA.Y.0403.150801T2128Z-150801T2330Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
TAOS-
328 PM MDT SAT AUG 1 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A

* ARROYO AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN TAOS COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...

* UNTIL 530 PM MDT

* AT 326 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  HEAVY RAIN DUE TO THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN COSTILLA AND RED RIVER.
  BETWEEN 1 AND 2 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN IN THIS AREA
  AND UP TO AN ADDITIONAL INCH IS POSSIBLE. THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS
  LOCATED NEAR THE SKI RIO SKI AREA. HIGH WATER FLOWS ARE LIKELY IN
  COSTILLA CREEK.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  QUESTA...RED RIVER...AMALIA...COSTILLA AND CERRO.

OTHER LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
COLUMBINE CAMPGROUND...ELEPHANT ROCK CAMPGROUND...FAWN LAKES
CAMPGROUND...GOAT HILL CAMPGROUND...JUNEBUG CAMPGROUND...URRACA
WILDLIFE AREA...ENCHANTED FOREST CROSS COUNTRY SKI AREA...RED RIVER
SKI AREA...AND RIO COSTILLA ACCESS POINT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE HEAVY RAINFALL AND SLOW MOVEMENT OF THESE STORMS MAY RESULT IN
FLOODING OF ROAD INTERSECTIONS AND LOW-LYING
AREAS.  WATERS MAY BEGIN TO RUN IN NORMALLY DRY ARROYOS.

&&

LAT...LON 3672 10528 3673 10529 3673 10531 3670 10532
      3670 10535 3667 10537 3667 10564 3699 10565
      3700 10527 3699 10525

$$

34

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
255 PM MDT SAT AUG 1 2015

NMC027-012300-
/O.NEW.KABQ.FA.Y.0402.150801T2055Z-150801T2300Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LINCOLN-
255 PM MDT SAT AUG 1 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A

* ARROYO AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...

* UNTIL 500 PM MDT

* AT 253 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  HEAVY RAIN DUE TO THUNDERSTORMS NORTHEAST OF ENCINOSO AND ARABELA.
  A QUICK ONE TO 1.5 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS AS
  THEY SLOWLY MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHEAST. LOW WATER CROSSINGS ALONG
  COUNTY ROADS B7 AND B20 MAY BE ADVERSELY IMPACTED.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  RAMON.

THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 285 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 175 AND 183.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOTH LOCALIZED AND DISTANT HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CREATE DANGEROUS FLOWS
IN ARROYOS AND OVER LOW WATER CROSSINGS.
DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH THESE WATERS.  WATER IN ARROYOS MAY
TRAVEL MANY MILES AND TAKE HOURS TO REACH
YOUR LOCATION FROM UPSTREAM RAIN AREAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3379 10544 3405 10545 3434 10516 3435 10490
      3378 10489 3362 10514

$$

34


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
320 PM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-021115-
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
320 PM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE OKLAHOMA
AND TEXAS PANHANDLES. MANY OF THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL...WHICH MAY RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLOODING OR
FLASH FLOODING. ALSO...SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS COULD PRODUCE
BRIEF GUSTY WINDS TO AROUND 50 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MOST OF THE OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLES
THROUGH TUESDAY. MANY OF THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY
RAINFALL...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING OR FLASH FLOODING. SOME OF THE
STRONGER STORMS COULD PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS TO AROUND 50 MPH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. OBSERVERS ARE
REQUESTED TO RELAY ANY RAINFALL AND FLOODING REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO.

$$

COCKRELL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
144 PM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-021845-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
144 PM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015 /1244 PM MDT SAT AUG 1 2015/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
THE STRONGEST STORMS MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTY WINDS TO 50 MPH,
HEAVY RAINFALL AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES. LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY AND MONDAY OVER
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA.  THE STRONGER STORMS COULD PRODUCE
GUSTY WINDS TO 50 MPH, LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL AND FREQUENT
LIGHTNING STRIKES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

$$

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1208 PM MDT SAT AUG 1 2015

NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-021815-
UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHERN GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE-
SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER VALLEY-LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-
UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-
EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES-
NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY-SOUTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY/MESILLA VALLEY-
CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN-SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN-
WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-OTERO MESA-
WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY-EASTERN/CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY-
NORTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN-
SOUTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY-
1208 PM MDT SAT AUG 1 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NM AND TX.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
ATMOSPHERIC DRYING FROM THE SOUTH AND EAST WILL LIMIT THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT TODAY...AND LIKELY CURTAIL MUCH OVERNIGHT ACTIVITY
THIS EVENING. HOWEVER STILL EXPECT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED MOUNTAIN
STORMS IN THE MID AFTERNOON THROUGH MID EVENING HOURS. WESTERN
LOWLANDS WILL LIKELY SEE ISOLATED STORMS WHILE THE EASTERN
LOWLANDS WILL SEE ONLY SLIGHT CHANCES FOR A FEW STORMS. STORMS
TODAY MAY BRING HEAVY RAIN/FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY WEST...AND
GUSTS TO 50 MPH ALONG WITH MAINLY SMALL HAIL.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
SOMEWHAT DRIER AIR OVER THE REGION WILL MEAN A DROP IN
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AS THE WEEK AHEAD PROGRESSES. ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED MOUNTAIN STORMS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...BUT LOWLAND
STORMS WILL BE SPARSE. EXPECT BETTER STORM CHANCES EARLY IN THE
WEEK DIMINISHING LATE IN THE WEEK. MOST LIKELY STORM IMPACTS WILL
BE VERY ISOLATED POCKETS OF HEAVY RAIN/FLASH FLOODING...AND GUSTY
OUTFLOW WINDS NEAR 50 MPH. LOWLAND HEAT MAY BECOME EXCESSIVE BY
MID AND LATE WEEK WITH LOWLANDS REACHING 100 DEGREES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT ANY OBSERVED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OR FLOODING
TO THIS OFFICE AND LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT.

$$

BIRD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1203 PM MDT SAT AUG 1 2015

COZ058>089-093>099-021815-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
1203 PM MDT SAT AUG 1 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE
MOUNTAINS AND HIGH VALLEYS THIS AFTERNOON. A COUPLE OF
THUNDERSTORMS MAY ALSO MOVE OFF THE MOUNTAINS INTO THE INTERSTATE
25 CORRIDOR. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE
PRIMARY THREATS FROM THUNDERSTORMS. LOCATIONS THAT HAVE SEEN HEAVY
RAINFALL OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS WILL HAVE AN INCREASED
THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...MONSOON MOISTURE WILL BRING HIT
OR MISS THUNDERSTORMS TO SOUTHERN COLORADO EACH DAY...MAINLY
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERNS...BUT GUSTY WINDS AND
SMALL HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...MONSOON FLOW WILL BE SUPPRESSED OVER
MEXICO AS A MUCH DRIER...WESTERLY FLOW OF AIR SPREADS ACROSS
COLORADO.  THUNDERSTORMS DURING THIS PERIOD WILL BE ISOLATED AND
CONFINED MAINLY TO THE MOUNTAINS WITH PRIMARY THREATS OF LIGHTNING
AND GUSTY WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...THE SAN
LUIS VALLEY...PALMER DIVIDE AND RATON MESA.


$$

44/44

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1213 PM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015

TXZ021>044-021715-
PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE-
FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING-
YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL-
1213 PM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE...SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. A FEW OF THESE STORMS WILL
HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG WITH
DOWNBURST WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
550 AM MDT SAT AUG 1 2015

COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-021200-
LOWER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-CENTRAL YAMPA RIVER BASIN-
ROAN AND TAVAPUTS PLATEAUS-ELKHEAD AND PARK MOUNTAINS-
UPPER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-GRAND VALLEY-DEBEQUE TO SILT CORRIDOR-
CENTRAL COLORADO RIVER BASIN-GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS-
GORE AND ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAIN VALLEYS-
CENTRAL GUNNISON AND UNCOMPAHGRE RIVER BASIN-
WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS-FLATTOPS-
UPPER GUNNISON RIVER VALLEY-UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU AND DALLAS DIVIDE-
NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-
PARADOX VALLEY/LOWER DOLORES RIVER-
FOUR CORNERS/UPPER DOLORES RIVER-ANIMAS RIVER BASIN-
SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN-SOUTHEAST UTAH-EASTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN UINTA BASIN-TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-ARCHES/GRAND FLAT-
LA SAL AND ABAJO MOUNTAINS-CANYONLANDS/NATURAL BRIDGES-
550 AM MDT SAT AUG 1 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN UTAH AND WESTERN
COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

CLOUDS AND SHOWERS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE TODAY MAINLY SOUTH
OF THE TAVAPUTS PLATEAU IN EASTERN UTAH AND WESTERN COLORADO.
SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL SPREAD OVER THE VALLEYS OF SOUTHWEST
COLORADO AND SOUTHEAST UTAH THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGHOUT
THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. BRIEF HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH THUNDERSTORMS. SOME SMALL STREAMS OR NORMALLY DRY WASH BEDS
MAY EXPERIENCE SOME FLOWS FROM RUNOFF. THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION
IS EXPECTED IN THE SAN JUANS...LA SALS...AND ABAJOS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE WEATHER DISTURBANCE PASSING SOUTH TO NORTH THROUGH THE FOUR
CORNERS REGION TODAY WILL CONTINUE MOVING NORTH AND REACH THE
WYOMING UTAH COLORADO BORDER ON SUNDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE QUITE NUMEROUS IN COVERAGE ON SUNDAY WITH VERY FEW
LOCATIONS REMAINING DRY DURING THE ENTIRETY OF THE DAY.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES ACROSS WESTERN
COLORADO ON MONDAY. BRIEF MODERATE TO HEAVY SHOWERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE FROM THE STRONGEST STORMS.

DRIER CONDITIONS EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...ALTHOUGH AN
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM MAY OCCUR OVER THE WESTERN COLORADO HIGH
COUNTRY.

THE SUMMER MONSOON MAY RETURN ON FRIDAY AND BRINGS A CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

$$

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
533 AM MDT SAT AUG 1 2015

NMZ501>540-021200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
533 AM MDT SAT AUG 1 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ABUNDANT MOISTURE IS IN PLACE OVER NEW MEXICO...AND SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AGAIN
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...NAMELY OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL TO
NORTHWESTERN SECTIONS OF THE STATE. HEAVY RAINFALL IS
POSSIBLE...AND LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING MAY OCCUR.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE
POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY. STORMS WILL TEND TO FAVOR THE NORTHERN AND
WESTERN TIERS OF NEW MEXICO...ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN.
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE...AND LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH
FLOODING MAY OCCUR.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND ANY
FLOODING THROUGH THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/ABQ OR BY CALLING 1.888.386.7637. YOU CAN ALSO
SUBMIT STORM REPORTS AND PHOTOS ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE OR VIA
TWITTER USING THE HASHTAG N M W X.

$$

52


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
420 PM MDT SAT AUG 1 2015

NMZ401>403-408-020030-
UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHERN GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE-
SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY-
EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GILA HOT SPRINGS...BUCKHORN...
MULE CREEK...CLIFF...SILVER CITY...LAKE ROBERTS...KINGSTON...
FORT BAYARD...MIMBRES...FAYWOOD...HURLEY...GRANT COUNTY AIRPORT...
HILLSBORO...WINSTON
420 PM MDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.NOW...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. THESE STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE HEAVY
RAIN...GUSTY WINDS TO 45 MPH...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING AND LOCALIZED
FLOODING. LOCATIONS THAT COULD BE IMPACTED THROUGH 600 PM MDT
INCLUDE WINSTON AND HILLSBORO. PEOPLE OUT AND ABOUT THIS
AFTERNOON SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
AND MONITOR THE LATEST WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES FROM THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

$$

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
420 PM MDT SAT AUG 1 2015

NMZ404>406-020030-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER VALLEY-LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-
UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LORDSBURG...REDROCK...VIRDEN...ANIMAS...
HACHITA...ANTELOPE WELLS...CLOVERDALE
420 PM MDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.NOW...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS THE
AREA THIS AFTERNOON. THESE STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN...GUSTY WINDS TO 45 MPH...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING
AND LOCALIZED FLOODING. LOCATIONS THAT COULD BE IMPACTED THROUGH
600 PM MDT INCLUDE ALAMO HUECO AND 1-10 BETWEEN SEPAR AND THE NEW MEXICO-
ARIZONA BORDER. PEOPLE OUT AND ABOUT THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD BE ON
THE LOOKOUT FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT AND MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

$$

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
420 PM MDT SAT AUG 1 2015

NMZ407-410-411-413-020030-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY-
SOUTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY/MESILLA VALLEY-SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DEMING...COLUMBUS...GARFIELD...HATCH...
RADIUM SPRINGS...LAS CRUCES...VADO...SUNLAND PARK...OROGRANDE...
WHITE SANDS RANGE HEADQUARTERS...CHAPARRAL
420 PM MDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.NOW...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT FORMED EARLIER ACROSS THE AREA HAVE
GRADUALLY DISSIPATED. HOWEVER...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL REMAIN A POSSIBILITY ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH 600 PM MDT. ANY
STORMS THAT FORM WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE HEAVY
RAIN...GUSTY WINDS TO 45 MPH...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING AND LOCALIZED
FLOODING. PEOPLE OUT AND ABOUT THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD BE ON THE
LOOKOUT FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT AND MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

$$

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
420 PM MDT SAT AUG 1 2015

NMZ409-020030-
SIERRA COUNTY LAKES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES...DERRY...
SPACEPORT
420 PM MDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.NOW...
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS THE AREA
THIS AFTERNOON BUT HAVE BEEN ON THE WANE SINCE 200 PM MDT.
HOWEVER...ISOLATED THUNDERTORMS REMAIN IN THE FORECAST THROUGH
600 PM MDT. ANY STORMS THAT FORM WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN...GUSTY WINDS TO 45 MPH...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING
AND LOCALIZED FLOODING. PEOPLE OUT AND ABOUT THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD
BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.

$$

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
420 PM MDT SAT AUG 1 2015

NMZ414>416-020030-
WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MESCALERO...MOUNTAIN PARK...TIMBERON...
CLOUDCROFT...SUNSPOT...APACHE SUMMIT...MAYHILL...SACRAMENTO...
PINON
420 PM MDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.NOW...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON
BUT HAVE BEGUN TO DECREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. THESE
STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN...GUSTY WINDS
TO 40 MPH AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUT AND ABOUT IN THE
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT AND MONITOR THE LATEST WARNINGS AND
ADVISORIES FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

$$

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
420 PM MDT SAT AUG 1 2015

NMZ417-TXZ420>424-020030-
OTERO MESA-NORTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN-
SOUTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROW FLATS...HUECO TANKS...LOMA LINDA...
DELL CITY...CORNUDAS...SALT FLAT...SIERRA BLANCA...FABENS...
TORNILLO...FORT HANCOCK
420 PM MDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.NOW...
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THIS
EARLY AFTERNOON. THESE STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE
HEAVY RAIN...GUSTY WINDS TO 45 MPH...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING AND
LOCALIZED FLOODING. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
REMAIN A POSSIBILITY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. PEOPLE OUT AND
ABOUT THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT AND MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

$$

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
309 PM MST SAT AUG 1 2015

AZZ502>515-020015-
TOHONO O`ODHAM NATION-UPPER SANTA CRUZ RIVER VALLEY/ALTAR VALLEY-
TUCSON METRO AREA-SOUTH CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-
SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY-UPPER SAN PEDRO RIVER VALLEY-
EASTERN COCHISE COUNTY BELOW 5000 FEET-UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-
WHITE MOUNTAINS OF GRAHAM AND GREENLEE COUNTIES-
GALIURO AND PINALENO MOUNTAINS-CHIRICAHUA MOUNTAINS-
DRAGOON AND MULE AND HUACHUCA AND SANTA RITA MOUNTAINS-
CATALINA AND RINCON MOUNTAINS-BABOQUIVARI MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SELLS...NOGALES...TUCSON...
GREEN VALLEY...MARANA...VAIL...PICACHO PEAK STATE PARK...
MAMMOTH...ORACLE...SIERRA VISTA...BENSON...WILLCOX...DOUGLAS...
CLIFTON...SAFFORD...HANNAGAN MEADOW...MOUNT GRAHAM...
CHIRICAHUA NM...BISBEE...CANELO HILLS...MADERA CANYON...
MOUNT LEMMON...SUMMERHAVEN...KITT PEAK
309 PM MST SAT AUG 1 2015

.NOW...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING THIS
AFTERNOON...DRIFTING NORTH AT AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH. RAINFALL TOTALS
WILL GENERALLY BE UNDER ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH...WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS ON HIGHER TERRAIN...OR UNDER STRONGER STORMS.
STRONG GUSTY WINDS MAY ALSO BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE STRONGEST
STORMS.

$$



VISIT US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...YOUTUBE...AND AT WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
459 PM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015

TXZ021-027-028-033-034-039-040-020000-
PARMER-BAILEY-LAMB-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-YOAKUM-TERRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRIONA...BOVINA...FARWELL...MULESHOE...
LITTLEFIELD...OLTON...MORTON...LEVELLAND...DENVER CITY...PLAINS...
BROWNFIELD
459 PM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.NOW...
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND
DRIFT SLOWLY EAST ACROSS THE WESTERN SOUTH PLAINS THROUGH 7 PM.
HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND WINDS GUSTS TO 45 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE
STRONGEST ACTIVITY. COVERAGE MAY INCREASE BRIEFLY ALSO AS AN
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY DEVELOPS AND SURGES EAST TOWARD THE BROWNFIELD
HIGHWAY. SOME FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS
POSSIBLE WITH THE SLOW STORM MOVEMENT.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE